当天，特朗普还表示，如果贸易协议与减税相结合能够取得成果，"你最好现在就去买股票"。 中概股走强。 当地时间5月9日，美股三大指数集体高开，截至发稿，道指涨0.08%，标普500指数涨0.26%，纳指涨0.50%。 | 道琼斯指数 | 41401.52 | +0.08% | | --- | --- | --- | | .DJI | | | | 标普500指数 | | | | | 5678.51 | +0.26% | | SPX | | | | 纳斯达克综合指数 | 18018.64 | +0.50% | | .IXIC | | | | 纳斯达克中国金龙指数 | | | | | 7166.13 | +0.93% | | .HXC | | | 大型科技股多数上涨，截至发稿，特斯拉涨超5%，脸书母公司Meta、苹果、微软、英伟达、亚马逊小幅上涨；谷歌A小幅下跌。 热门中概股普涨，纳斯达克中国金龙指数一度涨超1%。个股方面，微博涨近3%，腾讯音乐涨超2%，富途控股、蔚来、新东方、阿里巴巴、拼多多等涨超 1%，百度、京东等小幅上涨；理想汽车跌超1%。 据新华社消息，美国总统特朗普8日在白宫宣布，美国与英国达成一项新的贸 ...

Core Viewpoint - The trade agreement between the UK and India, reached after three years of negotiations, is expected to significantly boost bilateral trade, with an estimated annual increase of £25.5 billion (approximately ¥246.3 billion) by 2040, benefiting both economies [1][2]. Group 1: Negotiation Background - The trade negotiations began in January 2022 under then-Prime Minister Boris Johnson, faced interruptions due to political changes, and were revitalized in February 2024 by the Labour government, emphasizing the importance of the agreement [2][6]. - The agreement is seen as the most significant trade deal for the UK post-Brexit, aimed at reducing trade barriers and enhancing economic ties [2][3]. Group 2: Key Provisions of the Agreement - The agreement will lower tariffs on 90% of Indian exports to the UK, with 85% of goods achieving zero tariffs within ten years. Tariffs on various UK imports, including cosmetics and machinery, will also be reduced [2][3]. - Specific tariff reductions include a decrease in the whisky and gin tariff from 150% to 75%, with further reductions planned, marking a transformative moment for the Scotch whisky industry [5]. Group 3: Economic Implications - The agreement is expected to provide UK consumers with lower prices and more choices in clothing, footwear, and frozen shrimp once implemented [3]. - India's growing economy, projected to become the third-largest globally, presents significant trade opportunities for the UK, which is seeking to diversify its trade relationships beyond the US and EU [6].

Core Points - The UK and India have reached a significant bilateral trade agreement after three years of negotiations, which is considered the most important trade deal for the UK post-Brexit [1][2][4] - The agreement is expected to increase the annual bilateral trade volume by £25.5 billion (approximately 246.3 billion RMB) by 2040 [2] - Both countries are eager for this agreement to support their economies, with the UK aiming to reduce trade barriers and India seeking to boost its export trade [2][4] Negotiation Background - Trade negotiations began in January 2022 under former Prime Minister Boris Johnson and continued through various administrations, with a renewed focus under the Labour government [4] - The UK government has emphasized that reaching this trade agreement is a top priority, especially after the elections [4] - The agreement is seen as a major economic milestone for both nations, with UK Prime Minister Starmer and Indian Prime Minister Modi highlighting its ambitious and mutually beneficial nature [4][6] Key Provisions - Under the agreement, 90% of tariffs on Indian exports to the UK will be reduced, with 85% of goods achieving zero tariffs within ten years [4] - Tariffs on various UK exports to India, including high-end cars and whisky, will also see significant reductions, with whisky tariffs dropping from 150% to 75% [6] - The agreement is expected to provide UK consumers with lower prices and more choices in various goods, including clothing and seafood [5] Economic Context - India is currently the world's fifth-largest economy and is projected to become the third-largest in the coming years, making it an attractive partner for the UK [7] - The agreement is seen as a strategic move for both countries to diversify their trade relationships amid global economic uncertainties [7] - The negotiations faced challenges, including India's request for easier immigration access for its citizens to the UK, which was not included in the final agreement [6]

编者按： 离岸市场跑赢在岸市场，互联网 / 科技、消费、医疗保健板块最具优势 如果关税下调，这对中国股市将是重大利好。它可以进一步巩固市场的乐观情绪，缓解投资者对中美紧 张关系进一步升级(可能扩大到非关税措施，如美国存托凭证退市、投资限制和技术出口禁令)的担忧， 改善中国股票的股权风险溢价和估值。 在这种情况下，预计离岸市场将跑赢在岸 A 股市场，大盘互联网 / 科技公司(中国的代表性企业、技术 结构性突破)、消费(通缩风险缓解)和医疗保健(中美紧张关系缓和)板块可能受益最大。 目前的投资策略 —— 耐心、灵活，为曲折发展做好准备 尽管言论令人期待，市场反应积极，但目前尚无证据证实双方正在进行有效的双边谈判对话。 4月23日，摩根士丹利发布研究报告指出，在关税大幅下调的情形下，预计大盘互联网 / 科技、消费和 医疗保健板块表现出色，离岸市场表现将优于在岸市场。然而，鉴于达成协议的难度较高且存在根本利 益冲突，近期建议保持耐心并采取平衡策略。 事件经过 美国总统特朗普隔夜发表声明，称将大幅降低对中国的关税，美国财政部长也表示预计中美关税紧张局 势在未来会有所缓和，市场情绪因此显著改善。隔夜，纳斯达克金龙指数上涨 ...