Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. Core View The current soda ash market is under triple pressure of "high supply, high inventory, and weak demand." Although the price is at a historically low level, the market is expected to remain under pressure until there is a substantial reduction in inventory. Future focus should be on enterprise production cut trends and marginal changes in terminal demand [9][40]. Summary by Directory 1. Soda Ash Supply and Demand Situation - **Production and Capacity Utilization Increase**: As of August 14, 2025, the weekly domestic soda ash production was 761,300 tons, a week - on - week increase of 16,600 tons or 2.24%. The comprehensive capacity utilization rate was 87.32%, a week - on - week increase of 1.91%. Among them, the ammonia - alkali capacity utilization rate was 88.78% (down 0.42% week - on - week), the co - production capacity utilization rate was 78.74% (up 4.82% week - on - week), and the overall capacity utilization rate of 15 enterprises with an annual capacity of one million tons or more was 90.39% (up 3.12% week - on - week) [10][12]. - **Inventory Pressure Increases**: As of August 14, 2025, the total inventory of domestic soda ash manufacturers was 1.8938 million tons, an increase of 17,600 tons or 0.94% from the previous Monday. Compared with the same period last year, it increased by 745,500 tons or 64.92%. Although transportation improved and shipments increased, the overall inventory continued to accumulate [8][14]. - **Shipment Volume and Rate Improve**: Last week, Chinese soda ash enterprises' shipment volume was 732,600 tons, a week - on - week increase of 8.48%. The overall shipment rate was 96.23%, a week - on - week increase of 5.54 percentage points [17]. - **Profit Analysis**: As of August 14, 2025, the theoretical profit of Chinese ammonia - alkali soda ash was 34.40 yuan/ton, a week - on - week decrease of 21.80 yuan/ton. The theoretical profit of Chinese co - production soda ash (double - ton) was 9 yuan/ton, a week - on - week decrease of 59.50 yuan/ton [20][24]. 2. Downstream Industry Situation - **Float Glass Industry Production Increases**: As of August 14, 2025, the daily output of national float glass was 159,600 tons, the same as on the 7th. The weekly production from August 8 - 14, 2025, was 1.117 million tons, the same as the previous week but a year - on - year decrease of 5.29% [28]. - **Float Glass Industry Inventory Decreases**: As of August 14, 2025, the float glass industry's operating rate was 75.34%. The total inventory of national float glass sample enterprises was 63.426 million weight boxes, a week - on - week increase of 1.579 million weight boxes or 2.55%, and a year - on - year decrease of 5.94%. The inventory days were 27.1 days, an increase of 0.7 days from the previous period [31]. 3. Spot Market Situation - The prices of most soda ash products in different regions showed a downward or stable trend. For example, the price of light soda ash in Central China decreased from 1,200 yuan/ton to 1,180 yuan/ton, a decrease of 1.67%. The price of heavy soda ash in East China decreased from 1,300 yuan/ton to 1,250 yuan/ton, a decrease of 3.85% [36][39]. 4. Comprehensive Analysis - The domestic soda ash market continued to operate weakly last week, with the supply - demand contradiction further deepening. Supply pressure increased, inventory pressure was significant, cost - end support weakened, and downstream demand did not improve. The market is expected to remain under pressure until inventory is substantially reduced [40]. 5. Operation Suggestions - **Single - side**: Look for long - position opportunities based on the cash cost line. - **Arbitrage**: Wait and see. - **Options**: Wait and see [41].

小米集团港股一度下跌5%，跌至近两个月盘中低位，目前跌幅收窄。 Jefferies在报告中称，智能手机需求的疲软和高库存可能会给公司二季度业绩带来压力，小幅 下调目标价 至69.85港元 。 Jefferies称，其中国平均销售价格跟踪数据显示， 二季度小米的旗舰智能手机型号平均售价增速较一季度 明显放缓 。 ⭐星标华尔街见闻，好内容不错过 ⭐ 本文不构成个人投资建议，不代表 平台 观点，市场有风险，投资需谨慎，请独立判断和决策。 觉得好看，请点"在看" ...

一、日度市场总结 乙二醇主力期货价格连续三日下跌，6月6日报4240元/吨，较前日跌12元/ 吨，成交量大幅萎缩34.6%至23.3万手，持仓微降0.1%。华东现货同步走弱 至4385元/吨，基差走阔12元至150元/吨，反映现货相对抗跌但期货情绪偏 空。跨期价差显示近月结构改善，1-5价差反弹60.9%至-9元/吨，但5-9和 9-1价差仍承压。成本端压力显著：油制利润维持亏损86.3美元/吨，煤制 利润连续五周稳定在-250元/吨深度亏损，甲醇制利润恶化至-1144元/吨历 史低位。 供给端开工率小幅回升：总开工率增0.5pct至54.4%，其中油制开工率增 1.35pct至56.4%，煤制开工率持平50.5%。需求端疲软：聚酯工厂负荷僵持 89.4%，江浙织机负荷63.4%无变化。港口库存压力加剧：华东主港库存增 3.7%至59.8万吨，创四周新高，到港量增至13.7万吨，而张家港库存因发 货改善小幅降5.2%至21.8万吨。 乙二醇预计延续低位震荡格局，价格上行空间有限但底部存在成本支撑。 成本端高压难解：原油及煤炭价格虽未大涨，但石脑油、乙烯制利润深度 亏损（油制-86美元/吨，煤制-250元/吨） ...

在整体供需失衡的状态下，动力煤价格从年初开始便不断下跌。截至5月20日，秦皇岛港5500卡动力煤 报价622元／吨，较年内高点已经下降152元／吨。而需求端截至5月15日，纳入统计的发电集团燃煤电 厂本月累计发电量同比下降0.7%，本年累计发电量同比下降6.8%。燃煤电厂耗煤量本月累计同比下降 2.6%，本年累计同比下降6.6%。燃煤电厂煤炭库存高于去年同期169万吨，库存可用天数较上年同期升 高1.4天。另外，长协煤政策调整，签约量要求从80%降至75%，履约率最低可至90%，释放了国内供给 宽松的信号。 新华财经太原5月24日电（记者张磊）今年以来，动力煤价格整体呈下降趋势且波动运行。环渤海动力 煤价格指数连续5个月处于下行或持平态势。我国煤炭主产区部分煤矿出现市场价格与成本倒挂现象。 随着气温逐渐升高，电厂将开启"迎峰度夏"备货周期，业内人士分析认为，有部分支撑煤价的因素显 现，采购需求或出现阶段性放量，但受各环节库存依旧偏高影响，短期内难以改变市场供需宽松格局。 国家统计局近日公布数据显示，4月份，规上工业原煤产量3.9亿吨，增速比3月份回落5.8个百分点；日 均产量1298万吨，比3月份减少123万 ...