通胀放缓

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交易员们押注夏季将为美联储拨开迷雾
news flash· 2025-05-24 04:39
Core Insights - The Federal Reserve has indicated a cautious approach, preferring to wait for clearer signals from fiscal and trade policies as well as economic responses before making further interest rate decisions [1] - Market expectations have shifted, with traders withdrawing bets on a rate cut in June, anticipating a pause in policy until the July meeting [1] - Futures market positions suggest a probability of over 50% for a rate cut by the end of September, indicating a bet on either easing inflation or worsening economic conditions necessitating further stimulus [1]
张津镭:黄金“高空时代”来临!PPI数据夜,谨防市场再掀风暴
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-15 05:04
张津镭:黄金"高空时代"来临!PPI数据夜,谨防市场再掀风暴 昨日黄金走了一个大跌行情,白盘一直高位震荡,反弹至3235附近进场空单,毕竟还是跌势为主,止损 也适当拉大。随后美盘金价开始大跌,直接跌破3200关口,空单亦是于3180附近大赚止盈离场。最终金 价是收盘于3176美元,日线收于一个大阴线。 周四(5月15日)昨日市场上有消息称美国与日本、韩国、印度的贸易关税协议"接近达成"。资金纷纷 从黄金这个"避风港"里跑出来,跑去拥抱那些风险资产,黄金需求就像坐滑梯一样。因此,现在黄金支 撑不是很强。 不过今晚将公布美国PPI数据,如果继续显示通胀放缓,美联储降息预期可能再升温,黄金或能喘口 气;但如果数据意外强劲,金价可能继续"自由落体,也就是要试探3100关口了。除非特朗普再出幺蛾 子或者中东俄乌冲突新的升级,不然现在局势就是高空为主了。 从技术上来看,日内黄金继续保持看调整预期,上方可关注3200整数关口压力,隔夜回弹仅至3197一 线,后半夜以及今日早盘回弹也均未过3195,所以日内短暂震荡后可能会再有下跌延续,下方关注3140 附近,此位也依然只是暂时的支撑,后期行情持续下跌力度增强的话,短期或可能 ...
金价守住3200美元关口,或延续震荡格局
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-05-14 08:41
Core Viewpoint - International gold prices experienced fluctuations but managed to stabilize and close slightly higher, maintaining the $3200 per ounce level, although the path to recovery remains unclear [1][2] Economic Indicators - The U.S. April CPI data released was slightly below market expectations, indicating no abnormal rise in inflation, which supports the U.S. government's pressure on the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates [1] - The market's risk appetite has improved due to substantial progress in U.S.-China trade talks [1] Market Dynamics - The dollar index fell rapidly from a high of 102, and if it continues to decline, it could provide stronger support for gold prices in the short term [1] - Ongoing regional conflicts continue to drive strong long-term safe-haven buying for gold [2] Technical Analysis - Gold prices are expected to remain within the $3150-$3450 range in May, with $3400 and above acting as a major resistance zone [2] - Currently, gold is in the lower-middle part of the fluctuation range, and if it confirms support at the $3200 level, the chances of an upward movement will increase [2] - The daily chart shows gold maintaining near the 30-day moving average, indicating signs of stabilization, but it needs to break through resistance to confirm a recovery trend [2] Short-term Outlook - The focus for gold prices is on the $3225-$3265 range; a breakout above this could lead to a challenge of the $3300 resistance, while a breakdown could test the $3200 support again [2]
东盟国家召开财长和央行行长会议 讨论经济前景等问题
news flash· 2025-04-10 11:41
智通财经4月10日电,第12届东盟财长和央行行长会议发表联合声明,强调东盟国家将共同致力于打造 一个韧性、包容和可持续的本地区经济未来。声明指出,在通胀放缓的背景下,强劲的国内需求、稳定 的投资活动、强劲的出口表现以及良好的就业条件继续支撑着东盟的经济表现。预计该地区将在持续的 外部逆风中保持韧性。声明说,征收关税和潜在报复措施带来的不确定性,可能会加剧资本流动和汇率 的波动。东盟正密切关注这一情况,并随时准备在必要时应对这种波动。 东盟国家召开财长和央行行长会议 讨论经济前景等问题 ...