Investment Rating - The report suggests a focus on sectors with high growth certainty in the first half of the year, particularly in AI-PCB, SOC chips, computing power chips, and the Apple supply chain [5][27]. Core Insights - The upcoming COMPUTEX 2025 will showcase significant advancements in AI and related technologies, with major companies like NVIDIA and AMD presenting their latest innovations [2]. - The report emphasizes the ongoing demand for consumer electronics driven by product upgrades and AI innovations, predicting a 13.37% revenue growth in the consumer electronics sector for 2024 [6]. - The semiconductor industry is expected to see a robust recovery, with significant growth in demand for AI-related hardware and components [24][25]. Summary by Sections Consumer Electronics - Revenue for consumer electronics in 2024 is projected at 1,642.456 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 22.25% and a net profit increase of 13.37% [6]. - The demand is driven by both traditional product upgrades and new AI applications, including AI smartphones and robotics [6]. PCB Industry - The PCB industry is experiencing a significant upward trend, with expectations of continued high demand due to AI and consumer electronics [9]. - The report indicates a strong recovery in the PCB sector, particularly in copper-clad laminate, with anticipated substantial growth in Q2 2025 [9]. Semiconductor Sector - The semiconductor industry is projected to benefit from increased capital expenditures from cloud computing companies, with a notable rise in DRAM and NAND Flash prices expected [23]. - The report highlights the importance of domestic semiconductor equipment and materials in light of geopolitical tensions and export controls [24]. Key Companies - Companies such as North Huachuang and Hengxuan Technology are highlighted for their strong positions in the semiconductor equipment and AIoT sectors, respectively [29][30]. - Jiangfeng Electronics is noted for its growth in ultra-pure target materials, which are crucial for semiconductor manufacturing [32]. - The report also emphasizes the potential of companies like Zhaoyi Innovation and Huiding Technology in benefiting from the AI-driven storage upgrade trend [34][31].

随着中美关税冲突缓和，公募基金调研节奏显著加快。高端制造、半导体、医疗健康三大领域成为资金聚焦的 核心赛道，百济神州- U（688235.SH）、安集科技（688019.SH）、恒而达（300946.SZ）等龙头企业获超 200 家机构扎堆调研，凸显机构对技术突破与政策红利的强烈关注。 鹏华基金闫思倩、景顺长城基金农冰立等明星基金经理现身恒而达调研现场，闫思倩、申万菱信基金付娟、华 泰柏瑞基金赵楠共同调研祥鑫科技（002965.SZ），显示出基金经理对先进制造企业的密集关注。 硬科技公司获基金经理调研 数据显示，5月以来公募基金调研呈现"量质齐升"特征。 5月以来，A股市场机构调研热度持续攀升，已有超2000家上市公司获调研。其中，公募基金调研节奏显著 加快。 券商中国记者注意到，2025年5月以来，公募基金对上市公司的调研活动呈现显著的结构性分化，高端制造、 半导体及医疗健康领域成为机构资金布局的核心方向。数据显示，工业机械、半导体设备及创新药企的调研频 次占比超六成，头部企业的技术突破与政策红利成为基金经理关注的重点方向。 从行业分布看，机构调研呈现鲜明的赛道偏好，计算机、通信和其他电子设备制造业以超过3 ...

Market Overview - The market experienced a slight decline with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.4%, the Shenzhen Component down by 0.07%, and the ChiNext Index down by 0.19% [1] - The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 1.09 trillion yuan, a decrease of 62.9 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] - Over 3,000 stocks rose in the market, indicating a mixed performance among individual stocks [1] Automotive Industry - The automotive supply chain saw significant gains, with the automotive parts sector recording a five-week consecutive increase, nearing historical highs from late March [2][4] - The sales data for the automotive market showed a cumulative sales figure of 6.872 million units from January to April, representing a year-on-year growth of 7.9% [6] - The new energy vehicle market also performed well, with sales reaching 3.324 million units in the same period, marking a year-on-year increase of 35.7% [6] Investment Trends - Institutional investors are increasingly allocating funds to the automotive sector, with public fund holdings reaching a historical high and showing a continuous increase over five quarters [6] - High-quality companies in the automotive sector, such as BYD, Li Auto, and Leap Motor, are attracting significant investment [6] - ETFs related to automotive parts and vehicles have shown strong performance, with several leading in gains today [4][5] Regulatory Developments - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has completed the drafting of technical requirements for automatic emergency braking systems, which is expected to transition from a recommended standard to a mandatory requirement [6] - This regulatory change is anticipated to lead to a significant increase in the adoption of such systems in the automotive market [6] Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that the market is currently in a phase of uncertainty, with funds seeking new directions and themes for investment [9] - High expectations for sectors such as AI, robotics, and autonomous control remain, indicating potential for future rebounds [9] - Goldman Sachs has raised its 12-month targets for the MSCI China Index and the CSI 300 Index, suggesting an 11% and 17% potential upside, respectively [9]

Investment Rating - Industry investment rating: Leading the market [4][9] Core Insights - The U.S. Department of Commerce announced the withdrawal of the AI Diffusion Rule, introducing new measures to strengthen semiconductor export controls globally. This includes restrictions on the use of Huawei's Ascend chips and U.S. AI chips for training and inference of Chinese AI models, which is expected to increase demand for NVIDIA chips [8] - The adjustment in U.S. chip export policy is anticipated to boost demand for NVIDIA chips while simultaneously increasing the urgency for China's self-sufficiency in the AI industry [8] - Investment recommendations include focusing on companies related to NVIDIA, such as Huadian Co. and Shenghong Technology, as well as domestic technology chains like Shenzhen Nanyan Circuit [8] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - Electronic industry performance over different time frames: - 1 Month: +3.51% - 3 Months: -5.59% - 12 Months: +35.65% - Comparison with the CSI 300 index: - 1 Month: +5.14% - 3 Months: +0.97% - 12 Months: +7.60% [6] Recent Developments - The U.S. government is expected to announce agreements with Saudi Arabia and other countries to allow access to semiconductor chips, which may further influence the market dynamics [8]

Group 1 - The electronic sector has shown a significant upward trend in returns since 2024, driven by improvements in performance due to demand recovery in computing power, autonomy, mobile, consumer, and industrial sectors, alongside AI narratives providing a basis for valuation expansion [1][2] - The maturity of models is expected to accelerate edge AI innovation, leading to substantial upgrades in processors, memory, cooling, hardware-software integration, and batteries to meet the computing power demands of devices like smartphones and PCs [1][3] - The introduction of new products, such as Apple's foldable devices, is anticipated to create opportunities in 3D printing and UTG glass, with the 3D printing market potentially exceeding 100 billion in the 3C sector due to advantages in weight reduction, thinness, and heat dissipation [1][2] Group 2 - Domestic computing power construction is in its early stages, with significant growth expected in the domestic computing power supply chain, including demand surges for domestic GPUs, ASICs, advanced processes, storage, servers, and PCBs [2][3] - The ongoing US-China technology competition emphasizes the importance of self-sufficiency, with domestic wafer fabs expected to see capital expenditures increase for both advanced and mature processes by 2025 [3] - The semiconductor industry is focusing on domestic replacements in wafer manufacturing, equipment, materials, and components, driven by the need for advanced process capacity amid US export controls [3][4] Group 3 - Investment recommendations include focusing on edge AI innovations in mobile/PC sectors, particularly in 3D printing, UTG glass, and customized storage, with specific companies highlighted for potential growth [4] - The report suggests monitoring companies involved in the domestic computing power explosion, including those in GPU and semiconductor manufacturing, as well as related technologies [4] - Emphasis is placed on the potential for increased domestic production rates in semiconductor equipment, materials, and passive components, with several companies identified as key players in this space [4]

导语："投资大家谈"是点拾投资的公益内容栏目，希望通过每周日不定期的推送，让更多人看到 基金经理对投资和市场的思考。"投资大家谈"栏目内容以公益类的分享为主，不带有基金产品的 代码和信息，也必须来自基金经理的内容创作。 下面，我们分享来自景顺长城基金科技军团的5月思考。一直以来，景顺长城科技军团通过持续 深耕产业链，不断取得前沿、深度的投资洞见。他们也是买方基金公司中，少数提供持续观点分 享的投研团队，相信这一期的5月观点，也能帮助大家理解景顺长城科技军团的投研思考。 最后，也欢迎大家持续给我们投稿！可以发送邮件到：azhu830@yeah.net 杨锐文：看好内需、自主可控和反内卷方向 资机会。同时医药板块长期受益于人口老龄化，而且估值消化的比较充分，具备中长期配置价 值。 周寒颖：关注自主可控和信创、内需标的、被错杀的出海品种、贵金属板块 中美之间的关税对抗对市场情绪的影响已经接近修复，中美博弈的走向和对内政策决定了未来的 操作思路。基于我们对中美关税战结果的乐观预期，关注自主可控和信创板块、长期受益的内需 标的、被错杀的出海品种及贵金属板块方面的投资机会。未来中国的政策将围绕降低储蓄率和扩 大内需做文章 ...

Group 1 - The semiconductor materials ETF (562590) has seen a recent increase of 0.09%, with a year-to-date cumulative rise of 1.23% as of May 15 [1][3] - The ETF's latest share count reached 298 million, marking a one-month high, and it has experienced continuous net inflows over the past five days, totaling 15.19 million yuan [1] - Key component stocks such as Zhongke Feimeasure, Jiangfeng Electronics, and Naike Equipment have shown positive performance, with increases of 1.75%, 1.43%, and 1.27% respectively [1] Group 2 - Under the backdrop of domestic production, equipment companies have shown growth in contract liabilities, with notable increases for companies like Zhongwei, Tuojing Technology, and Xinyuan Micro, indicating a rise in orders [2] - Longchuan Technology and Huafeng Measurement have reported significant increases in contract liabilities, with growth rates of 76% and 44% respectively for Q1 2025 [2] - Conversely, Jinhaitong experienced a substantial decline of 87% in contract liabilities due to a short order-to-revenue conversion cycle [2] Group 3 - The semiconductor materials ETF and its linked funds focus on semiconductor equipment and materials, with over 75% weight in the index attributed to companies benefiting from domestic production [3] - The index's price-to-book ratio stands at 4.17 times, indicating it is cheaper than 73% of the time since its listing, suggesting potential for upward correction [3]

Market Review - The AI and robotics sector continued to decline on May 15, with the Huaxia AI ETF (589010) dropping by 1.34%. Among its holdings, Tianhuai Technology fell by 5.51%, leading the decline, while other stocks like CloudWalk Technology and Yuntian Lifeng also experienced significant drops. The net inflow of funds for the day was 2.06 million, marking two consecutive days of inflows [1] - The Robotics ETF (562500) decreased by 2.03%, with Tianhuai Technology again leading the decline at 5.51%. The trading volume reached 799 million, making it the most active ETF in its category [1] Key News - Elon Musk predicts that the number of humanoid robots will eventually reach hundreds of billions, suggesting that everyone will want their own robot, akin to having a personal C-3PO or R2-D2 from the Star Wars series [1] - TikTok launched its first AI-driven creative feature called "TikTok AI Alive," which allows users to transform static photos into dynamic videos directly within TikTok Stories. This feature enhances static images with dynamic effects, environmental effects, and creative elements [1] Company Insights - During Alibaba's earnings call on May 15, CEO Wu Yongming highlighted two major trends in the AI sector: the penetration of AI applications from internal systems to user-side scenarios in medium and large enterprises, and the expansion of AI product usage from large enterprises to a significant number of small and medium-sized enterprises. Alibaba aims to focus on e-commerce and AI + cloud business growth, shaping a technology-driven second growth curve by fiscal year 2026 [2] - Industrial insights from Industrial Securities emphasize that the ongoing US-China tech rivalry will keep self-sufficiency as a dominant theme in the industry. In the medium to long term, the AI wave will require substantial investment and time for domestic alternatives in computing power and high-performance storage to catch up with advanced domestic processes [2] Popular ETFs - The Robotics ETF (562500) is the largest robotics-themed ETF in the market, enabling investors to easily invest in China's robotics industry [2] - The Huaxia AI ETF (589010) is described as the "brain" of robotics, with a 20% fluctuation limit and small to mid-cap elasticity, aimed at capturing the "singularity moment" in the AI industry [2]

Group 1 - The report highlights a significant liquidity event with a reduction in reserve requirements, yet non-bank borrowing costs unexpectedly increased, indicating a divergence in market behavior [4][5][6] - The stock market is experiencing a correction phase following a narrative of "fund repositioning," with major indices showing declines, particularly in technology sectors [2][8] - The commodity market is witnessing mixed performances, with precious metals showing signs of stabilization after recent declines, while industrial metals exhibit varied trends [3][6] Group 2 - The report identifies three potential reasons for the unexpected tightening of liquidity post-reduction in reserve requirements, including significant government bond issuance and the maturity of large repurchase agreements [6][7] - The technology sector is under pressure due to concerns over liquidity and repositioning strategies, leading to notable declines in major tech indices [8][9] - The Hong Kong stock market is also experiencing a shift, with net outflows from technology stocks, suggesting a changing investment focus towards dividend-paying stocks [9]

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry or Company Involved - Convertible Bond Market - Semiconductor Industry - AI and Robotics Sector - Consumer Goods Sector (including cosmetics and food) - Pet Food Industry - Low-Temperature Dairy Products Industry Core Points and Arguments Convertible Bond Market - The average price of convertible bonds has risen to 119.39 yuan, with an average rating close to 90 and a conversion premium of 41.29%, indicating a high price range but not overly expensive in valuation terms [1][3] - Structural opportunities exist in the market, particularly for high-quality issuers or those with significant stock elasticity, as concerns over credit rating adjustments have been alleviated in low-price ranges [1][4] Impact of Tariff Easing - The easing of tariffs has not significantly improved market sentiment, as 91% of tariffs were canceled and 24% suspended, leading to a quick absorption of short-term benefits [2] - Export-oriented companies may experience profit impacts due to high tariff costs, while domestic demand sectors and technology growth areas like AI and robotics are less affected [7] Performance of Various Sectors - In Q1 2025, the consumer and growth sectors showed leading net profit growth, with agriculture, forestry, and fishery sectors experiencing a staggering 789% year-on-year growth [8] - The TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) sector also achieved double-digit growth, while midstream manufacturing industries turned from negative to positive growth [8] Recommendations for Investment - Focus on companies benefiting from technological growth and domestic demand expansion, such as those in AI, semiconductors, and consumer goods [5] - Specific convertible bond recommendations include companies like Dinglong, Anji Technology, and Keda Li, which are positioned well in the semiconductor and AI sectors [9][11] Company-Specific Highlights - **Haopeng Company**: Benefiting from domestic battery replacement, with a 23% increase in revenue and a 900% increase in net profit in Q1 2025 [3][13] - **Kedali Company**: Engaged in humanoid robotics, with a 20% revenue increase and a 25% net profit increase in Q1 2025 [14] - **Polaire**: A leading domestic cosmetics brand, with an 8% revenue increase and a 28% net profit increase in Q1 2025, showcasing strong brand building capabilities [15][16] - **China CRRC**: In the pet food sector, showing strong domestic sales growth despite tariff impacts, with a 30% increase in sales through online channels [17] - **New Dairy Industry**: Leading in low-temperature dairy products, with a 48% increase in net profit in Q1 2025, driven by product optimization and cost control [18] Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content - The overall market reaction to tariff benefits has been muted, as current tariff levels remain higher than at the end of the previous year, indicating ongoing uncertainty in trade relations [6] - The long-term trend towards self-sufficiency in technology, particularly in semiconductor and AI sectors, is emphasized as a key market direction [7]