Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in the A-share market has led to a significant decline in bond funds, with many experiencing losses that have wiped out their annual gains, indicating a strong negative correlation between the stock and bond markets during this period [1][2][7]. Market Performance - Since August 4, the A-share market has seen a continuous rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a nearly ten-year high and the total market capitalization of A-shares hitting a historical peak [1]. - As of August 20, over 600 bond funds reported negative returns for the month, with 86 funds experiencing a net loss exceeding 1% [1][7]. Bond Market Dynamics - The bond market has faced significant volatility, particularly on August 18, when 10 bond funds recorded daily losses exceeding 1%, with the highest loss reaching 1.6% [1][5]. - The yields on 10-year and 30-year government bonds have been on an upward trend since August 8, with the 30-year yield rising from approximately 1.95% to over 2.1% [3]. Investor Behavior - The strong performance of the stock market has attracted many investors to shift their focus from bond funds to equities, exacerbating the stock-bond "see-saw" effect [8]. - Institutional behaviors have diverged, with funds and brokerages reducing their long-duration bond holdings, while major banks and insurance companies have increased their allocation to various durations of government bonds [8]. Future Outlook - Experts suggest that while the most severe adjustments in the bond market may have ended, full stabilization will require signals of eased liquidity or a cooling of stock market enthusiasm [9]. - Recommendations for investors include focusing on short-duration bond funds and considering "fixed income plus" funds to enhance yield and reduce risk exposure [9][10].

Investment Insights - The equity market showed an increase in risk appetite in August 2025, with significant gains in various fund indices, while the bond market experienced volatility and slight declines [2][6][7] - The performance of convertible bonds was strong, with a fund index increase of 3.22%, driven by the positive sentiment in the equity market [7] Equity Fund Strategy - The market is entering a policy vacuum and mid-year report disclosure period, necessitating a wait for guidance on the "14th Five-Year Plan" and specific industry plans to clarify long-term supply-demand relationships [12] - There is a potential for investment opportunities in high-consensus stocks and low-position sectors, as the market may continue to favor these areas amidst short-term capital efficiency pursuits [12] Fixed Income Fund Strategy - The overall bond market is expected to remain in a challenging environment until new policies are implemented or macro data shows significant reversal [3][18] - Attention should be paid to the funding situation and the "stock-bond seesaw" effect, as well as the progress of fundamental recovery to seize trading opportunities in a volatile market [3][18] Fund Performance Review - In July 2025, the equity market was buoyed by favorable policies and events, with notable performances in the healthcare and technology sectors, where the healthcare sector rose by 15.88% and technology by 8.02% [9][10] - The small-cap funds outperformed large-cap funds, with small-cap indices rising by 8.61% compared to 3.63% for large-cap indices [8] Fund Index Construction - The active equity fund selection index has shown a cumulative net value increase of 1.1889 since its inception, outperforming the active stock fund index by 15% [16] - The short-term pure bond fund index has a cumulative net value of 1.0413, with a slight outperformance over its benchmark [20] Sector Focus - The "anti-involution" policy aims to stabilize market expectations and improve resource allocation efficiency, focusing on sectors like new energy vehicles and photovoltaics [11] - The market sentiment is shifting towards a more guided and regulatory approach, which may lead to a broader market style beyond just cyclical sectors [11]

Group 1 - The convertible bond market has experienced volatility, with the China Securities Convertible Bond Index declining for four consecutive days until June 24, but showing signs of stabilization with a 0.41% increase on June 25 and a further 1.40% increase on June 26 [1] - As of the end of Q1, there were 140 funds with over 50% allocation in convertible bonds, many of which faced significant net value declines during the market's downturn, leading to some funds turning from profit to loss [1] - A significant portion of funds, 51, reported floating profits as of June 26, while 94 funds had floating profits as of June 18, indicating a recovery trend in the market [1] Group 2 - The performance of convertible bond funds has shown a stark divergence, with the top and bottom products differing by over 20 percentage points in year-to-date returns, with Anxin Minwen Growth A leading at 9.74% [2] - Despite recent volatility, historical data suggests that convertible bonds have a higher Sharpe ratio compared to stock indices and equity funds, indicating better risk-adjusted returns [2] - The current valuation of convertible bonds is considered low, providing strong cost-effectiveness compared to pure bonds, and there is an expectation for valuation recovery as the market stabilizes [2]

Group 1 - The convertible bond market has reached a ten-year high, with the China Convertible Bond Index hitting 469.56 points and a year-to-date increase of 12.74% [2] - More than ten convertible bond funds have seen net value growth rates exceeding 15% this year, with the top performer, Southern Changyuan Convertible Bond A, achieving 24.78% [2][3] - The strong performance of convertible bonds is attributed to a supply-demand imbalance and a robust equity market, making them an attractive investment option due to their debt protection and equity-like characteristics [1][2] Group 2 - The current valuation of convertible bonds is considered to be at a relatively high level within a 3-4 year range, with potential opportunities for accumulation if valuations decline [3] - The convertible bond market is expected to experience three phases: initial price recovery, balanced valuation expansion, and high volatility/high return phase [3] - The market is currently characterized by limited downward space, with a focus on sectors like photovoltaic and pig farming for risk-controlled investments [4]

Core Viewpoint - The convertible bond market in China has reached a ten-year high, leading to impressive performance from convertible bond funds, with over ten thematic funds achieving a net value growth rate exceeding 15% this year, and the top performer reaching nearly 25% [2][6]. Market Performance - As of August 7, the China Convertible Bond Index peaked at 469.56 points, marking a 12.74% increase year-to-date [4]. - The top-performing convertible bond funds include: - Southern Changyuan Convertible Bond A with a performance of 24.78% this year [6]. - Other notable funds such as Bosera Convertible Bond Enhanced A, Oriental Convertible Bond A, and others have growth rates around 20% [6][7]. Fund Manager Insights - Fund managers attribute the strong performance of convertible bonds to a combination of a favorable interest rate environment and strong market support, which provides a high margin of safety [8]. - The market is expected to maintain a solid bottom, enhancing the holding experience for convertible bonds [8]. Future Outlook - Managers suggest that convertible bond valuations are unlikely to drop to the lows seen in Q3 2024, with expectations of trading within a higher valuation range over the next 3-4 years [10]. - Opportunities are identified in low-priced convertible bonds, with a focus on sectors like technology and new consumption as market conditions evolve [10][11]. - The convertible bond market is anticipated to experience three phases: price recovery of low-priced bonds, balanced valuation expansion, and eventual high volatility and high returns [10].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In Q2 2025, the scale of fixed - income plus funds continued to grow, and the inflow of funds was expected to continue due to the bond market under - allocation and the upward movement of equities. Convertible bond funds and fixed - income plus funds still had strong support [4][6]. - Brokers significantly increased their positions in convertible bonds, while public funds and insurance funds actively reduced their positions on the whole. The behavior of brokers was different from that of public funds and insurance funds, with brokers more likely to increase positions in a bull market and the latter reducing positions when the convertible bond valuation was high [10][12]. - Public funds continued to reduce their positions in bank convertible bonds and sought bottom - position substitutes. Other convertible bonds in the financial sector and those in the public utilities sector received certain increases in positions [19]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1. Growth of Fixed - Income Plus Fund Shares with Market Support - In Q2 2025, fixed - income plus funds had a net subscription of 56.41 billion shares. Among them, first - tier bond funds had a net subscription of 52.548 billion shares, second - tier bond funds had a net subscription of 7.774 billion shares, and partial - debt hybrid funds had a net redemption of 3.68 billion shares, with the net redemption volume further decreasing compared to Q1 2025. Convertible bond funds had a net redemption of 2.164 billion shares, slightly higher than that in Q1 2025 but with relatively low net redemption pressure compared to Q4 2024 [4][6]. - In Q2 2025, the positions of convertible bond funds and fixed - income plus funds in equity - related assets decreased slightly. The reasons might include the tariff event in early April, profit - taking in May and June, and the reduction in the scope of investable targets in the convertible bond market [8]. 3.2. Public Funds and Insurance Funds Reduce Positions Marginally, while Brokers Increase Positions in Convertible Bonds - Brokers significantly increased their positions in convertible bonds in February, March, May, and June 2025, while public funds and insurance funds actively reduced their positions when the convertible bond valuation was high. With the convertible bond market hitting a new high and the equity market at a relatively high level, there was a need to be cautious about possible valuation drops [10][12]. - From January to June 2025, the positions of funds, insurance, and social security in convertible bonds decreased, while those of brokers' self - operation and asset management increased. The positions of convertible bond ETFs had net outflows in April and May and recovered significantly after late June [12][13][15]. 3.3. Analysis of Public Fund Holdings - In terms of industry distribution, public funds continued to reduce their positions in bank convertible bonds in Q2 2025 due to the forced redemption of Nanyin Convertible Bond, Hangyin Convertible Bond, Qilu Convertible Bond, and the approaching maturity of Pufa Convertible Bond. Other convertible bonds in the financial sector and those in the public utilities sector received certain increases in positions [19]. - Public funds increased their positions in some high - elasticity varieties such as those in the electronics, computer, communication, pharmaceutical, and food and beverage sectors, which might benefit from the structural market of technology, medicine, and consumption sectors. The positions in convertible bonds of the basic chemical and building materials industries also increased [21]. - In addition to financial bottom - position convertible bonds such as bank convertible bonds, public funds increased their positions in high - prosperity and high - elasticity targets such as Outong Convertible Bond, Wentai Convertible Bond, Shenma Convertible Bond, and Hengbang Convertible Bond [26].

Core Viewpoint - The report indicates that the fixed income and growth in fund size are expected to continue, supported by market conditions, while the rapid exit of bank convertible bonds will exacerbate the supply-demand imbalance, leading to a preference for larger convertible bond targets [1][2]. Group 1: Fund Flows and Performance - In Q2 2025, fixed income funds saw a net subscription of 56.641 billion units, with primary bond funds contributing 52.548 billion units and secondary bond funds adding 7.774 billion units, while mixed bond funds experienced a net redemption of 3.68 billion units [1]. - Convertible bond funds had a net redemption of 2.164 billion units, slightly higher than Q1 2025 but still manageable compared to Q4 2024 [1]. - Brokerages have significantly increased their holdings in convertible bonds, while public funds and insurance capital have generally reduced their positions [1]. Group 2: Sector Distribution and Investment Trends - Public funds have continued to reduce their holdings in bank convertible bonds, primarily due to strong redemptions in specific bonds and the approaching maturity of others [2]. - Other convertible bonds in the financial sector have seen increased investments from public funds, with notable inflows into bonds like Shangyin, Zhongyin, and Huazhong [2]. - Public funds are also marginally increasing their positions in high-growth and high-volatility sectors, with significant investments in bonds from the power equipment, electronics, and chemical industries [2].

Market Review - The bond market experienced fluctuations with rising yields during the week of July 21-25, 2025. The China Bond Composite Wealth Index (CBA00201) fell by 0.39%, while the China Bond Composite Full Price Index (CBA00203) decreased by 0.44%. Yields on government bonds across various maturities rose, with the 1-year, 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year government bond yields increasing by 3.38bp, 6.64bp, 9.14bp, and 7.07bp respectively [12][13] - The central bank's net injection in the open market was 109.5 billion yuan, with a total of 21.563 trillion yuan injected and 20.468 trillion yuan withdrawn. The overall liquidity was balanced, with DR007 and R007 rising by 14.56bp and 18.65bp to 1.65% and 1.59% respectively [13] - The U.S. Treasury market showed limited volatility, with a flattening yield curve. Initial jobless claims data unexpectedly declined, reinforcing a strong labor market view and reducing recent rate cut expectations [14] Public Fund Market Dynamics - As of July 25, 2025, the total scale of bond ETF products in the market surpassed 500 billion yuan, reaching 510.505 billion yuan, a nearly 200% increase since the beginning of the year. The Sci-Tech Innovation Bond ETF has become a core growth driver, with the first batch of 10 products launched after the Lujiazui Forum in June, achieving over 100 billion yuan in the first week [16][17] - The bond ETF market features a diverse range of products, with significant growth in various categories. For instance, the Pengyang 30-Year Treasury ETF exceeded 20 billion yuan, and the Bosera CSI Convertible Bond ETF surpassed 40 billion yuan [17] - The bond ETF market's growth indicates a deep integration of finance and technology, with ongoing product innovation and an optimized investor structure expected to inject sustained momentum into the high-quality development of China's capital market [17] Performance Tracking of Fixed Income Funds - Short-term bond fund index fell by 0.08% last week, with a cumulative return of 4.00% since inception [19] - Medium to long-term bond fund index decreased by 0.30%, with a cumulative return of 6.32% since inception [19] - Convertible bond fund index rose by 2.24%, achieving a cumulative return of 15.09% since inception [19]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided regarding the report's industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In Q2 2025, A - shares and Hong Kong stocks showed different performances, with the overall market - value style in A - shares being dominant, and the bond market slightly recovered in June after fluctuations from April to May. REITs and convertible bond funds led the performance, and "fixed - income +" funds performed well driven by the equity market [4]. - Most fund managers expect the economy to continue a weak recovery in Q3 2025, with monetary policy remaining loose but limited room for interest - rate decline. Strategies focus on coupon income from medium - short - duration, medium - high - grade urban investment bonds and financial bonds, and the overall tone is prudent and flexible [40]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 固收型公募基金2025Q2季报数据解读 Performance - In Q2 2025, in the context of weak economic recovery, gradually restored equity sentiment, and intensified long - short game and fluctuations in the bond market, REITs and convertible bond funds led the performance, and "fixed - income +" funds performed well driven by the equity market. Pure - bond fund net values generally recovered [4]. - The top - performing funds in terms of Q2 2025 compounded unit net - value growth rate (%) were REITs funds (8.07%), convertible bond funds (3.49%), and QDII bond - type funds (1.38) [5]. Scale - By the end of Q2 2025, passive index - type bond funds received significant capital inflows and had the fastest scale growth [8]. Leverage - As of June 30, 2025, compared with March 31, 2025, the overall fund leverage showed an upward trend [11]. Duration - As of June 30, 2025, compared with March 31, 2025, the fitted durations of pure - bond funds all showed an upward trend [14]. Weighted Position Changes of Fixed - Income + Funds - By the end of Q2 2025, the convertible - bond positions of different types of fixed - income + funds were basically the same as in the previous quarter, while the stock positions all showed a downward trend [17]. - The top five industries for stock increase were non - bank finance, banking, communications, electronics, and medicine; the top five industries for stock reduction were food and beverage, automobiles, coal, basic chemicals, and home appliances [28]. Individual Stock Positions of Fixed - Income + Funds - The top ten stocks with the highest market value of holdings in Q2 2025 were Zijin Mining, Tencent Holdings, Yangtze Power, Contemporary Amperex Technology, China Merchants Bank, Midea Group, Kweichow Moutai, Alibaba - W, SF Holdings, and Haier Smart Home [30]. - The top ten stocks with the largest increase in market value of holdings in Q2 2025 were New H3C Technologies, Inphi Corporation, AVIC Shenyang Aircraft, Bank of Hangzhou, China Minsheng Bank, Yunnan Aluminum Co., Ltd., Zhaojin Mining Industry, China Merchants Bank, Zhongjin Gold, and SF Holdings [32]. - The top ten stocks with the largest decrease in market value of holdings in Q2 2025 were Wuliangye, Midea Group, Kweichow Moutai, Wanhua Chemical, Zijin Mining, Honglu Steel Structure, Hunan Gold, BYD, Shunxin Agriculture, and Luzhou Laojiao [34]. 3.2 固收型重点基金2025Q2后市展望观点汇总 Key Short - Term Bond Fund Managers' Views - Most short - term bond fund managers expect the bond market to continue the volatile market with high winning probability but low odds, and the bond - market trend is mainly determined by the liability side and policy orientation [39]. - Strategies focus on coupon income from medium - short - duration, medium - high - grade urban investment bonds and financial bonds, and the overall tone is prudent and flexible [40]. Key Medium - and Long - Term Bond Fund Managers' Views - Most medium - and long - term bond fund managers expect the bond market to continue the volatile pattern, with loose monetary policy continuing to support the bond market, while domestic demand is weak and the real - estate market is weakening marginally [41]. - Some managers suggest actively participating in interest - rate bond band trading, while others believe that the space for credit - spread compression is limited. Most still focus on medium - high - grade credit bonds [41]. Equity - Linked Fixed - Income Fund Managers' Views - For stock assets, most managers are relatively optimistic about the medium - term market outlook. Low - equity - position fixed - income + fund managers are relatively conservative, while some medium - and high - equity - position managers will increase the exploration and allocation in industries with relatively guaranteed short - and medium - term supply - demand environments and reasonable valuations [42]. - For convertible - bond assets, the supply - demand balance in the convertible - bond market remains tight, with overall high valuations and potential increased volatility, but there are still structural opportunities. Some managers will maintain a neutral - to - low position and shift to equity - oriented and balanced varieties [42]. - For pure - bond assets, managers generally maintain a neutral view, expecting the central - bank policy to remain consistent, the capital market to remain loose, and limited upward space for interest rates [42]. Key High - Position Convertible - Bond Enhanced Fund Managers' Views - Managers will maintain a relatively positive position, seize structural opportunities, and pay attention to the layout opportunities in technology self - controllability and the allocation opportunities after the sentiment of new consumption and innovative drugs cools down [45]. - They believe that the convertible - bond market has a relatively high valuation, with short - term cost - effectiveness and fault - tolerance rate reduced, but there are still structural opportunities, especially in equity - oriented convertible bonds [45]. QDII Bond - Fund Managers' Views - The global market in Q2 2025 was still dominated by policy. The impact of Trump's tariff policy continued to push up inflation expectations, and there were differences in the market's pricing of the Fed's interest - rate cut [46]. - In the future, although the probability of a US recession is relatively low, attention should be paid to the recurrence of tariff policies, and the US bond market may fluctuate bidirectionally in the short term [46][47]. REITs Fund Managers' Views - In Q2 2025, the performance of different types of REITs varied. The performance of rental - protection REITs was stable, the industrial - park REITs were under pressure, the consumer - infrastructure REITs performed steadily, the transportation REITs showed growth driven by traffic flow, the warehousing - logistics REITs were under pressure in terms of revenue, and the energy and environmental - protection REITs showed different performances [50][51][52].

Group 1 - The article discusses the performance of fixed-income public funds in Q2 2025, highlighting a recovery in net asset values for pure bond funds after a turbulent period in April and May, with REITs and convertible bond funds leading the performance [8][12]. - As of the end of Q2 2025, passive index bond funds experienced significant inflows, indicating a strong growth trend in fund sizes [12]. - The overall leverage of funds showed an upward trend by the end of June 2025 compared to March 2025, suggesting increased risk-taking among fund managers [15]. Group 2 - The article notes that the duration of pure bond funds has generally increased, indicating a shift towards longer-term investments [20]. - The allocation of convertible bonds remained stable compared to the previous quarter, while stock allocations across various fund types showed a declining trend [26]. - The report identifies the top sectors for active increases in holdings, including non-bank financials, banks, telecommunications, electronics, and pharmaceuticals, while sectors like food and beverage, automotive, coal, and household appliances saw reductions [38]. Group 3 - The top ten holdings by market value in Q2 2025 included companies such as Changqing Mining, Tencent Holdings, and Longjiang Power, with significant investments in sectors like non-ferrous metals and public utilities [42]. - The report highlights the changes in holdings, with notable increases in positions for stocks like Xinyi Semiconductor and Zhongji Xuchuang, while reductions were observed in stocks like Wuliangye and Midea Group [51][52]. - The article emphasizes the cautious outlook of fund managers for the bond market, with expectations of continued volatility and a focus on maintaining liquidity and flexibility in asset allocation strategies [58][62].