Core Viewpoint - The trend of declining electricity prices in China is becoming more pronounced as the proportion of market-based electricity trading increases, impacting the profitability of power generation companies [1][5]. Summary by Sections Electricity Price Trends - In the first half of this year, the on-grid electricity prices have decreased to varying degrees, affecting net profit margins of power generation companies. The decline is attributed to factors such as policy changes, supply and demand dynamics, costs, and the spot market [2][6]. - Shandong province has announced the results of its 2025 renewable energy pricing auction, marking a significant milestone in the marketization of the renewable energy sector. The auction revealed that the photovoltaic mechanism price was set at 0.225 CNY/kWh, which is 43% lower than the coal-fired benchmark price [2][10]. Impact on Investment Decisions - The decline in electricity prices is significantly influencing investment decisions among power generation companies. Some companies are reconsidering investments in photovoltaic projects in Shandong due to the competitive pricing environment [4][13]. - Companies are advised to enhance their operational capabilities and actively engage with electricity market rules rather than passively adapting to price changes [4][12]. Financial Performance of Power Generation Companies - Longyuan Power reported an average on-grid electricity price of 399 CNY/MWh in the first half of the year, a decrease of 23 CNY/MWh compared to the same period in 2024. Wind power prices averaged 422 CNY/MWh, down 16 CNY/MWh, while photovoltaic prices were 273 CNY/MWh, down 5 CNY/MWh [6][11]. - Datang New Energy noted a decline in net profit margin from 29.90% in 2024 to 27.89% in the first half of this year, primarily due to falling electricity prices [6]. Market Dynamics and Policy Changes - The implementation of the "136 Document" has significantly influenced the electricity market, allowing renewable energy to participate in market trading without discrimination, leading to price reductions driven by supply and demand [6][7]. - The marketization of electricity trading has accelerated, with market trading volume reaching 2.95 trillion kWh in the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 4.8%, and market trading accounting for 60.9% of total electricity consumption [9][10]. Future Outlook and Strategies - As the proportion of renewable energy increases, the volatility of electricity prices is expected to rise. Companies are encouraged to adapt their investment strategies to focus on cost control, project site selection, and enhancing trading capabilities [12][14]. - Long-term power purchase agreements are suggested as a strategy for power generation companies to stabilize revenue expectations amidst price fluctuations [14].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive investment rating for the renewable energy sector, particularly highlighting the recovery in the photovoltaic and wind energy segments [5]. Core Insights - The renewable energy sector is showing clear signs of recovery, with significant performance improvements in the photovoltaic and wind energy segments, while the energy storage sector continues to experience upward momentum [1][14]. - The photovoltaic industry is witnessing a rebound in performance, driven by a surge in domestic demand and the implementation of policies to eliminate "involution" competition, leading to price stabilization [2][34]. - The wind energy sector is benefiting from improved bidding conditions, which are translating into revenue growth for companies within the industry [3][21]. - The grid equipment sector is experiencing stable growth, supported by a long-term increase in global grid investment [4][24]. Summary by Sections Overall Industry Performance - The overall performance of the renewable energy sector has improved significantly in the first half of 2025, with a notable recovery in profits, particularly in the wind and energy storage segments [1][15]. - The photovoltaic segment is gradually recovering, with major components like silicon wafers and battery cells showing substantial growth, while auxiliary materials face pressure [1][21]. - The industry is experiencing a slowdown in capacity expansion, with the proportion of ongoing projects relative to total assets decreasing [26]. Photovoltaic Sector - The photovoltaic sector is seeing a recovery in performance, with significant growth in the main supply chain components, while auxiliary materials are under pressure [2][34]. - Domestic demand for photovoltaic products surged in the first half of 2025, leading to a historical high in new installations [2][48]. - The implementation of policies to address "involution" competition is accelerating the exit of outdated capacities from the market [2][34]. Wind Energy Sector - The wind energy sector is showing a clear recovery trend, with revenue growth across various segments, particularly in components like towers and bearings [3][21]. - The domestic wind energy prices have significantly increased compared to 2024, with bidding volumes continuing to grow [3][21]. Grid Equipment Sector - The grid equipment sector is maintaining stable growth, benefiting from a long-term upward trend in global grid investments [4][24]. - The performance of transmission and distribution equipment is particularly strong, with notable revenue growth in the first quarter of 2025 [22].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - The report recommends buying industrial silicon on dips, suggesting an overall positive investment rating for the industrial silicon industry [2] 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Despite a decline in industrial silicon prices on the day, the overall upward trend remains unchanged. The supply glut situation has not improved, and downstream demand is generally flat. The industry inventory is still at a high level, but the number of standard warehouse receipts has decreased. It is advisable to buy on dips [2] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market - The closing price of the main contract is 8,925 yuan/ton, down 25 yuan; the open interest of the main contract is 273,696 lots, down 11,794 lots; the net position of the top 20 is -67,515 lots, up 224 lots; the warehouse receipts of the Guangzhou Futures Exchange are 49,963 lots, up 161 lots; the closing price of the December contract is -400 yuan/ton, down 5 yuan; the spread between the November - December contracts is -400 yuan/ton, down 5 yuan [2] 3.2 Spot Market - The average price of oxygen - blown 553 silicon is 9,500 yuan/ton, unchanged; the average price of 421 silicon is 9,700 yuan/ton, unchanged; the basis of the Si main contract is 575 yuan/ton, up 25 yuan; the DMC spot price is 11,060 yuan/ton, unchanged [2] 3.3 Upstream Situation - The average price of silica is 410 yuan/ton, unchanged; the average price of petroleum coke is 1,860 yuan/ton, unchanged; the average price of clean coal is 1,850 yuan/ton, unchanged; the average price of wood chips is 490 yuan/ton, unchanged; the ex - factory price of graphite electrodes (400mm) is 12,250 yuan/ton, unchanged [2] 3.4 Industry Situation - The monthly output of industrial silicon is 366,800 tons, up 33,600 tons; the weekly social inventory of industrial silicon is 552,000 tons, up 10,000 tons; the monthly import volume of industrial silicon is 1,337.59 tons, up 1,220.14 tons; the monthly export volume of industrial silicon is 76,642.01 tons, up 2,635.83 tons [2] 3.5 Downstream Situation - The weekly output of organic silicon DMC is 44,900 tons, up 700 tons; the overseas market price of photovoltaic - grade polysilicon is 15.75 US dollars/kg, up 0.09 US dollars/kg; the average price of aluminum alloy ADC12 in the Yangtze River spot market is 20,800 yuan/ton, unchanged; the weekly average spot price of photovoltaic - grade polysilicon is 4,154.82 US dollars/kg; the monthly export volume of unforged aluminum alloy is 29,063.7 tons; the weekly operating rate of organic silicon DMC is 71.12%, down 1.59 percentage points; the monthly output of aluminum alloy is 1.635 million tons, up 99,000 tons; the monthly export volume of aluminum alloy is 29,063.7 tons, up 4,154.82 tons [2] 3.6 Industry News - On September 15, the Ningxia Development and Reform Commission and the Northwest Regulatory Bureau of the National Energy Administration issued the "Implementation Plan for Deepening the Market - Oriented Reform of New Energy On - grid Electricity Prices in the Autonomous Region", promoting new energy on - grid electricity to participate in market transactions. In terms of industrial silicon, the current operating rate is 33.12%, down 1.91 percentage points. There is an expectation of production cuts in the southwest region, while the northwest region has stable production due to electricity price advantages [2] 3.7 Viewpoint Summary - On the supply side, the overall supply glut situation has not improved. On the demand side, the demand from the organic silicon industry for industrial silicon is negative; the demand from the polysilicon industry has increased, but there are limitations to its continued growth; the demand from the aluminum alloy industry is average. The overall demand from the three major downstream industries for industrial silicon remains flat [2]

Group 1: AIDC Power Equipment and Grid Industry - The AIDC power equipment sector has seen a general increase in the past two weeks, with the top three performers being uninterruptible power supplies (UPS) at +21.0%, high voltage direct current (HVDC) at +20.7%, and battery backup power (BBU) at +15.9% [1] - Recommendations for investment focus include four key areas: transformers and switchgear, UPS and HVDC, active power filters (APF), and server power supplies, with specific companies suggested such as Jinpan Technology, Mingyang Electric, Hezhong Electric, Shenghong Co., and Weilan Lithium [1] - For the grid sector, the national power engineering investment completion amount in July 2025 was 65.3 billion yuan, down 8.9% year-on-year, while the cumulative investment from January to July was 428.8 billion yuan, up 3.1% year-on-year [1] Group 2: Wind Power Industry - In July 2025, China's newly installed wind power capacity was 2.28 GW, a decrease of 44.0% year-on-year, while the cumulative new capacity from January to July reached 53.67 GW, an increase of 79.4% year-on-year, totaling 574.87 GW, which accounts for 15.7% of total installed capacity [1] - The wind power sector has also experienced a general increase in the past two weeks, with the top three performing segments being bearings at +14.9%, complete machines at +12.5%, and blades at +11.7% [1] Group 3: Offshore Wind and Onshore Wind Developments - Major projects in Jiangsu and Guangdong for offshore wind are set to commence in the first half of 2025, with expectations for planning, competitive allocation, bidding, and policies to be implemented in the second half of the year [2] - The annual average offshore wind installation during the 14th Five-Year Plan period is expected to exceed 20 GW, significantly surpassing the previous plan's levels [2] - The onshore wind industry is projected to reach 100 GW of installed capacity in 2025, marking a historical high, with component manufacturers experiencing simultaneous increases in volume and price, leading to substantial growth in annual performance [2] Group 4: Public Utilities and Environmental Protection - In August, the industrial power generation volume increased by 1.6% year-on-year, totaling 936.3 billion kWh, while the cumulative generation from January to August was 6419.3 billion kWh, reflecting a 1.5% year-on-year growth [3] - The Guangdong Provincial Development and Reform Commission and Energy Bureau released a plan to deepen the market-oriented reform of renewable energy grid pricing, with existing project pricing set at 0.453 yuan per kWh [3]

Core Viewpoint - The article outlines the implementation plan for the market-oriented reform of renewable energy grid connection prices in Guangdong Province, aiming for all renewable energy projects to participate in market trading by November 1, 2025, thereby promoting high-quality development of renewable energy [15][27]. Summary by Sections Overall Goals - The plan aims to establish a sustainable pricing settlement mechanism for renewable energy, ensuring that by the end of 2025, all renewable energy grid connection prices are determined by the market [15]. Main Principles - The reform emphasizes equal participation of renewable energy and thermal power in the electricity market, prioritizing efficiency and risk control while ensuring a stable and transparent market environment [16][17]. Key Tasks - **Market Participation**: From November 1, 2025, all renewable energy projects will enter the electricity market, with prices determined through market transactions. Projects below 10 kV are encouraged to participate in market trading [18]. - **Market Mechanism**: The trading mechanism will allow renewable energy projects to participate in various trading cycles, and the pricing mechanism will be adjusted based on market conditions [19][20]. - **Support Mechanisms**: A price settlement mechanism will be established for renewable energy projects, with provisions for price adjustments based on market performance [20][21]. Existing Projects - **Capacity and Pricing**: Existing projects will have a mechanism price based on the provincial coal-fired power benchmark price of 0.453 yuan/kWh, with specific limits on the proportion of electricity that can be sold [21][22]. - **Execution Period**: The execution period for existing projects will be determined based on their operational history, with a maximum of 20 years [22]. Incremental Projects - **Scope and Pricing**: New projects starting from June 1, 2025, will be categorized and priced based on their type, with specific bidding limits and price ranges established [22][23]. - **Bidding Mechanism**: The bidding process will prioritize projects based on their quoted prices, with a maximum price cap set to avoid disorderly competition [23]. Policy Coordination - The plan emphasizes the need for coordination between the reform and green electricity certificate mechanisms, as well as the integration of energy storage solutions to enhance renewable energy utilization [24]. Implementation Measures - The article outlines measures to revise electricity market trading rules, improve technical support, and ensure effective contract signing and information dissemination [25][26]. Execution Timeline - The implementation of this plan will commence on November 1, 2025 [27].

Core Viewpoint - Shandong has become the first province in China to implement market-oriented pricing for renewable energy, marking a significant step in the national reform of renewable energy pricing [1][4] Group 1: Market Reform and Pricing Mechanism - The recent announcement of the 2025 renewable energy pricing results in Shandong signifies the formal implementation of the 136 document, which aims to introduce market competition into the pricing of renewable energy [1] - Shandong's reform includes a clear distinction between existing renewable projects, which will follow national pricing limits, and new projects that will adopt market-based bidding rules [1][2] - The shift from fixed pricing to market-based pricing means that renewable energy companies must adapt to a more volatile market environment, where they may face negative pricing scenarios [1][3] Group 2: Negative Pricing Phenomenon - Shandong has experienced instances of negative pricing, particularly during periods of high renewable output and low demand, leading to situations where energy producers may have to pay to sell their electricity [3][4] - The occurrence of negative pricing is not unique to Shandong; it is seen in mature electricity markets globally and reflects the challenges posed by the integration of renewable energy into traditional power systems [4] Group 3: Vehicle-to-Grid (V2G) Integration - The rapid growth of electric vehicles (EVs) in Shandong is creating opportunities for vehicle-to-grid (V2G) technology, which allows EVs to act as mobile energy storage units that can help balance supply and demand [5][6] - Shandong plans to establish multiple V2G demonstration projects and charging stations to facilitate the integration of EVs into the energy grid, promoting efficient energy consumption [6][10] - The V2G model is seen as a crucial component for enhancing grid flexibility and enabling better utilization of renewable energy resources [5][12] Group 4: Challenges and Future Directions - Despite the potential of V2G, challenges remain in terms of standardization, business model development, and user engagement, which need to be addressed for widespread adoption [8][9] - The current pricing mechanisms for V2G participation are not sufficiently attractive, limiting the economic incentives for EV owners to engage in energy trading [9][11] - Ongoing reforms in Shandong aim to create a more favorable environment for V2G, including differentiated pricing strategies and clearer compensation mechanisms for energy contributions from EVs [10][12]

Core Viewpoint - The implementation plan aims to promote the market-based formation of on-grid electricity prices for renewable energy in Ningxia, establishing a sustainable pricing mechanism to support high-quality development of the sector [1][2]. Group 1: Implementation Plan Details - The plan specifies that all renewable energy projects, including centralized and distributed wind and solar power, will participate in the electricity market, with prices determined through market transactions [1]. - A sustainable price settlement mechanism will be established, with a price difference settlement mechanism for cases where market transaction prices deviate from the designated mechanism price [1]. - The mechanism price is set at the benchmark price for coal-fired power in Ningxia, which is 0.2595 yuan per kilowatt-hour [1]. Group 2: Pricing and Market Mechanism - For renewable energy projects, the mechanism price will be determined through unified bidding, with a bidding upper limit of 0.2595 yuan per kilowatt-hour and a lower limit of 0.18 yuan per kilowatt-hour [2]. - The plan outlines that the mechanism will not apply to renewable energy projects after October 1, 2025, and that changes in investment entities will not affect the original electricity scale and mechanism price [2]. - The first bidding process is tentatively scheduled for October, with further details on bidding organization, rules, and processes to be released [3].

Core Viewpoint - The implementation plan aims to promote the market-oriented reform of renewable energy pricing in Heilongjiang Province, facilitating the entry of wind and solar power into the electricity market through market transactions [1][2]. Group 1: Market Mechanism and Pricing - The plan emphasizes the establishment of a market trading and pricing mechanism suitable for the development of renewable energy, ensuring fair participation in market transactions [1]. - It distinguishes between existing and new projects, implementing tailored strategies for each category, and aims to create a sustainable pricing settlement mechanism that aligns with the characteristics of renewable energy development in Heilongjiang [1]. - The plan maintains policy continuity for existing projects while stabilizing expected returns for new projects, thereby enhancing the electricity market system and promoting healthy industry development [1]. Group 2: Competitive Bidding and Trading Rules - To foster industry competition, the plan sets a minimum declaration sufficiency rate for bidding, with mechanism prices formed through voluntary participation in bidding organized annually in October [1]. - Bidding will be categorized into wind and solar power, but if competition is insufficient within a single category, a unified bidding process will be adopted [1]. - The plan also aims to improve the medium- and long-term market trading rules, allowing various power sources to participate fairly and shortening trading cycles while increasing trading frequency [2]. Group 3: Contractual Flexibility and Green Power Trading - The plan allows supply and demand sides to reasonably determine the volume, price, curve, and settlement reference points of medium- and long-term contracts based on the characteristics of renewable energy output, with flexibility for adjustments [2]. - Initial settlement reference points are set at a unified settlement point, with bilateral negotiations and listing transactions for green electricity trading within the province, specifying prices for energy and corresponding green power certificates [2].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the electricity and utilities sector is generally "Overweight" or "Buy" for several key companies, including Jidian Co., Longyuan Power, and Guodian Power [1][7]. Core Insights - The report highlights a significant increase in wind power generation, with a year-on-year growth of 20.2% in August. Additionally, the first mechanism electricity price bidding results have been released, indicating a competitive pricing environment [1][37]. - The overall performance of the public utilities sector has shown a slight increase, with the industry index rising by 0.80% during the week, although it underperformed compared to major indices like the Shanghai Composite and CSI 300 [2][12]. - The report emphasizes the importance of new energy policies and market mechanisms, which are expected to stabilize expected returns and improve the performance of existing projects [8][41]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The public utilities sector index PE (TTM) is currently at 18.15, up from 18.06 the previous week, and significantly higher than 15.75 a year ago. The PB ratio is at 1.82, slightly up from 1.81 [2][23][26]. - The sector's performance is ranked 20th among 31 major industries, with various sub-sectors showing mixed results, such as thermal power (+2.24%) and hydropower (-0.50%) [2][12]. Industry Dynamics - The report notes that the National Development and Reform Commission is revising pricing methods for transmission and distribution, which is expected to enhance the regulatory framework for the sector [38][39]. - Key developments include the release of mechanism electricity prices in Jiangxi and Ningxia, which are set at 0.4143 yuan/kWh and a bidding range of 0.18 to 0.2595 yuan/kWh, respectively [41][53]. Key Data Tracking - The report tracks significant coal prices, with the price of Shanxi mixed coal (5500) at 678 yuan/ton, reflecting a slight decrease of 0.44% week-on-week [6][12]. - The trading volume of green certificates for wind and solar power reached 19.86 and 32.21 million certificates, respectively, indicating active market participation [6][12]. Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading companies in the sector, particularly those with lower valuations, during times of decreased risk appetite. It also highlights the potential for improved performance in regions with declining electricity prices [8][9].

业务版图扩大，电建新能忙发债 电建新能从事中国境内风力及太阳能发电项目的开发、投资、运营和管理。截至一季度末，中国电建合 计控制电建新能79.975%股份。 又一央企新能源子公司奔赴资本市场。 中电建新能源集团股份有限公司（"电建新能"）在上交所主板上市的申请于9月11日获得受理，公司计 划募资90亿元。 电建新能是中国电力建设股份有限公司（"中国电建"）体系境内唯一的新能源投资运营主体，近年来公 司新能源装机规模持续上升。不过，平价上网装机占比增大削弱了公司盈利能力，今年上半年出现利润 下滑，消纳问题也尚待解决。 今年初136号文落地，并成为新能源参与电力市场的分水岭。电力市场化改革对电建新能而言，同样意 味着变数。电建新能在招股书中表示，增量新能源项目的机制电价需要通过市场化竞价方式确定，各地 竞价政策将陆续出台，后续竞价结果的不确定性为公司的经营业绩引入不确定性。 近年来，营收与装机规模持续扩大，但电建新能依然面临隐忧。 股权结构来源/公司招股书 电建新能主要产品是电力，风力发电业务占据电建新能营收的约70%，太阳能发电业务占约30%。 招股书显示，目前电建新能控股发电项目装机容量为2124.61万千瓦 ...