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邮储银行(601658):2024年年报点评:Q4营收同比+7.3%,代理费率开启主动调整
Changjiang Securities· 2025-03-31 13:15
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Postal Savings Bank is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Views - The bank's 2024 total revenue increased by 1.8% year-on-year, with a net profit attributable to shareholders rising by 0.2%. Interest income grew by 1.5%, while non-interest income saw a 3.2% increase. Investment income helped mitigate the decline in middle-income revenue [2][6]. - The bank's loan growth was 9.4% for the year, with retail products showing positive growth despite weak demand. Deposits increased by 9.5% [2][6]. - The net interest margin for the year was 1.87%, down 14 basis points year-on-year, while the deposit cost rate decreased by 9 basis points to 1.44%, expected to remain the lowest in the industry [2][6]. - The year-end non-performing loan ratio rose by 4 basis points to 0.90%, with a provision coverage ratio decreasing by 16 percentage points to 286% [2][6]. - The bank announced an active adjustment plan for savings agency fees, which is expected to effectively release future profits, estimating a reduction of 4.7% in pre-tax profit for 2025 due to a decrease in agency fee expenses by 4.5 billion yuan [2][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the bank's total revenue was 348.8 billion yuan, with a net profit of 86.5 billion yuan. Interest income was 286.1 billion yuan, and non-interest income was 25.3 billion yuan [27]. - The bank's total loans grew to 8.7 trillion yuan, with retail loans showing a growth rate of 9.4% [27]. Asset Quality - The non-performing loan ratio at year-end was 0.90%, with a new generation rate of 0.84% for the year. The provision coverage ratio was 286% [2][6]. - The bank's asset quality indicators remained strong despite some fluctuations in retail risk pressures [2][6]. Fee Adjustment Impact - The active adjustment of savings agency fees is projected to save 11.5 billion yuan in 2024 and 4.5 billion yuan in 2025, enhancing pre-tax profit by 4.7% [21][22]. - The comprehensive savings agency fee rate is expected to decrease from 1.15% to 1.04% following the adjustments [21][22]. Investment Outlook - The bank is expected to maintain a stable dividend payout ratio of 30% for 2024, with a projected dividend yield of 5.0% for A-shares and 5.7% for H-shares [2][6]. - The current price-to-book (PB) ratio is estimated at 0.58x for A-shares and 0.51x for H-shares, indicating a low valuation with high dividend yield advantages [2][6].
【建设银行(601939.SH)】盈利增长更进一步,“三大战略”稳步落实——2024年年报点评(王一峰/赵晨阳)
光大证券研究· 2025-03-31 06:59
全年建设银行营收、拨备前利润、归母净利润同比增速分别为-2.5%、-4%、0.9%,增速较1-3Q24分别提 升0.8、0.2、0.8pct。全年净利息收入、非息收入增速分别为-4.4%、5.1%,较前三季度分别变动 +1.5、-1.7pct。全年成本收入比、信用减值损失/营收分别为28.6%、6.3%,同比分别变动+1.3、-0.7pct。 拆分盈利增速结构:规模、拨备为主要贡献分项,拉动业绩增速15.5、4.9pct。从边际变化看,规模扩张提 速、息差负向拖累收窄为提振因素;非息收入增长放缓、拨备正向贡献减弱、营业费用贡献转负为主要拖 累因素。 点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明: 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写,仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户,用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户,请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限,若给您造成不便,敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 报告摘要 事件: 点评: 营收负增幅度收窄,盈利增长提速 3月28日,建设银行发布202 ...
普通人难以致富的三大真相!99%的人都踩过坑!
天天基金网· 2025-03-28 10:08
每个人都渴望一夜暴富,但真相很残酷: 致富本质是少数人的特权游戏, 普通人 仅靠工资想要 突破 阶层结界太难了 。 如何才能让我们的勤劳不再是资本机器的燃料?DeepSeek给出了普通人的致富建议,句句干货! 先泼一盆冷水: "勤劳致富"是最大的谎言,工地搬砖一天500块看似高薪,实则是用命换钱的死亡循环。真正的致富 靠的是 认知碾压+资源杠杆 ,下面用底层逻辑撕开致富真相。 一、99%普通人踩的致命陷阱 1. 跟风陷阱 - 案例:外卖小哥自学Python爬虫,帮餐馆抢美团黄金展位月入3万+ - 操作: 死磕一门技术(编程/设计/剪辑),用技术吃行业信息差 ,别去和体力劳 动者内卷 。 看见奶茶店排队就加盟,看见股市涨了就梭哈,结局都是被割韭菜。 真相:所有肉眼可见的暴利行业,入场即红海,早被资本吃干抹净。 2. 暴富陷阱 "0基础月入10万"的课程,本质是教你怎么用PS伪造收入图骗下一个人。 真相:合法赚大钱只有三种:垄断、信息差、规模化,普通人只能玩后两种。 3. 消费陷阱 用花呗买最新iPhone,贷款买BBA装逼,工资全填进消费主义黑洞。 真相:开保时捷送外卖的可能是负债老哥,穿拖鞋收租的才是真大佬。 ...
青岛银行(002948):2024年年报点评:利润增速预计领跑,质效提升逻辑加速验证
Changjiang Securities· 2025-03-28 09:13
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Qingdao Bank is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Views - The bank's revenue growth for 2024 is expected to be 8.2% year-on-year, with a net profit growth of 20.2%, indicating a leading profit growth rate in the industry [2][6]. - Interest income is projected to grow by 6.4% for the year, with a net interest margin of 1.73%, showing a slight year-on-year decline of 10 basis points but maintaining an advantageous position in the industry [2][6]. - Asset quality indicators are improving, with a non-performing loan ratio of 1.14% at year-end, down 3 basis points from the previous quarter, and a provision coverage ratio increasing by 15 percentage points to 241% [2][6]. Summary by Sections Performance - The bank's total revenue is expected to grow by 8.2% year-on-year, with a net profit growth of 20.2%, significantly exceeding expectations. The growth in interest income is attributed to stable net interest margins and rapid scale growth. Non-interest income is projected to grow by 13.6%, driven by a 32% increase in investment income [12][6]. Scale - Total loans increased by 13.5% year-on-year, with corporate loans growing by 20.1%. The bank continues to support key sectors such as manufacturing and inclusive finance, with respective growth rates of 46% and 33% [12][6]. Interest Margin - The net interest margin is 1.73%, with a slight decline of 10 basis points year-on-year. The bank has effectively managed its interest margin, with a significant improvement in deposit costs [12][6]. Asset Quality - The non-performing loan ratio decreased by 4 basis points year-on-year, with a net generation rate of 0.52%, indicating a continued improvement in asset quality. The provision coverage ratio has increased, enhancing the bank's risk mitigation capabilities [12][6]. Investment Recommendation - The bank is expected to lead the industry in profit growth, with a continued focus on quality and efficiency improvements. The current valuation is 0.59 times the 2025 price-to-book ratio, indicating undervaluation and a low holding advantage, thus maintaining a "Buy" recommendation [12][6].
准“十万亿”银行业绩发布!难中求成、坚持零售第一战略
券商中国· 2025-03-27 12:37
3月27日,中信银行2024年度业绩会在中信大厦举行。中信银行董事长方合英、拟任行长芦苇、董事 会秘书张青及数位副行长出席。 中信银行年报显示,2024年,该行实现营业收入2136.46亿元,同比增长3.76%;实现归母净利润685.76 亿元,同比增长2.33%。截至2024年末,该行资产总额较上年末增长5.31%至95327.22亿元,突破9.5万 亿大关。 "2024年,我们面对错综复杂的经营形势,实现了难中求成。"在会上,方合英用"韧性、稳定性"概括了去 年该行的发展亮点。 在会议交流环节,该行也就息差、零售风险、资产投向等市场热点问题展开讨论。 谈息差:连续三年跑赢大市 截至2024年末,中信银行净息差为 1.77%,较年初下降0.01 个百分点。 作为商业银行的核心盈利指标,近年来该行一直将净息差变动"跑赢大市、优于同业"作为重要目标。 芦苇向媒体表示,去年,中信银行营收增速和息差变动都位居同业前列,其中,净息差变动幅度已连续三 年跑赢大市。芦苇介绍,此成效得益于持续深化量价平衡战略,不走以价换量的路线,此外,该行以压降 负债成本为核心,辅之以资产结构优化,双向发力稳定息差。 数据显示,截至去年末 ...
经营压力依旧——2024年招商银行年报点评
雪球· 2025-03-26 08:28
Core Viewpoint - The article provides a detailed analysis of China Merchants Bank's 2024 annual report, highlighting the bank's performance in revenue, expenses, asset quality, and capital adequacy, while also noting challenges in net interest margin and fee income [3][21][23]. Revenue Analysis - The total operating income for 2024 was 337.49 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 0.48% [8]. - Net interest income was 211.28 billion, down 1.58% year-on-year, while fee income fell by 14.28% [8]. - Other non-interest income increased by 34.13% to 54.12 billion, indicating a strong performance in this segment [8]. Expense Analysis - Total expenses and other expenditures decreased by 2.76%, which was better than the analyst's expectation of a decline between 3.16% and 4.81% [4]. - Credit impairment losses for the year were 39.98 billion, slightly below the expected range of 40.3 billion to 42.3 billion [4]. Shareholder Analysis - The top ten shareholders saw a reduction in holdings by the Shanghai Stock Connect, which decreased by 54 million shares, maintaining a 5.04% stake [6]. - The number of shareholders dropped significantly from 522,100 to 459,200, indicating a 12% decline in retail investors [6]. Asset Analysis - Total assets reached 12,152.036 billion, growing by 10.19% year-on-year, with total loans amounting to 6,632.548 billion, a growth rate of 6.07% [14]. - The bank's retail loans maintained a 6% year-on-year growth despite a general slowdown in retail credit demand [14]. Non-Performing Loan Analysis - Non-performing loans increased to 65.61 billion, with a non-performing loan ratio of 0.95%, reflecting a slight increase from the previous quarter [17]. - The migration rate of normal loans rose to 1.39%, indicating ongoing pressure on asset quality [17]. Capital Adequacy Analysis - The core Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio improved to 14.86%, up from 14.73% in the previous quarter, primarily due to regulatory changes [19]. Summary of Key Issues - The bank faces challenges with the asset quality of retail loans, which has shown signs of deterioration [21]. - The net interest margin continues to be under pressure due to declining asset yields and weak credit demand [23].
吸纳“青壮派”攻坚战略转型!平安银行增设一名70后副行长
券商中国· 2025-03-24 10:54
平安银行继将主管零售的总行行长助理张朝晖调任深圳分行兼任分行行长,将原深圳分行行长王军晋升 总行党委委员、行长助理并分管零售业务后,其管理层岗位变动继续。 日前,平安银行董事会审议通过了聘任方蔚豪为其副行长的议案,其任职待国家金融监督管理总局核准。 也就是说,随着王军和方蔚豪的到任,平安银行的管理班子将扩容为一董(董事长谢永林)、一正(行长 冀光恒)、三副(副行长兼首席财务官项有志、副行长杨志群、拟任副行长方蔚豪)、一行助(王军)、 一董秘(周强)。 王军和方蔚豪均为70后。在平安银行进一步深化零售金融改革的战略攻坚期,吸纳"青壮派"有着强化管理 梯队建设、推进干部队伍年轻化的长期考虑。 两名70后干部先后调任总行管理层 官方简历显示:方蔚豪1973年出生,中共党员,北京理工大学机械工程及自动化专业本科,中欧国际工 商学院工商管理硕士研究生,西安交通大学应用经济学博士研究生。 他于2012年8月加入中国平安,先后曾任平安国际融资租赁有限公司董事长兼CEO,中国平安财产保险股 份有限公司副董事长、董事,平安医疗健康管理股份有限公司董事长兼CEO,平安健康医疗科技有限公司 董事会主席兼CEO,平安信托有限责任公司 ...
银行业专题:浙江农信系统的改革和实践成效
Guoxin Securities· 2025-03-05 01:49
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the banking industry [5] Core Viewpoints - The Zhejiang Rural Credit System has demonstrated significant reform and operational effectiveness, maintaining a strong focus on supporting agriculture and small enterprises, leading to a notable market presence in terms of deposits and loans [1][49] - The system's return on equity (ROE) consistently exceeds that of listed banks, indicating superior cyclical resilience despite a general decline in ROE across both sectors [2][50] - The growth in net profit for the Zhejiang Rural Credit System was 12.5% and 10.0% year-on-year for 2022 and 2023, respectively, driven primarily by rapid expansion and improved non-interest income [3][51] Summary by Sections Reform and Operational Effectiveness - The Zhejiang Rural Credit System has evolved since the establishment of the first rural credit cooperative in 1952, culminating in the formation of the Zhejiang Rural Commercial Bank in 2022, which serves as a model for national reform [1][49] - By the end of 2024, the system's total deposits and loans reached 4.78 trillion yuan and 3.78 trillion yuan, respectively, with market shares of 20.88% and 15.92% [20] Profitability Analysis - The high ROE of the Zhejiang Rural Credit System is attributed to a higher net interest margin compared to the industry, although this advantage has been narrowing due to increased competition from larger banks [2][50] - The system's non-interest income has improved, particularly from investment returns, which have helped offset the pressure from declining net interest margins [3][50] Growth Potential - The Zhejiang Rural Credit System has maintained a loan growth rate exceeding 15%, supported by a strong demand from small and micro enterprises in a robust regional economy [38] - The system's asset quality remains strong, with a non-performing loan ratio of 0.85% and a provision coverage ratio of 486.7% as of the end of 2024, indicating a solid risk management framework [20][47] Asset Quality - The system's non-performing loan ratio has remained low, benefiting from a favorable economic environment and effective risk management practices [44] - Despite a slight increase in non-performing loans due to economic pressures, the overall asset quality remains superior compared to national averages [44][47] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a focus on high-dividend stocks in a low-interest-rate environment, recommending banks such as China Merchants Bank and Jiangsu Bank for long-term investment [53]
中金 • 全球研究 | 日元会一路升值吗?
中金点睛· 2025-03-04 23:33
点击小程序查看报告原文 Abstract 摘要 2025年以来"弱美元、强日元"背景下日元相较美元升值4%以上,成为最强G10与亚洲货币。 我们认为年初以来的日元升值来自于欧美投资者主导的基于美日长端息差收窄的交易性因素所导致,而非是基于日本方面的反映真实需求的资金流。 日元升值背后的主导原因:日本通胀→日本央行加息预期加深→日债利率上行→美日息差收窄→投机性资金做多日元 今年以来的日元升值几乎都来自于"非日本交易时间"的贡献,说明更多是海外投资者在做多日元。我们认为海外交易时间做多日元的主要动机来自于看到 了美日长端息差的收窄(美国利率明显下行、日本利率明显上行)。背后的原因在于日本高企的通胀与日本央行进一步加息的预期。 25年1月日本的综合CPI同比高达4.0%,为主要发达经济体中最高的水平,目前的日本通胀由"成本推升"与"需求拉动"共同推动,反映出日本国内高涨的通 胀压力。在此背景之下,我们认为日本央行或进一步加息,终点利率或在1.5%附近。 T正文ext 2025年以来"弱美元、强日元"背景日元成为最强货币 截至2月末,日元相较美元升值约4.4%,升值幅度明显。但是我们需要强调汇率是一个相对的概念,日 ...
我国商业银行2024年经营情况分析
数说者· 2025-02-23 13:31
大型商业银行(即工商银行、建设银行、农业银行、中国银行、交通银行和邮储银行六家) 2024 年末总 资产达到 190.26 万亿元, 占全部商业银行总资产的 50.00% ,六家国有大行总资产在商业银行中的占比逐年 提升。 2024 年末占比较 2023 年末的 49.81% 上升了 19 个 BP ,较 2022 年末的 48.86% 上升了 114 个 BP 。 近三年, 股份行的资产占比在下降 , 2024 年占比为 19.50% ,而 2023 年末和 2022 年末的占比分别为 19.98% 和 20.78% 。 截至 2024 年末,我国商业银行 总资产达到了 380.52 万亿元 ,较 2023 年末增加了 25.67 万亿元,同比增 长 7.23% 。 不良贷款方面, 2024 年末,我国商业银行不良贷款余额达到 3.28 万亿元 ,较 2023 年末增长了 1.66% , 增速较上一年的 8.14% 大幅下降。 大型商业银行 2024 年末不良贷款余额达到 14007.11 亿元 ,占全部商业银行不良贷款的 42.72% 。和总资 产一样,六家国有大行不良贷款余额在商业银行中的占比也逐年提升 ...