Workflow
PMI
icon
Search documents
10月份制造业采购经理指数有所回落 非制造业商务活动指数略有回升 
Guo Jia Tong Ji Ju· 2025-10-31 02:32
Group 1: Manufacturing PMI Insights - In October, the manufacturing PMI decreased to 49.0%, down 0.8 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a slowdown in production activities [1][2] - Both production index and new orders index fell to 49.7% and 48.8%, respectively, reflecting a decline in manufacturing production and market demand [2] - Large enterprises maintained a PMI above the critical point, with indices at 50.9% for production and 50.1% for new orders, indicating sustained demand in this segment [2][3] Group 2: Non-Manufacturing PMI Insights - The non-manufacturing business activity index rose to 50.1%, up 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a slight expansion in the sector [4] - The service industry business activity index increased to 50.2%, with significant growth in sectors closely related to consumer travel, such as rail and air transport, which saw indices above 60.0% [4] - The construction industry business activity index slightly decreased to 49.1%, but the business activity expectation index improved to 56.0%, suggesting a positive outlook for future market conditions [4] Group 3: Composite PMI Insights - The composite PMI output index stood at 50.0%, indicating overall stability in production and business activities across sectors [5] - The manufacturing production index and non-manufacturing business activity index were recorded at 49.7% and 50.1%, respectively, contributing to the composite index's position at the critical point [5]
国家统计局解读2025年10月中国采购经理指数
Guo Jia Tong Ji Ju· 2025-10-31 01:49
10月份制造业采购经理指数有所回落 ——国家统计局服务业调查中心首席统计师霍丽慧解读2025年10月中国采购经理指数 10月份,制造业采购经理指数为49.0%,比上月下降0.8个百分点;非制造业商务活动指数为50.1%,比 上月上升0.1个百分点;综合PMI产出指数为50.0%,比上月下降0.6个百分点,我国经济总体产出保持总 体稳定。 一、制造业采购经理指数有所回落 10月份,受"十一"假期前部分需求提前释放及国际环境更趋复杂等因素影响,制造业生产活动较上月放 缓,PMI降至49.0%。 (一)供需两端有所放缓。生产指数和新订单指数分别为49.7%和48.8%,比上月下降2.2个和0.9个百分 点,制造业企业生产和市场需求均有所回落。从行业看,农副食品加工、汽车、铁路船舶航空航天设备 等行业生产指数和新订单指数均位于52.0%及以上,产需两端较为活跃;纺织服装服饰、化学纤维及橡 胶塑料制品、非金属矿物制品等行业两个指数均低于临界点,行业供需偏弱。 (二)大型企业产需指数持续高于临界点。大、中、小型企业PMI分别为49.9%、48.7%和47.1%,比上 月下降1.1个、0.1个和1.1个百分点,景气水平不同 ...
X @外汇交易员
外汇交易员· 2025-10-31 01:46
#数据 中国10月官方制造业PMI创6个月低点,综合PMI为2022年12月以来最低。制造业新出口订单指数录得45.9,为4月以来新低。 https://t.co/oKtmwRUwvQ外汇交易员 (@myfxtrader):#数据中国10月官方制造业PMI为49.0,预期49.6,前值49.8;非制造业PMI为50.1,预期50.1,前值50.0;综合PMI为50.0,前值50.6。 https://t.co/pCPXqkhMpT ...
X @外汇交易员
外汇交易员· 2025-10-31 01:32
#数据中国10月官方制造业PMI为49.0,预期49.6,前值49.8;非制造业PMI为50.1,预期50.1,前值50.0;综合PMI为50.0,前值50.6。 https://t.co/pCPXqkhMpT ...
主流钢企11月份出厂价出炉 为何品种钢调涨、普材维稳?
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that the majority of steel products' prices remain stable compared to October, with some varieties experiencing price increases due to high steel production and inventory levels, leading to a relaxed supply-demand situation that hinders sustained price recovery [1][2] - The prices of various steel products such as thick plates, hot-rolled coils, and cold-rolled products remain unchanged from October, while hot-dip galvanized and electro-galvanized steel prices have increased by 100 yuan per ton [1] - Domestic consumption is currently stable, with potential for increased orders in seasonal consumption sectors, although demand for construction steel is constrained by financial and emotional factors [1][2] Group 2 - Steel production remains at a certain scale, with stable orders for specialty steel, but the overall price recovery of steel is limited due to pressure from common materials [2] - Overseas retail and manufacturing consumption is holding up, with liquidity from interest rate cuts promoting investment and consumption, providing a supportive backdrop for domestic steel prices [2] - The adjustment of steel prices by major steel enterprises for November is primarily to address the high production levels and increasing inventory, with a focus on the specialty steel market moving forward [2]
国元香港晨报-20251027
Guoyuan International· 2025-10-27 02:28
Core Insights - The report highlights that the U.S. 2-year Treasury yield decreased by 0.01 basis points to 3.488% while the 5-year and 10-year Treasury yields increased by 0.87 and 0.94 basis points, respectively, to 3.614% and 4.010% [2][4] - The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for September was lower than expected, while the preliminary October Manufacturing PMI was reported at 52.2, exceeding expectations [3] - In China, from January to September, automobile exports reached 5.71 million units, marking a year-on-year increase of 21% [3] Economic Data - The Baltic Dry Index closed at 1991.00, down 3.21%, while the Nasdaq Index rose by 1.15% to 23204.87 [6] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 1.01% to 47207.12, and the S&P 500 rose by 0.79% to 6791.69 [6] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3950.31, up 0.71%, and the Shenzhen Composite Index rose by 1.36% to 2491.35 [11]
英国制造业萎缩态势终结,经济显示复苏迹象
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-25 01:26
Core Insights - The latest PMI survey indicates that the UK private sector growth in October exceeded expectations, signaling an end to a year-long contraction in the manufacturing sector, suggesting the economy is starting to recover from the impact of the Labour government's tax policies [1] Economic Indicators - The UK Composite PMI preliminary value rose from 50.1 in September to 51.1 in October, surpassing economists' forecast of 50.5 and remaining above the neutral 50 mark [1] - Total new orders returned to growth territory, and the pace of job losses slowed to the lowest level since May [1] - Input cost inflation eased, with price competition leading to a moderate increase in output costs [1] - Business expectations for future activities improved [1] Sector Performance - The UK Services PMI preliminary value slightly increased to 51.1 in October, compared to the expected 51 and the previous value of 50.8 [1] - The UK Manufacturing PMI preliminary value was reported at 49.6, exceeding the forecast of 46.6 and the previous value of 46.2 [1]
S&P global flash U.S. services come in better than expected
Youtube· 2025-10-24 14:33
Economic Indicators - The October preliminary manufacturing PMI came in at 52.2, slightly above the expected 52 and marking the best performance since August of this year [1] - The services PMI reported at 55.2, significantly higher than the expected 53.5 and also up from the previous month's 54.2, representing the best reading since July when it was 55.7 [2] - The composite PMI reached 54.8, exceeding the September final read of 53.9 and noted as the best since July of 2025 [3] Inflation and Interest Rates - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) was cooler than expected but still above the Federal Reserve's 2% target, with the 10-year yield settling at 4% and the 2-year yield at 3.48% [3][4] - Yields have increased over the week, indicating a potential shift in market expectations regarding interest rates [4]
S&P global flash U.S. services come in better than expected
CNBC Television· 2025-10-24 14:33
some manufacturing and services PMI. Hey Rick Santelli. >> Yes, S&P Global.Uh these are the PMIs, their October preliminary and they are better than expected on the headline number expecting 52. Our last final look last month was 52. Comes in at 52.2% best since August of this year.And if we look at 55.2% for services, that's well above 53 and a half expected. Sequentially also higher than rearview mirror at 54.2% and that one well 55.2% would be the best going back to July when it was 55.7%. And finally th ...
PMI "Contractionary Territory" & "Little Changed" Consumer Sentiment Follow Cool CPI
Youtube· 2025-10-24 14:30
Economic Data Summary - S&P Global PMIs indicate manufacturing PMI at 52.2%, exceeding expectations of 51.9%, signaling expansion [1][2] - Services PMI also surpassed expectations at 55.2%, compared to the anticipated 53.5%, showing month-over-month improvement [2] Manufacturing Sector Insights - Production volumes in manufacturing increased for the fifth consecutive month, marking the largest expansion since August [2] - Domestic orders are driving growth, while export orders have significantly declined, the steepest drop since February, attributed to tariff policies and weaker demand from China and Europe [3] Services Sector Insights - The services sector is experiencing a deceleration in input and output prices, but faces challenges in employment due to a lack of qualified candidates [4] Consumer Sentiment Analysis - University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey shows little change, with consumer expectations at 50.3%, sentiment at 53.6%, and current conditions at 58.6% [6][7] - One-year inflation expectations remain stable at 4.6%, indicating no significant shifts in consumer outlook [8] Inflation and Market Reaction - CPI year-over-year is reported at 3%, aligning with expectations, while core CPI also matches at 3% [14][15] - Month-over-month CPI figures came in slightly lower than anticipated, contributing to a positive market reaction [13][16] Market Performance and Technical Analysis - S&P 500 reached a key resistance level at 6,800, with potential for further gains if it breaks through this level [18][19] - Leading sectors include communication services, technology, and financials, which are performing well in the current market environment [20]