私募排排网数据显示，4月私募证券产品备案数量延续增长态势。截至4月30日，4月共有638家私募证券 管理人合计备案了1170只私募证券产品，与3月的1043只相比，环比增长12.18%。值得注意的是，这是 2024年以来首次连续两个月单月备案量突破1000只，同时4月备案数量创下近两年新高，反映出私募发 行市场持续回暖。 具体来看，股票策略成备案主力，占比超六成。数据显示，从策略分布来看，股票策略产品占据绝对主 导地位。4月备案的752只股票策略私募产品，占当月备案总量的64.27%，显示在A股市场企稳背景下， 投资者对股票类资产的配置热情明显回升。 在近期A股市场震荡之际，私募机构对市场的配置热情却不断升温。 除股票策略外，多资产策略和期货及衍生品策略同样表现活跃，成为私募产品备案的中坚力量。数据显 示，4月完成备案的多资产策略和期货及衍生品策略产品分别有173只和133只，依次占比为14.79%和 11.37%。 量化私募产品方面，4月备案量化类私募证券产品545只，占到备案产品总量的46.58%，反映出量化投 资策略在当前市场环境下持续受到资金青睐。具体来看，量化产品中，股票策略产品有380只，占比 6 ...

南财理财通课题组、21世纪经济报道记者 黄桂煊 广州报道 三方面提升权益投资增量空间 4月30日，南方财经全媒体集团、21世纪经济报道、南财理财通成功举办了第十期策略会。在主题圆桌论坛上，来自兴银理财、 平安理财、广银理财和渤银理财的投资大咖就理财资金入市、多资产多策略探索、大类资产展望等多个议题展开讨论，现身分 享了高波动环境下银行理财市场的投资机会，为投资者拨开迷雾，提供资产配置参考。 广银理财资本市场投资部负责人张长彬表示，银行理财的客户群体决定了银行理财应该将权益投资作为收益增厚工具而不是作 为单一赛道，也就是围绕"固收+"的框架做权益资产的收益增厚，而不是单独去发行纯权益类产品。 "此外，理财公司参与权益市场比较灵活的载体还有很多，比如定增，利用政策允许理财资金参与定增，获取折扣价与长期成长 收益；打新基金，享受新股的收益增厚；REITs，获取稳定分红，兼具抗通胀与稳定现金流特性等。"张长彬表示。 在能力建设方面，张长彬认为，理财公司权益投研团队普遍薄弱，投研能力是权益投资的核心瓶颈。一方面，综合宏观、中观 和微观层面，构建分层次的投研体系框架。理财公司立足自身实际状况，投研方面要主要着力于大类资产 ...

文 ｜ 闻天 王亦琛 唐栋国 赵文荣 何旺岚 郭佳昕 张子辰 2 0 2 5年一季度公募"固收+"基金规模回升至1 . 6 1万亿元。从发行情况来看，"固收+"基金平均募集 规模亦有回暖，其中混合债券型二级基金平均募集规模由1 5 . 2 2亿元上升至2 0 . 6 4亿元。配置方 面，"固收+"基金股票仓位无明显变化，转债仓位稍有下降，二级债基与偏债混合型基金均大幅加 仓有色行业。公募固收与混合类FOF开始转向发挥FOF投资的优势，利用商品基金、QDII基金、 长久期债券ETF等工具构建多资产配置策略。 ▍ 行业格局及发展：公募固收产品总规模小幅回落，"固收+"基金规模回升。 一季度公募固收类基金管理规模与管理份额分别为1 0 . 3 7万亿元和9 . 2 7万亿份，相较2 0 2 4年末规 模小幅回落。其中，主动纯债型基金总规模约为7 . 5 2万亿元，相较2 0 2 4年末减少5 5 6 0亿元，环 比下滑6 . 8 8%。"固收+"基金管理总规模为1 . 6 1万亿元，相较2 0 2 4年末增加1 5 1 4亿元。从细分品 类上看，混合债券型二级基金、混合债券型一级基金（固收+）和可转换债券型基金规模 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The scale growth of FOF in Q1 2025 reached a high since 2022, with the new - issue scale rising to a level similar to that in Q1 2022. The number of FOF also increased, and the continuous operation scale turned positive. Bond - type FOF remained popular, and some products had significant net subscriptions. A few top - tier managers saw a substantial increase in scale, narrowing the scale gap among them [1][7]. - The China Merchants TREE Changying Plan offers a one - stop solution and service based on multi - asset allocation. The scale of the six products included in the plan increased by 19.515 billion yuan in Q1, exceeding the scale increase of all FOF in Q1 2025 [1][23]. - Most FOF achieved positive returns in Q1 2025, with a better winning rate than comparable fixed - income + or active equity products. As the position increased, the performance of FOF became more prominent, and large - scale balanced FOF generally performed strongly, often using multi - asset allocation strategies and investing in overseas bond assets [1][32]. - Top - tier managers generally attach importance to multi - asset allocation, with different investment directions. The overall characteristic of FOF in Q1 was the emphasis on mutual recognition funds and passive investment, and there was a preference for Hong Kong stock assets [1][42]. - The scale of personal pension funds increased in Q1 2025, with target - date pension funds being more popular. The scale of fixed - income + FOF and equity - type FOF increased significantly, and the 2050 series products were also favored [1]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Scale Dimension: Scale Growth Reached a New High Since 2022 - FOF Classification: FOF funds are classified into four categories: bond - type FOF (X < 10%), fixed - income + FOF (10% <= X < 30%), balanced FOF (30% <= X < 60%), and equity - type FOF (X >= 60%) based on the post - penetration equity position. For pension target funds, classification is based on the holding period [5][7]. - Scale Review: In Q1 2025, the number of FOF increased to 511, 12 more than in Q4 2024. The new - issue scale was 14.151 billion yuan, close to that in Q1 2022. The continuous operation scale increased by 3.744 billion yuan, and the total scale increase in Q1 was 17.895 billion yuan, the highest since 2022 [7]. - New - Issue Representatives: Among fund companies, Fullgoal Fund's new - issue product, Fullgoal Yinghe Zhenxuan 3 - month Holding Period, had a new - issue scale of over 6 billion yuan. Among custodian banks, China Merchants Bank had a new - issue scale of over 8 billion yuan [9]. - Product New - Issue and Continuous Operation: Bond - type FOF remained popular, and some products had net subscriptions of over 6 billion yuan. New - issue products were mostly bond - type or fixed - income + type FOF [11]. - Fund Company Dimension: A few top - tier managers saw a significant increase in scale, mainly due to prominent new - issue scales or net subscriptions of their products. The scale gap among top - tier managers narrowed significantly [15]. 3.2 China Merchants TREE Changying Plan: Providing a One - Stop Solution and Service Based on Multi - Asset Allocation - Plan Introduction: It is a one - stop asset allocation solution jointly created by China Merchants Bank's wealth management team and public fund management institutions, featuring "good strategies, good products, and good services". It has clear return and drawdown targets for selected products [19][21]. - Product Situation: There are currently six products included in the four - tier plan. All products emphasize multi - asset allocation, and their scale increased by 19.515 billion yuan in Q1, exceeding the scale increase of all FOF in Q1 2025 [23]. - Heavy - Positioned Funds: The heavy - positioned funds of these products reflect their investment strategies. For example, Xingzheng Global Yingxin Multi - asset Allocation 3 - month Holding Period holds overseas funds for global allocation [27]. 3.3 Performance Dimension: High - performing FOF Generally Reflect the Characteristics of Multi - Asset Allocation - Market Environment: In Q1 2025, both the bond and equity markets fluctuated greatly, with the ChinaBond Composite Wealth Index falling by - 0.61% and the Wind All - A Index rising by 1.90% [32]. - FOF Performance: As the position increased, the performance of FOF became more prominent. The median return of equity - type FOF reached 2.47%, exceeding the performance of the Wind All - A Index. The winning rate of FOF was generally better than that of comparable indexes [32]. - High - performing FOF: Large - scale balanced FOF generally performed strongly, often using multi - asset allocation strategies and investing in overseas bond assets. High - performing bond - type and fixed - income + FOF generally held overseas bond assets, while high - performing equity - type FOF generally held ETFs [36][39]. 3.4 Investment Characteristics: Top - tier Managers Generally Attach Importance to Multi - Asset Allocation and Prefer Hong Kong Stock Funds and Mutual Recognition Funds - Top - tier Managers' Allocation: Top - tier managers generally attach importance to multi - asset allocation, with different investment directions. They pay attention to the allocation of QDII, mutual recognition, and commodity assets, among others [42]. - Market - wide Characteristics: In Q1 2025, FOF generally emphasized mutual recognition funds and passive investment. The average heavy - position ratio of mutual recognition funds increased significantly, and there was also a preference for commodity funds [46]. - Preference for Hong Kong Stock Assets: The heavy - position fund allocation in Q1 showed a preference for Hong Kong stock assets. Some mutual recognition funds had a heavy - position amount exceeding that of top - tier active equity funds [47]. 3.5 Personal Pension Funds: The Total Y - Share Amounted to 1.0204 Billion Yuan - Scale Change: In Q1 2025, the scale of personal pension funds was 1.0244 billion yuan, an increase of 137.7 million yuan compared to Q4 2024, maintaining a relatively high growth rate [1]. - Popular Products: Target - date pension funds were more popular, with a current scale of 607.6 million yuan. The scale of fixed - income + FOF and equity - type FOF increased significantly, and the 2050 series products were also favored [1].

编者按：《机警理财日报》作为南财集团、21世纪经济报道、南财理财通的金牌理财专栏，目前细分了 现金、纯固收、固收+期权、固收+权益、混合、权益、衍生品七大类，已实现对银行理财市场的每日 追踪。为了进一步反映银行理财行业发展现状，南财理财通课题组增设机警理财周报专题，力求及时准 确研判理财行业趋势、洞悉理财产品表现，以期为银行理财行业转型发展带来参考价值。 【市场回顾】 债市方面，资金价格均衡偏松，债市收益率小幅上行。4月25日DR007加权均价为1.64%；10年期国债收 益率收至1.66%。股市方面，上周A股宽基指数多数上涨。中证1000指数、上证指数、沪深300指数周涨 幅分别为1.85%、0.56%、0.38%。板块方面，汽车、美容护理、基础化工板块周涨幅居前。 在新发产品策略中，北银理财和中邮理财各发行了采用全球大类资产轮动策略的理财产品，两款产品均 为中低风险等级的封闭式"固收+期权"产品。其中，中邮理财发行的"合盛多元·鸿锦封闭式2025年第1期 (大类资产轮动策略)"衍生品类资产投资方面挂钩世界大类资产配置宏观对冲指数的看涨期权，业绩比 较基准为0.30%～4.20%。北银理财发行的"京华远见春 ...

Group 1 - The report emphasizes the implementation of a multi-asset multi-strategy allocation using ETFs, which includes allocations to Chinese equities, QDII (overseas assets), Chinese bonds, and commodities, aiming for an "all-weather" strategy through risk parity methods [4][5][6] - The performance of the all-weather strategy from 2021 to the present shows an annualized return of 9.44%, significantly outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index, which recorded a return of -7.89% during the same period [6][57] - The report highlights the effectiveness of three sub-strategies: style rotation, sector rotation, and size rotation, all of which consistently outperform the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index [6][60] Group 2 - The report details the systematic quantitative strategies and data systems employed, which include macroeconomic analysis and the use of various market indicators to enhance decision-making and risk management [12][25] - The report outlines the performance metrics of various strategies, including annualized returns, volatility, and maximum drawdown, showcasing the effectiveness of the strategies in different market conditions [19][21][50] - The report discusses the importance of liquidity in ETFs, noting that high liquidity is essential for efficient tracking of underlying indices, with examples of significant growth in specific ETFs [33][34] Group 3 - The report provides an in-depth analysis of the sub-strategies, including a systematic quantitative timing model for gold, which focuses on demand factors and investment behaviors that influence gold prices [38][39] - The report also covers a systematic quantitative timing model for Hong Kong stocks, which has achieved an annualized return of 8.28%, outperforming the Hang Seng Index [42][44] - The report discusses the performance of the dividend and growth rotation model, which has shown a high success rate in its trading signals and an annualized return of 12.27% since 2024 [47][48]

【导读】新发开放式理财产品，平均业绩基准险守2% 随着基准债券收益率持续下降，银行理财产品的业绩比较基准也在不断走低。目前，新发开放式理财产 品平均业绩比较基准已跌至2.04%，险守2%关口；新发封闭式理财产品平均业绩基准降至2.59%，下滑 更为明显。 业绩比较基准险守2% 普益标准监测数据显示，截至4月20日的一周共新发624款理财产品，其中208款为开放式产品，平均业 绩比较基准为2.04%，环比下跌0.04个百分点；416款为封闭式产品，平均业绩比较基准为2.59%，环比 下跌0.06个百分点。 拉长时间来看，2023年以来，随着债券收益率降低，新发理财产品业绩基准不断下台阶。其中，开放式 产品平均业绩比较基准从4.01%降至2.04%，下滑近200个BP；封闭式产品平均业绩基准从3.84%降至 2.59%，下滑125个BP。 国联民生（601456）证券基金研究联席首席分析师张菁表示，银行理财产品业绩比较基准持续下滑，有 两方面的原因：在资产端，目前十年期国债到期收益率为1.66%、一年期国债到期收益率为1.45%，在 债券收益率下行的环境中，做出更高回报率难度很大；在负债端，理财公司为顺应市场变化 ...

这一现象与汇鸿汇升首席投资官张辉的观察比较一致。张辉表示，今年以来，机构客户对多资产策略的 配置意愿显著提升，一季度机构类客户认购规模同比显著增加，"客户对'分散风险'的认知已从概念转 向实操"。 与此同时，高净值客户的配置逻辑也在悄然变化。京华世家投资总监纪盈盈称，过去几年市场波动加 剧，客户从追求"绝对收益"转向"风险收益匹配"，"资金量越大的客户越关注安全性，多资产策略的接 受度随之上升"。纪盈盈进一步透露，今年以来在部分私募的专户业务中，包含海外资产的多策略配置 需求有明显增加趋势。 头部私募的动向，也显露出了一定的风向标意义。知名FOF机构博孚利资管总经理何阳阳表示："银行 理财净值化转型后，预期收益型产品消失，低波动、稳收益的多资产策略成为资金新宠。"从市场反馈 来看，客户对多资产策略的认知从"分散配置工具"逐步转向"核心配置选项"。思睿集团创始合伙人、首 席投资官李富军表示，多策略稳健配置型产品净值近期逆势走强，"市场越不确定，客户对绝对收益的 需求越强烈，这正是多资产策略的发力点"。 策略特色与收益特点鲜明 受外部扰动因素影响，近期A股在指数及个股层面出现宽幅波动，投资者阶段性风险偏好有所调整 ...

文 ｜ 刘方 王子雄 杨洋 刘笑天 赵文荣 美国道富-桥水全天候ETF已于3月5日在美国纳斯达克交易所上市，由道富环球发起并直接管理，由桥水基金作为Su b - a d v is o r，将知名的桥 水全天候策略以ETF形式提供给更广泛的投资者。桥水全天候策略分散投资股票、债券、TIPS、商品等，基于不同经济环境平均分配风 险，寻求跨周期的风险分散。该产品上市后恰逢美股阶段调整，体现了较好的抗波动性。研究启示如下：1）主动管理型的多资产ETF，是 海外产品创新的重要方向；2 ） 在美国ETF降费趋势下，多资产ETF管理费率高于平均水平，多资产配置能力获得了管理费溢价；3 ） 全 天候策略的分散程度高、避免单一市场风险；尤其在波动加大的市场环境下更为适用。 ▍ 产品特征："直接管理人+Sub- adv is o r "双重管理模式，综合费率处于较高水平。 道富-桥水全天候ETF（SPDR Bri d g ewa t e r All We a t h e r ETF，ALLW）于2 0 2 5年3月5日在美国纳斯达克交易所上市，为主动管理、全球 多资产配置型产品。该产品由道富环球基金管理公司发行并直接管理，同时由 ...

业内人士指出，2025年，低利率主线下银行理财"资产荒"格局或将延续，绝对收益率下行、高票息 资产的稀缺将继续掣肘资产端配置行为，进而对业绩和规模形成持续约束。"拥抱波动"或为2025年 主线。 01 基准下限进入"1字头" 最近一周，多家理财子密集调整业绩比较基准。中国理财网查询显示，大面积待售理财产品业绩比较 基准已降至2%以下。 据国信证券研究统计，1月末理财产品存量规模29.4万亿元，环比上月下降0.2万亿元；1月理财子新 发产品数量1603支，较2024年12月下降255只。 文/王晓雨 理财子仍在绞尽脑汁。 近一周内，多家理财子陆续调整产品业绩比较基准，已有部分产品业绩比较基准降至2%以下。 事实上，2025开年以来，理财子公司一直在进行业绩比较基准调整动作。年初时，已有业内分析人 士预测，2025年新发产品业绩平均比较基准下限可能下降40-50个基点至2%以下，没想到一语成 谶。 净值波动加剧、低波稳健时代不再，层出不穷的各类新产品背后是理财市场将长期面临的扩规模、稳 收益、涨信心等多重挑战。 规模、新发产品量下降的同时，理财收益率走势也在滑坡。普益标准数据显示，截至1月底，理财子 公司存续产品 ...