Economic Indicators - China's manufacturing PMI for June and Caixin manufacturing PMI will be released this week [1] - The U.S. will report June unemployment rate and non-farm payroll changes [1] Stock Market Developments - A total of 68 stocks will be released from lock-up this week, with a combined market value of approximately 81.671 billion yuan [3] - The top three stocks by lock-up value are: Zhong Wunong Drone (20.02 billion yuan), Dize Pharmaceutical-U (13.272 billion yuan), and Gai Lun Electronics (6.942 billion yuan) [3][4] Government and Policy Updates - The State Council, led by Premier Li Qiang, is focusing on enhancing the country's technological self-reliance and innovation capabilities [5] - The People's Bank of China suggests increasing monetary policy adjustments to guide financial institutions in boosting credit supply [7][8] International Relations - Wang Yi, China's Foreign Minister, will visit the EU headquarters, Germany, and France for high-level strategic dialogues [6] Regulatory Changes - The Shanghai Stock Exchange and Shenzhen Stock Exchange are proposing to adjust the price fluctuation limit for risk-warning stocks from 5% to 10% [11][12] Market Outlook - Analysts suggest that the A-share market may experience a volatile upward trend, with three main lines of investment opportunities: high safety margin assets, technology sector, and consumer sectors boosted by policy [25]

Core Viewpoints - The current market valuation may not support a purely liquidity-driven rally, but unexpected interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and the People's Bank of China could act as catalysts for market sentiment [1] - Structural opportunities will be a key topic during the mid-year reporting season, while index opportunities may need to wait until late Q3 or Q4 [1] - The electrification process is accelerating globally, with a focus on the full industrial chain's monetization capabilities in the electrification and AI sectors [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - Recent market changes indicate that there is no shortage of money, with trading volumes reaching approximately 1.5 trillion yuan [2] - The market is poised for potential upward movement, contingent on three triggers: attractive valuations, strong current and future fundamental expectations [2][3] - The market is expected to maintain a volatile yet upward trend, supported by the influx of medium to long-term funds and favorable policies [7][11] Group 2: Sector Focus - Key investment themes include domestic consumption, domestic substitution, and sectors that have been underweighted by funds [5][7] - The technology sector is anticipated to regain market attention, particularly with the upcoming IPOs of tech companies and innovations in AI and military industries [1][6] - The focus on high-dividend assets and the technology sector, especially those related to AI capital expenditures, is expected to provide investment opportunities [16] Group 3: Economic Indicators - The market is currently experiencing a phase of structural improvement, but it is not yet at the level of a bull market [6][10] - The potential for a bull market is contingent on either a positive shift in earnings or policy direction by Q3 [10] - The overall economic recovery is expected to be driven by domestic consumption and export growth, with a cautious outlook on external risks [4][10]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that A-share market is expected to show a slight upward trend in July, with a focus on structural opportunities in sectors like AI and military industry for the third quarter [1][2][4] - Citic Securities emphasizes that structural opportunities will dominate the mid-year report season, with AI and military sectors being the key areas for investment in Q3 [1] - China Galaxy Securities identifies three main lines for investment: high-margin assets, technology as a long-term focus, and consumer sectors boosted by policy [2] Group 2 - Dongwu Securities predicts a significant possibility for the index to break last year's high, with growth stocks expected to become the main focus [3] - The report highlights the importance of identifying growth opportunities in sectors such as AI computing power, cultural media, and military technology [3] - Xiangcai Securities suggests focusing on breakthrough opportunities in technology-related fields and sectors supported by fundamental performance [4]

Core Viewpoints - The automotive sector remains optimistic, focusing on three main lines: dividends, intelligentization, and robotics [5][11] - The market's performance in the automotive sector has been generally average, with various sub-sectors experiencing different levels of decline, while the bus segment performed relatively well [5][11] Weekly Review Summary - In the second week of June, the compulsory insurance for vehicles reached 451,000 units, with a week-on-week increase of 27% and a month-on-month increase of 18.2% [9][45] - The performance of sub-sectors ranked as follows: SW commercial passenger vehicles (+4.3%), SW passenger vehicles (-2.1%), SW automobiles (-2.6%), SW auto parts (-2.6%), SW commercial cargo vehicles (-3.0%), and SW motorcycles and others (-4.2%) [9][11] Industry Core Changes - New models such as the Ideal i6, Equation Leopard Titanium 7, and Lynk & Co 10 EMP (Z10 plug-in hybrid version) have been registered with the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology [4][10] - Top Group has postponed the production of interior functional components and thermal management projects in Ningbo, reallocating some funds to a project in Thailand [4][10] - Feilong Co. has received small orders for high-power electronic water pumps for data centers from a well-known Taiwanese provider [4][10] Current Configuration of the Automotive Sector - Emphasis on technological innovation as essential for healthy development in the automotive sector, with a focus on three main lines for 2025: AI robotics, AI intelligentization, and dividends & good patterns [6][11] - Recommended stocks for the dividend & good pattern line include Yutong Bus, China National Heavy Duty Truck, and several auto parts manufacturers [6][11] - For the AI intelligentization line, preferred stocks include Xpeng Motors, Li Auto, and BYD, with a focus on specific auto parts companies [6][11] Market Performance and Trends - The automotive sector's performance in A-shares ranked 23rd this week, while in Hong Kong, it ranked 16th [14][15] - The overall decline in the automotive sector is noted, with SW commercial passenger vehicles showing the best performance among sub-sectors [16][28] Sales and Forecasts - The total weekly insurance data for passenger vehicles reached 451,000 units, with new energy vehicles accounting for 249,000 units, reflecting a penetration rate of 55.2% [45] - Forecasts for 2025 suggest a retail sales expectation of 23.69 million units, with a year-on-year growth of 4.1% [46][47] - The heavy truck segment is expected to see an increase in sales, with predictions of 700,000 units for domestic sales in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 16.3% [50][51] Robotics Sector Insights - The robotics sector is anticipated to experience significant growth, with a focus on humanoid robots and related components [59] - Key companies in the robotics sector include Top Group and Junsheng Electronics, with ongoing developments in humanoid robot production [59][60]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the automotive sector, emphasizing continued optimism for the industry [1][5]. Core Insights - The automotive sector is expected to benefit from policies such as the continuation of national subsidies and the implementation of a vehicle trade-in program throughout the year [5][49]. - The report highlights three main investment themes: dividends, smart technology, and robotics, with a focus on innovation as a key driver for healthy industry development [5][52]. - The report anticipates a retail sales forecast of 23.69 million units for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 4.1% [49][50]. Weekly Review - In the second week of June, the total number of passenger car insurance registrations reached 451,000 units, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 27% and a month-on-month increase of 18.2% [2][48]. - The report notes that the commercial passenger vehicle segment performed the best among various automotive sub-sectors, despite an overall decline in the automotive sector [9][17]. - The report identifies key stocks that performed well, including China National Heavy Duty Truck Group, Ruihu Mould, and Luxshare Precision [2][24]. Market Performance - The automotive sector ranked 23rd in A-shares and 16th in Hong Kong stocks for the week, indicating a relatively weaker performance compared to other sectors [9][11]. - The report provides insights into the valuation metrics, noting that the price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) for the automotive sector is at 1.31 times the trailing twelve months (TTM) earnings [34][38]. Industry Trends - The report highlights the expected growth in the new energy vehicle (NEV) segment, projecting a total of 1.435 million NEV passenger cars sold in 2025, with a penetration rate of 60.6% [50][53]. - The competition in the smart driving segment is expected to intensify, with L3 automation penetration projected to reach 27% by 2025 [52][53]. - The heavy truck segment is forecasted to see a 16.3% year-on-year increase in domestic sales, supported by demand for vehicle updates and potential policy stimuli [54][59].

本周细分板块涨跌幅排序:SＷ商用载货车(+10.7%) >SW摩托车及其他(+2.0%) >SW商用载客车 (+0.4%) > SW汽车（-0.8%）>SW汽车零部件(-1.6%)> SW乘用车(+2.0%) 。本周已覆盖标的江 淮汽车、春风动力、威迈斯、上汽集团、中国重汽涨幅前五。 本周团队研究成果： 未经许可，不得转载或者引用。 投资要点 本周复盘总结：六月第一周交强险35.5万辆，环比上周/上月度-22.6%/-14.8%。 外发AI+汽车智能化系列之十二——理想汽车核心竞争力剖析、精锻科技、隆鑫通用、福耀玻 璃专题第六篇深度。 本周行业核心变化： 1） 多家车企将供应商支付账期调整至60天以内； 2） 地方补贴暂停，目前基于我们统计大概 补贴受影响城市占总体汽车销量比例低于10%； 3） 小鹏G7亮相，定位为极致空间而生的家庭 科技美学中型SUV，预售价23.58万元,成为全球首款具备L3算力的新能源汽车，全系标配 702km续航，5C超充电池+全域800V SiC平台，Max版搭载双Orin-X芯片；Ultra版搭载三颗图 灵AI芯片； 4） 银轮股份公司与合作伙伴合资成立"依智灵巧"，布局人形机器 ...

证券研究报告 汽车周观点： 6月第1周乘用车环比-22.6%，继续看好汽车板块 证券分析师 ：黄细里 执业证书编号：S0600520010001 联系邮箱：huangxl@dwzq.com.cn 2025年6月16日 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 核心结论 注：若无特殊说明，"本周"均代表2025.6.9-2025.6.15 2 ➢本周复盘总结：六月第一周交强险35.5万辆，环比上周/上月周度-22.6%/-14.8%。 ◼ 本周细分板块涨跌幅排序:SＷ商用载货车(+10.7%) >SW摩托车及其他(+2.0%) >SW 商用载客车(+0.4%) > SW汽车（-0.8%）>SW汽车零部件(-1.6%)> SW乘用车(+2.0 %) 。本周已覆盖标的江淮汽车、春风动力、威迈斯、上汽集团、中国重汽涨幅前五。 （ ◼ 本周团队研究成果：外发AI+汽车智能化系列之十二——理想汽车核心竞争力剖析、精 锻科技、隆鑫通用、福耀玻璃专题第六篇深度。 ◼ 本周行业核心变化：1）多家车企将供应商支付账期调整至60天以内；2）地方补贴暂 停，目前基于我们统计大概补贴受影响城市占总体汽车销量比例低于10%；3）小鹏G 7亮相， ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that EDA (Electronic Design Automation) is a crucial technological pillar for the entire integrated circuit process, characterized by high technology, talent, and ecological barriers, with the global market dominated by three major players: Synopsys, Cadence, and Siemens EDA, which together hold over 70% market share [1] - In response to the U.S. demand for these EDA companies to cut off core tools to China by May 2025, the acceleration of domestic alternatives is expected, with the domestic EDA market's localization rate increasing from 6.24% in 2018 to 11.48% in 2020, and a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 14% from 2021 to 2025 [1] - Domestic EDA companies are driving growth through a dual approach of "self-research + mergers and acquisitions," with firms like Huada Jiutian and Kailun Electronics achieving breakthroughs in niche areas supporting 5nm/4nm processes [1] - Policy support and collaboration within the industry chain are facilitating the replacement of EDA tools, with technology evolving towards AI intelligence and cloud-based solutions, leading to continuous expansion of the industry scale [1] Group 2 - The Consumer Electronics ETF (code: 561310) tracks the Consumer Electronics Index (code: 931494), which is compiled by China Securities Index Co., Ltd., selecting listed companies in the A-share market that are involved in the manufacturing and services of consumer electronic products, covering industries such as smartphones, home appliances, and wearable devices [1] - The Consumer Electronics Index reflects the overall performance of the consumer electronics industry in the A-share market, demonstrating significant industry representativeness and growth characteristics [1]

Group 1 - A-shares opened higher and continued to rise, with major indices showing gains, particularly in non-bank financials, automotive, power equipment, non-ferrous metals, and agriculture sectors [1] - The recent surge in the self-controlled theme is reflected in the performance of ETFs, with the Xinchuang ETF (562570) rising nearly 0.5% and the Sci-Tech Semiconductor ETF (588170) increasing over 1% [1] - EDA (Electronic Design Automation) tools are crucial for the integrated circuit industry, serving as a strategic foundation across the entire industry chain, which includes process platform development, integrated circuit design, and manufacturing [1] Group 2 - The EDA industry is experiencing significant growth, driven by advancements in AI, cloud computing, and system integration, amidst rising design costs due to advanced processes [1] - Domestic EDA companies are innovating and collaborating to overcome challenges posed by the expiration of foreign EDA product licenses and increasing industry cooperation, supported by national policies [1] - The Xinchuang ETF (562570) tracks the CSI Information Technology Application Innovation Industry Index, focusing on domestic alternatives and covering cutting-edge sectors such as AI, data computing, industrial software, and information security [2]

汽车周观点： 5月第5周乘用车零售环比+17.1%，继续看好汽车板块 证券分析师 ：黄细里 执业证书编号：S0600520010001 联系邮箱：huangxl@dwzq.com.cn 2025年6月9日 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 核心结论 注：若无特殊说明，"本周"均代表2025.6.2-2025.6.8 2 （ ◼ 本周复盘总结：五月第五周交强险45.8万辆，环比上周/上月周度+17.1%/+10.1%。 ◼ 本周细分板块涨跌幅排序：SW摩托车及其他(+3.6%) > SW乘用车(+0.8%)>SW汽车 零部件(+0.3%) > SW汽车（+0.2%）>SW商用载客车(-2.6%) >SＷ商用载货车(-6.7 %) 。本周已覆盖标的长华集团、旭升集团、春风动力、理想汽车-W、长安汽车涨幅 前五。 ◼ 本周行业核心变化：1）小鹏和华为合作研发了全球首个真正融入AI智驾的HUD解决方 案——追光全景抬头显示系统，将由小鹏汽车旗下车型小鹏G7首发搭载；2）保隆科 技成功举办"保隆技术日" ，深化与宝马集团技术交流；3）搭载小马智行第七代自动 驾驶系统的广汽埃安霸王龙自动驾驶车辆，正式获得智能网联汽车道路 ...