Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core View of the Report - Today, the stock index had a volume - shrinking adjustment, with large - cap stock indices being relatively resilient. April's social data showed obvious government efforts, while corporate credit and household loans were weak, possibly due to previous tariffs, and demand recovery needs a boost. With the easing of Sino - US trade relations, the reduction of external uncertainties, clear expectations of domestic favorable policies to support and stabilize the stock market, and loose domestic and foreign liquidity, the index is supported. It is expected that the short - term downside space is limited. However, the current index is mainly driven by sentiment, and its sustainability needs to be observed. Therefore, it is recommended to mainly wait and see, and long positions can be held [6]. Summary by Related Catalogs Market Review - Today, the stock indices closed down collectively. For example, the CSI 300 index closed down 0.91%. In terms of capital, the trading volume of the two markets decreased by 16.4332 billion yuan. In the futures index market, all varieties declined with shrinking volume [4]. Important Information - In late April, China's social financing scale stock increased by 8.7% year - on - year, and the M2 balance increased by 8% year - on - year, with the growth rate accelerating compared to last month [5]. Strategy Recommendation - Mainly wait and see [7]. Futures Index Market Observation | Index |主力日内涨跌幅（%） | 成交量（万手） | 成交量环比（万手） | 持仓量（万手） | 持仓量环比（万手） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | IF | - 0.74 | 9.9618 | - 3.9806 | 25.0422 | - 2.3251 | | IH | - 0.38 | 5.5413 | - 2.0824 | 8.858 | - 1.2671 | | IC | - 1.10 | 9.8288 | - 3.2125 | 20.8397 | - 1.4134 | | IM | - 1.28 | 23.2044 | - 5.9446 | 32.2293 | - 2.7808 | [7] Spot Market Observation | Index | Value | | --- | --- | | 上证涨跌幅（%） | - 0.68 | | 深证涨跌幅（%） | - 1.62 | | 个股涨跌数比 | 0.36 | | 两市成交额（亿元） | 11523.95 | | 成交额环比（亿元） | - 1643.32 | [8]

美国股指期货在沃尔玛财报公布后略微收窄跌幅。 ...

Group 1: Index Movements - On May 14th, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.86% to close at 3403.95 points with a trading volume of 534.873 billion yuan; the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.64% to close at 10354.22 points with a trading volume of 781.854 billion yuan [1] - The CSI 1000 Index rose by 0.15% with a trading volume of 252.514 billion yuan, opening at 6144.25, closing at 6160.37, with a daily high of 6199.3 and a low of 6111.11 [1] - The CSI 500 Index rose by 0.3% with a trading volume of 188.145 billion yuan, opening at 5778.08, closing at 5799.12, with a daily high of 5835.49 and a low of 5750.54 [1] - The SSE 180 Index rose by 1.21% with a trading volume of 319.465 billion yuan, opening at 3894.84, closing at 3943.21, with a daily high of 3960.52 and a low of 3890.65 [1] - The SSE 50 Index rose by 1.69% with a trading volume of 94.724 billion yuan, opening at 2708.56, closing at 2753.78, with a daily high of 2766.25 and a low of 2708.42 [1] Group 2: Impact of Sector Movements on Indexes - The CSI 1000 rose 9.36 points from the previous close. Sectors such as transportation, computer, and non - bank finance significantly pulled the index up, while national defense and military industry, electronics, and power equipment pulled it down [2] - The CSI 500 rose 17.45 points from the previous close. Non - bank finance and non - ferrous metals significantly pulled the index up, while national defense and military industry and power equipment pulled it down [2] - The SSE 180 rose 46.95 points from the previous close. Non - bank finance and food and beverage significantly pulled the index up [2] - The SSE 50 rose 45.72 points from the previous close. Non - bank finance and food and beverage significantly pulled the index up [2] Group 3: Stock Index Futures Basis and Annualized Opening Costs - IM00 had an average daily basis of - 7.95, IM01 of - 125.68, IM02 of - 321.98, and IM03 of - 467.01 [13] - IC00 had an average daily basis of - 2.8, IC01 of - 106.34, IC02 of - 273.71, and IC03 of - 386.92 [13] - IF00 had an average daily basis of - 0.33, IF01 of - 37.18, IF02 of - 106.52, and IF03 of - 146.47 [13] - IH00 had an average daily basis of 1.27, IH01 of - 17.61, IH02 of - 51.43, and IH03 of - 55.33 [13] Group 4: Stock Index Futures Roll - over Point Differences and Annualized Costs - For IM, data on roll - over point differences and their annualized costs at different times (e.g., at 09:45, IM00 - 01 was - 53.1193) are provided [22] - For IC, data on roll - over point differences and their annualized costs at different times (e.g., at 09:45, IC00 - 01 was - 26.1467) are provided [23] - For IF, data on roll - over point differences and their annualized costs at different times (e.g., at 09:45, IF00 - 01 was - 13.4098) are provided [23] - For IH, data on roll - over point differences and their annualized costs at different times (e.g., at 09:45, IH00 - 01 was - 1.29644) are provided [25]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The short - term view of the stock index futures is that they are expected to operate with a slight upward trend, and the medium - term view is that they will fluctuate. The overall reference view is range - bound. This is due to the cooling of external risk factors and the expectation of policy benefits [1][5] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Variety Viewpoint Reference - Financial Futures Stock Index Sector - For IH2506, the short - term, medium - term view is fluctuating, and the intraday view is slightly upward. The overall view is range - bound, with policy benefits providing strong support [1] Main Variety Price Market Driving Logic - Financial Futures Stock Index Sector - The intraday view of IF, IH, IC, and IM is slightly upward, and the medium - term view is fluctuating, with a reference view of range - bound. The previous day, all stock indices rose, with the Shanghai Composite 50 leading the gains. The full - market trading volume was 1349.9 billion yuan, an increase of 23.9 billion yuan from the previous day. The large - finance and shipping sectors were strong. Central bank interest rate and reserve requirement cuts benefited the large - finance sector, and the 90 - day buffer period of the Sino - US tariff war and the "order - grabbing" effect benefited the shipping sector. With reduced overseas uncertainties and clear domestic policy support, the market sentiment is cautiously optimistic [5]

沪深300股指期货（IF）主力合约涨0.08%，上证50股指期货（IH）主力合约涨0.26%，中证500股指期 货（IC）主力合约持平，中证1000股指期货（IM）主力合约跌0.18%。 股指期货早盘开盘 ...

FICC日报 | 2025-05-14 量能持稳，股指走势分化 市场分析 中国调整对美关税政策。宏观方面，国务院关税税则委员会发布公告，自5月14日12时01分起，调整对原产于美国 的进口商品加征关税措施。其中，国务院关税税则委员会2025年第4号公告规定的加征关税税率，由34%调整为10%， 在90天内暂停实施24%的对美加征关税税率；停止实施2025年第5号、第6号公告规定的加征关税措施。海外方面， 美国4月未季调CPI同比上涨2.3%，连续第三个月低于预期，为自2021年2月以来的最低水平；核心CPI同比持平于 2.8%，符合市场预期。特朗普以此向鲍威尔再度施压，要求尽快下调利率。 沪指继续收红。现货市场，A股三大指数高开低走，上证指数收盘涨0.17%收于3374.87点，创业板指跌0.12%。行 业方面，板块指数涨跌互现，银行、美容护理、医药生物行业领涨，国防军工行业现大幅调整，计算机、机械设 备跌幅居前。当日沪深两市成交金额保持在1.3万亿元。海外市场，美国三大股指收盘涨跌不一，道指跌0.64%报 42140.43点，纳指涨1.61%。 期指减仓。期货市场，本周五股指期货当月合约交割，基差基本收敛。 ...

股指期货早盘收盘 沪深300股指期货（IF）主力合约涨0.33%，上证50股指期货（IH）主力合约涨0.65%，中证500股指期 货（IC）主力合约跌0.17%，中证1000股指期货（IM）主力合约跌0.20%。 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report - The report predicts that stock index futures will show an overall trend of range - bound fluctuations in the short - and medium - term, with an intraday view of being slightly stronger. Policy - side benefits provide strong support, and the stock index is expected to operate slightly stronger in the short term under the impetus of positive policy expectations [1][5]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Variety View Reference - Financial Futures Stock Index Sector - For the IH2506 variety, the short - term view is sideways, the medium - term view is sideways, the intraday view is slightly stronger, and the overall view is range - bound. The core logic is that policy - side benefits form strong support [1]. 3.2 Main Variety Price Market Driving Logic - Financial Futures Stock Index Sector - **Market Performance**: Yesterday, each stock index fluctuated and sorted within a narrow range. The total trading volume of the stock market was 132.6 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.49 billion yuan from the previous day, indicating that market sentiment is cautiously optimistic [5]. - **Core Logic**: First, the policy side will introduce policies to stabilize macro - economic demand, which is beneficial to stabilizing the performance expectations of listed companies. The weakening of the manufacturing PMI data in April and the continued decline of inflation indicators show the necessity of policy - driven stable growth. Second, the policy side emphasizes stabilizing stock market expectations, and the bottom support of the stock market is strong. Relevant departments have actively introduced policies to stabilize stock market expectations, promote the improvement of the quality and income of listed companies, improve the assessment systems of public funds and insurance, promote incremental funds to continuously allocate to the stock market, and give play to the role of Huijin Company as a quasi - stabilization fund. Third, a joint statement was issued in Sino - US economic and trade relations, marking a substantial easing of the short - term Sino - US tariff war, reducing external negative factors, and the recent restart of Sino - US orders is conducive to macro - economic repair [5].

早盘提示 Morning session notice 更多精彩内容请关注格林大华期货官方微信 格林大华期货研究院 证监许可【2011】1288 号 2025 年 5 月 14 日星期三 研究员： 于军礼 从业资格： F0247894 交易咨询资格：Z0000112 联系方式：yujunli@greendh.com | 板块 | 品种 | 多（空） | 推荐理由 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 【行情复盘】 周二两市主要指数在大涨后震荡整理，周期价值类指数强势，银行 ETF 创新高。两 | | | | | 市成交额 1.29 万亿元，成交额变化不大。中证 1000 指数收 6151 点，跌 16 点，跌 | | | | | 幅-0.27%；中证 500 指数收 5781 点，跌 12 点，涨幅-0.21%；沪深 300 指数收 3896 | | | | | 点，涨 5 点，涨幅 0.15%；上证 50 指数收 2708 点，涨 5 点，涨幅 0.20%。行业与 | | | | | 主题 ETF 中涨幅居前的是光伏 50ETF、银行 ETF 龙头、医疗 ETF、生物医药 ...

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 宝城期货股指期货早报（2025 年 5 月 13 日） ◼ 品种观点参考—金融期货股指板块 时间周期说明：短期为一周以内、中期为两周至一月 | 品种 | 短期 | 中期 | 日内 | 观点参考 | 核心逻辑概要 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | IH2506 | 震荡 | 震荡 | 震荡偏强 | 区间震荡 | 政策端利好构成较强支撑 | 备注： 1.有夜盘的品种以夜盘收盘价为起始价格，无夜盘的品种以昨日收盘价为起始价格，当日日盘收盘 价为终点价格，计算涨跌幅度。 2.跌幅大于 1%为下跌，跌幅 0~1%为震荡偏弱，涨幅 0~1%为震荡偏强，涨幅大于 1%为上涨。 3.震荡偏强/偏弱只针对日内观点，短期和中期不做区分。 ◼ 主要品种价格行情驱动逻辑—金融期货股指板块 品种：IF、IH、IC、IM 日内观点：震荡偏强 中期观点：震荡 参考观点：区间震荡 姓名：龙奥明 核心逻辑：昨日各股指全面上涨。股市全市场成交额 13409 亿元，较上日放量 1185 亿元。消息面， 中美双方发布日内瓦经贸会谈联合声明，双方各下 ...