Core Viewpoint - The Financial Regulatory Bureau has revised the "Guidelines for Market Risk Management of Commercial Banks" and released the "Measures for Market Risk Management of Commercial Banks," aiming to enhance capital supervision and standardize business operations, thereby improving market risk management levels in commercial banks [1][2]. Summary by Relevant Sections Market Risk Definition and Scope - Market risk is defined as the risk of loss due to adverse changes in market prices (interest rates, exchange rates, stock prices, and commodity prices) affecting both on-balance-sheet and off-balance-sheet operations of commercial banks [2][4]. - The new measures clarify that market risk no longer includes interest rate risk related to the banking book, focusing instead on risks arising from adverse movements in market prices [4]. Responsibilities and Governance - The board of directors, supervisory board, and senior management of commercial banks have clearly defined responsibilities for market risk management, with the board bearing ultimate responsibility [6]. - The supervisory board is tasked with overseeing the board and senior management's performance in risk management, while senior management is responsible for implementing market risk management practices [6]. Enhanced Risk Management Requirements - The new measures require banks to adopt a comprehensive approach to market risk management, detailing requirements for risk identification, measurement, monitoring, control, and reporting [1][3]. - Banks are encouraged to refine their governance structures and policies, enhance their data systems, and strengthen internal controls and audits to improve the precision of market risk management [3]. Internal Control and Audit - The internal audit department is required to conduct independent reviews of the market risk management system at least annually, ensuring its accuracy, reliability, and effectiveness [6].

Core Viewpoint - The revised "Commercial Bank Market Risk Management Measures" focuses on managing risks arising from adverse changes in interest rates, exchange rates, stock prices, and commodity prices, excluding bank book interest rate risk [2][5][10]. Summary by Sections Definition of Market Risk - The revised measures clarify the definition of market risk, which is the risk of loss in a bank's on-balance-sheet and off-balance-sheet operations due to adverse changes in market prices [4][8]. Governance Structure - The measures emphasize the need for a robust governance structure for market risk management, defining the responsibilities of the board of directors, supervisory board, and senior management, and highlighting the importance of managing market risk at the group consolidation level [9][10]. Market Risk Management Requirements - The measures detail the requirements for comprehensive market risk management, including risk identification, measurement, monitoring, control, and reporting. Banks are required to develop formal written market risk management policies and procedures that align with their business nature, scale, complexity, and risk characteristics [9][10]. - Banks must also regularly update their market risk management policies and procedures based on their risk appetite, risk status, and changes in external market conditions [10].

Core Viewpoint - The Financial Regulatory Bureau has released the "Measures for Market Risk Management of Commercial Banks" to enhance capital regulation and standardize business operations, aiming to improve market risk management levels in commercial banks [1][2]. Group 1: Definition and Scope - The new measures clarify the definition of market risk and specify the applicable scope, excluding interest rate risks related to bank books, thereby strengthening the connection with other regulations [2]. - The measures emphasize that market risk arises from adverse changes in market prices such as interest rates, exchange rates, stock prices, and commodity prices, affecting both on-balance-sheet and off-balance-sheet operations of banks [1]. Group 2: Governance Structure - The measures highlight the need to improve the governance structure for market risk, defining the responsibilities of the board of directors, supervisory board, and senior management, and emphasizing the importance of managing market risk at the group consolidation level [2]. Group 3: Management Requirements - The measures detail the requirements for comprehensive market risk management, including risk identification, measurement, monitoring, control, and reporting, as well as enhancing internal model definitions and stress testing requirements [2]. - The implementation of these measures is expected to help banks better understand the relationship between market risk and bank book interest rate risk, thereby strengthening market risk management awareness and capabilities [3]. Group 4: Market Impact - The measures are anticipated to have positive impacts on market risk management, including optimizing governance structures and policy procedures, improving risk appetite and limit systems, and enhancing internal controls and audits [3]. - Additionally, the measures will facilitate the integration of the implementation of the "Commercial Bank Capital Management Measures" with market risk management, ensuring effective internal model validation and monitoring [3].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the various risks associated with investing in spot gold, highlighting the importance of understanding these risks for potential investors in the volatile gold market [1]. Group 1: Market Risks - Price volatility risk is influenced by global economic conditions, geopolitical events, inflation expectations, and the strength of the US dollar, leading to significant fluctuations in gold prices [3]. - Liquidity risk can arise during extreme market conditions, such as panic selling or economic crises, potentially increasing transaction costs and losses [4]. - Financial risks include the risk of price declines, where short-term drops can lead to capital losses despite gold's long-term value retention [6]. - Leverage risk is present due to the margin system in spot gold trading, which can amplify both gains and losses, potentially leading to significant losses if market movements are unfavorable [8]. Group 2: Mitigation Strategies - To manage market risks, investors should monitor economic data, geopolitical developments, and central bank policies, while diversifying their investment portfolios to reduce the impact of single asset volatility [3]. - For liquidity risk, it is advisable to choose reputable trading platforms and brokers, and to manage funds wisely to avoid excessive leverage [5]. - To address financial risks, investors should control their positions, set stop-loss points based on risk tolerance, and consider dollar-cost averaging to smooth out price fluctuations [7]. - To mitigate leverage risk, it is recommended to use leverage cautiously, typically not exceeding a ratio of 1:10, and to maintain sufficient margin [9]. Group 3: Platform and Policy Risks - Platform risk arises from the potential for fraud or instability in trading platforms that lack proper regulation and credentials [10]. - Policy risk is associated with changes in national policies, such as monetary, tax, and regulatory measures, which can affect gold market supply and demand [12].

金融研究 2025年6月19日 星期四 金融期货早班车 招商期货有限公司 市场表现：6 月 18 日，A 股四大股指全线上涨，其中上证指数上涨 0.04%，报收 3388.81 点；深成 指上涨 0.24%，报收 10175.59 点；创业板指上涨 0.23%，报收 2054.73 点；科创 50 指数上涨 0.53%， 报收 968.18 点。市场成交 12,218 亿元，较前日减少 154 亿元。行业板块方面，电子(+1.5%)，通信 (+1.39%)，国防军工(+0.95%)涨幅居前；美容护理(-1.73%)，房地产(-1.35%)，建筑材料(-1.22%)跌 幅居前。从市场强弱看，IF>IC>IM>IH，个股涨/平/跌数分别为 1,812/126/3,475。沪深两市，机构、 主力、大户、散户全天资金分别净流入-57、-89、-8、155 亿元，分别变动+19、+30、-28、-21 亿 元。 交易策略：现券近期维持供强需弱的特征，但后市供强需弱的格局有望改变：一是 6 月政府债到期 规模有所增加，政府债净供给节奏或趋平缓；二是 7 月保险长端负债成本有调低的可能；三是国内 市场风险偏好回归防御风格， ...

Market Performance - On June 11, most of the four major A-share stock indices rose, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.52% to 3402.32 points, the Shenzhen Component Index up 0.83% to 10246.02 points, and the ChiNext Index up 1.21% to 2061.87 points, while the STAR 50 Index fell 0.2% to 980.93 points. Market turnover was 1286.7 billion yuan, a decrease of 164.8 billion yuan from the previous day [2]. - In terms of industry sectors, non-ferrous metals (+2.21%), agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery (+2.02%), and non-bank finance (+1.9%) led the gains, while pharmaceutical biology (-0.41%), communications (-0.28%), and beauty care (-0.1%) led the losses [2]. - From the perspective of market strength, IF > IC > IH > IM, and the number of rising/flat/falling stocks was 3411/264/1737 respectively. In the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets, institutional, main, large - scale, and retail investors had net inflows of -5, -45, -52, and 102 billion yuan respectively, with changes of +151, +159, -92, and -217 billion yuan respectively [2]. Stock Index Futures Basis and Trading Strategy - The basis of the next - month contracts of IM, IC, IF, and IH was 135.31, 105.35, 55.23, and 42.14 points respectively, with annualized basis yields of -19.53%, -16.24%, -12.66%, and -13.97% respectively, and three - year historical quantiles of 5%, 5%, 1%, and 3% respectively. The futures - spot price difference remained at a low level [3]. - In the short term, due to the large discount of small - cap stock indices, which may be the result of the expansion of neutral product scale this year, and the relatively high proportion of short positions in neutral products, the deep discount may continue, leading to market fluctuations. A short - cycle band strategy is recommended. In the medium - to - long term, it is recommended to go long on the economy and allocate IF, IC, and IM forward contracts on dips. For near - month contracts, there is a risk of a decline in micro - cap stocks, which may drag down the IC and IM indices, so caution is advised [3]. Treasury Bond Futures Cash Bond and Trading Strategy - The current active contract is the 2509 contract. For the 2 - year Treasury bond futures, the CTD bond is 250006.IB, with a yield change of -1.25bps, a corresponding net basis of -0.08, and an IRR of 1.83%. Similar data are provided for 5 - year, 10 - year, and 30 - year Treasury bond futures [4]. - In the cash bond market, the supply is currently stronger than demand, but this pattern is expected to change. In the futures market, the CTD bond price of near - month contracts is low, and the IRR is high, so short - sellers have a strong willingness to deliver, putting pressure on near - month contract prices and causing far - month premiums. It is recommended to go long in the short term and short in the long term, buying T and TL on dips in the short term and hedging T and TL on rallies in the long term [4]. Economic Data - High - frequency data show that the recent import and export sentiment has rebounded [11].

智通财经6月9日电，上海黄金交易所发布通知称，近期影响市场不稳定的因素较多，贵金属价格波动剧 烈。请各会员提高风险防范意识，继续做好风险应急预案，维护市场平稳运行。同时，提示投资者做好 风险防范工作，合理控制仓位，理性投资。 ...

Core Insights - The number of listed companies in the A-share market that issued hedging announcements increased significantly in April, driven by global trade tensions and uncertainty in external environments [1][2] - In the first four months of the year, 1,265 listed companies in the real economy issued hedging announcements, representing an increase of approximately 11% compared to the same period in 2024 [2] Summary by Category Increase in Hedging Announcements - In April 2025, 943 listed companies in the real economy issued 2,034 hedging announcements, an increase of 150 companies or about 19% compared to April 2024 [1] - The surge in hedging announcements is attributed to the impact of U.S. tariff policies and increased volatility in commodity prices and exchange rates [2] Characteristics of Hedging Participants - Approximately 70% of the 1,265 listed companies that issued hedging announcements in the first four months of the year were private enterprises [3] Risks Faced by Real Economy Enterprises - Real economy enterprises face multiple risks, including market risks (raw material price fluctuations, product price volatility, and exchange rate risks), supply chain risks (raw material shortages and rising logistics costs), and financial risks (cash flow issues and increased financing costs) [4] - Private enterprises are particularly sensitive to price risks due to their competitive nature and lack of resource advantages compared to state-owned enterprises [4] Motivation for Hedging - The core motivation for private enterprises to engage in hedging is profit maximization, as commodity price and exchange rate fluctuations directly impact their profits [5] - Regulatory environments allow private enterprises more freedom in hedging activities compared to state-owned enterprises, enabling them to respond quickly to market changes [5] Focus on Exchange Rate Risks - A significant number of listed companies (1,069) mentioned exchange rate risks in their hedging announcements in the first four months of the year [6] - Exchange rate fluctuations can directly affect the costs and revenues of import and export enterprises, making it a critical area of focus for risk management [6][7] Development of Hedging Tools - The maturity of exchange rate hedging tools, such as forward foreign exchange contracts and options, allows enterprises to manage risks effectively [7] - The ongoing development of the futures market in China is expected to enhance risk management capabilities for enterprises by providing a wider range of tools and solutions [7]

招商期货有限公司 市场表现：6 月 4 日，A 股四大股指全线上涨，其中上证指数上涨 0.42%，报收 3376.2 点；深成指 上涨 0.87%，报收 10144.58 点；创业板指上涨 1.11%，报收 2024.93 点；科创 50 指数上涨 0.45%， 报收 986.11 点。市场成交 11,774 亿元，较前日增加 136 亿元。行业板块方面，美容护理(+2.63%)， 综合(+2.53%)，纺织服饰(+2.41%)涨幅居前；交通运输(-0.58%)，国防军工(-0.24%)，公用事业 (-0.12%)跌幅居前。从市场强弱看，IM>IC>IF>IH，个股涨/平/跌数分别为 3,964/211/1,237。沪深两 市，机构、主力、大户、散户全天资金分别净流入 23、-26、-45、48 亿元，分别变动+49、+40、-27、 -62 亿元。 股指期货 基差：IM、IC、IF、IH 次月合约基差分别为 160.37、120.01、65.54 与 47.42 点，基差年化收益率 分别为-19.84%、-15.84%、-12.83%与-13.35%，三年期历史分位数分别为 4%、5%、1%及 5%。 期- ...

Group 1 - The recent easing of tensions in US-China trade relations has led to a significant drop in gold prices, while global stock markets have surged dramatically [1] - The upcoming week features several key economic events that could impact market movements, including speeches from Federal Reserve officials and the Australian interest rate decision [3][4] - The oil market will see important data releases, including the EIA crude oil inventory report, which is expected to influence oil prices and related currencies [5][6] Group 2 - The focus for the week will be on employment data from the US, which traditionally has a strong influence on the dollar and gold prices [6] - Despite a lighter economic calendar, the potential for volatility remains high due to central bank communications and energy inventory reports [7]