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你繳的稅去養了根本不存在的「假熊貓」?#美國國債 #馬斯克 #ElonMusk #經濟危機 #熊貓騙局 #通膨
大鱼聊电动· 2025-12-01 10:10
你每繳一筆稅金 很可能是在 資助一個 驚天騙局! 別懷疑 這是馬斯克 親口爆的猛料 跟我們所有人 的錢包都有關 他提到 有政府項目 撥款寫著 「拯救嬰兒熊貓」 聽起來 超有愛對吧? 結果查核下去 他們連一隻 熊貓都沒有! 那幾千萬美元 到底進了 誰的口袋? 這只是冰山一角 當我們把視野拉遠 你會看到一個 更可怕的數字 美國國債 已經衝破 38萬億美元! 現在最瘋狂的是 光是還這筆債 的「利息」 花的錢已經 超越了美國 一整年的 國防預算! 這意味著 美國要用未來的錢 去支付 過去的爛帳 甚至還養著 「假熊貓」! 馬斯克為什麼 要成立那個 「DOGE」? 這根本不是政治 這是為了阻止 美元變成衛生紙! 如果你不關心 這38萬億 那就等著 迎接一場 比你想的 更殘酷的 經濟海嘯吧!. ...
53%概率!哈塞特领跑美联储主席角逐,但利空美元只是“纸老虎”?
智通财经网· 2025-11-27 12:05
Group 1 - The potential nomination of Kevin Hassett as the next Federal Reserve Chair raises concerns about a possible interest rate cut, which could negatively impact the US dollar [1][2] - Market reactions to Hassett's nomination rumors have been muted, possibly due to his status as a popular candidate and recent declines in Treasury yields [1][3] - The probability of Hassett's nomination has increased by 18 percentage points to 53%, while other candidates like Christopher Waller and Kevin Walsh have lower probabilities [1][2] Group 2 - The market currently downplays risks to the independence of the Federal Reserve, despite concerns about the government's desire to lower rising national debt financing costs [3][4] - Analysts believe that the future path of interest rates will primarily depend on new economic data rather than the preferences of a potentially dovish Federal Reserve Chair [3][4] - Even if Hassett is seen as less independent compared to other candidates, his traditional economic background may prevent extreme policy shifts [3][4]
【警告】黃金股市齊漲背後,是誰在收割散戶?美股黃金誰先崩盤?哪邊才是抄底暴富機會?
堆金積玉· 2025-11-25 11:01
一旦掌握這7個人生複利公式,你的人生將開始快速成長 https://youtu.be/Uz0awqTLJeA 會員頻道的內容會依照這7個公式,一步步陪你實踐 👉 加入會員頻道,從第1個公式開始實踐:https://bit.ly/goldenrich-members ☕️ 如果你想免費支持我們,這裡有個簡單的方法: 👉 https://bit.ly/GET-IBKR 🙏 點擊連結沒有任何費用,每次點擊都能幫助支持我們的頻道。IB盈透證券:全球領先、備受信賴的投資平台,交易覆蓋150個市場,低成本、資金靈活,是多元化投資的理想選擇! (Disclosures: https://bit.ly/content-disclosure) 【警告】黃金股市齊漲背後,是誰在收割散戶?美股黃金誰先崩盤?哪邊才是抄底暴富機會? 最近這幾週,市場上有兩個大家都盯著看的焦點。一邊是美股,因為美國的就業、通膨數據不齊,加上聯準會內部對利率方向意見分歧,本來一路往上的股市,反而在主要指數上開始回落;另一邊則是我們的老朋友,黃金。隨著各國央行持續買金、美元轉弱,再加上市場對美元的信心明顯動搖,金價終於突破每盎司4000美元,寫下歷史新高。 ...
每日投行/机构观点梳理(2025-11-24)
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-11-24 12:06
Group 1 - UBS expects weak data this week to increase the probability of a Fed rate cut by year-end, which may put pressure on the dollar [1] - UBS forecasts a 15% rise in global stock markets by 2026, driven by AI and technology, with US GDP growth projected at 1.7% [1] - Barclays suggests that Powell may push for a rate cut next month, with a split among Fed officials on the decision [2] - Barclays anticipates the dollar will strengthen until 2026, supported by significant AI capital expenditure in the US [3] Group 2 - ANZ reports that gold prices have retreated but the fundamentals remain strong, with silver outperforming gold [5] - Bank of America expresses caution regarding Japan's economic stimulus plan, predicting limited impact on GDP growth [4][5] - CICC predicts gold prices could rise to $4,500 per ounce by 2026, driven by cyclical demand [6] - CITIC Securities highlights that global risk assets are overly reliant on AI narratives, suggesting potential volatility [7] - CITIC Securities notes that hydrogen energy is expected to gradually enter the industrialization phase under policy support [8] - CITIC Securities identifies three main lines for consumer goods investment, focusing on the food and beverage sector [9] - CITIC Securities believes that the current market is in a "three-phase overlap," indicating a long-term bullish trend [11] - CITIC Securities sees the establishment of a commercial space agency as a significant step for the satellite industry [13]
X @外汇交易员
外汇交易员· 2025-11-14 05:35
FT:分析师们认为,中国未报告的黄金购买量可能是其官方数据的10倍以上,因为中国正悄悄尝试减少对美元的投资,以实现多元化。这突显出,金价创纪录上涨背后的需求来源越来越不透明。中国央行今年公开的数据显示黄金购买量非常低,以至于市场上很少有人相信官方数据。根据贸易数据,法兴银行的分析师估计,中国今年的黄金总购买量可能高达250吨,超过全球央行总需求的三分之一。外汇交易员 (@myfxtrader):#数据 中国央行连续第12个月增持黄金,2025年10月末黄金储备增加3万盎司至7409万盎司(9月增加4万盎司),以美元计增加139.18亿美元。10月末外汇储备环比增加46.85亿美元(9月增加165.04亿美元)至33386.58亿美元。 https://t.co/jAvF8MAPtz ...
Stock Market Today: Dow Futures Rise, Dollar Weakens After Shutdown Ends
WSJ· 2025-11-13 08:41
Core Viewpoint - The White House has indicated that the October jobs and inflation report is unlikely to be released, which may impact market expectations and economic forecasts [1] Group 1: Economic Impact - The delay in the release of the jobs and inflation report could lead to uncertainty in economic indicators, affecting both consumer confidence and investment decisions [1] - Analysts may need to adjust their forecasts and models due to the absence of this critical data, which typically informs monetary policy and market trends [1] Group 2: Market Reactions - Financial markets may experience volatility as investors react to the news of the report's delay, potentially leading to shifts in stock prices and trading volumes [1] - The lack of updated economic data could hinder the Federal Reserve's ability to make informed decisions regarding interest rates and inflation control measures [1]
AI狂潮“虹吸”全球资本,AI已让美元“见底”?
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-11-11 07:13
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles is that the significant investment in AI infrastructure by American tech companies is reshaping global capital flows and providing silent support for the US dollar [1][2][5] - AI-related capital expenditure expectations have been significantly raised, with projections for 2025 increasing from several hundred billion to approximately 500 billion, and total investment over the next five years expected to exceed 3 trillion, which is over 10% of US GDP [1][2][5] - The investment trend is beginning to show macroeconomic impacts, contributing an annualized 1 percentage point to US GDP in the first two quarters of 2025, marking the highest level since 2023 [2][5] Group 2 - The AI investment boom is creating a capital absorption effect, with the US attracting resources and capital globally through large-scale corporate bond issuance [5][6] - Barclays emphasizes that while the forex market narrative focuses on data gaps and government shutdown risks, the substantial AI investments by tech companies and the resulting global capital flows are the "elephant in the room" [5][6] - The expectation that the dollar may have bottomed out is reinforced by the resilience in economic output driven by AI investments, the re-evaluation of interest rate expectations, and global capital inflows [6]
美银最新报告拆解:AI如何分三步重塑美元命运
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-11 04:03
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that AI is transitioning from a technological concept to a significant factor influencing the global economy, particularly the US dollar [2] - The impact of AI on the dollar is complex and occurs in phases, rather than being simply positive or negative [2] Group 2 - In the first phase, the "burning money" trend in AI investments indirectly supports the dollar, with AI-related investments potentially contributing 1.2% and 1.3% to GDP growth in Q1 and Q2 of 2025, respectively [4][5] - Despite the rise in AI stocks, the dollar index has remained relatively stable, indicating that tech stock fluctuations do not directly determine the strength of the dollar [3][5] Group 3 - The second phase sees AI impacting employment, which may put short-term pressure on the dollar, as companies become cautious in hiring, particularly for entry-level positions [6][7] - The unemployment rate for young individuals aged 20 to 24 is rising significantly, with major companies announcing layoffs related to AI automation [6] Group 4 - The long-term impact of AI on the dollar will depend on whether it leads to deflation or significantly boosts productivity [8][9] - If AI causes deflation, it could lead to lower interest rates and a weaker dollar, while if it enhances productivity, it could attract global capital and strengthen the dollar [9][10] Group 5 - Historical precedents show that increased AI investment can lead to GDP growth, which in turn can support a strong dollar if consumer spending remains robust [10] - The report emphasizes the need for investors to adopt a phased observation framework, focusing on three key indicators: corporate AI investment, changes in the labor market, and overall productivity improvements [11][12]
美联储理事米兰:稳定币可能会大幅压低R利率(即中性利率)。如果R下降,政策利率也应该下降。当获取美元的渠道受限时,稳定币能满
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-07 21:06
Core Insights - The Federal Reserve Governor, Milan, suggests that stablecoins could significantly lower the neutral interest rate (R) [1] - A decrease in R would imply a reduction in policy interest rates [1] - Stablecoins can fulfill demand when access to dollars is restricted, potentially increasing the supply of funds available for loans [1]
美联储理事米兰:稳定币可能会大幅压低R*利率。如果R*下降,政策利率也应该下降。当获取美元的渠道受限时,稳定币能满足需求。稳定币增长应当提振可用于贷款的资金供应量
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-11-07 20:05
Core Insights - Stablecoins may significantly lower the R* interest rate, which could lead to a decrease in policy interest rates [1] - When access to US dollars is restricted, stablecoins can fulfill the demand for liquidity [1] - The growth of stablecoins is expected to enhance the supply of funds available for lending [1]