Core Viewpoint - The asset quality data of 30 listed city commercial banks in 2024 shows significant divergence, with varying non-performing loan (NPL) ratios and provision coverage ratios reflecting different operational strategies and regional economic impacts [1][3][5]. Non-Performing Loan Ratios - Chengdu Bank has the lowest NPL ratio at 0.66%, continuing a three-year improvement trend, while Harbin Bank has the highest at 2.84% [1][3]. - The first tier of banks, including Chengdu, Xiamen, Hangzhou, Ningbo, Nanjing, and Suzhou, all maintain NPL ratios below 1% [3]. - The second tier consists of 17 banks with NPL ratios between 1% and 2%, indicating manageable risk levels despite narrowing net interest margins [3]. - The tail end, including Harbin Bank and Shengjing Bank, shows NPL ratios exceeding 2%, with Harbin Bank slightly decreasing from 2.89% in 2022 to 2.84% in 2024 [3][4]. Provision Coverage Ratios - Hangzhou Bank leads with a provision coverage ratio of 541.45%, significantly above the regulatory requirement of 150%, despite a decline from its peak [4]. - Suzhou Bank and Chengdu Bank follow with coverage ratios of 483.50% and 479.29%, respectively, forming a quality defense line in the Yangtze River Delta and Chengdu-Chongqing regions [4]. - A middle tier of 14 banks has coverage ratios between 200% and 400%, indicating basic coverage of regional economic risks, but some banks show signs of accelerated provision consumption [4]. Regional Economic Impact - The asset quality is closely linked to regional economic vitality, with the Chengdu-Chongqing economic circle providing unique advantages for Chengdu Bank, which saw a 21% year-on-year increase in infrastructure loans [5][6]. - The Yangtze River Delta shows a mixed performance, with Hangzhou and Ningbo maintaining low NPL ratios due to strengths in digital economy and advanced manufacturing [6]. - The Northeast region faces significant pressure, exemplified by Harbin Bank's high NPL ratio, while Qingdao Bank benefits from the marine economy transformation, keeping its NPL ratio at 1.14% [6].

Core Viewpoint - Guiyang Bank reported a decline in both operating income and net profit for the year 2024, indicating challenges in its financial performance compared to previous years [2][3]. Financial Performance - In 2024, Guiyang Bank achieved operating income of 14.93 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.09% year-on-year from 15.10 billion yuan in 2023 [3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 5.16 billion yuan, down 7.16% from 5.56 billion yuan in the previous year [3]. - The bank's operating profit fell to 5.42 billion yuan, reflecting an 8.98% decline compared to 5.96 billion yuan in 2023 [3]. - Total profit for the year was 5.43 billion yuan, a decrease of 9.27% from 5.99 billion yuan in 2023 [3]. - For Q1 2025, the bank reported operating income of 3.03 billion yuan, a significant drop of 16.91% year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.44 billion yuan, down 6.82% [2][3]. Asset and Loan Growth - As of the end of 2024, Guiyang Bank's total assets reached 705.67 billion yuan, an increase of 17.60 billion yuan or 2.56% from the beginning of the year [4]. - The total loan amount was 339.14 billion yuan, up 15.10 billion yuan or 4.66% year-on-year [4]. - Total deposits increased to 419.21 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 18.99 billion yuan or 4.74% from the start of the year [4]. - The non-performing loan ratio stood at 1.58%, a slight decrease of 0.01 percentage points from the beginning of the year [4]. Investment and Risk Management - Financial investments amounted to 287.71 billion yuan, an increase of 18.21 billion yuan or 6.76% year-on-year [4]. - The bank's debt investment decreased by 7.84 billion yuan to 131.80 billion yuan, a decline of 5.62% compared to the previous year, primarily due to a reduction in non-standard asset scale [4]. - Provisions for debt investment impairment increased by 1.72 billion yuan, indicating a deterioration in the risk quality of existing non-performing assets [4]. Customer Complaints - In 2024, Guiyang Bank received a total of 3,882 customer complaints, a reduction of 915 complaints or 19.07% compared to 2023 [5]. - Complaints related to card services accounted for 2,380 cases, representing 61.28% of total complaints, with a year-on-year decrease of 21.4% [5]. - Complaints regarding intermediary services and loan services also saw significant reductions, with decreases of 35.59% and 14.25% respectively [5].

Investment Rating - The report rates the banking industry as "Outperforming the Market" [7]. Core Insights - In Q1 2025, the total operating revenue of 42 listed banks was 1.45 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.72%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 563.98 billion yuan, down 1.20% year-on-year [2][15]. - Investment income saw rapid growth, accounting for a significant portion of revenue. In Q1 2025, interest income, commission income, and investment income were 1.02 trillion yuan (down 1.65% YoY), 230 billion yuan (down 0.72% YoY), and 170 billion yuan (up 26.10% YoY), respectively [2][15]. - The reduction in provision for asset impairment losses helped to release profits, with total asset impairment losses at 347.13 billion yuan, down 2.37% YoY [2][15]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - The operating revenue of listed banks decreased by 1.72% YoY, while net profit fell by 1.20% YoY, indicating a slight decline in overall profitability [2][15]. - Investment income increased significantly, contributing 11.62% to total revenue, up 2.56 percentage points from the previous year [2][15]. Loan and Deposit Growth - As of the end of Q1 2025, the total loan and advance amount reached 174.13 trillion yuan, growing by 7.92% YoY, with a slight deceleration in growth rate [3]. - The deposit scale also showed improvement, with a total of 212.38 trillion yuan, reflecting a 6.21% YoY increase [4]. Interest Margin and Asset Quality - The average net interest margin for listed banks was 1.55%, with a year-on-year decline of 0.09 percentage points, although the rate of decline has narrowed [5]. - The average non-performing loan ratio remained stable at 1.16%, while the provision coverage ratio decreased by 7.87 percentage points [5]. Capital Adequacy - As of the end of Q1 2025, the average core tier 1 capital adequacy ratio was 10.35%, showing a slight decline from the previous year [5]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the core factors supporting the stable performance of the banking sector in 2024 and Q1 2025 include increased investment income and reduced provision for losses, indicating resilience in sector profits. Recommended stocks include Chongqing Bank, Yunnan Rural Commercial Bank, Shanghai Bank, and Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank [6].

Core Viewpoint - In Q1 2025, China Merchants Bank reported a decline in both operating income and net profit, indicating a slowdown in performance compared to the previous year [1][2]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the bank achieved operating income of 83.751 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 3.09%, with the decline rate widening by 2.61 percentage points compared to 2024 [1][2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 37.286 billion yuan, down 2.08% year-on-year, with a decline of 3.3 percentage points compared to 2024 [1][2]. - The average return on total assets and average return on equity were 1.21% and 14.13%, respectively, both showing year-on-year declines of 0.14 percentage points and 1.95 percentage points [2]. Revenue Structure - Net interest income for Q1 2025 was 52.996 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.92%, continuing the growth trend from Q4 2024 [2]. - Net fee and commission income was 19.696 billion yuan, down 2.51% year-on-year, with wealth management fees increasing by 10.45% [2]. - The revenue from agency wealth management surged by 39.47% due to growth in agency scale and product structure optimization, while agency insurance income continued to decline due to falling insurance sales [2]. - Other net income was 11.059 billion yuan, down 22.19% year-on-year, primarily impacted by rising market interest rates leading to a decrease in the fair value of bond and fund investments [2]. Cost Management - The net interest margin for Q1 2025 was 1.91%, down 11 basis points year-on-year and 3 basis points quarter-on-quarter, with the decline rate narrowing [3]. - The deposit cost rate decreased by 34 basis points year-on-year to 1.29%, positively affecting the net interest margin due to lower deposit rates and regulatory restrictions on high-interest deposit solicitation [3]. Asset Quality - As of the end of Q1 2025, the non-performing loan ratio was 0.94%, a slight improvement of 0.01 percentage points from the end of the previous year [3]. - The non-performing loan ratio for corporate loans improved to 0.95%, while the retail loan non-performing ratio increased to 1.01%, indicating ongoing pressure on retail loan asset quality [3]. - The provision coverage ratio was 410.03%, down 1.95 percentage points from the end of the previous year [3]. Investment Outlook - The bank maintains a "buy" rating, with a dividend payout ratio exceeding 30% and a projected cash dividend of 2 yuan per share for 2024, resulting in a dividend yield of 4.91% based on the closing price on April 30 [4]. - The estimated net asset value per share for 2025 is 45.25 yuan, with the current stock price corresponding to a price-to-book ratio of 0.90 times [4].

Core Insights - In Q1 2025, 42 A-share listed banks reported mixed performance, with 26 banks showing revenue growth and 30 banks maintaining profit growth, indicating a challenging operating environment [1][3] - The net interest margin (NIM) continued to decline, posing challenges for future operations, although it showed signs of stabilization with reduced volatility [1][9] - Many banks opted to release provisions to offset profit shortfalls, leading to a noticeable decrease in provision coverage ratios [1][7][8] Revenue Performance - Four banks reported revenues exceeding 100 billion yuan: Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) at 212.77 billion yuan, China Construction Bank at 190.07 billion yuan, Agricultural Bank of China at 186.67 billion yuan, and Bank of China at 164.93 billion yuan [2][3] - Five banks had revenues between 50 billion and 100 billion yuan, including Postal Savings Bank at 89.36 billion yuan and China Merchants Bank at 83.75 billion yuan [4] - 26 banks achieved year-on-year revenue growth, with Changshu Bank being the only one to exceed double-digit growth at 10.04% [4][5] Profit Performance - 30 banks reported positive net profit growth, with four banks achieving double-digit growth: Hangzhou Bank at 17.3%, Qilu Bank at 16.47%, Qingdao Bank at 16.42%, and Changshu Bank at 13.81% [6] - 12 banks experienced a decline in net profit, with Huaxia Bank and Xiamen Bank seeing significant drops of 14.04% and 14.21%, respectively [6] Asset Quality - The overall non-performing loan (NPL) ratio for listed banks remained stable, with most banks maintaining levels below 1.5% [1][7] - Banks with higher NPL ratios included Huaxia Bank at 1.61% and Zhengzhou Bank at 1.79% [7] Provision Coverage - Significant declines in provision coverage ratios were noted, with Postal Savings Bank dropping by 20.02 percentage points and Xiamen Bank by 78.38 percentage points, although still above regulatory requirements [7][8] Net Interest Margin - The average NIM for the 42 listed banks was around 1.6%, below the industry warning line of 1.8%, indicating a need for improved profitability [9][10] - Concerns were raised about the long-term implications of a low NIM environment on banks' profitability and risk management capabilities [9][10] Future Outlook - The banking sector may face a transitional period regarding profitability models, with potential opportunities in asset allocation and credit asset securitization [10][11]

Core Viewpoint - Su Nong Bank reported resilient growth in revenue and profit for 2024 and Q1 2025, with a focus on strategic expansion into urban areas and improved deposit stability [1][2][3][4][9] Financial Performance - In 2024, Su Nong Bank achieved operating income of 4.17 billion, a year-on-year increase of 3.2%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.95 billion, up 11.7% [1] - For Q1 2025, the bank reported operating income of 1.13 billion, a 3.3% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 440 million, up 6.2% [1] - The annualized weighted average return on equity for Q1 2025 was 9.6%, a decrease of 0.8 percentage points year-on-year [1] Revenue and Profit Growth - Revenue growth rates for 2024 and Q1 2025 were 3.2% and 3.3%, respectively, with net interest income and non-interest income growth rates of -5% and 25.6% for 2024 [2] - The cost-to-income ratio for 2024 and Q1 2025 was 35.2% and 30.6%, respectively, showing a year-on-year change of +0.6 and -0.7 percentage points [2] Loan and Deposit Trends - As of Q1 2025, the bank's interest-earning assets and loans grew by 5.9% and 3.3% year-on-year, respectively [3] - Total loans for 2024 included 7.5 billion for corporate, 200 million for retail, and -700 million for bills, with a focus on agricultural, small and micro enterprises, and green loans [3] - Deposits grew by 10.1% year-on-year in Q1 2025, with a significant increase in demand deposits [4] Net Interest Margin (NIM) and Cost of Funds - The NIM for 2024 was reported at 1.55%, with a slight increase from mid-year but a decrease of 19 basis points from 2023 [5][6] - The cost of interest-bearing liabilities decreased to 1.81% in Q1 2025, down 21 basis points from 2024 [7] Asset Quality and Capital Adequacy - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio remained low at 0.9% as of Q1 2025, with a coverage ratio of 420% [8][9] - The bank's capital adequacy ratios were robust, with core Tier 1 capital at 10.77% as of Q1 2025 [9] Strategic Outlook - The bank's "Five-Year Reconstruction" plan is ongoing, with a focus on expanding market share in urban areas and enhancing non-interest income [9][10] - The bank plans to implement a mid-term dividend in 2025, enhancing investor confidence [9]

公司报告 | 季报点评 建设银行（601939） 证券研究报告 资负规模积极扩张，质量稳健 事件： 建设银行发布 2025 年一季度财报。公司实现营收约 1901 亿元， YoY-5.40%；归母净利润 834 亿元，YoY-3.99%；不良率 1.33%，拨 备覆盖率 237%。 点评： 2025 年一季度，建设银行营收 1901 亿元（YoY-5.40%），其中净利息 收入 1419 亿元（YoY-5.21%），占营收比重 74.7%；非息收入 481 亿 元，同比下降 5.96%。拨备前利润、归母净利润分别同比-5.81%、-3.99%。 非息收入方面。2025 年一季度，公司手续费及佣金收入 375 亿元，同比 -4.63%，较 2024 年末改善 4.72pct。另外，投资净收益依旧亮眼，一季 度营收 43 亿元，同比增长 145.83%。 2025 年一季度，建设银行净息差录得 1.41%，环比下行 10bp，同比 -16bp。结合 2024 年底公司生息资产收益率和计息负债成本率来看，因 2024 年 LPR 多次调整，新年存量贷款重定价可能是公司 2025 第一季度 净息差下行的主要原因。另外 ...

资产端： 2025 年一季度建设银行生息资产总计 41.93 万亿元，同比增长 7.8%。其中，信贷投放和金融投资依旧是企业规模增长的主要动能，2025 一季度分别同比增长 8.0%、14.4%，环比增长 4.5%、5.8%；另外同业 资产环比高增 17.4%。生息资产结构上，贷款、金融投资、同业及拆放、 存放央行分别较 2024 年末变动-0.58、+0.08、+0.41、+0.09pct。 公司报告 | 季报点评 建设银行（601939） 证券研究报告 资负规模积极扩张，质量稳健 事件： 建设银行发布 2025 年一季度财报。公司实现营收约 1901 亿元， YoY-5.40%；归母净利润 834 亿元，YoY-3.99%；不良率 1.33%，拨 备覆盖率 237%。 点评： 2025 年一季度，建设银行营收 1901 亿元（YoY-5.40%），其中净利息 收入 1419 亿元（YoY-5.21%），占营收比重 74.7%；非息收入 481 亿 元，同比下降 5.96%。拨备前利润、归母净利润分别同比-5.81%、-3.99%。 非息收入方面。2025 年一季度，公司手续费及佣金收入 375 亿元，同比 ...

Core Viewpoint - China Bank reported a slight year-on-year increase in revenue for Q1 2025, driven primarily by non-interest income, despite a decline in net interest income and net profit [1][2][3]. Revenue and Profitability - In Q1 2025, China Bank achieved revenue of 164.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.56% [1][2]. - Net interest income was 107.7 billion yuan, down 4.42% year-on-year, accounting for 65.32% of total revenue [2]. - Non-interest income reached 57.2 billion yuan, showing a significant year-on-year growth of 18.91%, becoming the main driver for revenue improvement [2][3]. - The bank's net profit attributable to shareholders was 54.4 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 2.90% [1][2]. Asset and Liability Management - As of Q1 2025, the total interest-earning assets amounted to 34.92 trillion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 7.2% [3]. - The loan and financial investment segments were key growth drivers, with year-on-year increases of 8.3% and 20.0%, respectively [3]. - The total interest-bearing liabilities stood at 31.59 trillion yuan, up 6.8% year-on-year, with deposits growing by 6.2% [4]. Asset Quality - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio remained stable at 1.25%, unchanged from 2024 [5]. - The provision coverage ratio was 198%, a decrease of 2.63 percentage points compared to the end of 2024 [6]. Shareholder Structure - Changes in the top ten shareholders included a slight increase in the stake of the second-largest shareholder, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, and minor decreases for others [6]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The bank is expected to see marginal improvements in revenue and profit for 2024, with projected year-on-year growth in net profit attributable to shareholders of 0.03%, 2.37%, and 3.41% for 2025-2027 [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Postal Savings Bank of China (601658) [1] Core Views - The bank's revenue for Q1 2025 decreased by 0.1% year-on-year, with net profit declining by 2.6% [6] - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio increased slightly to 0.91%, while the provision coverage ratio fell to 266% [6] - The bank's loan growth outpaced major state-owned banks, with a year-on-year increase of 9.8% in Q1 2025 [6] - The net interest margin (NIM) decreased to 1.71%, reflecting ongoing pressure on interest rates [6] - The report anticipates a modest recovery in profitability, projecting net profit growth rates of 1.45%, 4.15%, and 6.72% for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [6] Financial Data and Earnings Forecast - Q1 2025 revenue was 893.6 billion yuan, with a net profit of 252.5 billion yuan [4] - The bank's total loans reached 9,356.2 billion yuan, with total deposits at 15,976.5 billion yuan [10] - The forecast for total operating income is 351,263.09 million yuan for 2025, with a projected year-on-year growth rate of 0.71% [5] - The bank's return on equity (ROE) is projected to decline to 9.49% in 2025 [5] - The price-to-book (PB) ratio is currently at 0.57, with a projected dividend yield of 5.1% for 2025 [6]