Core Viewpoint - The primary issue regarding consumer spending in Japan is inflation, which necessitates wage growth to combat it [1] Group 1 - The Bank of Japan's policy board member, Naoki Tamura, emphasizes the importance of addressing inflation for consumer spending [1] - Wage growth is identified as a critical factor needed to counteract the effects of inflation on consumers [1]

惠誉：由于关税减缓2025年下半年经济增长，美国消费者支出将走弱。 ...

美国5月份零售额录得大幅下滑 金十数据6月17日讯，美国5月零售销售降幅超出预期，主要受汽车销量下滑拖累。此前因担忧关税引发 的抢购潮已退去，消费者抢购热情减弱。但消费者支出仍受到薪资稳健增长的支撑。周二公布的数据显 示，继4月份零售额下降0.1%后，上月零售额下降0.9%。万神殿宏观经济首席美国经济学家Samuel Tombs表示，"过去的经验表明，最大的价格涨幅将出现在7月份，尽管关税的全面影响可能会在今年余 下的时间里显现出来，这将对实际收入的增长造成压力，同时，劳动力市场的疲软将使人们对可自由支 配的支出持谨慎态度。与此同时，家庭不再有'过剩储蓄'，也不再有强劲的股价上涨来刺激他们消 费。" ...

Chief Executive Group最新发布的数据表明，美国企业界领导人的看法正在发生转变，因为他们正在密 切关注特朗普关税政策的不断变化。许多大型企业并未改变其盈利预期，他们指出，对于总统最终的贸 易政策会包含哪些内容以及不会包含哪些内容，目前仍存在不确定性。 特朗普在 4 月份公布了一项针对众多国家和地区实施大规模且高额征税的计划，此举导致美国金融市场 大幅波动。市场参与者担心这会抑制消费者支出。不过，他随后暂停了其中许多征税措施，这使得市场 得以部分挽回损失。在这一暂缓措施即将于下月初到期之际，白宫一直在与各国进行谈判。例如，特朗 普政府已与英国达成协议。 智通财经APP获悉，周一公布的数据表明，美国商界领袖对美国经济衰退的预期有所减弱，此前在特朗 普宣布加征关税后，这种预期曾一度飙升。根据Chief Executive Group上周对超过 270 位首席执行官 (CEO)进行的调查，不到 30% 的CEO预计未来六个月会出现轻度或重度经济衰退。这一比例低于 5 月 份的 46% 和 4 月份的 62%。 本月接受调查的CEO中，预计美国经济将出现一定程度增长的比例也飙升至 40% 以上，这一比 ...

沃尔玛百货(WMT.N)CFO：消费者支出基本保持稳定。 ...

智通财经6月7日电，沃尔玛首席财务官表示，消费者支出基本保持稳定。 ...

Group 1 - The president of the employment data company "Challenger" highlighted that tariffs, funding cuts, consumer spending, and economic pessimism are putting significant pressure on the labor market [1]

加拿大央行行长麦克勒姆：消费者支出放缓但仍在增长。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Economists suggest that the revised GDP data for Japan, set to be released next week, may confirm an economic contraction in the first quarter of 2025 [1] Group 1: Economic Performance - Preliminary data released in mid-May indicated that Japan's actual GDP contracted at an annualized rate of 0.7% for the January-March quarter [1] - Economists from Norinchukin Research Institute predict that the economy may experience a second consecutive quarter of contraction from April to June due to stagnant wage growth not keeping pace with rising food prices, including rice [1] Group 2: Consumer Behavior and Investment - Consumer spending is expected to remain sluggish, influenced by ongoing inflationary pressures on essential goods [1] - The anticipated continuation of tariffs imposed by former President Trump is expected to exert pressure on exports and capital investment [1]

Economic Overview - The U.S. economy experienced a contraction at the beginning of the year, with the first quarter GDP annualized rate revised to -0.2%, slightly better than the initial estimate of -0.3% [1] - Consumer spending, a key driver of economic growth, increased by only 1.2%, down from the initial estimate of 1.8%, marking the lowest growth rate in nearly two years [1][2] - Net exports negatively impacted GDP by nearly 5 percentage points, slightly worse than initial predictions [1] Consumer Spending and Business Investment - The downward revision in consumer spending was primarily due to weakened demand for automobiles and reduced spending on services, including healthcare and insurance [4] - Business investment showed stronger performance, increasing by 10.3%, up from a prior estimate of 9.8% [2] Trade and Tariff Impact - A surge in imports, driven by businesses trying to stock up before tariffs imposed by the Trump administration, contributed to the economic slowdown [2] - The White House has since rescinded or delayed some punitive tariffs, which has alleviated some economic concerns, although tariff rates remain higher than pre-Trump levels [2] Future Economic Outlook - Economists expect a rebound in GDP for the second quarter due to reduced tariffs and the accumulation of imported goods into larger inventories, which may stimulate economic growth [3] - The overall demand in the economy was weaker than initially anticipated, with final sales to domestic private buyers growing by only 2.5%, the lowest level in nearly two years [3]