进入2026年，股市实现"开门红"，保险资金调研热情高涨，马不停蹄地寻找市场投资机会。东方财富Choice数据显示，截至2月1日，保险公司、 保险资管公司自2026开年来合计调研上市公司751次，涉及数百家上市公司。险资动向一直是市场投资风向标，新的一年，险资看好哪些板块投资 机会，又将有怎样的布局？ 数十万亿险资投向何方 尽管2025年投资"成绩单"表现不俗，但保险行业依旧面临在"低利率时期"如何拓宽投资标的、优化投资结构的"必答题"。随着中长端利率中枢持 续下行，寿险业等投资回报率进一步降低，利差损风险加大。当前存款利率在"1时代"徘徊，长期资金对稳定收益的渴求变得前所未有的强烈。 国泰海通证券研报提到，险资将持续巩固债券"压舱石"地位，并逐步向长期地方债与跨境债延伸；权益配比稳步提升，并通过私募证券基金与举 牌等方式加速入市，整体呈现出"债券更追求性价比、权益配置趋强"的趋势。 权益投资方面，险资将显现出怎样的偏好？苏商银行特约研究员付一夫预测，一方面，高股息板块（如银行、公用事业）仍是压舱石；另一方 面，新质生产力相关领域（如人工智能、高端制造、新能源、生物医药）有望获增量配置。政策扶持、技术突破及国 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8]. Core Views - The recent performance of the company has been weak, with valuations dropping to the bottom range. At this point, the company is considered to have a sufficient margin of safety and highlighted dividend value, leading to a continued strong recommendation for investment in the company [5][7]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters, the company achieved a revenue of 1,558.22 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.20%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 38.182 billion yuan, down 3.83% year-on-year. It is expected that the company will continue to face slight pressure throughout the year [7]. - The total new contracts signed for 2025 are projected to be 4,545.8 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.0%. The new contracts in the construction industry are expected to reach 4,151.0 billion yuan, up 1.7% year-on-year [7]. - The company is a pilot unit for the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission's market value management assessment, consistently leading in dividend payout rates among central state-owned enterprises. Despite a projected decline in net profit for 2024, the company plans to increase its dividend payout ratio from 21% to 24%, maintaining a stable dividend per share of 0.27 yuan, which corresponds to a current dividend yield of 5.4% [7]. Market Position - The company is the largest construction enterprise in China by scale and market capitalization, and it is a component of major indices such as the SSE 50, CSI 300, and CSI Dividend [12]. - The company's valuation has dropped to historical lows, with a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.43 and a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 4.7, both below the historical 25th percentile, indicating a strong margin of safety [12]. - The company’s subsidiaries, including China Overseas Property, have a combined sales volume that exceeds that of the leading competitor, Poly Developments, positioning the company to benefit from real estate policy changes [12]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from increased fiscal spending and policy support in 2026, which is seen as a pivotal year for the "14th Five-Year Plan." The central economic work conference has emphasized stabilizing investment as a key task for 2026, with expectations for infrastructure demand to rise due to increased fiscal spending on major projects [12].

2026年1月30日早盘，截至09:58，中证国有企业红利指数上涨0.09%，成分股菜百股份上涨4.41%，恒源 煤电上涨3.70%，中信特钢上涨3.21%，厦门象屿上涨2.39%，中信银行上涨2.08%。国企红利 ETF(159515)盘中涨超1%，现涨0.34%。（文中所列示股票为指数成份股，仅做示意不作为个股推荐。 过往持仓情况不代表基金未来的投资方向，也不代表具体的投资建议，投资方向、基金具体持仓可能发 生变化，投资需谨慎） 消息方面，近期布伦特原油从60美元附近强势反弹至65美元之上，伴随地缘不确定性加剧，市场持续对 多个前沿的短期供应不确定性进行定价。供给方面，最近的北极寒流导致上周末美国原油日产量减少高 达200万桶，二叠纪盆地受灾最重，油井、集输系统和地面设备冻结或关停。此外，寒潮来临、电厂日 耗水平拉升，电厂库存去化，煤炭现货价格相对平稳，秦皇岛山西产Q5500动力煤价格止跌企稳，近几 日稳定在685元/吨。供给方面，随着春节临近，煤矿将陆续开始放假，短期煤炭供给较难放量。中期维 度，今年产能核增退出与内蒙古灾害治理项目政策有望逐步推出，煤炭供给有减量空间，具体需等待政 策落地情况，如果超出 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the active trading and significant capital inflow into the E Fund Chemical Industry ETF (516570), with a turnover of 11.78% and a transaction volume of 116 million yuan as of January 30, 2026 [1] - The E Fund Chemical Industry ETF has reached new highs in both scale and share since its inception, with a total capital inflow of 713 million yuan over the past 10 days, including a peak single-day inflow of 336 million yuan [1] - Concerns over geopolitical conflicts and rising Brent oil prices are expected to enhance the oil service industry's outlook, with global oil and gas spending remaining at low levels but showing potential for recovery [1] Group 2 - The E Fund Chemical Industry ETF (516570) includes major players in the oil and petrochemical sectors, such as the "three barrels of oil" and Wanhua Chemical, and tracks the CSI Petrochemical Industry Index, which reflects a "dumbbell strategy" in the petrochemical sector [2] - The ETF has maintained a leading performance compared to comparable chemical industry indices in 2023, benefiting from a combination of high dividend and high growth component stocks [2] - The management and custody fee rates for the E Fund Chemical Industry ETF are 0.15% and 0.05% per year, respectively, which are significantly lower than similar ETF products in the petrochemical sector, providing investors with a cost-effective investment opportunity [2]

Market Overview - In January 2026, the A-share market showed a growth style dominance with structural differentiation, where the STAR 50 and CSI 1000 indices rose over 10%[4] - The Hang Seng Index and other major indices saw gains exceeding 5%, while the ChiNext and Shanghai Composite Index increased by over 3%[4] Investment Themes - The trading focus in January continued to revolve around "growth stocks and cyclical stocks," driven by technological upgrades in AI, semiconductor equipment, and commercial aerospace sectors[4] - Geopolitical factors led to rising international precious metal prices, benefiting cyclical sectors like copper and aluminum, as well as strategic resources such as lithium and rare earths[4] February Market Outlook - February is expected to be a "window period" for market confidence, driven by high growth expectations in new economies and relatively abundant liquidity before the Spring Festival[4] - The market is likely to see accelerated rotation in sectors like technology and non-ferrous metals, with strong earnings reports becoming focal points[4] Key Stock Recommendations - Top stock picks for February include Zijin Mining (601899.SH) with a projected EPS growth from 1.21 in 2024 to 3.37 in 2026, reflecting a strong outlook due to rising copper prices[6] - Yara International (000893.SZ) is recommended due to expected high potassium fertilizer prices, with EPS forecasted to rise from 1.03 in 2024 to 2.93 in 2026[6] Risk Factors - Risks include unexpected policy changes, commercialization outcomes falling short of expectations, and delays in product development and market entry[4]

Group 1 - Qingdao Bank reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.188 billion yuan for the year 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 21.66% [1] - Eight listed banks, including China Merchants Bank, Industrial Bank, and Ningbo Bank, have also reported positive net profit growth for the year 2025 [1] - The China Galaxy Securities noted that the overall market style in the fourth quarter continues from the previous quarter, with relatively low investor preference for the banking sector [1] Group 2 - The China Banking Index (399986) rose by 1.68%, with Qingdao Bank increasing by 9.94%, Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank by 3.86%, and Ningbo Bank by 3.70% [1] - The Penghua Bank ETF closely tracks the China Banking Index and serves as an analytical tool for investors [2] - As of December 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Banking Index accounted for 65.61% of the index, including major banks like China Merchants Bank and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China [2]

1月29日，泸州老窖将迎来约20亿元中期分红的股权登记日，除权除息日为1月30日。根据公司2025年中 期分配方案，将以总股本14.72亿股为基数，向全体股东每10股派发现金红利13.58元（含税）。 这并非个案。近期，贵州茅台、五粮液已实施完成2025年中期分红方案。中国酒业独立评论人肖竹青认 为，这不仅能提振市场信心、稳定股价，也起到了行业龙头示范效应，带动更多绩优公司把利润分给投 资者。 年分红不低于85亿元 根据泸州老窖2025年4月发布《2024-2026年度股东分红回报规划》，2024-2026年度，公司每年度现金 分红总额占当年归属于上市公司股东净利润的比例分别不低于65%、70%、75%，且均不低于85亿元。 原则上公司每年度可以进行两次现金分红。 2024年，泸州老窖已实施两次分红：三季报分红每10股派发现金红利13.58元（含税），合计约20亿 元；年度分红每10股派45.92元（含税），合计67.59亿元。全年累计派发现金红利达87.59亿元。 在白酒行业深度调整的背景下，头部酒企密集大手笔分红，引发市场关注。 "茅五泸"分红规划亮眼 近年来，"茅五泸"等头部白酒企业相继公布分红规划。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The performance of dividend stocks is expected to outperform in 2026 compared to 2025, based on three main dimensions: valuation attractiveness, earnings recovery, and increased capital allocation towards high-dividend assets [1] Valuation Dimension - The relative valuation of dividends versus growth stocks is at a low level, specifically at the 28.2 percentile since 2016, indicating an attractive entry point for investors [1] Earnings Dimension - A-share earnings are projected to reach a bottom by the end of 2025 or early 2026, with the pressure on cyclical stock earnings expected to ease [1] Capital Dimension - Incremental capital from sources such as insurance, fixed income, and bank wealth management is anticipated to increase its allocation to equities, favoring high-dividend assets with strong absolute return characteristics [1] ETF Overview - The Dividend State-Owned Enterprise ETF (510720) tracks the State-Owned Dividend Index (000151), which selects high-dividend capable and stable dividend-paying companies across sectors like banking, coal, and transportation, focusing on traditional high-dividend areas [1] Investment Strategy - The index employs a rigorous assessment of constituent stocks based on dividend yield and sustainability, utilizing a cross-industry diversification strategy to effectively control investment risks and reflect the overall market performance of high-dividend companies [1] Dividend Performance - According to the fund announcement, the Dividend State-Owned Enterprise ETF has been able to assess dividends monthly and has successfully distributed dividends every month since its listing, achieving a continuous dividend distribution for 21 months [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the performance of the Tianhong Dividend Low Volatility ETF (560150), which rose by 0.72% with a trading volume of 8.2712 million yuan, while the underlying index, the CSI Dividend Low Volatility Index (H30269), increased by 0.47% [1][2] - Major stocks contributing to the index's performance include China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) up by 7.40%, PetroChina up by 4.89%, Tunnel Holdings up by 2.28%, Meihua Biological Technology up by 1.48%, and Zhangjiagang Bank up by 1.35% [1] - Ping An Securities notes the scarcity of oil and gas resources in China, with leading extraction companies increasing production domestically and investing in overseas oil and gas projects, enhancing the value of quality resource endowments [1] - CITIC Construction Investment Securities emphasizes the stability of the railway and highway sectors as high dividend assets, which deserve a valuation premium due to their stable business models [1] - Factors driving dividend assets in 2026 include market return expectations potentially falling below 20%, the pace and scope of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, and fundamental changes in dividend assets such as pricing adjustments in highways and high-speed rail [1] Group 2 - The banking sector continues to attract attention despite a relatively low preference from funds, with state-owned and joint-stock banks being particularly noted [2] - Passive fund outflows have caused disturbances in the banking sector's funding environment, but the high dividend and low valuation characteristics of banks remain appealing to long-term funds like insurance capital [2] - The Tianhong Dividend Low Volatility ETF (560150) closely tracks the CSI Dividend Low Volatility Index, which selects 50 securities with good liquidity, continuous dividends, moderate dividend payout ratios, positive growth in earnings per share, and high dividend yields with low volatility [2]

Summary of Shandong Expressway Conference Call Company Overview - Shandong Expressway focuses on toll road operations as its core business and has diversified into the broader transportation industry chain, including railway freight and electromechanical engineering, optimizing its revenue structure [2][4] - The company strategically introduced Anhui Expressway to optimize its equity structure, facilitating future capital operations [2] Core Financial Insights - Toll revenue remains the primary source of income for Shandong Expressway, with costs and revenues moving in sync, maintaining a stable gross margin over the long term [2][6] - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported steady growth in profits and cash flow, with investment income becoming a significant profit supplement, and asset disposals adding 0.85 billion yuan to net profit attributable to shareholders [2][6] Dividend Policy - Shandong Expressway boasts a leading dividend yield in the industry, projected at 4.1% for 2024, ranking among the top three in the sector [2][7] - Expected dividend yields for 2025 and 2026 are forecasted to reach 4.5% and 4.6%, respectively, with potential for new dividend plans in the future [2][7] Operational Highlights - The company’s core road assets are located in Shandong Province, a major transportation hub with strong demand for both passenger and freight transport [2][8] - As of mid-2025, the operational mileage reached 2,913 kilometers, with approximately 1,604 kilometers of free road assets [2][8] - Key routes such as the Jiqing and Jingtai expressways have completed expansion projects, which are expected to significantly increase traffic volume and enhance revenue per kilometer due to new toll standards [2][9] Competitive Advantages - Shandong Expressway's competitive edge lies in its location and road assets, with a leading operational mileage in the industry [2][8] - The completion of the Jingtai expressway expansion is anticipated to extend toll collection periods, further securing revenue sustainability [2][8] Future Outlook - The company’s future development is supported by three main factors: 1. Ongoing completion of core road asset expansions is expected to catalyze volume and price increases [2][9] 2. Continuous decline in borrowing costs since 2022 will reduce financial expenses and enhance profit growth potential [2][9] 3. The low-risk yield environment enhances the attractiveness of high dividend configurations, with rising expected dividend yields since 2025 [2][9] - Overall, there is a strong positive outlook on the investment value of Shandong Expressway [2][9]