消息面上，全球地缘政治风险继续升温，俄乌、伊朗、格陵兰岛方面均有事态升级。避险情绪推升黄金 价格，截至发稿，国际COMEX黄金向上突破4600美元/盎司，再创历史新高！ 伴随火热的行情，资金积极进场！截至发稿，有色ETF华宝（159876）获资金实时净申购1500万份，拉 长时间来看，近10日狂揽3.31亿元！ 成份股方面，中稀有色涨超6%，盛新锂能涨逾4%，兴业银锡、湖南白银、钢研有色、白银有色等个股 涨超3%。权重股方面，山东黄金、北方稀土、赣锋锂业涨逾2%。 展望后市，中信证券指出，在流动性宽松、供应扰动频发和需求结构性强劲的预期下，2026年铜、铝、 金、战略金属、电池金属等品种有望延续涨势，市场对于资源品配置价值的认可度有望进一步提升。 【有色风口已至，"超级周期"势不可挡】 或由于俄乌等地缘事态升级，黄金价格再创历史新高，1月12日，有色ETF华宝（159876）场内价格盘 中涨超2.5%，现涨0.37%，继续刷新上市以来的高点！ 高盛预测，到2026年年底，金价将涨至每盎司4900美元。知名研究机构Yardeni Research大幅上调黄金 价格预期，强调贵金属市场的强劲涨势，主要反映的是宏观 ...

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a significant rally, with the Shanghai Composite Index breaking through 4100 points, achieving a 16-day winning streak, and the Shenzhen Component Index rising over 1% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 3.12 trillion yuan, marking a 322.4 billion yuan increase from the previous trading day, and surpassing the 3 trillion yuan mark for the fifth time in history [1] Key Sectors Military Industry - The military sector saw substantial gains, with the military ETF Huabao (512810) surging over 5.5% during the day and achieving a weekly increase of 13.57%, marking seven consecutive weeks of gains [3][4] - Among the 80 constituent stocks of the military ETF, 73 stocks rose, with 8 stocks increasing over 10% and several reaching historical highs [3][6] - The growth in the military sector is attributed to various catalysts, including favorable policies in the commercial aerospace sector, with predictions indicating that China's commercial aerospace industry could reach a scale of 8 trillion yuan by 2030 [6][8] Non-Ferrous Metals - The non-ferrous metals sector continued to soar, with the non-ferrous ETF Huabao (159876) rising 3.24% to reach a new historical high, supported by a net inflow of 575.6 million yuan in a single day [9][11] - The sector has seen significant interest from institutional investors, with a total net inflow of 1.94 billion yuan over the past five days [9] Artificial Intelligence - The AI application sector experienced explosive growth, with the ChiNext AI ETF (159363) reaching a new high, and several stocks, including Yidian Tianxia, hitting the daily limit of 20% [15][17] - The AI market is expected to see rapid penetration into various industries, with significant advancements in AI infrastructure and data governance anticipated in 2026 [17] Investment Opportunities - The military ETF Huabao (512810) is positioned as an efficient tool for investing in core military assets, covering themes such as commercial aerospace, controlled nuclear fusion, and military AI [8] - The non-ferrous ETF Huabao (159876) provides exposure to a wide range of metals, including copper, aluminum, and rare earths, which are expected to benefit from ongoing demand and supply constraints [11] - The ChiNext AI ETF (159363) focuses on AI applications and is expected to capture the growth in this sector effectively, with a significant portion of its portfolio allocated to leading companies in the AI space [18]

Group 1 - The non-ferrous metal sector experienced significant inflows, with a net capital inflow of 17.5 billion yuan on January 9, ranking third among 31 Shenwan first-level industries [1] - The popular ETF, Huabao Non-ferrous ETF (159876), saw its price rise over 3.5% during the day, closing up 3.24%, reaching a new historical high [1] - The ETF recorded a net subscription of 57.6 million units, with a total net inflow of 279 million yuan over the past 10 days [1] Group 2 - Several small metal varieties have seen significant price increases, particularly tungsten, driven by supply constraints and growing demand for strategic resources [2] - Analysts predict a "super cycle" for industrial metals like copper and aluminum, supported by loose liquidity and strong structural demand [2][3] - The Huabao Non-ferrous ETF covers a wide range of sectors including copper, aluminum, gold, rare earths, and lithium, allowing for better exposure to the entire sector's performance [4]

Group 1 - The non-ferrous metal sector is experiencing significant growth, with the Huabao Non-ferrous ETF (159876) rising over 3.5% on January 9, reaching a historical high [1][8] - The ETF has attracted a net subscription of 55.8 million units, with a total inflow of 194 million yuan over the past five days and 279 million yuan over the last ten days [1][8] - Prices for tungsten have notably increased, with black tungsten concentrate (≥65%) priced at 485,000 yuan/ton, up 5.4% week-on-week, and tungsten powder at 1,130 yuan/kg, up 6.5% week-on-week, both reaching historical highs [1][10] Group 2 - Analysts indicate that the entire tungsten product line is expected to rebound after a brief correction by the end of 2025, driven by supply constraints and global demand for strategic resources [12] - The current economic cycle is characterized as a "slump phase" within the fifth Kondratiev wave, where traditional tech benefits are peaking and new technologies like AI are still emerging, suggesting that commodity assets may benefit [12] - The U.S. faces recession pressures, with high sovereign debt and trade deficits weakening the dollar's credibility, leading to increased interest in gold as a global standard, which may also positively impact the valuation of other commodities like copper [12] Group 3 - Concept stocks providing non-ferrous metals for commercial aerospace have significantly outperformed, with HaiLiang Co., Yunnan Zhenye, and Xiamen Tungsten all hitting the daily limit [3][10] - Major stocks such as Shandong Gold and Luoyang Molybdenum have also shown strong performance, with increases of over 5% and 4% respectively [3][10] Group 4 - The Huabao Non-ferrous ETF and its linked funds comprehensively cover various sectors including copper, aluminum, gold, rare earths, and lithium, allowing for better capture of the sector's beta trends [5][13] - The ETF's index includes precious metals (for hedging), strategic metals (for growth), and industrial metals (for recovery), catering to different economic cycles [5][13]

接着奏乐接着舞！1月9日，有色ETF华宝（159876）场内价格盘中猛拉3.33%，再创历史新高！截至发稿，获资金实时净申购5280万份，此前10日累计吸金 2.79亿元，伴随火热行情，资金狂涌！ 成份股方面，为商业航天提供有色金属的概念股显著领涨，云南锗业涨停，厦门钨业涨超9%，驰宏锌锗涨逾7%，海亮股份、西部超导等个股跟涨。权重股 方面，洛阳钼业涨超4%，紫金矿业、山东黄金涨逾3%，中国铝业、北方稀土涨超2%。 消息面上，中国央行连续第14个月增持黄金。国金证券指出，全球滞胀、秩序混沌、美国赤字货币化的核心支撑逻辑未变。展望2026年，黄金牛市基础依然 稳固，上涨趋势未改，且有望外溢至相关有色金属及战略金属领域。 放眼海外，本周五（北京时间 1月9日21：30），美国统计局将发布12月非农就业报告。中信建投期货表示，2026年美联储货币政策偏鸽，大概率进一步渐 进式降息，为有色市场提供偏多环境。东方证券指出，美联储降息周期里，供需偏紧的实物资产，即使是较小的供需缺口也有望产生较大的价格弹性。本轮 降息周期下，以铜、铝为代表的工业金属超级周期或已来临。 国联民生证券认为，美国降息周期延续，流动性宽松继续利好 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights a recent pullback in the Huabao Nonferrous ETF (159876) after achieving a five-day consecutive rise, with a slight decline of 0.65% on January 8, 2023, prompting investors to see this as a buying opportunity [1] - The Huabao Nonferrous ETF has seen a net subscription of 64.2 million units, with a total net inflow of 140 million yuan over the past five days [1] - Key stocks in the ETF, particularly those related to commercial aerospace, have shown significant gains, with Yunnan Zhenye leading with over a 7% increase, followed by Steel Research High-Tech with over 4%, and several others exceeding 3% [1] Group 2 - As of December 2025, China's gold reserves are reported to be 74.15 million ounces, marking an increase of 30,000 ounces from the end of November, indicating the central bank's continuous accumulation of gold for the 14th consecutive month [3] - Global economic conditions, including stagflation and the U.S. deficit monetization, are expected to support a bullish trend for gold into 2026, which may also positively impact related nonferrous and strategic metals [3] - The U.S. Federal Reserve is anticipated to adopt a dovish monetary policy, likely leading to gradual interest rate cuts, which would create a favorable environment for nonferrous metal prices [3] Group 3 - The Huabao Nonferrous ETF and its associated funds comprehensively cover various sectors including copper, aluminum, gold, rare earths, and lithium, allowing for better exposure to different economic cycles [4] - The ETF's index includes precious metals (for hedging), strategic metals (for growth), and industrial metals (for recovery), providing a broad-based investment strategy [4]

昨日（1月7日）揽尽有色金属行业龙头的有色ETF华宝（159876）场内价格盘中涨超1.6%，收涨0.38%，斩获日线4连涨，全天成交额8293万元，ETF继 续放量突破上市高点！ 伴随火热的行情，资金积极抢筹！深交所数据显示，有色ETF华宝（159876）近5日连续获资金净流入，合计金额1.4亿元！ 值得关注的是，截至1月7日，有色ETF华宝（159876）最新规模10.19亿元，即规模首次突破10亿元，再创历史新高，在全市场同标的指数的3只ETF产 品中，规模断层第一。 【有色风口已至，"超级周期"势不可挡】 有色ETF华宝（159876）及其联接基金（A类：017140，C类：017141）标的指数全面覆盖铜、铝、黄金、稀土、锂等行业，涵盖贵金属（避险）、战 略金属（成长）、工业金属（复苏）等不同景气周期，全品类覆盖能够更好把握整个板块的贝塔行情。 *机构观点参考资料来源：①中信建投2026年1月4日研报《地缘冲突再起，资源牛市延续》；②华鑫期货接受上海证券报采访时观点，详见2026年1月6 日发布文章《2026"有色盛宴"或仍延续，一季度有望迎来"开门红"》；③国联民生证券2026年1月5日研报《金属 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent performance of the Huabao Nonferrous Metal ETF (159876) indicates strong investor interest, with a significant net subscription of 56.4 million units and a total inflow of 97.49 million yuan over the past five days, suggesting a bullish sentiment in the nonferrous metals sector [1][5]. Group 1: ETF Performance - The Huabao Nonferrous Metal ETF saw an intraday price increase of over 1.6%, reaching a new high before stabilizing near the waterline, currently down 0.28% with a trading volume exceeding 69 million yuan [1]. - The ETF's trading volume is approaching the total volume of the previous day, indicating potential for further upward movement [1]. Group 2: Component Stocks - Leading stocks in the rare earth sector showed significant gains, with Zhongqi Rare Earth hitting the daily limit, and other companies like China Rare Earth and Northern Rare Earth rising over 6% and 4% respectively [3]. - Other notable performers include Xingye Silver Tin, which rose over 5%, and Huayou Cobalt and Western Superconducting, both increasing by more than 4% [3]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The Chinese government is considering tightening export license reviews for medium and heavy rare earth items, which could impact supply dynamics [4]. - The London Metal Exchange (LME) copper prices reached record highs, with nickel prices surging over 10% to a 19-month peak, driven by supply concerns [4]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Analysts predict a favorable outlook for the nonferrous metals market in early 2026, supported by a loose credit policy and seasonal demand ahead of the Spring Festival [5]. - The market is expected to respond positively to the anticipated dovish monetary policy from the Federal Reserve, which may lead to gradual interest rate cuts [5]. Group 5: ETF Coverage - The Huabao Nonferrous Metal ETF and its linked funds comprehensively cover various sectors including copper, aluminum, gold, rare earths, and lithium, allowing for better exposure to the entire sector's beta movements [6].

今日（1月7日）揽尽有色金属行业龙头的有色ETF华宝（159876）早盘活跃，场内价格盘中涨超 1.6%，续刷上市新高，午后随市盘整，当前在水面附近震荡，现跌0.28%，实时成交额超6900万元，半 日成交已逼近昨日全天成交额，有望继续放量突破上市高点！ ETF放量突破上市高点，或为资金买点信号！截至发稿，有色ETF华宝（159876）获资金实时净申购 5640万份，此前5日连续获资金净流入，合计金额9749万元。伴随火热的行情，资金火速进场布局！ | 序号 | 名称 | 涨跌幅 ▼ | 两日图 | 申万一级行业 | 甲力二级行业 | 申万三级行业 | 总市值 | 成交额 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 中穆有色 | 10.00% | ANTALLAND | 有色合腰 | 小金属 | 楊士 | 215亿 | 14.67亿 | | 2 | 中国图土 | 6.01% | ไ | 有色含風 | 小全属 | 梅士 | 5501Z | 37.44Z | | 3 | 兴财银储 | 5.26% | The first of th ...

昨日（1月6日）有色金属板块领涨两市，紫金矿业盘中总市值首次站上1万亿元大关，洛阳钼业创历史 新高，中国铝业再创15年新高，有色金属板块热门ETF——有色ETF华宝（159876）场内价格猛拉 4.21%续创历史新高！ ETF放量突破上市高点，或为资金买点信号！深交所数据显示，有色ETF华宝（159876）近5日连续获 资金净流入，合计金额9749万元，拉长时间来看，近20日狂揽1.26亿元，伴随火热的行情，资金火速进 场布局！ 值得关注的是，截至1月6日，有色ETF华宝（159876）最新规模9.56亿元，再创历史新高！ 消息面上，周二，美联储理事米兰在最新的讲话中表示，预计后续经济数据趋势可能支持美联储进一步 降息，美联储今年应降息超过100个基点。 中信建投证券认为，只要美联储还处于降息通道，有色金属价格仍有上涨动力。东方证券指出，美联储 降息周期里，供需偏紧的实物资产，即使是较小的供需缺口也有望产生较大的价格弹性。本轮降息周期 下，以铜、铝为代表的工业金属超级周期或已来临。 细分方向来看，亦有密集利好分化： 1、铝方面，中信建投证券指出，莫桑比克Mozal铝厂将于2026年3月15日转入无限期停产的消 ...