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国家统计局公布:49.3%
Jin Rong Shi Bao· 2025-07-31 07:31
Core Insights - The July Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data indicates a slight decline in China's manufacturing and non-manufacturing sectors, reflecting economic pressures [1][3][4] Manufacturing Sector - The manufacturing PMI for July is reported at 49.3%, a decrease of 0.4 percentage points from the previous month, indicating contraction [1][3] - The production index and new orders index are at 50.5% and 49.4%, respectively, showing a decline of 0.5 and 0.8 percentage points, suggesting a slowdown in market demand [5] - Despite the decline, the manufacturing sector shows resilience with high-tech and equipment manufacturing PMIs remaining above the critical point [5] Non-Manufacturing Sector - The non-manufacturing business activity index stands at 50.1%, down 0.4 percentage points from June, but still above the critical threshold [1][6] - The service sector remains stable, with a business activity index of 50.0%, slightly down by 0.1 percentage points [6] - The summer holiday effect positively influences service-related sectors such as transportation and entertainment, with indices exceeding 60.0% [6] Economic Outlook - Experts suggest that the fluctuations in the manufacturing PMI are primarily due to short-term factors, and the foundation for economic recovery remains solid [4] - The construction sector is experiencing a slowdown due to adverse weather conditions, but is expected to rebound as the rainy season ends [6][7]
7月份制造业PMI为49.3% 当月原材料价格有所回升
Qi Huo Ri Bao Wang· 2025-07-31 03:10
期货日报网讯(记者 杨美)中国物流与采购联合会、国家统计局服务业调查中心发布的2025年7月份中 国制造业采购经理指数(PMI)为49.3%,较上月下降0.4个百分点,显示宏观经济运行有所波动。分项 指数以及分行业指数变化显示,7月制造业PMI波动主要是受短期因素影响,经济向好恢复基础仍然牢 固。 中国物流信息中心分析师文韬表示,短期因素影响显现,市场需求偏弱运行。7月份,我国多地遭遇高 温热浪、暴雨洪涝以及干旱等极端天气,给户外施工作业、居民日常生活等带来阻碍,进而影响到市场 需求释放。制造业新订单指数为49.4%,较上月下降0.8个百分点,落入收缩区间,显示市场需求有所收 紧。新出口订单指数为47.1%,较上月下降0.6个百分点。结合来看,受短期因素影响,7月份市场需求 偏弱运行。 企业生产保持扩张,稳中有增态势持续。7月份,尽管市场需求端有所偏弱,极端天气持续存在,制造 业企业生产活动仍有所扩张。生产指数为50.5%,虽较上月下降0.5个百分点,仍连续3个月运行在扩张 区间,显示制造业生产活动扩张势头虽短期有所放缓,但稳中有增态势没有改变。 原材料价格有所回升,产成品价格继续趋稳。7月份,制造业原材料购 ...
7月份制造业景气水平有所回落 非制造业整体继续保持扩张
Yang Shi Xin Wen· 2025-07-31 02:39
中国物流与采购联合会、国家统计局服务业调查中心今天(31日)发布7月份中国采购经理指数。受季节 性因素影响,制造业采购经理指数有所波动,制造业景气水平较上月有所回落。 制造业景气水平较上月有所回落 7月份中国制造业采购经理指数为49.3%,较上月下降0.4个百分点。 国家统计局服务业调查中心企业景气处处长 霍丽慧:7月份受制造业进入传统生产淡季,以及部分地区 高温暴雨洪涝灾害等因素影响,采购经理指数是在连续两个月回升之后有所回落,制造业景气水平有所 下降。 从主要分项指数看,制造业新订单指数回落到收缩区间,运行偏弱。制造业企业生产保持扩张,延续稳 中有增的态势。7月份生产指数为50.5%,连续3个月运行在扩张区间。铁路船舶航空航天设备、计算机 通信电子设备等行业的生产指数和新订单指数持续位于扩张区间,相关行业产需两端较为活跃。 国家统计局服务业调查中心企业景气处处长 霍丽慧:从市场预期来看,服务业业务活动预期指数是有 所回升,继续位于55%以上的较高景气区间,表明多数服务业企业对近期市场发展前景还是比较乐观 的。 另外,7月份,装备制造业采购经理指数为50.3%,较上月下降1.1个百分点,仍保持在扩张区间。高 ...
“苏超”带热消费 新动能提速跑
Xin Hua Ri Bao· 2025-07-30 06:05
Economic Growth Overview - In the first half of the year, the province's enterprise sales revenue increased by 2.5% year-on-year, with the second quarter showing an improvement to 2.8%, marking a new high in nearly four quarters, indicating a positive economic trend [1] - The growth was driven by the "Su Super" events, which stimulated consumption in sports, cultural tourism, and retail sectors, alongside the continuous development of advanced manufacturing and new energy sectors [1] Impact of "Su Super" Events - The "Su Super" events significantly boosted the province's sports industry, with sales revenue from related football clubs increasing by over 42 million yuan in June, raising the overall sports sector's sales growth by 5 percentage points [2] - Cultural tourism saw remarkable growth, with railway passenger transport and air travel sales revenue increasing by 90.7% and 46.5% respectively in June, while arts performances and cultural activities surged by 85.1% and 109.3% [2] - Retail sales in June rose by 5.8%, with notable increases in daily household appliances (28.3%), computer equipment (19.5%), and supermarkets (18.5%) [2] Local Business Growth - The Jiangsu Sports Exhibition Center attracted over 60,000 fans, generating direct revenue of over 360,000 yuan, a year-on-year increase of 29.34% [2] - The East Sea Crystal Cultural Tourism Area experienced a 111.45% increase in visitor numbers during a match, with sales of crystal products exceeding 20 million yuan, a 36% increase compared to regular weekends [3] - The hospitality and catering sectors in Rugao saw a sales increase of 45.57% on match day, with surrounding commercial complexes also reporting significant sales growth [3] Manufacturing Sector Performance - The province's industrial enterprises reported a 4.5% increase in sales revenue in the first half of the year, with the equipment manufacturing sector growing by 8.8% [4] - The Tai Zhou Kangqian Machinery Manufacturing Co. achieved over 200 million yuan in sales, with a projected annual revenue of 550 million yuan, reflecting a 25% year-on-year growth [4] - Jiangsu Hengtong High Voltage Submarine Cable Co. made significant advancements in technology, securing a global first in submarine cable production, with sales expected to reach 2.632 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, an 11.25% increase [4][5] New Energy and Technology Development - Twelve out of sixteen advanced manufacturing clusters in the province reported positive sales growth, with new energy and technology becoming key drivers of economic growth [6] - The first bio-jet fuel export trial in the country was successfully launched, showcasing a new model of green energy development [6] - Despite a 35% decline in overall orders due to international trade conditions, Huaxin Electronics reported an 11.62% increase in sales, attributed to high-value patented products and tax incentives [6] Future Outlook - Jiangsu Xinhantong Shipbuilding Co. reported a 10% increase in sales revenue, reaching 1.8 billion yuan in the first half of the year, with plans to deliver 23 vessels this year [7] - The company is benefiting from tax incentives exceeding 20 million yuan, which will be reinvested into production facility upgrades [7]
发票数据显示江苏上半年经济“暖色”足“苏超”带热消费 新动能提速跑
Xin Hua Ri Bao· 2025-07-29 23:07
Economic Growth Indicators - In the first half of the year, the province's enterprise sales revenue increased by 2.5% year-on-year, with a notable rise in the second quarter to 2.8%, marking a new high in nearly four quarters [1] - The advanced manufacturing and new energy sectors continue to drive economic resilience, showcasing a dual-engine growth model [1] Impact of "Su Super" Events - The "Su Super" football events significantly boosted local consumption, with related sales revenue for the provincial sports industry and football clubs exceeding 42 million yuan, raising the overall sports sector's sales growth by 5 percentage points [2] - Cultural and tourism consumption surged, with railway passenger transport sales increasing by 90.7% and cultural activities growing by 109.3% in June [2] - Retail sales in June rose by 5.8%, with specific sectors like household appliances and supermarkets showing substantial growth rates of 28.3% and 18.5%, respectively [2] Local Business Growth - The Jiangsu Kangqian Machinery Manufacturing Co., Ltd. reported a 30% increase in orders compared to the previous year, with sales exceeding 200 million yuan in the first half, projecting a 25% annual growth [4] - Jiangsu Hengtong High Voltage Cable Co. achieved significant milestones in underwater cable production, with sales reaching 2.632 billion yuan in the first half, an 11.25% increase year-on-year [4][5] Advanced Manufacturing Sector Performance - Among 16 advanced manufacturing clusters in the province, 12 reported positive sales growth, with 9 exceeding the industrial average [6] - The introduction of innovative green energy solutions, such as bio-jet fuel from waste cooking oil, has positioned local companies favorably in international markets [6] - Despite a 35% decline in overall orders due to international trade conditions, Huaxin Electronics maintained an 11.62% increase in sales, attributed to high-value patented products [6] Shipbuilding Industry Developments - Jiangsu Xinhan Tong Shipbuilding Co., Ltd. reported a 10% increase in sales revenue, reaching 1.8 billion yuan in the first half, with significant tax benefits aiding further production upgrades [7]
上半年南方五省区用电量同比增长5%
Guang Zhou Ri Bao· 2025-07-28 00:54
Group 1 - The total electricity consumption in the Southern Power Grid region (Guangdong, Guangxi, Guizhou, Yunnan, Hainan) reached 831.1 billion kWh in the first half of the year, representing a year-on-year growth of 5%, which is 1.3 percentage points higher than the national average [1] - The secondary industry contributed 46.1% to the growth of total electricity consumption in the region, making it the main driver of electricity demand, while the tertiary industry contributed 29.4%, indicating a continuous optimization and upgrading of the industrial structure [1] - Electricity consumption in the manufacturing sector increased by 3.8% year-on-year, with high-tech and equipment manufacturing growing by 2.1%, and specialized equipment and instrumentation manufacturing growing by 10% and 7.1% respectively [1] Group 2 - The "three new industries" in the Southern Power Grid region saw a significant electricity consumption increase of 33.8% year-on-year, reflecting the accumulation of new growth momentum [1] - The electricity consumption in the "dual carbon" industries grew by 34% year-on-year, with new energy vehicle manufacturing increasing by 9.6% and charging and swapping service industries growing by 43.3%, indicating a rapid cultivation of green productivity [1] - The service sector in the Southern five provinces performed well in the first half of the year, with digital transformation accelerating the growth of electricity consumption in the tertiary industry [2] Group 3 - The growth rates of electricity consumption in productive services, living services, and modern services improved by 0.8, 0.2, and 0.5 percentage points respectively compared to the cumulative growth from January to May [2] - The digital industry saw a year-on-year electricity consumption increase of 3.8%, while internet data services experienced a remarkable growth of 35.8% [2]
广东上半年GDP同比增长4.2%,机器人、无人机产量快速增长
Economic Overview - Guangdong's GDP reached 68,725.40 billion yuan in the first half of the year, with a year-on-year growth of 4.2%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points from the first quarter [1] - The primary industry added value was 2,258.86 billion yuan, growing by 4.2%; the secondary industry added value was 25,978.86 billion yuan, growing by 3.4%; and the tertiary industry added value was 40,487.69 billion yuan, growing by 4.6% [1] Industrial Performance - The industrial added value above designated size in Guangdong grew by 4.0% year-on-year, with a 0.1 percentage point acceleration from the first quarter, and a growth of 5.3% in June [1] - Key industries showed stable support, with the computer, communication, and other electronic equipment manufacturing industry growing by 7.3%, electrical machinery and equipment manufacturing by 7.8%, automotive manufacturing by 7.2%, and petroleum, coal, and other fuel processing industries by 8.6% [1] New Growth Drivers - Advanced manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing added value grew by 5.9% and 6.0% respectively, accounting for 55.4% and 33.0% of the industrial added value above designated size [1] - High-tech product output saw rapid growth, with new energy vehicles, lithium-ion batteries for energy storage, industrial robots, service robots, and civilian drones increasing by 14.7%, 42.2%, 34.0%, 23.0%, and 58.2% respectively [1] Service Sector - The added value of the service industry grew by 4.6% year-on-year, with a 0.3 percentage point acceleration from the first quarter [2] - From January to May, the operating income of service enterprises above designated size increased by 7.5%, with transportation, warehousing, and postal services, information transmission, software, and IT services, and leasing and business services growing by 9.3%, 8.3%, and 9.3% respectively [2] Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment in Guangdong decreased by 9.7% year-on-year, with equipment renewal policies driving a 1.5% increase in equipment and tool purchases [2] - Industrial investment accounted for 38.1%, with automotive manufacturing and petroleum, coal, and other fuel processing industries seeing investment growth of 14.6% and 57.9% respectively [2] - Real estate development investment fell by 16.3%, with new commercial housing sales area declining by 10.6%, although the decline was 20.0% less than the previous year [2] Consumer Market - The total retail sales of consumer goods in Guangdong grew by 3.5% year-on-year, with a 1.0 percentage point acceleration from the first quarter [2] - Categories related to trade-in programs saw rapid growth, with retail sales of household appliances and audio-visual equipment, cultural and office supplies, furniture, communication equipment, and building materials increasing by 44.9%, 38.5%, 65.5%, 24.2%, and 35.2% respectively [2]
上半年高技术产业“规律性”领跑,产业发展新动能在积聚
Core Viewpoint - The industrial production in China showed a rapid growth in the first half of the year, with a year-on-year increase of 6.4% in the value added of industrial enterprises above designated size, driven by strong performance in equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing sectors [1][2]. Group 1: Industrial Growth - The value added of the equipment manufacturing industry increased by 10.2% year-on-year, while the high-tech manufacturing industry saw a growth of 9.5%, both outpacing the overall industrial growth by 3.8 and 3.1 percentage points respectively [3]. - The monthly growth rates for high-tech manufacturing in the first half of the year were consistently above the overall industrial growth, with notable increases of 10.7% in March and 9.7% in June [3]. Group 2: Economic Policy and Support - The government is expected to implement more robust growth policies in the second half of the year, with a focus on stabilizing economic performance and enhancing market order [1][6]. - The central government has a rich "policy toolbox" and is preparing to introduce measures based on market changes to support economic stability [1][6]. Group 3: New Industries and Technologies - New industries and technologies are rapidly developing, with significant year-on-year production increases in 3D printing equipment (43.1%), new energy vehicles (36.2%), and industrial robots (35.6%) [4]. - The contribution of new technologies and products is anticipated to provide new growth points for the economy, potentially becoming a new pillar of growth in the coming years [4]. Group 4: Market Order and Competition - Measures are being developed to address the issue of "involution" in certain industries, aiming to improve market order and enhance product quality while phasing out outdated production capacity [7]. - The Producer Price Index (PPI) decreased by 2.8% year-on-year in the first half of the year, but there are expectations for a moderate recovery in prices in the second half [7].
国家统计局答一财:五大因素支持下半年价格低位温和回升
第一财经· 2025-07-15 05:36
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent changes in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in China, highlighting a shift from negative to positive growth in June, driven by various economic factors and policy measures [1][2]. Group 1: CPI Trends - In June, the CPI increased by 0.1% year-on-year, ending a four-month streak of negative growth, with the core CPI reaching a new high in nearly 14 months [1]. - The decline in CPI earlier in the year was significantly influenced by food prices, which fell by 0.9%, and energy prices, which decreased by 3.2%, collectively pulling down the CPI by approximately 0.4 percentage points [2]. Group 2: Factors Supporting Price Recovery - Several factors are expected to support a moderate recovery in prices in the second half of the year: 1. The economy is maintaining a stable and positive trend, with continued expansion in total demand, providing a macroeconomic foundation for price stability [3]. 2. Policies aimed at expanding domestic demand are expected to effectively stimulate consumption and support a rebound in consumer prices [3]. 3. Regulatory measures to address low-price disorder in the market will help improve market order and environment [4]. 4. The holiday effect is anticipated to promote stability or an increase in service-related prices [4]. 5. Technical factors indicate that the downward pressure from tail effects on both CPI and PPI will diminish in the second half of the year [4].
(经济观察)中国经济“半年报”凸显四大亮点
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-07-15 04:57
Economic Performance Highlights - China's GDP grew by 5.3% year-on-year in the first half of the year, with a quarterly growth of 5.4% in Q1 and 5.2% in Q2, indicating a steady increase compared to the same period last year [2] - The urban survey unemployment rate averaged 5.2%, showing a slight decrease of 0.1 percentage points from Q1, reflecting a stable employment situation [2] - Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed fluctuations, with a year-on-year decrease of 0.1% in several months, but turned positive in June with a 0.1% increase [2] New Growth Drivers - High-tech manufacturing saw significant growth, with production of 3D printing equipment, new energy vehicles, and industrial robots increasing by 43.1%, 36.2%, and 35.6% respectively [3] - Investment in high-tech industries outpaced other sectors, with information services, aerospace, and computer equipment manufacturing investments growing by 37.4%, 26.3%, and 21.5% respectively [3] - The added value of high-tech industries increased by 9.5% year-on-year, with new industries, new business formats, and new models expected to contribute approximately 18% to GDP by 2024 [3] Green Development - The green industry is advancing, with new energy vehicles and lithium batteries experiencing growth rates exceeding 30% and 53.3% respectively [4] - Green consumption is becoming a trend, with significant growth in the consumption of new energy vehicles, energy-saving appliances, and smart home devices [4] Domestic Circulation Improvement - Domestic circulation has been prioritized, with policies aimed at expanding domestic demand and promoting production [5] - The contribution of domestic demand to GDP growth was 68.8%, with final consumption expenditure contributing 52%, marking it as the main driver of growth [5] - Freight turnover increased by 5.1% year-on-year, and passenger turnover grew by 4.9% [5]