Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The engineering machinery industry is entering its third cycle, expected to start in September 2024 and last for five years, currently in its first year. The market is benefiting from the second-hand machinery and mining excavator sectors, with an anticipated valuation switch next year leading to a 25%-30% return. Leading blue-chip stocks are expected to show strong certainty, while low-valuation stocks have greater elasticity [1][3] Key Insights and Arguments - In 2025, the shipbuilding sector's new order volume is projected to decline by 45% year-on-year, but falling steel prices are reducing shipyard costs, thereby enhancing profitability. Global ship delivery capacity is approximately 120 million deadweight tons, aligning well with order volumes, indicating a positive outlook for the sector. Some private enterprises have already reported performance improvements [1][5] - The offshore engineering sector is benefiting from US dollar interest rate cuts, which are expected to ease high-debt projects. The rising industry sentiment is creating opportunities for replenishment [1][5] - The cyclical sector is viewed more optimistically compared to the growth sector, which has seen significant valuation increases. The company maintains that growth remains a core theme while being more positive about the cyclical sector [2][3] Additional Important Content - The cyclical sector's certainty is lower than that of engineering machinery and shipbuilding, with unclear domestic market conditions. However, companies related to humanoid robots are experiencing high valuations. The potential for valuation increases in low-positioned stocks is significant, but their ability to sustain current valuations depends on the progress of humanoid robot market dynamics and overall recovery [1][6] - The AI industry chain, particularly humanoid robots, is a key focus area. Breakthroughs in self-iterative data capabilities could lead to a significant advancement in human-machine interfaces. Other vertical applications such as smart sewing machines, smart welding, unmanned agricultural machinery, and mining trucks, as well as data centers and computing power centers, are also clear beneficiaries. The AI industry chain continues to accelerate without visible ceilings [1][7] Recommended Stocks - In the engineering machinery sector, recommended stocks include SANY Heavy Industry, XCMG, Zoomlion, LiuGong, and Hengli Hydraulic. For beneficiaries of US dollar interest rate cuts, China International Marine Containers (CIMC) is recommended. In the AI vertical application space, Czech Aviation is highlighted, while in the humanoid robot sector, Weichuang Electric and Hengli are recommended. Additionally, companies in the photovoltaic lithium battery sector such as Aotewi and New Navigation are included [1][8]

锂电产业链周期复盘梳理 20251214 摘要 当前锂电板块估值相对较低，多数企业明年涨价后估值在 20 倍左右， 六氟磷酸锂约为 10 倍，固态电池产业化预期抑制投资，但可能助力产 业发展，明年 3 月行业基本面或有较大变化，短期调整或是买入机会。 本轮碳酸锂周期与上一轮相比，未经历供给持续出清，期货工具加剧价 格波动，需求端驱动因素来自储能，但碳酸锂供需极易扭转，新资源开 发抬升成本底部中枢至 6 万元以上，大型公司资本开支强度大，小型公 司更易达成目标。 和电子厂在 20-30 万左右锁定了较高比例的长单。这一轮龙头公司签订锁价长 单的概率不大。 铁锂加工费在 2021 年一季度开始持续上涨，一直持续到 2022 年一季度，大约一年多时间窗口内出现明显加速。这主要由于行业景气 度提升及上游磷酸铁价格上涨所致。从企业盈利来看，21 年四季度和 22 年一 季度是铁锂盈利上行最快阶段。本轮铁锂基本面紧张且盈利分位较低，有强烈 的涨价和传导成本诉求。明年的预期是铁锂上游磷酸铁价格传导及资源品价格 上涨带来弹性。 负极材料方面，在 21 年前石墨化略有上涨，但幅度不明显， 下半年开始加速并持续到 23 年高位。 ...

Group 1 - The article highlights the importance of timely announcements in the stock market, including suspensions, shareholding changes, investment wins, acquisitions, earnings reports, and stock unlocks, which are crucial for investors to identify potential investment opportunities and risks [1] - A company has achieved in-orbit application of flexible solar wings in the satellite sector, indicating advancements in 6G, commercial aerospace, photolithography, storage chips, and CPO [1] - Another company is involved in the production of components for the "Jiutian" drone, as well as manufacturing composite materials for large rockets, spacecraft, and satellites, linking it to commercial aerospace, military, low-altitude economy, and state-owned enterprise reforms [1] - A company plans to acquire a high-tech enterprise specializing in lithium battery separators, which aligns with trends in solid-state batteries, energy storage, and artificial intelligence [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the power equipment and new energy sectors, including CATL, Keda, and others [5][6]. Core Insights - The global power battery installation volume reached 933.5 GWh from January to October 2025, marking a year-on-year growth of 34.7%. CATL leads with 355.2 GWh, followed by BYD with 157.9 GWh, indicating a strong competitive landscape dominated by Chinese companies [2][14]. - The price of photovoltaic components shows signs of stabilization, with recent bidding prices indicating a recovery trend. The average bid price for large-scale projects has risen to 0.756 yuan/W, reflecting a positive shift in the market [3][33]. - The South China Power Grid has awarded a contract worth 5.184 billion yuan for a ±800 kV DC transmission project, highlighting ongoing infrastructure investments in the power sector [4][39]. Summary by Sections 1. New Energy Vehicles - The global power battery installation volume for January to October 2025 reached 933.5 GWh, a 34.7% increase year-on-year. The top ten companies account for nearly 90% of the market share, with Chinese firms holding six spots and a combined market share of 68.9% [2][14]. - CATL's market share stands at 38.1%, while BYD holds 16.9%, showcasing the dominance of these companies in the global market [18][19]. 2. New Energy Generation - Photovoltaic component prices are stabilizing, with recent bidding prices indicating a recovery. The average bid price for large-scale projects has increased to 0.756 yuan/W, reflecting a positive market trend [3][33]. - The demand for high-power components is rising, with prices for 210N components reaching 0.72-0.75 yuan/W, driven by market demand [34][38]. 3. Power Equipment and Automation - The South China Power Grid has awarded a contract worth 5.184 billion yuan for a ±800 kV DC transmission project, which includes various equipment and materials [4][39]. - The report emphasizes the ongoing investments in infrastructure and the positive outlook for the power equipment sector [4][39]. 4. Weekly Sector Performance - The power equipment and new energy sector saw a weekly increase of 1.19%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index. The nuclear power index had the highest increase at 1.34%, while the solar energy index experienced a decline of 0.59% [1].

Core Viewpoint - Recently, China Securities Regulatory Commission disclosed that Weilan New Energy is receiving guidance from CITIC Construction Investment, aiming to list on the ChiNext board. The actual controller of the company is Yu Huigen, who controls 29.25% of the company's shares through direct and indirect holdings and concerted actions [1][2]. Company Overview - Weilan New Energy Technology Co., Ltd. was established on August 11, 2016, with a registered capital of 41.2133543 million RMB. The company is located in Beijing and is primarily engaged in the research, production, marketing, and sales of solid-state lithium-ion batteries. It is recognized as a national-level specialized and innovative "little giant" enterprise and a unicorn company [2][6]. - The company was incubated from the Chinese Academy of Sciences and has over 40 years of research experience in the solid-state battery industry, achieving breakthroughs in various solid-state lithium battery technology fields [6]. Market Position and Valuation - According to the Hurun Research Institute's "2025 Global Unicorn List," Weilan New Energy is valued at 18.5 billion RMB, ranking 455th on the list [3][4]. Product Applications - Weilan New Energy's products are primarily used in three areas: new energy vehicles, energy storage, and low-altitude economic power. Key products include: - 360Wh/kg high energy density power cells, capable of exceeding 1000 km in single-charge range, which have been mass-produced and delivered to NIO by the end of 2023 [7]. - 280Ah ultra-high safety energy storage cells, which have also been mass-produced and delivered for various energy storage projects [7]. - 320Wh/kg high energy density low-altitude economic power cells, supplied to multiple domestic and international clients [7]. Technological Advancements - Weilan New Energy recently collaborated with BASF to launch a new generation of solid-state battery packs, marking a significant advancement in the industrialization of solid-state battery technology in China. The partnership aims to address core issues in safety and range associated with traditional power batteries [8][7]. Recent Financing and Strategic Partnerships - In September, Weilan New Energy completed a D+ round of financing, with strategic investments from Beijing Green Energy and Low Carbon Industry Investment Fund, as well as Guangdong Energy Group and ICBC Capital. This financing reflects strong market recognition of the solid-state battery industry and confidence in Weilan New Energy's future development [10][11]. - The company has completed a total of nine financing rounds, with notable investors including Xiaomi, NIO, Geely, and Huawei, among others [11].

Group 1: Stock Market Activity - Institutions net bought 13 stocks and net sold 18 stocks on the day, with the top three net purchases being: Fuxin Technology (¥242 million), Guoci Materials (¥153 million), and Zhongneng Electric (¥124 million) [1] - Fuxin Technology saw a price increase of 6.90% with 1 buyer and no sellers [2] - Guoci Materials experienced a significant price increase of 20.02% with 4 buyers and 1 seller, and has begun mass production of RF microchip packaging for low-orbit satellites [2][4] Group 2: Energy Sector Insights - The International Energy Agency (IEA) predicts that global data center electricity consumption will reach approximately 945 TWh by 2030, more than double the estimated 415 TWh in 2024, with an annual growth rate of about 15% from 2024 to 2030 [3] - The nuclear fusion market is expected to approach $500 billion (¥3.5 trillion) by 2030, with domestic fusion industry anticipated to enter engineering experimental pile construction around 2027 [5] Group 3: Government Initiatives - The Central Economic Work Conference emphasized the need for a "dual carbon" approach to drive a comprehensive green transition, focusing on energy efficiency and carbon reduction in key industries [4]

| 2026未来产业新材料博览会 | （FINE），围绕机器人、汽车、无人机、数据中心、航空航天、AI、新能源等未 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 来产业共性需求特设6大展区， | N3 先进电池与能源材料展区 聚焦 | 固态 | | 电池 | 、钠电池、钙钛矿、液流电池、电容器 等 | | | ， | 欢迎咨询：18957804107 | | 新材料科技创新与成果交易展区 未来产业创新企业展区 先进电池与能源材料展区 热管理技术与材料展区 N 5 l 先进半导体展区 N4 N3 N2 N1 F NE 2026 ■丁 新加料 参展联系 袁经理 Tel: 180 4209 9505 (微信同号) E-mail: yuanzm@polydt.com 市场合作 日经理 Tel: 189 5780 4107 (微信同号) E-mail: skysea@polydt.com 【DT新材料】 获悉，12月5日，全球特种材料龙头企业 阿科玛 与国内锂电池隔膜领军厂商 恩捷股份 正式敲定电池隔膜领域的深度战略合作。 隔膜作为锂电池的核心组件，其性能直接决定电池的安全性、能效与使用寿命。 从技术协同层面来看 ...

Core Insights - The mechanical industry is showing signs of recovery after three years of stagnation, with nominal GDP growth beginning to rise since Q4 2024, positively impacting the mechanical sector [17] - Domestic demand is weak while external demand is strong, particularly in the engineering machinery sector, where exports are gradually increasing due to improvements in the European and American markets [17][19] - The investment landscape is shifting towards overseas expansion and new industries, with a focus on automation and sectors supported by government subsidies [17][19] Industry Overview - The mechanical industry is experiencing a dual trend of weak domestic demand and strong external demand, with engineering machinery showing signs of recovery but still facing a fragile foundation [17] - Domestic investment in real estate continues to decline, with a 14.7% year-on-year drop in real estate development investment from January to October 2025, while infrastructure investment growth has also slowed significantly [19][23] - The overall investment environment is expected to stabilize as the gap between domestic and foreign demand narrows, with structural opportunities in infrastructure projects like water conservancy and high-standard farmland construction [23] 2026 Domestic Outlook - The investment gap is expected to narrow, with infrastructure investment declining from high levels and real estate investment under pressure, leading to a focus on structural opportunities [19][23] - Manufacturing investment is crucial, with the core focus on PPI and inventory levels, as domestic manufacturing orders remain sluggish [26][28] - The expectation is that PPI will improve in 2026, driven by factors such as reduced internal competition and improved domestic demand [28] 2026 Overseas Outlook - The downward trend in interest rates is a significant macro narrative, with the U.S. and Europe entering a phase of fiscal expansion, which is expected to benefit Chinese manufacturing [29][38] - The global inventory levels are at historical lows, which could lead to a new investment cycle as demand recovers [35] - The second wave of globalization for Chinese manufacturing is anticipated, driven by fiscal expansion in the U.S. and Europe, and a recovery in industrial product demand [38][40] Stock Selection Strategy - The stock selection strategy for 2026 focuses on two main themes: benefiting from overseas expansion and new industries, particularly in sectors like engineering machinery and specialized equipment [44] - Key sectors include engineering machinery, shipbuilding, and high-tech equipment, with a focus on companies that are expected to maintain stable performance and low valuations [44] - Emerging industries such as AI equipment, lithium battery production, and semiconductor manufacturing are highlighted as areas of significant opportunity [44][45] Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks include SANY Heavy Industry, XCMG, and China Shipbuilding, which are expected to perform well in the current market environment [7] - Companies in the AI and semiconductor sectors, such as Longchuan Technology and Zhongwei Company, are also recommended due to their growth potential [7] - Future-oriented assets like humanoid robots and controllable nuclear fusion are noted as areas to watch for significant industry changes [7][45]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the mechanical equipment industry, highlighting strong investment opportunities in AI-driven equipment and oil service equipment for overseas markets [1]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the high demand for AI computing infrastructure, particularly following the successful IPO of Moore Threads and the lifting of export restrictions on H200 chips by the US, which is expected to accelerate domestic GPU technology development [2]. - The gas turbine sector is experiencing a significant uptrend, with GEV increasing its production targets due to a surge in new orders, indicating a robust market outlook [3]. - The oil service equipment segment is benefiting from increased exports to the Middle East and Russia, driven by rising capital expenditures from local oil companies [4]. - The photovoltaic equipment market is poised for growth, particularly in the US, where AI-driven electricity demand is expected to boost local solar capacity [5]. Summary by Sections AI Equipment - The successful listing of Moore Threads and the US lifting of H200 chip export restrictions are expected to enhance domestic GPU technology and infrastructure development, benefiting related sectors such as PCB and liquid cooling equipment [2]. Gas Turbines - GEV has reported a 46% year-on-year increase in new gas turbine orders, prompting an upward revision of its production capacity and revenue forecasts, indicating a sustained upward trend in the gas turbine industry [3]. Oil Service Equipment - Chinese valve exports to the Middle East and Russia have seen significant growth, with a 25% increase in the latter, driven by rising local oil and gas capital expenditures. The report continues to recommend investments in companies like Neway and Jereh [4]. Photovoltaic Equipment - The report identifies HJT technology as the optimal solution for the US solar market, with significant advantages in cost and environmental impact, driven by the increasing demand for electricity from AI applications [5]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a focus on companies such as Dazhong CNC, XCMG, and Sany Heavy Industry in the mechanical equipment sector, as well as Jereh and Neway in the oil service equipment segment, highlighting their potential for growth in the current market environment [1][4].

Market Review - Major indices showed mixed performance in the past five trading days (December 5 - December 11), with the Shanghai Composite Index slightly down by 0.06% and the ChiNext Index up by 3.14% [1][5] - The CSI 300 Index rose by 0.12%, while the CSI 500 Index increased by 1.00% [1][5] - Trading volume increased, with a total of 9.30 trillion yuan traded, averaging 1.86 trillion yuan per day, an increase of 205.98 billion yuan compared to the previous five trading days [1][5] - Among the Shenwan first-level industries, telecommunications, comprehensive, and defense industries saw the highest gains, while coal, oil and petrochemicals, and steel industries experienced the largest declines [1][5] Economic Data - November exports increased by 5.9% year-on-year, significantly rebounding from October, influenced by multiple factors including a lower base, stable external demand, and the end of holiday disruptions [1][5] - Exports to the US saw a larger year-on-year decline, while exports to Japan, South Korea, and the EU experienced substantial rebounds, indicating a continued optimization of export structure [1][5] - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.7% year-on-year and fell by 0.1% month-on-month, primarily driven by food prices, particularly fresh vegetables, due to a lower base and supply-side disruptions [1][5] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) decreased by 2.2% year-on-year and increased by 0.1% month-on-month, with the year-on-year decline mainly influenced by a higher base [1][5] Policy Outlook - The Central Political Bureau of the Communist Party held a meeting to analyze and study economic work for 2026, maintaining a tone of "more proactive and effective" macro policies as emphasized in the 2024 Central Economic Work Conference [2][6] - Fiscal and monetary policies will continue to emphasize "more proactive" and "moderately loose" measures, with a focus on integrating existing and new policies [2][6] - The economic work for 2026 will focus on building a strong domestic market and cultivating new growth drivers among eight key areas, with more detailed plans to be revealed in the Central Economic Work Conference [2][6] Investment Strategy - The A-share market continues to exhibit a volatile characteristic, with positive signals from the Political Bureau meeting and confirmation of overseas liquidity easing due to the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts [3][7] - The market is expected to regain strength driven by policy support and liquidity expectations, although some funds may delay allocation as the year-end approaches [3][7] - Investors are advised to remain patient and refine their strategies around policy and technology themes while waiting for sentiment to improve [3][7] - Investment opportunities are identified in the following sectors: 1. TMT sector and robotics, driven by ongoing capital expansion from domestic and international cloud vendors, accelerated domestic substitution of computing power, and potential application-driven growth [3][7] 2. Power equipment and non-ferrous metals sectors, benefiting from high global demand for energy storage and ongoing solid-state battery industrialization [3][7] 3. Social services and resource products, with policy focus on structural adjustments and "anti-involution" creating competitive opportunities [3][7] - Additionally, the banking sector presents allocation opportunities due to a low interest rate environment and a shift in public fund holdings towards performance benchmarks [3][7]