Core Viewpoint - The computer industry has shown strong resilience in AI applications, particularly in sectors like energy and intelligent driving, with a notable performance boost driven by domestic models like DeepSeek [1] Group 1: Industry Performance - The computer industry has ranked high in terms of growth since the beginning of the year, primarily due to the catalyst of domestic large models [1] - The performance of the computing infrastructure and AI applications in specific sectors is expected to continue to show resilience in 2024, with a recovery in the first quarter of 2025 [1] Group 2: Financial Outlook - The 2024 performance is anticipated to continue to bottom out, while the first quarter of 2025 is expected to see a marginal recovery in the computing sector's performance [1] - Cost control measures and AI-enabled business improvements are contributing to early signs of efficiency gains for companies [1] - The cash flow situation in the computing sector is expected to improve gradually due to the issuance of long-term special government bonds and the ongoing progress of local debt [1]

Core Insights - The mining equipment industry in China is facing a long-standing challenge due to high technical barriers and reliance on international brands for core power equipment [1][2] - Domestic companies, led by Weichai Power, are making significant strides in developing autonomous and controllable mining power solutions to enhance global competitiveness [3][4] - The industry is undergoing a transformation towards intelligent and green mining solutions, driven by national policies and market demands [8][9] Industry Challenges - Mining power equipment must operate under extreme conditions, including temperature variations from -45°C to 45°C, high altitude, and significant dust and vibration [1] - The technical requirements for mining power systems exceed those of conventional transport equipment, creating a high barrier to entry for domestic firms [2] Domestic Innovations - Weichai Power has focused on three core indicators: reliability in extreme environments, economic efficiency over the product lifecycle, and fuel compatibility [2][3] - The company has successfully developed the second generation of mining power products, achieving significant performance improvements, including a 5% reduction in fuel consumption and a 20,000-hour overhaul cycle [3] Industry Collaboration - The need for collaboration across the supply chain is emphasized, with companies like North Heavy Duty Truck and XCMG Group making advancements in domestic production of heavy mining equipment [5][6] - Component manufacturers are also upgrading their technologies to support the domestic mining power industry's growth [6][7] Transition to Intelligent and Green Solutions - The Chinese government has issued guidelines to accelerate the development of intelligent mining equipment, including autonomous vehicles [8] - Companies are addressing labor shortages and operational challenges through intelligent solutions, while also focusing on green mining initiatives [9]

Group 1 - The company has signed an investment agreement with Blue Core Computing (Shenzhen) Technology Co., Ltd., investing 10 million RMB, with 111,500 RMB allocated to registered capital and the remainder to capital reserves, resulting in a 0.6729% equity stake in Blue Core Computing [1] - Blue Core Computing specializes in the research, design, and sales of RISC-V server chips (CPU + AI), providing high-performance, reliable, and customizable AI computing server solutions for global data centers, cloud computing, enterprise applications, AI, and large model applications [1][2] - The company is a core supplier in the domestic financial technology sector, which is crucial for national self-control and innovation, and anticipates significant demand for domestic CPU servers that meet national requirements [2] Group 2 - As Blue Core Computing's RISC-V domestic CPU servers begin mass production, the company is positioned to become a potential sales partner for Blue Core Computing [2] - The company aims to integrate its software solutions with Blue Core Computing's chip technology to create customized CPU design solutions tailored to the needs of financial institutions [2]

站在更高维度看，一个电脑操作系统的五年攻坚，背后可能是 一场中国科技产业的集体长征。 作者： 冯科翰 封图：图片资料室 在双折叠、三折叠、小折叠手机之后， "超大折"电脑也来了。 5月19日，华为首次推出折叠形态笔记本——HUAWEI MateBook Fold 非凡大师， 展开为 18英寸巨幕，折叠后为 13英寸笔记本， 兼具 大屏与便 携 性， 掀起 PC产业数年来颠覆性的形态革命 。 除了形态上的创新， 首款鸿蒙系统折叠电脑 的面世 ， 也 标志着国产 电脑 操作系统在 PC领域的突破，重构软硬件协同生态 。 一部 "超大折"电 脑，里里外外都在刷新行业固有认知。 为什么必须自主研发电脑操作系统？随着 数字化新时代的到来，以及 5G物联网时代的推进，使设备间的互联互通和协同操作成为必然趋势，这也对 能 满足万物互联需求 的 操作系统提出了新的要求， 尤其是 在全球信息安全面临挑战，网络安全威胁呈现多元化、复杂化、频发高发趋势的背景下， 我国电子信息产业的关键基础 —— 操作系统，亟需实现自主可控 。 然而，在全球电子信息产业格局中，电脑操作系统市场呈现高度集中态势。据 Statcounter数据显示，2 ...

Group 1 - The electronic industry is a technological pillar of modern society, with downstream applications in defense, communication, automotive, and healthcare, where semiconductors are a key segment for China's technological self-sufficiency [1] - The electronic industry is experiencing an upward cycle, driven by the rise of AI and robotics applications, with the release of DeepSeek R1 causing significant industry disruption [1] - The upcoming release of the R2 version of DeepSeek is expected to enhance the performance of domestic AI models, leading to a surge in demand for domestic AI applications and computing chips [1] Group 2 - China is a major supplier of optical modules globally, with leading manufacturers and stable production capacity, benefiting from the AI trend and achieving reasonable performance [2] - The electronic industry is projected to maintain a positive growth trend, with advancements in large models leading to diverse AI applications and the acceleration of domestic chip upgrades [2] - Humanoid robots are identified as a core scenario for the commercialization of AI, with domestic chip manufacturers like Rockchip (瑞芯微) supporting the intelligent upgrade of domestic robots [2]

Group 1 - The implementation of the "Private Economy Promotion Law" on May 20 is a significant boost for private enterprises in China, marking a milestone in the development of the private economy [2] - The law is expected to instill confidence in private entrepreneurs, encouraging them to engage in innovation and entrepreneurship [2] - As a representative of Jiangsu's private enterprises, the company Zhuoshengwei (300782) participated in a face-to-face event organized by the National Development and Reform Commission [2] Group 2 - Zhuoshengwei is focused on technological innovation in the RF chip sector, aiming to provide high-performance and differentiated products and services [2] - The company has reported smooth progress in ramping up its 12-inch production line capacity, with cost pressures easing and product performance advantages becoming evident [3] - The L-PAMiD product, developed by the company, is the first domestically produced supply chain product in the industry, entering the verification and small batch delivery phase, with expectations for significant growth in the second half of the year [3] Group 3 - The second-generation SOI process development is progressing well, with WiFi7 modules already achieving scale shipments in the smartphone sector [3] - The company is committed to building a self-controlled RF front-end chip industry chain and accelerating the construction of an industrial ecosystem under the support of the new law [3] - The legal and policy support from the "Private Economy Promotion Law" provides the company with more confidence to deepen its core technology development [3]

2025 年 05 月 22 日 晨会纪要 研究所： 证券分析师： 余春生 S0350513090001 yucs@ghzq.com.cn [Table_Title] 晨会纪要 ——2025 年第 85 期 观点精粹: 分析师：李永磊 S0350521080004 分析师：董伯骏 S0350521080009 分析师：李娟廷 S0350524090007 投资要点: 新项目陆续投产，2024 年盈利稳中有增 2024 年公司实现营业收入 252.11 亿元，同比增长 31.83%；实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润 28.04 亿元， 同比增长 2.96%；加权平均净资产收益率为 10.48%，同比增加 0.08 个百分点。销售毛利率 19.02%，同比下 降 4.57 个百分点；销售净利率 11.42%，同比下降 3.29 个百分点。 2024 年公司新项目建设陆续完成并转产，与上年同期相比，新增焦炭、甲醇、BDO、PTMEG 等产品，营业 收入同比增加。分行业看，2024 年公司基本化学原料制造业实现营收 102.52 亿元，同比+18.35%，毛利率 17.48%，同比增加 1.27 个百分点（其中聚氯乙烯 ...

Core Viewpoint - The active equity funds have shown significant performance disparity in 2023, with some funds achieving over 80% returns while others have seen declines exceeding 25% [1][2][5]. Group 1: Performance Highlights - As of May 20, 63 active equity funds have returned over 30% this year, with 11 funds exceeding 50% [1][2]. - More than 150 active equity funds have reached historical highs in their adjusted net asset values [1][2]. - The top-performing funds have capitalized on opportunities in innovative pharmaceuticals, new consumption, and robotics sectors [1][3]. Group 2: Characteristics of Top-Performing Funds - The leading fund, 华夏北交所创新中小企业精选两年定开混合基金, achieved a return of 80.79%, followed by 中信建投北交所精选两年定开混合基金 at 73.12% and 汇添富北交所创新精选两年定开混合基金 at 63.29% [3]. - Funds heavily invested in the robotics sector, such as 鹏华碳中和主题混合基金, reported returns of 61.72%, with several others exceeding 50% [3]. - Pharmaceutical-themed funds, particularly those focused on innovative drugs, have also performed well, with 长城医药产业精选混合基金 returning 55.32% [3]. - Funds focused on new consumption have seen significant rebounds, with 恒越匠心优选一年持有期混合基金 achieving a return of 51.49% [3]. Group 3: Underperforming Funds - Over 90 active equity funds have experienced declines of more than 10%, with the worst-performing fund down by 27.03%, resulting in a performance gap of 107.82 percentage points [1][5]. - Underperforming funds often exhibit concentrated holdings and frequent changes in their top stocks, indicating a trend of chasing market movements [5]. Group 4: Fund Flow and Market Outlook - Due to increased inflows into high-performing funds, several have announced purchase limits, including 中信保诚多策略混合基金 and 中欧价值回报混合基金 [5][6]. - The market is expected to shift from emotion-driven pricing to a focus on fundamentals, with attention on technology growth sectors, cyclical areas, and dividend assets [6]. - The AI sector is highlighted as a key investment theme for the year, with opportunities in AI applications and related hardware expected to exceed market expectations [6].

当前时点，A 股与港股怎么看？20250521 摘要 企业盈利预期稳定，贸易战硬数据冲击尚未显现，政策支持逐步落地， A 股震荡中枢预计上修至半年线附近，不宜过度下调全年盈利预测。 A 股市场缺乏主线逻辑，板块轮动迅速。中美贸易休战窗口期，美国进 口商或加速备货，短期利好港口、航运板块，中国制造业的全球竞争力 持续提升。 大宗商品价格受关税冲击影响，油价受多重利空因素压制，但中东局势 变化和需求恢复可能推动油价回升，工业金属需求也将随各国自主可控 发展而上升，低位是布局机会。 公募基金新规扰动市场，但小逻辑也引发关注。银行、非银、公用事业、 生物医药、石油石化等欠配行业或受青睐，电子、电力设备等超配板块 可能受损。 公募基金或逐步调整业绩基准，选择更贴合自身配置行业和风格的指数， 短期活跃资金可能减少。持续看好新消费领域，但传统消费刺激政策短 期效果有限，6 月或是更好时间节点。 Q&A 当前 A 股市场的整体趋势如何？ 当前 A 股市场处于宏观叙事逐步退潮的背景下，贸易战休战及内需财政政策预 期降低。我们维持震荡区间的判断，但认为震荡中枢有所调升。中国出口竞争 力未受破坏，加上降准降息等刺激政策，企业盈利预 ...

今天创业板指涨0.83%，领跑所有宽基，而宁德时代在创业板指的权重接近20%，一只票就贡献了0.84%的涨幅，也就是说，剔除宁王，创业板涨幅是0 ——事实上，今天70%左右的个股是下跌的。 ...... 今晚要参加个活动，没时间写，所以提前简单聊几句，有错别字的花，还请担待一下。 今天市场又是 被宁德时代带飞的一天 ，截止下午15点，港股还没收市，宁王在港股涨7%左右，最高涨超了10个点，而A股的宁王也跟涨了4%左 右，两者的估值倒挂，还在加剧，只能说是俺认知不够，给宁王跪下请罪了 。 说回标题那几个字—— 今年要有牛市思维 。 咱们看好股市，看好风险资产这个观点，大家也都清楚，光是明晃晃的标题党，过去两个月就写了两篇，《 为什么我长期看好股市 》，《 为什么继续看 好股市？ 》。 具体到股市内部，我们反复强调的观点也是，看好A股的结构性机会，警惕过热板块，且可以高看港股一眼。 但是，为什么今天要说，要有牛市思维呢？ 主要是想继续有针对性的劝说一些小伙伴， 放下熊市思维 ——其实在3月份的《 债券多头没信心了？ 》也提到过， 要 破除"股票熊市思维"这一信仰 。 什么是熊市思维？我觉得有几个特征。 其一，喜欢 ...