Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles emphasizes that the trade war and tariff increases initiated by the Trump administration are detrimental to all parties involved, with no winners in a protectionist environment [1][10] - The average tariff rate in the U.S. is projected to reach 17.3%, the highest level since 1935, due to the implementation of various tariffs and retaliatory measures [1][4] - Experts indicate that the current tariff policies violate World Trade Organization (WTO) rules, particularly the most-favored-nation principle, which prohibits discrimination among trading partners [1][10] Group 2 - The Yale Budget Lab estimates that the tariffs will lead to a 1.8% increase in price levels by 2025, resulting in an average loss of $2,400 per household [7] - The impact of tariffs on consumer goods is significant, with projected price increases of 40% for shoes and 38% for clothing in the short term [7] - The tariffs are expected to reduce U.S. GDP growth by 0.5 percentage points annually in 2025 and 2026, with a long-term economic contraction of 0.4% [8] Group 3 - The tariffs are anticipated to increase the unemployment rate by 0.3 percentage points by the end of 2025, with a total job loss of approximately 497,000 positions [8] - The manufacturing sector may see a 2.1% increase in output due to tariffs, but this growth will be offset by declines in other sectors such as construction and agriculture [8] - The global trade system may undergo significant restructuring due to the U.S. tariffs, with potential demand shocks affecting economies worldwide [10][11] Group 4 - Recent data from the WTO indicates a 3.6% increase in global goods trade volume in Q1 2025, driven by anticipations of U.S. tariff hikes, although growth is expected to slow later in the year [11] - The World Bank forecasts a significant reduction in trade growth for developed economies, with projections for 2025 being halved compared to earlier estimates [11] - The U.S. experienced a 25% increase in imports in Q1 2025, but growth slowed to just 1% in the following months, highlighting the volatility in trade dynamics [11]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the implications of the Trump administration's "security for economy" strategy, using South Korea as a case study, highlighting how economic concessions were made under the pressure of security threats from the U.S. [1][18] Economic Concessions - South Korea agreed to a 15% tariff on exports to the U.S., which, although lower than the initially threatened 25%, still undermines the competitiveness of South Korean companies in the U.S. market [3] - South Korea was compelled to invest $350 billion in the U.S., with $150 billion specifically allocated for the U.S. shipbuilding industry, adversely affecting South Korea's own leading shipbuilding sector [3] - An additional $100 billion in U.S. liquefied natural gas purchases was mandated, leading to significant capital outflow and compromising South Korea's energy security strategy [3] Security Pressure - The U.S. military's potential withdrawal of 4,500 troops from South Korea created significant political turmoil, leading to heightened fears beyond mere economic threats [5] - The U.S. justified the troop withdrawal as a strategic adjustment to reduce vulnerability in front-line deployments, which was perceived as a form of extreme pressure on South Korea [8] Global Trade Dynamics - South Korea's concessions are part of a broader trend where allies have succumbed to U.S. pressure under the "America First" policy, with other countries like the UK, Japan, and the EU also making significant economic sacrifices [10][12] - Countries like Canada, India, and China have adopted different strategies in response to U.S. pressure, with Canada taking a hard stance, India employing delay tactics, and China successfully forcing concessions from the U.S. [14] Long-term Implications - The compromises made by South Korea reflect a successful implementation of the Trump administration's strategy, which, while yielding short-term economic benefits for the U.S., risks eroding long-standing alliances and trust among allies [18]

Group 1 - The article commemorates the 80th anniversary of the victory in the Chinese People's Anti-Japanese War and the World Anti-Fascist War, highlighting the historical contributions of the Chinese and British people in fighting against fascism during World War II [1] - It emphasizes the mutual support between China and the UK during the war, including significant events such as the rescue of British soldiers by Chinese fishermen and the sacrifices made by the Chinese Expeditionary Force [1] - The article mentions the upcoming documentary film "The Sinking of the Lisbon Maru," which will be screened in the UK in 2025, showcasing the deep historical ties between the two nations [1] Group 2 - The British public's support for China during the Anti-Japanese War is highlighted, including the establishment of various aid organizations and the contributions of individuals like George Hogg [2] - The article notes the ongoing development of Sino-British relations since the establishment of diplomatic ties in 1972, with over 1.2 million people-to-people exchanges in 2024 and a significant number of Chinese students studying in the UK [2] - It expresses the anticipation for further dialogue and cooperation between China and the UK, aiming to strengthen their relationship and build a new chapter in bilateral ties [2] Group 3 - Under the strategic guidance of President Xi Jinping and UK Prime Minister Starmer, Sino-British relations are on a path of improvement, emphasizing the need for mutual respect and handling of differences [3] - The article calls for the implementation of various dialogue mechanisms to enhance cooperation and address global challenges such as climate change [3] - It expresses a commitment to uphold the achievements of World War II and promote true multilateralism and global trade systems [3]

赵乐际出席第六次世界议长大会并发言 金十数据8月1日讯，第六次世界议长大会7月29日至31日在日内瓦万国宫举行。全国人大常委会委员长 赵乐际出席大会，并作了题为《坚持多边主义，共建美好家园》的发言。赵乐际在发言中说，当前，人 类和平与发展事业面临严峻挑战，立法机构有责任为推动构建新型国际关系发挥积极作用。要做世界和 平安宁的共同守护者，坚持共同、综合、合作、可持续的安全观，尊重各国主权和领土完整，尊重各国 人民自主选择的发展道路；做全球发展繁荣的共同促进者，坚持互惠互利、合作共赢，维护以世界贸易 组织为核心的多边贸易体制，为促进各国共同发展提供法治保障；做文明交流互鉴的共同倡导者，倡导 尊重世界文明多样性，让不同文明各美其美、美美与共；做国际公平正义的共同推动者，坚持和践行真 正的多边主义，推动构建更加公正合理的全球治理体系。 （新华社） ...

Core Points - The completion of the China-ASEAN Free Trade Area 3.0 negotiations demonstrates both parties' commitment to supporting free trade and multilateralism [1][2] - The upgraded FTA will enhance trade facilitation and support ASEAN's goal of becoming a regional economic growth center [2][3] Group 1: Economic Impact - The China-ASEAN Free Trade Area is the first FTA for ASEAN and has been a significant platform for bilateral economic cooperation since its establishment in 2010 [1] - China has maintained its position as ASEAN's largest trading partner for 16 consecutive years and is the second-largest source of foreign direct investment for ASEAN [1] - ASEAN has been China's largest trading partner for five consecutive years, indicating a growing interdependence in economic relations [1] Group 2: New Areas of Cooperation - The 3.0 version includes nine new chapters covering digital economy, green economy, supply chain connectivity, customs procedures, and trade facilitation [3] - The agreement aims to promote the free flow of products, services, and investments, creating a more resilient regional industrial chain network [3] - In the digital economy sector, the 3.0 version focuses on facilitating paperless trade, electronic invoicing, digital identity, and electronic payments, expanding cooperation in AI, cybersecurity, and fintech [3] Group 3: Regional Significance - The China-ASEAN Free Trade Area covers over 2 billion people, accounting for one-quarter of the global population, and represents over one-fifth of the world's economic output [3] - The partnership is positioned as a crucial engine for global economic recovery amid rising protectionism in some Western countries [3]

美国关税大棒砸向巴西。据央视新闻报道，当地时间7月30日，美国白宫表示，美国总统特朗普签署行 政命令，对巴西加征40%关税，使总关税额达到50%。白宫表示，对巴西产品征收关税的范围不包括部 分木浆和石油产品、部分化肥、能源及能源产品、生铁和贵金属。 当地时间7月30日晚，巴西总统府官网发表题为《巴西是一个主权和民主国家》的声明。声明提到，巴 西政府认为，美国政府针对巴西出口产品所宣布的贸易措施，是以政治为理由的行为，毫无正当性可 言。近年来，巴西与美国在商品与服务贸易上始终维持显著逆差。美国针对巴西的措施是出于政治动机 的，是对巴西主权的侵犯，也损害了两国之间一贯的历史关系。 据央视新闻，此次关税争端的导火索之一，是特朗普日前在社交媒体上发布的"致卢拉公开信"，不仅威 胁加征关税，还要求巴西"终止"对前总统博索纳罗的司法调查。此举引发巴西政界及不同派别媒体的强 烈谴责。 面对特朗普的关税威胁，巴西近日频频出招"硬刚"美国，包括多部门联合致函表达强烈愤慨、暂停对美 出口渔业产品和牛肉。这次美国将关税大幅上调至50%，巴西能否继续"硬刚"到底？ 今年4月，美国总统特朗普签署关于所谓"对等关税"的行政令，宣布美国对 ...

Group 1: Core Perspectives - The article emphasizes the importance of open cooperation between China and Europe for mutual benefits and shared development, highlighting the historical context of their diplomatic relations [1][2][3] - It discusses the significant growth in trade between China and the EU, with a reported import and export value of 2.82 trillion yuan in the first half of the year, marking a 3.5% year-on-year increase [2][3] - The article underscores the need for understanding and accepting differences between China and Europe, promoting the idea that these differences can lead to positive contributions in their cooperation [2][3] Group 2: Economic Cooperation - The bilateral trade between China and the EU has increased over 300 times since the establishment of diplomatic relations, with their combined economic output now exceeding one-third of the global total [2][3] - The article highlights the potential for collaboration in sectors such as renewable energy and infrastructure, suggesting that both parties should focus on multilateralism and shared issues like trade and climate change [3][6] Group 3: Cultural Exchange and Understanding - The article points out the significance of cultural exchanges, such as tourism, in fostering understanding between the younger generations of China and Europe, which can strengthen bilateral relations [7][8] - It mentions initiatives like the "Belt and Road" initiative as a means to enhance cooperation and communication between China and European countries, providing tangible benefits to both sides [6][8]

Group 1: China-Europe Economic Cooperation - The 25th China-Europe leaders' meeting resulted in important consensus on enhancing economic cooperation, with both sides expressing confidence in trade and investment collaboration [1] - China emphasizes the complementary nature of China-Europe economic relations and urges the EU to maintain an open market and provide a fair business environment for Chinese enterprises [1] Group 2: "Buy in China" Initiative - The "Buy in China" initiative has seen significant progress, with various consumption seasons organized, leading to a nearly 100% year-on-year increase in tax refund sales in the first half of the year [2][3] - Over 7,200 tax refund stores have been established, marking an 80% increase compared to the end of 2024, enhancing the attractiveness of the initiative [2] Group 3: G20 Development Cooperation - The G20 Development Ministers' meeting is scheduled for July 24-25, 2025, in South Africa, focusing on social protection and combating illicit financial flows [5] - China aims to promote multilateralism and support developing countries in trade and investment capacity building, as well as in achieving sustainable development goals [6] Group 4: U.S.-China Trade Negotiations - Recent U.S.-China trade talks in Stockholm focused on tariffs, fentanyl, rare earths, and high-end chips, with both sides committed to deepening dialogue and achieving win-win outcomes [8] - There is an agreement to extend the suspension of certain tariffs and countermeasures for 90 days, aimed at stabilizing U.S.-China economic relations [10]

智通财经APP获悉，7月31日，商务部召开例行新闻发布会。商务部新闻发言人何亚东表示，中欧经贸 关系的本质是优势互补，互利共赢，希望欧方保持市场开放，重视中国企业关切，克制使用限制性经贸 工具，为中国企业赴欧开展贸易和投资提供公平、公正、非歧视的营商环境。 与此同时，中国将持续扩大高水平对外开放，不断改善营商环境，全面落实外商投资国民待遇，加强知 识产权保护，为外资企业提供良好服务保障。中方欢迎更多欧洲企业投资中国、深耕中国，共享中国发 展机遇。 原文如下： 商务部召开例行新闻发布会 【何亚东】：各位记者朋友： 大家下午好，欢迎参加商务部例行新闻发布会。今天我没有需要向大家通报的信息。下面我愿意回答记 者朋友提出的问题。 下面请提问。 【何亚东】：上周，第二十五次中欧领导人会晤成功举行，双方领导人就中欧经贸合作达成一系列重要 共识，商务部将与欧方共同做好后续落实工作。领导人会晤期间，商务部举办了中欧企业家座谈会。双 方企业代表均表示对中欧贸易投资合作充满信心，愿共同推动中欧产业链供应链合作迈向更高水平。 中方始终认为，中欧经贸关系的本质是优势互补，互利共赢，希望欧方保持市场开放，重视中国企业关 切，克制使用限 ...

杜萨表示，瑞典支持多边主义和自由贸易，视中国为重要经贸伙伴，鼓励瑞中双方企业进一步深化 绿色转型、创新研发等领域合作，支持欧盟与中国通过协商解决经贸摩擦，推动欧中、瑞中经贸关系迈 上新台阶。 人民网斯德哥尔摩7月30日电 （记者殷淼）7月30日，国际贸易谈判代表兼副部长李成钢在瑞典斯 德哥尔摩会见瑞典对外援助与外贸大臣杜萨，双方就中瑞、中欧经贸关系等议题进行交流。 李成钢表示，瑞典是首个与新中国建交的西方国家，也是首个与中国签订双边投资保护协定的国 家。今年是两国建交75周年，中方愿与瑞方一道，推动中瑞经贸合作翻开新的篇章。中国对外开放的大 门只会越开越大，愿进一步扩大瑞典优质商品进口，欢迎瑞典担任今年进博会主宾国，也欢迎瑞典企业 继续投资中国、深耕中国，希望瑞方为中国企业提供开放、公平、非歧视的营商环境。同时，希望瑞方 在欧盟内发挥积极作用，推动欧方与中方共同落实好中欧领导人会晤达成的共识，坚定维护以世贸组织 为核心的多边贸易体制，并妥善解决经贸摩擦。 ...