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固定收益点评:寻找业绩亮眼的转债
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-09-21 13:20
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In H1 2025, most convertible bond issuers saw revenue growth compared to the previous year, with profits showing some divergence. Amid the bullish equity market since April, investors should focus on low - price and equity - biased convertible bonds with excellent or improving performance and high - quality underlying stocks [1][3][8]. 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1 2025H1 Convertible Bond Performance Overview - Revenue: By August 30, 61.7% of convertible bond issuers had year - on - year revenue growth, mainly in the (0, 30%] range. In Q2 2025, 77.5% had quarter - on - quarter revenue growth, also concentrated in the (0, 30%] range [8][9]. - Profit: 50.2% of convertible bond issuers had year - on - year growth in net profit attributable to shareholders, with significant differences in performance. In Q2 2025, 53.3% had quarter - on - quarter growth, and the industries with the most issuers having a quarter - on - quarter growth rate of over 100% were electronics, building decoration, and power equipment [8][9]. 3.2 Industries and Convertible Bond Issues with Outstanding Performance 3.2.1 Year - on - Year Dimension - Industry: In terms of revenue, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery, non - bank finance, and electronics led; in terms of performance, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery, building materials, and media had the highest year - on - year growth rates. The agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery industry achieved a significant turnaround in performance, with the net profit attributable to shareholders increasing by 6799.93% year - on - year [15]. - Convertible Bond Issues: Huahong Convertible Bond, Wanqing Convertible Bond, Jingrui Convertible Bond, Jingrui Convertible Bond 2, and Muyuan Convertible Bond had the top four year - on - year growth rates in net profit attributable to shareholders in H1 2025 [23]. 3.2.2 Quarter - on - Quarter Dimension - Industry: In terms of revenue, communication, building materials, and non - bank finance led; in terms of performance, building materials, social services, and communication had the highest quarter - on - quarter growth rates in Q2 2025. Some industries such as building materials showed signs of bottoming out and reversing [26]. - Convertible Bond Issues: Jiaojian Convertible Bond, Hengfeng Convertible Bond, Huayang Convertible Bond, Aojia Convertible Bond, and Tianchuang Convertible Bond had the top five quarter - on - quarter growth rates in net profit attributable to shareholders in Q2 2025 [35]. 3.3 Industries and Convertible Bond Issues with Significant Performance Improvement 3.3.1 Industries and Issues with Year - on - Year Turnaround from Loss to Profit - Industries: Agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery, medicine, and electronics had the most issuers turning around from loss to profit year - on - year. Representative issues include Shanbo Convertible Bond, Tianchuang Convertible Bond, and Jingrui Convertible Bond [38]. 3.3.2 Industries and Issues with Quarter - on - Quarter Turnaround from Loss to Profit - Industries: Power equipment, computer, and construction industries had the most issuers turning around from loss to profit quarter - on - quarter. Representative issues include Jiaojian Convertible Bond, Jidong Convertible Bond, and Like Convertible Bond [45]. 3.3.3 Industries and Issues with Year - on - Year Reduction in Losses - Industries: Computer, power equipment, and building decoration industries had the most issuers with reduced losses year - on - year. Representative issues include Shuangliang Convertible Bond and Xinfu Convertible Bond [50]. 3.3.4 Industries and Issues with Quarter - on - Quarter Reduction in Losses - Industries: Power equipment, computer, and medicine industries had the most issuers with reduced losses quarter - on - quarter. Representative issues include Tong 22 Convertible Bond, Long 22 Convertible Bond, and Shanshi Convertible Bond [56]. 3.4 Convertible Bonds Worth Attention in the Bullish Equity Market 3.4.1 Convertible Bonds in the Excellent Performance Sector - Five convertible bonds, including Muyuan Convertible Bond, Daotong Convertible Bond, Zhongchong Convertible Bond 2, Weice Convertible Bond, and Anji Convertible Bond, were selected based on certain criteria [61]. 3.4.2 Convertible Bonds with Improving Performance - Four convertible bonds, including Liang 22 Convertible Bond, Site Convertible Bond, Chutian Convertible Bond, and Li'ang Convertible Bond, are recommended for continuous attention [63].
2025.09.22 新闻监测:宏观、供应链|美联储降息后 中国维持利率不变 全球经济对“关税冲击”阶段性消化
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-20 15:54
1. 中国维持利率不变,观望外部宽松传导 9月18日,在美联储降息后,中国人民银行选择维持7天逆回购利率与中期借贷便利(MLF)操作利率不变,延续稳健取向。市场普遍认为这一做法为"稳中 有进",通过结构性工具托底实体经济,同时观察外部宽松与国内通胀修复的节奏,为后续操作预留空间。 2. 全球经济对"关税冲击"阶段性消化 近期美国多轮加征关税引发市场担忧,但主要经济体的增长与就业数据表现显示"承压但未失速"。制造商与供应链正在通过转产、调价和前置备货进行适 应。若政策预期稳定,全球需求有望逐步回归基本面驱动。 3. 中国稀土磁体出口创七个月新高 8月份中国稀土磁体出口环比增加10.2%至6,146吨、同比增长15.4%,实现"三连增"。在新能源车与风电需求支撑下,产业预期回暖。但对美出口同比仍有 回落,显示市场结构分化仍存。 4. 油价受地缘风险短期走高,中期供给宽松预期未改 乌方无人机袭击俄能源设施引发市场对供应中断的担忧,推动油价短线上扬。但机构预计四季度及2026年可能供给过剩,对远期油价形成下行压力。短 期"地缘与库存"和中期"产能与配额"的博弈将主导油市。 闻灯新闻监测是我司的明星类服务产品,可满足每 ...
东风汽车成立新公司 加快零部件新能源转型
人民财讯9月19日电,东风汽车近日宣布成立东风汽车集团跃创科技有限公司(简称"跃创科技"),进一 步整合零部件研发、制造和人才资源,以"高技术、高价值"零部件产品助力整车电动化、智能化转型, 这是东风汽车全力以赴推动新能源转型升级的重要举措。 ...
预计下周四挂牌交易!今年港股规模最大IPO来了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-19 04:38
Group 1 - Chery Automobile is set to complete its IPO process in Hong Kong, marking the largest IPO in the market for 2025, with shares expected to begin trading on September 25 [2] - The company plans to globally offer 297 million shares, with 29.73 million shares allocated for Hong Kong and 268 million shares for international investors, alongside an overallotment option of 44.61 million shares [2] - The pricing range for the IPO is set between HKD 27.75 and HKD 30.75, with the final price expected to be determined on September 23 [2] Group 2 - Chery's financial performance has shown significant growth, with revenue increasing from CNY 92.618 billion in 2022 to CNY 269.897 billion in 2024, and net profit rising from CNY 5.806 billion to CNY 14.334 billion during the same period [3] - In the first quarter of 2025, the company reported revenue of CNY 68.223 billion and a net profit of CNY 4.726 billion [3] - Chery became the second-largest domestic passenger car brand in China in 2024, achieving global passenger car sales of 2.295 million units and maintaining its position as the top exporter of Chinese brand passenger cars for 22 consecutive years [3]
奇瑞汽车IPO估值承压、募资额或大幅缩水 如何摆脱"传统车企"烙印和"廉价"标签?
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-18 10:09
Core Viewpoint - Chery Automobile is facing significant challenges in its IPO process, with a substantial reduction in expected fundraising amounts and concerns over its low R&D investment and profitability compared to leading competitors in the industry [1][3][9]. Financial Performance - Chery's revenue and net profit have shown consistent growth from 2022 to 2024, with revenues of 926.18 billion yuan, 1,632.05 billion yuan, and 2,698.97 billion yuan, and net profits of 58.06 billion yuan, 104.44 billion yuan, and 143.34 billion yuan respectively [3][5]. - In Q1 2025, Chery achieved a revenue of 682.23 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 24.2%, with a net profit of 47.26 billion yuan, up 90.9% year-on-year [3]. Market Position and Sales - In 2024, Chery sold 2.604 million vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 38.4%, making it the second-largest domestic brand in terms of sales [5][10]. - Despite strong sales, Chery's average vehicle price was 10.36 million yuan, with a net profit of approximately 0.55 million yuan per vehicle, the lowest among major competitors [11][12]. R&D and Technological Transition - Chery has committed to increasing R&D investment, with planned expenditures of 1 billion yuan over five years for smart technology development, but the effectiveness of these investments remains questionable [6][9]. - The company’s R&D spending from 2022 to Q1 2025 was 41.28 billion yuan, 68.49 billion yuan, 105.44 billion yuan, and 27.61 billion yuan, but the proportion of R&D investment relative to revenue has been declining [7][9]. Challenges in Electrification and High-End Market - Chery's transition to electric and smart vehicles has been slow, with only 30% of total sales being electric vehicles as of 2025, despite the domestic market's rapid growth in this segment [6][9]. - The partnership with Huawei to develop high-end models has not yielded expected results, with the models failing to gain traction in the market [2][13]. Overseas Market Performance - Chery has emphasized its strong export performance, claiming to be the top exporter for 22 consecutive years, but the average selling price of its vehicles in overseas markets is significantly lower than competitors [10][11]. - In 2024, Chery's overseas sales reached 1.1446 million units, with a year-on-year growth of 21.4%, but the average selling price was only 8.8 million yuan, raising concerns about its competitiveness [11][12].
潍柴动力(000338.SZ/2338.HK)30倍市值增长密码,藏在不断打破的边界中
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-18 05:18
Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of long-term investment strategies, highlighting that companies with sustainable value creation and competitive advantages will ultimately meet market expectations [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Weichai Power is presented as a model of long-termism in the A-share market, with its total market value increasing approximately 30 times since its listing [2] - The company's strategic expansion from a single engine business to various sectors such as power systems, commercial vehicles, and agricultural equipment is crucial for understanding its future direction [2] Group 2: Strategic Business Growth - In the first half of 2025, Weichai Power's strategic business experienced explosive growth, becoming a core driver of performance and valuation, particularly highlighted by the strong sales of large-bore engines [3] - Large-bore engine sales exceeded 5,000 units in the first half of 2025, marking a 41% year-on-year increase, with revenue reaching 2.52 billion yuan, a 73% increase [4] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The growth in large-bore engines is driven by the high demand in the global AIDC (Artificial Intelligence Data Center) industry and the trend of domestic substitution [5] - The market for large-bore diesel engines in Chinese data centers is projected to approach 10 billion yuan by 2025, with the global market expected to exceed 40 billion yuan by 2026 [5] Group 4: Competitive Advantage - Weichai Power has gained a competitive edge in the large-bore engine market, which has historically been dominated by international giants, by leveraging its technological advancements and cost advantages [5][6] - The high price and gross margin characteristics of large-bore engines contribute to revenue growth and optimize the company's profit structure [6] Group 5: New Energy Transition - Weichai Power is accelerating its transition to new energy, positioning itself as a leader in the sector through a multi-technology approach including pure electric, hybrid, and fuel cell technologies [7][8] - In the first half of 2025, the company's new energy technology business generated 1.21 billion yuan in revenue, a 37% year-on-year increase, with battery sales reaching 2.32 GWh, a 91% increase [8] Group 6: Future Growth Potential - The company aims to double its new energy revenue by 2025, supported by increasing penetration rates in heavy trucks, light trucks, and construction machinery [9] - Weichai Power's comprehensive industry chain advantage allows it to respond effectively to market demands, ensuring the successful realization of its growth targets [9] Group 7: Shareholder Returns - Weichai Power's 30-fold market value increase is attributed to its commitment to long-term value, reflected in its diversified business layout and consistent shareholder returns [10][12] - Since its listing in 2004, the company has distributed cash dividends exceeding 38 billion yuan, with current dividend yields of 5.21% for H-shares and 5.03% for A-shares, ranking among the industry's top [10][12]
猛士系列商标引入新合资公司,东风与华为升级合作
第一财经· 2025-09-18 00:54
2025.09. 18 本文字数:921,阅读时长大约1.5分钟 作者 | 第一财经 黄琳 第一财经记者了解到,此次,东风集团股份出资的无形资产使用权包括猛士系列的商标权、车型平台及智能驾驶专有技术资产组的许可使用权。上述合 资公司成立后,东风猛士生产基地将包括襄阳工厂、武汉工厂和十堰工厂,三家工厂生产的车型各有侧重。其中,襄阳工厂将侧重轻越野乘用车、武汉 工厂将倾向重越野乘用车。此前,襄阳工厂生产车型主要为东风日产旗下的高端品牌英菲尼迪。 微信编辑 | 七三 第一财经持续追踪财经热点。若您掌握公司动态、行业趋势、金融事件等有价值的线索,欢迎提供。 专用邮箱: bianjibu@yicai.com (注:我们会对线索进行核实。您的隐私将严格保密。) 相关人士告诉记者,随着东风集团股份即将私有化退市和新能源转型加速,东风猛士在上述合资公司中的业务层组织架构、运营模式将接近于新势力品 牌,品牌更为独立、管理更现代化,但暂未有上市规划。目前,合资公司的管理层仍待商榷。 根据规划,合资公司将按照市场化原则组建,建立扁平化、独立的内部治理体系和多元化的企业管理机制,实现资源共享,构建"政府引导、企业主 导、产业协同"的 ...
猛士系列商标引入新合资公司,东风与华为升级合作
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-09-18 00:09
Group 1 - The new joint venture marks an important step in the deepening cooperation between Dongfeng and Huawei, focusing on the manufacturing and sales of intelligent off-road vehicles under the Mengshi brand with a registered capital of 8.47 billion yuan [1][2] - The joint venture will utilize Dongfeng Group's intangible asset rights, including trademark rights, vehicle platform, and proprietary technology for intelligent driving, with production bases in Xiangyang, Wuhan, and Shiyan, each focusing on different vehicle types [1] - The establishment of the joint venture is expected to modernize the management and operational structure of Dongfeng Mengshi, aligning it more closely with new force brands, although there are currently no plans for an IPO [1] Group 2 - The joint venture will be structured based on market principles, establishing a flat and independent internal governance system, promoting resource sharing, and creating a new development mechanism that emphasizes government guidance, enterprise leadership, and industrial collaboration [2] - The collaboration between Dongfeng Mengshi and Huawei will deepen in areas such as intelligent automotive product development, marketing, and ecological services, entering a new model that is between the "HI" model and the "Smart Choice Car" model [2] - Huawei will open its processes and capabilities, while Dongfeng will integrate Huawei's IPD (Integrated Product Development) and IPMS (Integrated Product Marketing and Services) management methods with its existing processes for collaborative innovation [2]
8月动力电池装车量稳步增长 | 投研报告
Core Viewpoint - The report indicates a positive outlook for the development of the new energy vehicle market in China, driven by increasing sales and battery installation volumes [1][2]. Group 1: New Energy Vehicle Sales - In August 2025, China's new energy vehicle sales reached 1.395 million units, a year-on-year increase of 26.82%, with a penetration rate of 48.8% [1][2]. - From January to August 2025, new energy vehicle sales totaled 9.62 million units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 36.7% and a penetration rate of 45.5% [1][2]. Group 2: Battery Installation Volume - In August, the installation volume of power batteries in China was 62.5 GWh, representing a year-on-year increase of 32% [2]. - Cumulatively, from January to August 2025, the total installation volume of power batteries reached 418 GWh, with a year-on-year growth of 43% [2]. Group 3: Battery Type Performance - In August, the installation volume of lithium iron phosphate batteries was 51.6 GWh, accounting for 83% of total installations, with a year-on-year increase of 47% [2]. - The installation volume of ternary batteries was 10.9 GWh, making up 17% of total installations, with a year-on-year decrease of 9.9% [2]. - From January to August 2025, the installation volume of lithium iron phosphate batteries was 340.4 GWh, representing 81% of total installations and a year-on-year increase of 65% [2]. - The installation volume of ternary batteries during the same period was 77.2 GWh, accounting for 18% of total installations, with a year-on-year decrease of 10% [2]. Group 4: Leading Companies in Battery Installation - In August, CATL's battery installation volume was 26.45 GWh, representing 42% of total installations, with a year-on-year growth of 26% [3]. - BYD's battery installation volume was 13.02 GWh, accounting for 21% of total installations, with a year-on-year increase of 11% [3]. - From January to August 2025, CATL's cumulative battery installation volume was 178.2 GWh, representing 43% of total installations, with a year-on-year growth of 33% [3]. - BYD's cumulative battery installation volume during the same period was 95.2 GWh, accounting for 23% of total installations, with a year-on-year increase of 33% [3]. Group 5: Industry Performance - The electric equipment industry experienced a weekly change of 0.53%, ranking 22nd among 31 primary industries, underperforming compared to the CSI 300 index [4]. - The weekly performance of major indices included a rise of 1.52% for the Shanghai Composite Index, 1.38% for the CSI 300, 2.65% for the Shenzhen Component Index, and 2.10% for the ChiNext Index [4]. - In the sub-sectors, the performance of electric motors II, other power equipment II, photovoltaic equipment, wind power equipment, batteries, and grid equipment varied, with electric motors II showing a significant increase of 10.76% [4].
超560家德企之乡太仓,与一家德企的30年丨活力中国调研行
(原标题:超560家德企之乡太仓,与一家德企的30年丨活力中国调研行) 21世纪经济报道记者 陈归辞 太仓报道 小城太仓,方圆约810平方公里,常住人口不足85万,去年人均GDP却有22.18万元,超过上海。 德国舍弗勒集团是德国十大家族企业之一,是全球第二大滚动轴承制造商和全球知名汽车零部件供应 商。 1995年,舍弗勒进入中国投资生产。三十年来,舍弗勒在中国市场的投资不断扩大,共建设了6大研发 中心和17座工厂,2024年在中国区的营收占全球营收的19%。 在太仓,舍弗勒1995年成立了公司,并于1998年正式投产,这也是其在中国的首个工厂。目前太仓基地 已成为舍弗勒在中国区的最大制造基地,共设有5座工厂、1个智能装备公司、1个模具中心、1个综合服 务中心和1个双元制培训中心,员工数达7000。 舍弗勒在太仓和中国发展的30年,也是其与太仓和中国产业共同成长的30年。 舍弗勒太仓制造基地五厂厂长楼峻峰在接受21世纪经济报道记者等媒体采访时表示,舍弗勒来华兴业的 最初十余年,更多是"师傅带徒弟",把德国的技术和设备引入进中国,服务公司当时的主要国际客户。 2005、2006年左右起,公司在太仓逐渐设立了智能 ...