Workflow
美债收益率
icon
Search documents
美债收益率普遍跌超2个基点
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-09-15 22:19
每经AI快讯,周一(9月15日)纽约尾盘,美国10年期国债收益率跌2.87个基点,报4.0356%。两年期美 债收益率跌2.10个基点,报3.5347%。20年期美债收益率跌2.84个基点,30年期美债收益率跌2.60个基 点。 三年期美债收益率跌3.05个基点,五年期美债收益率跌3.12个基点,七年期美债收益率跌3.08个基点。 (文章来源:每日经济新闻) ...
美债收益率普遍跌超2个基点,美联储9月FOMC货币政策会议即将开幕
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-15 19:23
Core Viewpoint - The U.S. Treasury yields experienced a decline across various maturities, indicating a shift in market sentiment and potential implications for investment strategies [1] Summary by Category Treasury Yields - The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell by 2.87 basis points to 4.0356%, with a trading range of 4.0853% to 4.0280% during the day [1] - The 2-year Treasury yield decreased by 2.10 basis points to 3.5347% [1] - The 20-year Treasury yield dropped by 2.84 basis points, while the 30-year yield fell by 2.60 basis points [1] - The 3-year Treasury yield declined by 3.05 basis points, the 5-year yield decreased by 3.12 basis points, and the 7-year yield fell by 3.08 basis points [1] Yield Spread - The yield spread between the 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields decreased by 0.568 basis points, now at +49.885 basis points [1] TIPS Yields - The yield on the 10-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) fell by 2.83 basis points [1] - The 2-year TIPS yield increased by 0.64 basis points, while the 30-year TIPS yield decreased by 2.14 basis points [1]
降息箭在弦上,美债将如何演绎?
Economic Indicators - The U.S. Treasury market is showing significant sensitivity to economic cooling signals, with a notable decline in yields, particularly in the long end, where the 30-year Treasury yield dropped by 30 basis points since the beginning of the month[6] - The 5-year Treasury yield fell nearly 10 basis points following the release of August non-farm payroll data, reflecting a strong correlation with the Bloomberg Labor Market Surprise Index[7] - The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics revised non-farm employment numbers down by 910,000 over the past year, marking the largest revision since 2000, which indicates potential issues with statistical methods in the post-pandemic era[8] Labor Market Insights - The New York Fed's survey indicates that the probability of unemployed individuals finding a job within three months has decreased to 44.9%, while the probability of being unemployed within the next year has risen to 39.1%[8] - The market widely anticipates three rate cuts of 25 basis points each within the year due to the weakening labor market[8] Federal Reserve Policy - Fed Chair Jerome Powell's stance has shifted to a more dovish tone, emphasizing employment downside risks and removing the "zero lower bound" language from policy statements, reinforcing the "maximum employment" goal[14] - Political pressures on the Fed are increasing, with President Trump publicly pressuring Powell and pushing for appointments of pro-Trump individuals to the Fed Board, raising concerns about the Fed's independence[15] Market Dynamics - The current market pricing for long-term rates reflects caution due to uncertainties surrounding policy, fiscal sustainability, and the Fed's independence, with long-term rates potentially offering attractive duration exposure as short-term rates decline rapidly[17] - Short-term Treasuries are viewed as a "safe haven" but carry structural risks due to their high reflection of rate cut expectations, which compresses yield potential[19]
美债:10年期收益率降至4.06%,市场降息预期增强
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-14 14:25
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that U.S. Treasury yields have declined significantly, driven by cooling employment and falling inflation, with the market fully pricing in a Federal Reserve rate cut in September [1] - As of September 12, the 10-year Treasury yield fell by 16 basis points to 4.06%, while the 2-year yield decreased by 6 basis points and the 30-year yield dropped by 20 basis points over the same two-week period [1] - The U.S. Treasury's fiscal deficit for December was reported at $344.8 billion, with a 12-month cumulative deficit slightly decreasing to $1.89 trillion [1] Group 2 - The net short position in U.S. Treasury futures decreased to 5.915 million contracts, indicating a short-term closure of hedging demand in the interest rate market [1] - The Federal Reserve's policy statement has become more cautious, with market expectations for a 75 basis point rate cut by the end of the year exceeding 90% following weak non-farm payroll data on September 9 [1] - The Treasury General Account (TGA) balance increased by $71.79 billion over two weeks, while the Federal Reserve's reverse repo tool shrank by $10.2 billion, adding uncertainty to liquidity buffers [1]
美债收益率集体上涨,10年期美债收益率涨4.57个基点
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-09-12 22:52
每经AI快讯,周五(9月12日),美债收益率集体上涨,2年期美债收益率涨0.99个基点报3.549%,3年期 美债收益率涨1.94个基点报3.527%,5年期美债收益率涨3.81个基点报3.633%,10年期美债收益率涨4.57 个基点报4.070%,30年期美债收益率涨2.69个基点报4.681%。 ...
花旗:日美投资基金或促使日本动用所持美债
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-12 12:51
Core Insights - The $550 billion investment fund, part of the tariff agreement between Japan and the U.S., may significantly utilize Japan's $1.3 trillion foreign exchange reserves [1] - U.S. Treasury securities are a core component of Japan's foreign exchange reserves, and utilizing these bonds could trigger a chain reaction leading to an increase in long-term U.S. Treasury yields [1] - This situation may prompt the U.S. to pressure Japan to extend the maturity of its Treasury holdings [1] - From a currency policy perspective, the trend is expected to lean towards a weaker U.S. dollar and a stronger Japanese yen [1]
每日债券市场要闻速递(2025-09-12)
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-12 08:34
Group 1 - The Ministry of Finance reports that as of the end of August, the average interest cost of local debt replacement has decreased by over 2.5 percentage points [1] - The Central Clearing and Interbank Lending Center will jointly launch a centralized bond lending business [1] - Three departments are utilizing funds from ultra-long special government bonds to support large-scale equipment upgrades in the energy and electricity sectors, guiding high-quality industry development [1] Group 2 - The Ministry of Finance plans to issue a second tranche of the 2025 ultra-long special government bonds with a total face value of 82 billion yuan [1] - The Ministry of Finance intends to issue the first tranche of the 2025 book-entry interest-bearing government bonds with a total face value of 160 billion yuan [1] - CITIC Securities has received approval from the CSRC to publicly issue no more than 60 billion yuan in corporate bonds to professional investors [1] Group 3 - Yuexiu Group plans to pay interest on its 900 million yuan medium-term notes, with a remaining debt balance of 30 million yuan [1] - Several bond issuers have been publicly reprimanded, primarily due to violations in regular report disclosures [1] - Hainan has completed roadshows for issuing offshore RMB local government bonds in Hong Kong [1] Group 4 - NIO Automobile held its first creditors' meeting, confirming debts of approximately 5.1 billion yuan [1] - AllianzGI and other institutions have increased their holdings of Chinese government bonds [1] - Analysts predict that US Treasury yields will decline in the coming months, with the 10-year yield potentially reaching a low of 3.8% [1]
美债收益率涨跌不一,10年期美债收益率跌2.29个基点
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-09-11 22:12
每经AI快讯,周四(9月11日),美债收益率涨跌不一,2年期美债收益率涨0.19个基点报3.539%,3年期 美债收益率涨1.11个基点报3.508%,5年期美债收益率跌0.35个基点报3.595%,10年期美债收益率跌2.29 个基点报4.024%,30年期美债收益率跌4.15个基点报4.654%。 ...
轩锋—黄金大起大落如期整理,原油反弹到位果断空!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-11 03:09
黄金短期整理来回做, 原油反弹到位果断空! 隔夜美国8月生产者物价指数(PPI)环比意外下降0.1%,远低于经济学家预期的0.3%上涨,同时7月数据也被下修至0.7%。这一意外疲软的表现,直接缓解 了市场的通胀担忧,再度加剧了美联储降息的预期,美债收益率再度回落,再度给予黄金一定支撑,晚间的话关注CPI数据的最新指引情况,技术面上走势 继周二拉出高位十字星之后,上个交易在3620这个我们跟大家分享的关键支撑位置有效企稳如期走出了反弹,欧美盘二次拉伸之后在3657附近承压回踩到 3640附近然后再度反弹到3655附近再度震荡回落到3635附近,跟我们预期基本一致,大起大落之后维持一个反复整理的格局运行,我们早间跟大家分享的 3620/21附近做多,晚间3640附近做多也都是有收获,60附近空单没有给到进场机会,日内的话美盘前还是看整理,美盘后关注CPI数据之后再看强弱方向情 况。 | DIV | .00 | 3623.97 | 3616.00 | 3640.00 | 2025.09.10 04:06:57 | 3640.00 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- ...
美债收益率集体下跌,10年期美债收益率跌4.21个基点
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-09-10 22:21
每经AI快讯,周三(9月10日),美债收益率集体下跌,2年期美债收益率跌2.28个基点报3.538%,3年期 美债收益率跌1.72个基点报3.497%,5年期美债收益率跌2.08个基点报3.599%,10年期美债收益率跌4.21 个基点报4.047%,30年期美债收益率跌3.71个基点报4.696%。 ...