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不管你相不相信,牛市投资其实更难
雪球· 2025-03-24 07:37
以下文章来源于懒人养基 ,作者懒人养基 懒人养基 . 雪球21年度十大新锐用户、22年度基金影响力用户,私企业主,经济学硕士,《基金投资全攻略》作 者。早期靠创业获取主动收入,从17年开始,逐步将经营产生的余钱、闲钱,几乎全部逢低买入权益基 金,从赚取主动收入慢慢向赚取被动收入过渡。价值投资践行者 长按即可免费加入哦 风险提示:本文所提到的观点仅代表个人的意见,所涉及标的不作推荐,据此买卖,风险自负。 作者:懒人养基 牛市并不是线性的 , 来源:雪球 绝大部分投资者厌恶熊市 , 因为熊市体验实在不好 。 而牛市投资其实更难 , 因为踏不准节奏更容易亏钱 。 01 牛市前半程大部分投资者并不相信牛市已来 我们的生活 、 工作和投资很大程度上依赖于经验 。 才经历了熊市的人会有一个思维惯性 , 或者一个非常深刻的认知 : 每一次买入都是错的 , 每一 次反弹都是最后的逃命机会 。 这样的熊市思维或认知 , 让我们在牛市前半程根本不相信牛市会来 , 要么不敢买 , 要么稍有一 点蝇头小利就急于卖出止盈 。 等牛市进行到后半程 , 我们才被 " 训练 " 出一种新的认知 : 每次卖出都是错的 , 而每次下跌都 是很好 ...
投资小知识:国家为啥要推动中长期资金,逐渐流入股票市场呢?
银行螺丝钉· 2025-03-23 14:00
顶行生了。 (2) 提升商业保险投资A股资金比例。 (3) 优化社保基金、养老保险基金,投 资股票资产的比例。 (4) 提升公募基金等持有 A股的规模和 占比。 这些政策,每一条都会带来一些长期资金 逐渐流入市场。这些都是中长期资金,也 就是所谓的"耐心的资本"。 文 | 银行螺丝钉 (转载请注明出处) 房地产仍然是支柱之一,不会消失,但占 比会降低。 (2) 储蓄、债券 国内储蓄规模也达到300万亿。债券规模 达到150万亿。 但是随着过去几年,债券类品种的利息降 低,截至2025年3月13日,像长期国债只 有1.9%上下的长期收益,对资金的效率 不高。 为啥要推动中长期资金,逐渐流入股票市 场呢? 其实经济发展到一定阶段,这是必然的。 资产大类就几个:房地产、储蓄、债券、 股票。 (1) 房地产 国内房地产巅峰的时候达到450万亿,几 乎是美国、欧洲、日本房地产市值之和。 在居民财富中,最高占比达到7成。 参考海外,房地产在居民财富中,占比大 约是在20%-30%上下。 考虑到国内房子还挂钩户口、孩子上学等 因素,最终房地产在国内居民财富中,占 比应该在30%-40%上下。 咱们国内的长期资金,过去很多配 ...
Quest 英国养老金计划投资原则声明
奇华顿创造· 2025-03-15 04:35
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the Quest UK Pension Scheme Core Insights - The primary goal of the trustees is to ensure the scheme is fully funded, with a focus on stability and improving the expected solvency position [6][22] - The investment strategy is designed to balance various asset types, considering the scheme's liabilities, cash flow needs, and funding levels [7][10] - The trustees have appointed Aon Investment Limited for daily asset management and have established a diversified investment portfolio to mitigate concentration risks [5][8] Summary by Sections Investment Objectives and Policies - The trustees aim to achieve a funding target with prudent assumptions and will create a recovery plan if deficits are identified [6] - The investment strategy includes a mix of growth and matching assets to align with future retirement benefit payments [22][23] Investment Selection and Management - The scheme's assets are primarily invested in regulated markets, with a cautious approach to investments outside these markets [10] - The trustees retain responsibility for asset allocation and will seek professional advice as needed [12][18] Performance Monitoring and Risk Management - Investment performance and risks are monitored quarterly, with a focus on ensuring that the investment strategy remains suitable [19][20] - The trustees will reassess the investment strategy following significant changes in the scheme's status or every three years [13][18] Cost and Performance Evaluation - The trustees are aware of the importance of monitoring total costs associated with asset management and their impact on overall value [37] - Annual cost transparency reports are received from the asset manager, detailing all investment-related costs [38][39] Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Considerations - The trustees recognize the importance of ESG factors in investment decisions and expect investment managers to incorporate these considerations [41][42] - Regular assessments of ESG-related risks and opportunities are conducted, with a focus on responsible investment practices [43][51]
从接近腰斩到年化收益超10%,我总结出了4大搞钱秘诀!
天天基金网· 2025-03-15 03:29
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of risk management and strategic investment in mutual funds, highlighting that chasing performance and popular fund managers can lead to significant losses [2][4][8]. Group 1: Investment Experiences - Initial investment in a money market fund resulted in a loss of 18% within three months due to market conditions [2][4]. - The experience of investing in a consumer-themed fund managed by a popular fund manager led to a realization that performance rankings can be misleading and that risk alignment is crucial [3][5]. - A subsequent attempt at dollar-cost averaging into an index fund resulted in a 23% loss during a market downturn, illustrating the psychological challenges of maintaining investment strategies [5][6]. Group 2: Lessons Learned - The article outlines key lessons learned from various investment experiences, including the importance of continuing to invest during market declines and the need for a diversified approach to sector funds [6][7]. - The author stresses that industry funds can amplify risks and recommends using a satellite approach with dynamic profit-taking strategies [7][8]. - The experience with a "line-drawing" fund manager highlights the risks of relying on star managers, as changes in management can lead to significant performance declines [8]. Group 3: Investment Strategies - After five years of experience, the author developed a stable annualized return of 10-12% through disciplined investment strategies, including dollar-cost averaging and balanced asset allocation [9][10]. - A structured asset allocation framework is proposed, dividing investments into three categories: liquid assets (20%), stable investments (50%), and long-term growth (30%) [11]. - The article suggests implementing a systematic approach to investment, including regular portfolio reviews and adjustments based on market conditions [11][12]. Group 4: Guidelines for New Investors - New investors are advised to conduct thorough research before investing, including understanding their risk tolerance and differentiating between short-term and long-term funds [15]. - The article encourages continuous learning and adaptation in investment strategies to improve decision-making and outcomes [15][16]. - The author concludes that successful investing is a long-term endeavor that requires patience and a focus on compounding returns rather than seeking quick profits [14][15].
5年期存款“失宠”?
凤凰网财经· 2025-03-08 12:28
以下文章来源于中国经营报 ,作者郝亚娟 王柯瑾 中国经营报 . 《中国经营报》由《中国经营报》社有限公司出版,与中国企业同步成长,对话商业领袖,传播商业理想,服务商业人群,掌控中国商界绝对话语权。 来源|中国经营报 作者| 郝亚娟 王柯瑾 "存得越久利息越少"的现象,正成为银行业的"新常态"。 招商银行APP显示,某存款产品1年期利率为1.60%,而存5年显示的利率为1.55%。 这意味着,存1年反而比存5年更加划算。 一般来讲,定期存款的期限越长,利率越高。但从2022年开始,存款利率"倒挂"的现象开始出现。融360数字科技研究院此前发布的数据显 示,随着降息组合拳打出,存款降息空间打开,且降幅相对较大。 平均来看,3年期存款利率高于5年期。 招联首席研究员、上海金融与发展实验室副主任董希淼分析,我国市场无风险利率下行是长期趋势。从国外看,部分国家和地区还出现了存 款"负利率"现象。对居民而言,如果资产配置中的中长期存款、现金管理类理财产品较多,那么收益水平可能有所下降,建议平衡好风险与收 5年期利率比1年期利率低 近日,《中国经营报》记者登录招商银行APP发现,该行一款名为"灵动存"的存款产品1年期、2年 ...
不同阶段女生的财富之路,戳中你了吗?
招商银行App· 2025-03-07 12:09
让金钱自我升值,象征迈出了财富管理的第一步 你深谙鸡蛋不能放在同一个篮子里的道理 选择多宝理财,合理配置资产 给未来多一份稳稳的幸福 4 ( ) 岁 成为了时间的朋友 你刚开始明白早规划的人更早掌握主动权 优雅养老早规划,备老投资少不了 现在的一笔投入,可以解锁更无忧的未来 ET 14 只 险是不会过时的经典款 成长这东西 往往五味杂陈又充满惊喜 来看看她们 如何在岁月里 书写自己的"财富启示录" 23岁 初入职场才明白 小处省大处花是弹性生活的省钱心法 每龍三五折 约上闺蜜用美食犒劳自己 在有限的预算里 也能把生活过得有滋有味 D 6 @ trily a ge DI 3 5岁 职场&收入跃升新台阶 找的保单 我的关注 2份> U ↑ > | +7 個度 旅行 张保里 | 人生常备三张保 长期有储备 在对未来负责这个话题里 3.保险产品由对应的保险公司发行与管理,招商银行不承担产品的投资、兑付和风险管理责任。 4.本材料内容仅供参考,具体以保险合同条款等其他法律文件为准。 看见自己的需求,满足自己的渴望 时间的馈赠总是独一无二 这本"财富启示录" 我们会一直续写 风险提示: 1.市场有风险,投资须谨慎。 2. ...
投资基金:三瓢凉水,与三个办法
雪球· 2025-03-07 07:10
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that while many investors aim to make money through fund investments, the reality is that consistently predicting fund price movements is challenging and often leads to failure [2][3][4]. Group 1: Investment Strategies - Investors often think they can buy low and sell high to make profits, but this approach is not reliable [2][3]. - A more viable strategy is to focus on long-term capital appreciation through active management funds, which requires careful evaluation of fund managers and their performance [4][6]. - The article suggests that even successful funds like Berkshire Hathaway may underperform indices over certain periods, leading to difficult decisions for investors [5][6]. Group 2: Index Funds and Asset Allocation - Investing in index funds is recommended as a simpler alternative, although it may not guarantee profits either [6][8]. - A diversified approach involving multiple market indices (e.g., A-shares, Hong Kong, US markets) can mitigate risks and enhance returns [9][10]. - The concept of asset allocation is highlighted as a way to balance investments across various asset classes, reducing volatility and providing more stable returns [10][12]. Group 3: Investment Practices - Regular contributions through dollar-cost averaging (DCA) can help investors build wealth over time, acting as a form of forced savings [10][12]. - Rebalancing the investment portfolio periodically is essential to maintain the desired asset allocation and capitalize on market fluctuations [11][12]. - The article concludes by introducing a tool for asset allocation, promoting a structured approach to investment management [12].
涨势之下,投资者选择离场,理性抉择还是盲目恐慌?
券商中国· 2025-03-03 02:45
基金上涨却被投资者冷落的现象,是他们的理性抉择还是盲目恐慌?值得市场各方深入思考。 基金上涨却遭投资者冷落 开年以来,偏股型基金延续2024年涨势,如偏股混合型基金指数创造了2023年9月以来新高。 近一年来看,超1400只偏股型基金净值涨幅超过20%,正收益基金产品数量占比高达85%,基金赚钱效应明显 好转。 此外,一些北交所、科创板、高端装备、机器人等主题基金净值屡创历史新高。数据还显示,2024年成立的偏 股型基金中,有570余只基金的净值在今年2月份创造历史新高。 不过,在基金市场却出现了一种颇为反常的现象:基金上涨却难获投资者芳心。尽管不少基金净值一路攀升, 业绩表现亮眼,投资者却陆续选择离场。 基金市场再度上演越涨越赎一幕。 近期,偏股混合型基金指数创造了2023年9月以来新高,部分近2年成立的偏股型基金陆续实现净值新高,其间 购入基金的投资者陆续实现盈利。 不过,让基金行业人员纳闷的是,基金涨势之下,不少投资者却选择离场,包括此前被大量认购的股票型ETF 也未能延续"吸金"趋势,开年以来获资金净流出近600亿元。 2024年9月以来,主动权益基金业绩开始出现触底反弹迹象。不过,主动权益基金在20 ...
中泰资管天团 | 唐军:希望像桥水那样在“回报流”上做真正的配置
中泰证券资管· 2025-02-27 10:13
但从最新披露的四季报来看,黄金配置比例下降至第三大重仓,占基金资产净值比为13.71%。 除黄金以外,把唐军的持仓掰开来看,截至2024年四季度末,前十大重仓的基金占比80.7%,除了黄金 外,股票资产有A股、港股、美股,债券有美债、短融、转债、利率债……非常标准的多元资产配置组 合。 单看组合构成,唐军跟我们多年来研究和采访过的FOF基金经理就不太一样。 很可能,他的配置方式是公 募基金当中最像桥水基金的。 以下文章来源于聪明投资者 ,作者聪明投资者 聪明投资者 . 聚焦优秀投资人和企业家,甄选高质量的内容,追求可累进的成长。更多内容可下载"聪明投资 者"APP,官网:www.cmtzz.cn 本文首发于公众号"聪明投资者"。 年初我们拉过一组数据,过去一年全球资产的表现情况。 COMEX黄金,2024年排名第二,收益率27.65%,与榜首的纳斯达克指数相差不到1个百分点。 这几年市场表现,其实把"多元资产配置"这个拗口的专业术语,具象成了真实的波动体感和收益差距。 中泰资管FOF基金经理唐军从2023年3月开始管理公募FOF产品,截至2024年三季度末,在每个季度的持仓 中,黄金都是在前二大重仓品种。20 ...
【晨星焦点基金系列】:施罗德亚洲高息股债
Morningstar晨星· 2025-02-26 09:18
进入晨星小程序,轻松掌握更多基金信息! | 基金代码: | 968165 | | --- | --- | | 基金类型: | 大盘平衡 | | 分类基准: | 晨星亚洲50/50净收益指数 | | 成立日期: | 2024-11-25 | | --- | --- | | 基金规模(亿元): | 137.78 | | 基金规模日期: | 2025-02-25 | | 基金经理: | 近藤敬子 | | 股票投资风格箱: | | 基金经理积极对亚洲股票、亚洲债、全球资产和现金进行配置,以期提供吸引的收益率及合理的资本增值并同 时管理风险。股票部分的投资以高息股为本,近年来通过改进高息股的选股方针以增强组合的资本增长潜力, 并纳入优质成长型股票来加强组合在不同市场环境下配置股票的灵活性。债券投资部分以投资级别的亚洲美元 债为主,旨在支持组合的收益并降低波动性。自 2021 年 9 月至 2025 年 1 月底,该基金在主基金经理管理期内的年 化回报为 2.86% ,超越晨星同类基准指数 92 个基点,在同类基金中排名第 17 个百分位。组合不含交易成本的年 化综合费率为 1.56% ,低于同类基金中位数的 1.75% ...