Core Viewpoint - The aerospace ETF Tianhong (159241) has shown strong market performance with significant inflows and a focus on the military and aerospace sectors, indicating a positive outlook for the industry. Group 1: Market Performance - As of July 8, 2025, the aerospace ETF Tianhong (159241) closed up 0.54% with a turnover rate of 18.37%, leading its category, and had a total transaction volume of 605.219 million yuan, reflecting active market trading [3] - The ETF has seen a net subscription of 2.7 million shares today, with its latest scale reaching 329 million yuan and total shares at 298 million, both hitting a one-month high as of July 7, 2025 [3] Group 2: Fund Inflows and Events - The aerospace ETF Tianhong (159241) has experienced continuous net inflows over the past eight days, totaling 155 million yuan [4] - The first National Defense Science and Technology Industry Cultural and Creative Industry Expo will be held from September 29 to October 4 in Wuhan, showcasing significant military technology innovations [4] - The "Liqian No. 2" rocket is set for its maiden flight in September 2025, with a payload capacity of 12 tons to low Earth orbit, indicating advancements in commercial space capabilities [4] Group 3: Industry Outlook - According to Shenwan Hongyuan Securities, the military industry is expected to experience a dual boost in fundamentals and valuations, with military trade reshaping the global landscape and opening up significant growth opportunities [4] - Zhongyou Securities anticipates a turning point in military orders as the "Centenary of the Army Building" goals progress, highlighting new market directions driven by technological advancements [5] Group 4: ETF Characteristics - The aerospace ETF Tianhong (159241) closely tracks the National Aerospace and Aviation Industry Index, focusing on key sectors such as aircraft and satellite industries, aligning with emerging themes like low-altitude economy and commercial space [5] - The index has a "military content" of 96.24%, surpassing other military indices, indicating a strong focus on defense [6] - The index also leads in "drone content," featuring companies deeply involved in drone technology, making it the highest in the market [7] - The index covers over 73% of aerospace and aviation equipment, marking it as the highest in "aerospace content" among military indices [8] - The index's technology attributes are stronger, with a one-year performance return of 31.68%, outperforming traditional military indices [9] - Revenue growth for the National Aerospace and Aviation Industry Index is projected at 42.73% for 2025, exceeding traditional military indices [10]

Group 1 - The Aerospace ETF Tianhong (159241) experienced a volatile trading session, with a slight increase of 0.09% and a turnover rate of 12.47%, achieving a transaction volume exceeding 410 million yuan [1] - The ETF has seen a net inflow of 1.99 million yuan on July 7, marking the eighth consecutive trading day of net inflows, totaling 155 million yuan [1] - As of July 7, the latest circulating scale of the Aerospace ETF Tianhong reached 329 million yuan, with a circulating share of 298 million, both hitting historical highs [1] Group 2 - The National Aerospace Index has shown higher elasticity compared to other indices like General Aviation and the China Securities Defense Index, indicating a promising outlook for the aerospace sector [2] - Key investment themes in the defense and military industry include military trade, new domains and qualities, and restructuring, with a focus on core assets and low asset securitization rates in military state-owned enterprises [2]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - The aerospace and defense industry is driven by multiple factors, including the 14th Five - Year Plan, the development of military intelligence, and the growth of military trade. It has long - term growth potential and short - term catalysts [3][8][11][17][32]. - The aerospace and aviation sectors are the two core areas to focus on, with increasing downstream demand in high - end fighter jets, aero - engines, and related supporting materials [40]. - The Guozheng Aerospace and Aviation Industry Index has strong industry theme attributes, high elasticity, and relatively stable fundamentals, making it a representative military - related index [3][68][83][88]. - The Aerospace and Aviation ETF Tianhong (159241) closely tracks the Guozheng Aerospace and Aviation Industry Index, with low management and custody fees, and shows good performance in terms of share growth and liquidity compared to comparable ETFs [3][94][96]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Multiple Logics Driving the Rapid Development of the Industry and Grasping the Two Main Lines of Aerospace and Aviation 3.1.1 Multiple Logics Supporting the Military Fundamentals and the Industry's Long - term Growth - The 14th Five - Year Plan is in its critical period, promoting the transformation of "point - like orders" to "line - like orders", and factory performance is expected to be realized. The demand for improving quality and increasing quantity remains strong to achieve the goal of a powerful military by 2027 [8][10]. - The construction of military intelligence and unmanned systems at home and abroad is expanding the growth boundary of the military industry. Military AI is reshaping the battlefield rules, and military robots are becoming new combat forces [11][13][15]. - China's military trade net export has been increasing steadily, and there is still much room for market share growth. The military achievements during the 14th Five - Year Plan and improved diplomatic relations are conducive to the development of the military trade market [17][21][26]. 3.1.2 Short - term Catalysts Increasing Industry Attention - The "15th Five - Year Plan" is being formulated, which will promote the high - quality construction of the military industry and may increase the industry's valuation. The 80th anniversary of the victory of the Chinese People's War of Resistance against Japanese Aggression and the World Anti - Fascist War parade will be a short - term catalyst to boost the industry's attention [32][36]. 3.1.3 Focusing on the Two Core Main Lines of Aerospace and Aviation - **Aviation Equipment**: The downstream demand for high - end fighter jets and aero - engines is accelerating, and the market space is expanding. This includes aircraft manufacturers, aero - engine manufacturers, and high - end supporting materials suppliers. The future market space for military aero - engines in the next decade is estimated to be about 1.2 trillion yuan [40][52]. - **Space Equipment**: The demand for guidance equipment is increasing due to the growing importance of missiles in modern warfare. The satellite industry chain has a large market potential, with the downstream ground equipment and satellite services accounting for over 90% of the market value [59][64]. 3.2 Guozheng Aerospace and Aviation Industry Index: Focusing on Guozheng Aerospace and Aviation Industry Stocks with Strong Industry Theme Attributes and High Theme Elasticity 3.2.1 Index Compilation Method - The index is designed to reflect the stock price changes of aerospace and aviation - related listed companies in the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing stock exchanges. It selects large - market - value stocks in the Guozheng tertiary industry "Aerospace and Aviation". The sample space has certain requirements, and the selection method is based on free - floating market capitalization, with a semi - annual adjustment frequency [68][70]. 3.2.2 Index Weight and Market Value Distribution - As of July 1, 2025, the index has 50 constituent stocks, with relatively dispersed weights. It has a strong defense - military attribute, focusing on aviation equipment and military electronics. The average free - floating market capitalization is 130.75 billion yuan, and the average total market capitalization is 304.40 billion yuan [71][75]. 3.2.3 Index Industry/Theme Characteristics - The index has a high concentration in the defense - military industry, with 98.02% of the weight belonging to this industry, mainly in the aviation equipment and military electronics sectors. Compared with comparable indices, it has the highest concentration in the military industry and a more prominent industry theme [80][81]. 3.2.4 Fundamental Characteristics - The index shows a high and steadily increasing R & D investment ratio, reaching 4.53% by the end of 2024. It has strong growth attributes and relatively stable profitability compared to comparable indices. Its net profit stability is the strongest since 2022 [83][87]. 3.2.5 Index Investment Value Analysis - It is a representative military - related index with a similar long - term trend to comparable indices. It shows high elasticity during market rebound periods, outperforming comparable military indices in terms of returns during several rebounds [88][90]. 3.3 Aerospace and Aviation ETF Tianhong (159241) - The fund was established on May 21, 2025, and listed on May 29, 2025. Managed by Mr. Sha Chuan and Mr. Qi Shichao, it closely tracks the Guozheng Aerospace and Aviation Industry Index, aiming to minimize tracking deviation and error. It has a management fee of 0.50% and a custody fee of 0.10%. It has a relatively low discount rate and shows good performance in share growth and liquidity [94][95][96]. 3.4 Fund Manager and Fund Manager Information 3.4.1 Fund Manager Introduction - Tianhong Fund was established on November 8, 2004, and is a national public - offering fund management company. As of March 31, 2025, its total asset management scale is 124.3409 billion yuan, with 29 public - offering ETF products and a total ETF scale of 79.79 billion yuan [99]. 3.4.2 Fund Manager Introduction - Mr. Sha Chuan has 14 years of securities experience and manages 12 products with a total non - linked fund scale of 155.27 billion yuan. Mr. Qi Shichao has rich experience in Tianhong Fund and manages 17 products with a total non - linked fund scale of 203.69 billion yuan [100].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant increase in defense spending by NATO countries, particularly Germany, which has committed to allocating 5% of its GDP to defense, up from the previous 2% agreed upon in 2014. This shift is seen as a response to changing regional security dynamics and ongoing geopolitical tensions, particularly related to the Russia-Ukraine conflict and potential conflicts in the Middle East [1]. Group 1: Industry Outlook - The military trade sector is expected to become a second growth driver, with a positive outlook for the military industry as the "14th Five-Year Plan" approaches its conclusion. The demand for upstream components and key raw materials is anticipated to increase, benefiting from the demand amplification effect across various military equipment [2]. - Global geopolitical changes are likely to open new growth avenues for the military industry, with domestic demand and foreign trade expected to drive high levels of industry prosperity. Increased defense spending is viewed as a necessary option in the current era of great power competition [2]. - China's military exports are transitioning from low-end, low-cost sales to high-end weapon exports, with significant improvements in the competitiveness of domestic military products on the international stage. This shift is expected to enhance China's global market share in military trade as its international political status rises [2][3]. Group 2: Future Trends - By 2025, military trade and the conversion of military technology into new markets are projected to offer greater elasticity. China's military enterprises are showcasing technological advantages in areas such as drones and fighter jets, positioning the aerospace sector as a core beneficiary [3]. - Future investments in the military sector should focus on gaining "air superiority," reflecting the strategic importance of this capability in modern military operations [3].

Summary of Military Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - The military industry is experiencing significant investment opportunities due to global geopolitical tensions and an arms race, particularly highlighted by China's military equipment performance in the India-Pakistan air conflict, which has increased international recognition of Chinese military products [1][2]. Key Points and Arguments - **Investment Opportunities**: The military sector is expected to benefit from increased order delivery tolerance from institutions, driven by geopolitical tensions and high-end equipment exports [1][2]. - **Market Events**: The upcoming 93rd anniversary military parade is anticipated to boost market activity, alongside the conclusion of the 14th Five-Year Plan and the initiation of the 15th plan, which may lead to expedited orders [3][5]. - **Performance Metrics**: In the first half of 2025, the defense industry index outperformed the broader market, driven by a reversal in industry sentiment and concentrated order issuance [1][10]. - **Valuation Trends**: The military industry's valuation has risen to the 75th percentile, indicating potential for further growth, shifting from EPS-driven to PE-driven factors due to increased global asset allocation demand [8][21]. - **Contract Liabilities**: A 12.7% increase in contract liabilities in Q1 2025 suggests a pre-order phenomenon, indicating future performance improvements [11][9]. Important but Overlooked Content - **Geopolitical Context**: The ongoing geopolitical tensions, including conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East, are expected to sustain demand for military equipment, with countries like South Korea and Japan increasing their defense budgets [19][16]. - **Technological Advancements**: The military sector is focusing on new combat capabilities, including unmanned systems and high-speed weapons, which are crucial for future military strategies [7][29]. - **Investment Recommendations**: Key investment areas include military trade exports, military electronics, and ammunition, with specific companies highlighted for their potential [5][30][31]. Future Outlook - The military industry is poised for continued growth, driven by strategic security asset allocation and the global expansion of Chinese military assets, particularly in the arms trade [21][22]. - The upcoming 15th Five-Year Plan is expected to clarify future directions for the military sector, enhancing market confidence and potentially leading to increased order flows [15][13]. This summary encapsulates the critical insights from the military industry conference call, highlighting the current landscape, investment opportunities, and future trends.

Core Viewpoint - The military industry sector is experiencing a significant surge, driven by geopolitical tensions and increased military spending, particularly in the context of the Russia-Ukraine conflict and Middle Eastern instability [1][2][7]. Group 1: Market Performance - Military concept stocks collectively surged, with the defense and military trade sectors seeing increases of over 4% and nearly 6% respectively [1]. - Nearly 20 military concept stocks, including 成飞集成 (Chengfei Integration) and 中兵红箭 (China North Industries Group), reached their daily limit or increased by over 10% [1][4]. Group 2: Geopolitical Influences - The escalation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, marked by large-scale attacks from Russian forces, has significantly impacted military stock performance [7]. - In the Middle East, Israel's defense minister indicated plans for regular actions against Iran, while U.S. President Trump threatened potential military action if Iran advances its nuclear capabilities [8]. - NATO's decision to increase military spending to 5% of GDP by 2035 has also drawn global attention and is expected to influence military stock dynamics [10]. Group 3: Industry Outlook - Analysts suggest that the military industry is in a favorable cycle, with military trade being a crucial growth area for military enterprises amid changing global supply and demand dynamics [2][6]. - The domestic demand for military products is expected to rise as the Chinese military transitions to a new phase of modernization, focusing on "intelligent and unmanned" systems [6]. - The upcoming military parade on September 3 is anticipated to boost market sentiment and highlight new domestic military equipment, aligning with the "14th Five-Year Plan" [5].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" [1] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights the recent U.S. military intervention in the Iran conflict, including airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, and the debut of the J-35A fighter jet at the Paris Air Show [3][12] - The report suggests that China's military trade is expected to grow significantly, with current exports accounting for 5.9% of the global military trade market, compared to the U.S. at 43% and Russia at 9.6% [4][14] - The military industry is anticipated to see a turning point in orders as it enters the second half of the "Centenary Military Building Goals," with new technologies and products expected to drive market growth [5][15] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The closing index for the defense industry is 1493.76, with a 52-week high of 1712.48 and a low of 1113.62 [1] Market Performance - The military sector index has decreased by 2.03%, while the overall market indices have also shown declines, indicating a relative underperformance [16] - The top-performing stocks in the military sector this week include Changcheng Military Industry (+37.12%) and Xinguang Optoelectronics (+21.58%) [19] Investment Recommendations - Two main investment themes are suggested: 1. Aerospace and "gap-filling" new focuses, including companies like Feilihua and YF Electronics [5][15] 2. New technologies and products with greater elasticity, including companies like Aerospace Intelligence and Guangdong Hongda [5][15] Valuation Levels - As of June 20, 2025, the military sector's PE-TTM valuation is 105.09, with a PB valuation of 3.30, indicating that 80.21% of the time since January 1, 2014, the PE-TTM valuation has been lower than the current level [21][22] Data Tracking - The report tracks various data points, including private placements and stock incentive plans, highlighting significant fundraising and stock performance metrics for various companies in the sector [25][27]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The conference call focuses on the **defense and military industry** in China, particularly in relation to upcoming military parades and global military spending trends [1][2][4]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Market Sentiment and Pricing Mechanism**: The pricing of the defense and military sector is significantly influenced by retail investors and speculative funds, with major events like the Zhuhai Airshow acting as catalysts for buying behavior [1][3]. - **Global Military Spending Trends**: Increased military spending by NATO countries may lead to a global arms race, compelling other nations to boost their military budgets, thus impacting international military balance [4]. - **Upcoming Military Parade**: The military parade in September is expected to showcase China's emerging military capabilities and new equipment, enhancing its deterrent power and demonstrating the cost-effectiveness of Chinese military products to international clients [1][5]. - **Performance of Chinese Military Equipment**: Conflicts such as the Russia-Ukraine and India-Pakistan disputes highlight the superior performance of Chinese military equipment, indicating China's rising strength in the global defense sector [1][5]. - **2025 as a Pivotal Year**: The year 2025 is anticipated to be a turning point for the defense industry, marking the culmination of the 14th Five-Year Plan, with a significant increase in weapon orders and expected performance improvements for major companies [6][7]. Additional Important Content - **Investment Directions**: Key investment themes in the defense sector include military trade, restructuring, and new types of weaponry [9][10][11]. - **Restructuring Opportunities**: The integration of major military groups, such as China Shipbuilding and China Heavy Industry, is expected to create investment opportunities [11][25]. - **Focus on New Weaponry**: The industry is shifting towards new generation weaponry, including advanced aircraft and unmanned systems, which are crucial for future military capabilities [12][16][17]. - **Emerging Technologies**: There is a growing emphasis on unmanned systems, underwater operations, hypersonic weapons, and electronic warfare capabilities as key areas for investment [16][17][26]. - **Market Dynamics**: The defense sector is currently experiencing a phase of adjustment, with many stocks at the bottom of their price cycles, but expected to recover as backlogged orders are fulfilled [2][7]. Conclusion - The defense and military industry in China is poised for significant growth driven by geopolitical tensions, upcoming military displays, and strategic investments in new technologies and restructuring efforts. The year 2025 is highlighted as a critical juncture for the sector, with expectations of improved performance and increased military capabilities.

Group 1 - Military aviation stocks experienced a significant rise, with companies like Zhong无人机 up 7%, Chenxi Aviation up over 6%, and Aerospace Rainbow up over 5% [1] - The Iranian President announced the end of a 12-day conflict initiated by Israel, which may impact military dynamics in the region [1] - Oriental Securities predicts sustained growth in military equipment demand in the Middle East, with a potential new arms race as both Europe and the US increase military spending [1] Group 2 - China’s military trade share has been steadily increasing, reaching a record high of 8.4% in 2023, according to SIPRI [2] - The General Aviation ETF Huabao (159231) covers 50 stocks in military and civil aviation sectors, with over 46% of its holdings in state-owned enterprises [2] - The ETF focuses on key areas such as low-altitude economy, large aircraft, military aircraft, commercial aerospace, satellite navigation, and drones, indicating a strategic positioning in the aviation industry [2]

Group 1 - The defense and military industry sector has seen significant growth, with stocks like Guoke Military rising over 12% and several companies hitting the daily limit up [1] - The National Defense Military ETF (512810) experienced a 3% increase during trading, with a transaction volume exceeding 59 million yuan and a turnover rate of 9.55%, leading the market among similar ETFs [1][2] - The ETF's share price was reduced from approximately 120 yuan to around 60 yuan after a split, making it more accessible for investors [3] Group 2 - Advanced fighter jets like J-10CE and J-35 are expected to be strategic assets for China's military trade, enhancing domestic equipment research and development [3] - The military trade sector is anticipated to benefit from a global arms race and industry recovery, with a focus on military trade, military electronics, and consumable ammunition as key investment themes [3] - The National Defense Military ETF (512810) tracks the CSI Military Index and is designed to provide efficient exposure to the defense sector, combining traditional and new military capabilities [3]