美联储主席鲍威尔：劳动力市场状况保持坚挺。 ...

分析师：就业疲软数据出现时，美联储才可能降息 金十数据5月7日讯，Metzler的分析师认为，货币市场可能对美联储今年降息过于乐观。Metzler坚持其 预测，即2025年美联储将降息两次，现在预计下一次宽松政策只会在7月份出台，主要原因是美国劳动 力市场持续强劲。根据LSEG的数据，货币市场预计2025年将有三次降息。分析师预计，鲍威尔将在新 闻发布会上重点讨论价格稳定问题。尤其是不断上升的通胀预期，目前正引起货币当局的担忧。只有当 美国经济疲软反映在劳动力市场上时，才有可能降息。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from Monex Europe analysts suggests that if the Federal Reserve suppresses market expectations for interest rate cuts in the upcoming meeting, the US dollar may strengthen [1] Economic Indicators - The market anticipates a potential interest rate cut in June, but recent US data indicates that the Federal Reserve is unlikely to ease policies before the fourth quarter [1] - Inflation remains high due to tariffs, which are expected to further increase price pressures [1] - The labor market remains robust, contradicting expectations of an economic slowdown [1] Federal Reserve's Position - The Federal Reserve has limited options other than to delay market easing expectations and emphasize the resilience of the potential economic conditions [1]

与其在繁杂的分析中徘徊，不如坚定跟随一位专业可靠的引路人。尽管市场变幻莫测，无人能承诺百分 百盈利，但我们拥有独家打造的入场、出场、风控三位一体平衡术。通过科学严谨的入场时机研判，让 你在最佳点位精准布局；凭借精准无误的出场策略，确保你及时落袋为安；再依托严密的风控体系，为 你的资金安全保驾护航。凭借这套完善的体系，实现稳定盈利并非遥不可及。只要坚持下去，积少成 多，财富增长的目标轻松可达。别再犹豫，选择我们，开启你的财富增值之旅。 近期有哪些消息面影响黄金原油走势？后市黄金多空该如何研判？ 换资前言： 一篇文章的触动，或许只是投资路上的短暂启发。但日复一日、精准无误的行情分析，才是你财富稳步 增长的核心秘诀。你在投资的茫茫信息海洋中，想必已浏览过无数分析，也见证过不少盈利案例，可为 何亏损仍如影随形？原因就在于，你习惯将众多观点综合考量后操作，然而金融市场本就是一场残酷的 博弈，遵循着多数人失败、少数人成功的铁律。过多观点的杂糅，往往让你陷入迷茫，错失最佳时机。 空单策略： 周五（5月2日），北京时间20:30，美国劳工统计局（BLS）公布了备受关注的4月非农就业报告，数据 显示美国经济新增就业17.7万人 ...

Core Insights - The non-farm payroll report indicates economic resilience rather than recession [1] - The labor market remains strong, but future economic outlook is uncertain [1] - The Federal Reserve is expected to remain passive until there is significant weakness in the labor market [1] Economic Indicators - The employment report is characterized as a good one, showcasing resilience in the labor market [1] - Overall data from the week suggests a strong economic foundation for the U.S. in early April [1] - Trade policies may pose a risk to economic growth, warranting caution regarding future optimism [1]

机构评美国非农数据：失业率徘徊在4.2%，而劳动力参与率有所上升，这无疑表明劳动力市场仍然稳 健。 ...

金十数据5月2日讯，荷兰国际集团经济学家Bert Colijn写道，欧元区通胀未来不太可能大幅下降，因为 经济的潜在弹性抵消了贸易关税的抑制作用。周五公布的数据显示，欧元区4月份物价同比上涨2.2%， 较前一个月保持稳定。Colijn说，贸易动荡和随之而来的能源价格下跌使通货膨胀率接近欧洲央行2%的 目标。但投资者不应指望未来几个月通胀会大幅下降。他表示："即使贸易战最初抑制了通胀压力，但 在劳动力市场强劲、工资增长高的情况下，增长良好的欧元区经济可能会在未来几个月让通胀保持在一 定程度上的高位。" 弹性经济支撑欧元区通胀 ...

巴克莱：预计，人工智能将重塑全球供应链和劳动力市场。 ...

新华财经北京4月30日电（崔凯）在经济不确定性增大的背景下，美国企业对劳动力的需求正在减弱。 据ADP Research Institute周三发布的数据显示，有"小非农"之称的ADP就业人数在4月份仅增加了6.2万 人，这是过去九个月以来的最低增长速度，远低于市场预期的11.5万人，也较前一个月的15.5万人有所 下降。 ADP首席经济学家Nela Richardson指出："不安是今天的关键词。"她解释说，雇主们正努力在政策和消 费者不确定性与一系列总体积极的经济数据之间寻求平衡，这种环境下做出招聘决策变得尤为困难。 尽管ADP的数据揭示了招聘活动的放缓，但最近公布的申请失业救济金的人数仍接近新冠疫情前的水 平，这表明当前裁员情况仍然较为温和。 分析认为，劳动力市场呈现出一种"喜忧参半"的局面：一方面，新增就业岗位的增长速度减慢；另一方 面，失业率保持相对稳定，显示出劳动力市场的韧性。 市场正密切关注即将于周五发布的美国4月非农就业数据报告。部分经济学家警告称，由于特朗普政府 掀起的关税战役，美国劳动力市场可能出现剧烈波动，这将显著增加金融市场对美联储在6月份首次降 息的预期。 克利夫兰联储主席哈马克和美 ...

Core Insights - The ADP employment report for April indicates a significant slowdown in job growth, with an increase of only 62,000 jobs, the slowest pace in nearly nine months, falling short of the expected 115,000 jobs and down from the previous month's 155,000 jobs [2][3] Employment Changes by Sector - Job growth in the goods-producing sector was 26,000, while the service-providing sector added 34,000 jobs [4] - Notable declines were observed in education and health services (-23,000), information (-8,000), and professional/business services (-2,000) [4] - The leisure and hospitality sector saw an increase of 27,000 jobs [4] Regional Employment Changes - The Midwest region experienced the highest job growth with 42,000 jobs added, while the South saw a minimal increase of 3,000 jobs [4] - The New England area reported a loss of 33,000 jobs, contrasting with the Middle Atlantic's gain of 43,000 jobs [4] Employment by Establishment Size - Small establishments (1-19 employees) added 20,000 jobs, while medium establishments (50-249 employees) contributed 21,000 jobs [4] - Large establishments (500+ employees) added 12,000 jobs, indicating a more cautious hiring approach among larger firms [4] Wage Growth Insights - Job switchers experienced a wage growth of 6.9%, the highest since December 2024, while those remaining in their positions saw a wage increase of 4.5%, slightly down from March [6] Economic Context - Economic uncertainty is impacting employer hiring decisions, with concerns about policy and consumer uncertainty [3] - The labor market is described as "mixed," with some sectors experiencing job losses while others see moderate hiring [11] - Consumer sentiment remains cautious, with worries about rising unemployment and stagnant income growth [8]