创造性破坏
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今年诺奖得主,警告特朗普
凤凰网财经· 2025-10-14 12:38
Core Insights - The 2025 Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences was awarded to Philippe Aghion, Joel Mokyr, and Peter Howitt for their contributions to understanding innovation-driven economic growth [2][6] - Aghion emphasized that tariffs are detrimental to economic growth, advocating for larger markets to facilitate trade and innovation [6][7] - The scholars warned against government policies that may stifle innovation, highlighting the importance of a unified European market to enhance economic vitality [7][10] Group 1: Contributions of Nobel Laureates - Philippe Aghion, along with Howitt, transformed the concept of "creative destruction" into a theoretical model, emphasizing its role in economic growth [2][11] - Joel Mokyr focused on the historical roots of economic growth, analyzing the interplay between technological progress, knowledge economy, and industrial revolutions [12][13] - Aghion and Howitt's collaboration in 1987 introduced "creative destruction" into endogenous growth models, illustrating the dynamic replacement of old products by new innovations [11][12] Group 2: Economic Growth Dynamics - Aghion argued that AI could significantly enhance productivity and accelerate the process of "creative destruction," which is essential for sustained economic growth [7][10] - Mokyr's research highlighted that economic growth is not a given but a result of various intertwined factors, including political environment and institutional design [16][19] - The laureates collectively stressed that maintaining the mechanisms behind creative destruction is crucial to avoid economic stagnation [24]
21评论|2025年诺贝尔经济学奖:良好的创新生态有哪些要素
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-10-14 11:33
Core Insights - The 2025 Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences was awarded to Joel Mokyr, Philippe Aghion, and Peter Howitt for their contributions to the theory of innovation-driven economic growth [2] Group 1: Innovation and Economic Growth - Mokyr emphasizes the importance of a "technology-institution-culture" framework for understanding economic growth, highlighting the role of knowledge accumulation and dissemination supported by institutions and culture [3] - The belief in continuous improvement of knowledge and technology among European scientists and entrepreneurs serves as a psychological and social foundation for innovation [3] - Economic stagnation is often due to closed knowledge systems and rigid institutions, while sustained growth is characterized by open knowledge structures and inclusive cultural environments [3] Group 2: Endogenous Growth Models - Aghion and Howitt developed endogenous growth models based on Schumpeter's concept of "creative destruction," explaining how innovation replaces old technologies and drives productivity [4] - Their research indicates that moderate competition can stimulate innovation, while excessive competition may reduce the incentive for innovation due to diminished monopoly profits [4] - They advocate for the internalization of institutions to shape innovation incentives and determine growth paths, integrating Schumpeter's theories into mainstream macroeconomics [4] Group 3: Implications for China - Innovation is identified as the primary driver of development in China, with a focus on self-reliance in technology as a strategic support for national development [5] - The establishment of a comprehensive innovation ecosystem is crucial, requiring increased investment in basic research and the construction of national laboratories to enhance original innovation capabilities [5] - Optimizing innovation policies and institutional environments is essential, balancing competition and innovation while fostering a culture that encourages exploration and tolerates failure [6] Group 4: Industry Structure and Cultural Integration - The "creative destruction" theory suggests that economic growth involves the transition from old to new drivers, necessitating a mechanism for reallocating production factors to enhance efficiency [6] - Promoting the integration of innovation with social culture is vital, emphasizing the cultivation of an innovative culture that merges traditional values with modern entrepreneurial spirit [7]
2025诺贝尔经济学奖,告诉了中国什么?|宏观经济
清华金融评论· 2025-10-14 09:39
Core Insights - The article discusses the significance of the 2025 Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences awarded to Joel Mokyr, Philippe Aghion, and Peter Howitt for their contributions to understanding how innovation drives economic growth, particularly in the context of China's current economic challenges [5][6]. Group 1: Innovation Ecosystem - Mokyr's core contribution highlights that an innovation ecosystem, composed of knowledge enlightenment and institutional guarantees, is essential to combat the issue of "involution" in China, which is characterized by ineffective competition and insufficient technological advancement [7][8]. - The historical context provided by Mokyr indicates that the "Bacon Plan" in the 17th century marked a pivotal moment for the role of knowledge in economic growth, emphasizing the importance of knowledge dissemination for technological breakthroughs [7][8]. - The emergence of innovation clusters, such as those in Beijing and Hangzhou, supports Mokyr's assertion that a collaborative environment among academia, capital markets, and government services fosters innovation [8]. Group 2: Competition and Innovation - Aghion and Howitt's theory of the "inverted U-shape relationship" between competition and innovation suggests that there is an optimal level of competition that stimulates innovation, while excessive competition can stifle it [10][11]. - The impact of this theory is evident in China's electric vehicle industry, where excessive competition has led to price wars that diminish profits and reduce R&D investments, highlighting the need for a balanced competitive environment [10][11]. - The commitment of 17 car manufacturers to a 60-day payment term is seen as a positive step towards restoring optimal competition in the industry [10]. Group 3: Creative Destruction - Aghion and Howitt's concept of "creative destruction" is presented as a necessary pathway for China to transition from "stock competition" to "incremental innovation," emphasizing the need to eliminate outdated capacities and explore new markets [12][13]. - The article contrasts the dominance of technology-driven companies in the U.S. with the prevalence of traditional firms in China's stock market, suggesting that the lack of a strong "creative destruction" mechanism hinders innovation [13]. - Policy recommendations include the government acting as a "rule guardian" to foster an innovation ecosystem and ensure that low-quality capacities exit the market, thereby promoting a competitive environment conducive to innovation [13]. Group 4: Conclusion - The insights from the 2025 Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences emphasize that combating "involution" requires not a rejection of competition but a return to a reasonable competitive framework that enhances innovation [15]. - The article outlines three core pathways to achieve this: establishing a supportive institutional framework, regulating competition to stimulate innovation, and encouraging technological and model innovation to shift from saturated markets to new growth areas [15].
今年诺奖得主,警告特朗普
盐财经· 2025-10-14 09:12
Core Insights - The 2025 Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences was awarded to Philippe Aghion, Joel Mokyr, and Peter Howitt for their contributions to understanding innovation-driven economic growth [4][28] - Aghion emphasized the negative impact of tariffs on economic growth, stating that trade barriers hinder market fluidity and innovation [10][12] - The trio's research highlights the importance of maintaining mechanisms that support creative destruction to avoid economic stagnation [28] Group 1: Contributions of Nobel Laureates - Philippe Aghion aims to use his prize money to further research on the impact of AI and innovation on economic growth [2] - Joel Mokyr's work focuses on the historical roots of economic growth, analyzing the interplay between technological progress and industrial revolutions [19][20] - Peter Howitt, along with Aghion, developed a theoretical model that incorporates the concept of creative destruction into endogenous growth theory [16][26] Group 2: Economic Policies and Innovation - Aghion warned against government policies that suppress innovation, advocating for a unified European market to enhance technological advancement [12][13] - Mokyr criticized the Trump administration's research policies, labeling them as detrimental to the U.S.'s leadership in science and education [26][27] - The laureates collectively argue that innovation is essential for addressing global challenges such as climate change and aging populations, requiring supportive government policies [27]
邓正红批判2025年诺贝尔经济学奖“创造性破坏”是伪命题、西方资本导向偏见
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-14 07:53
Core Viewpoint - The awarding of the 2025 Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences to researchers of "creative destruction" reflects the limitations of Western economic paradigms, as argued by Professor Deng Zhenghong, who emphasizes a demand-first and value accumulation perspective, fundamentally questioning the "creative destruction" theory [1][10]. Summary by Relevant Categories Creative Destruction Theory - The traditional view of "creative destruction," introduced by economist Joseph Schumpeter, describes a dynamic process where new innovations continuously disrupt and replace old technologies and products, driving long-term economic growth [2]. - Aghion and Howitt elaborated on this theory in 1992, establishing that innovation accumulation and entrepreneurial activity are core drivers of sustained growth within the endogenous growth theory framework [2]. Deng Zhenghong's Soft Power Philosophy - Deng's soft power philosophy posits that non-material capabilities can activate hard resources, creating value that far exceeds material inputs [2]. - It emphasizes the dynamic adaptability of soft power, which evolves with environmental changes, and asserts that demand is the primary driver of economic activity [3][5]. Critique of Creative Destruction - Deng argues that "creative destruction" is a false premise, asserting that economic activity should focus on value accumulation rather than destruction [3][4]. - He highlights that true innovation should address real market needs rather than pursuing innovation for its own sake, warning against the pitfalls of "disruptive innovation" that neglects genuine consumer demands [5][6]. Economic Stagnation - Deng contends that a return to economic stagnation is both reasonable and inevitable, as economic development follows inherent laws that should not be artificially manipulated to pursue continuous growth [7][8]. - He critiques the obsession with growth metrics like GDP, suggesting that stagnation can coexist with cultural richness and social well-being [7][8]. Demand-Driven Innovation - Deng's philosophy advocates for a demand-driven approach to innovation, contrasting with the Western focus on innovation-driven growth [8][9]. - He cites examples such as China's high-speed rail development, which integrates existing technologies to create superior solutions rather than simply replacing them [4]. Future Economic Paradigms - The intersection of globalization and digitalization may lead to new theoretical possibilities, where Deng's demand-driven soft power philosophy complements the innovation-driven approach of Western economics [9]. - Deng envisions a future economic model that balances demand and innovation, fostering qualitative changes within a framework of reasonable stagnation [9].
南财快评|诺贝尔经济学奖启示:如何应对AI的“创造性破坏”
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-10-14 03:14
Core Insights - The 2025 Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences was awarded to Joel Mokyr, Philippe Aghion, and Peter Howitt for their groundbreaking contributions to understanding "innovation-driven economic growth" [2][3] Group 1: Historical Insights - Joel Mokyr emphasizes the importance of "knowledge accumulation" and "cultural environment" as key prerequisites for innovation, arguing that the cultural shift in 18th century Europe facilitated the transformation of scientific knowledge into technology, thus promoting economic growth [3][4] - Mokyr's work highlights the significance of ideas and culture in technological innovation and economic growth, asserting that a culture that encourages questioning, values science, and protects intellectual freedom is essential for sustained technological progress [4] Group 2: Theoretical Foundations - Aghion and Howitt introduced the "Schumpeterian Growth Model," which mathematically incorporates the concept of "creative destruction" into mainstream economic analysis, illustrating how new technologies and firms disrupt old market structures to drive economic growth [5] - Their model posits that innovation is profit-driven, with firms motivated to invest in R&D to capture "innovation rents," and that the process of creative destruction is a necessary aspect of economic progress [5] - The model also addresses the inherent contradictions in innovation, where today's innovators may become future obstacles to innovation due to their established advantages [5] Group 3: Policy Implications - The theories of these scholars provide analytical tools and policy insights for managing current technological changes, particularly in the context of artificial intelligence (AI) [6] - It is crucial to actively manage the structural unemployment caused by technological advancements and implement strong antitrust policies to prevent tech giants from stifling innovation [6][8] - Investment in education, social security, and an open cultural environment is necessary to support long-term innovation and higher quality economic development [6][9] Group 4: AI and Creative Destruction - AI technology exemplifies "creative destruction" by rapidly replacing traditional jobs across various sectors, necessitating proactive management of this disruption to foster high-quality economic growth [7] - The concentration of AI research within a few tech giants poses risks of monopolistic practices that could hinder innovation, highlighting the need for effective regulatory frameworks and open competition [8] - The sustainability of technological innovation relies on a supportive social environment that fosters critical thinking, creativity, and interdisciplinary skills, alongside robust unemployment support and retraining systems [9]
诺贝尔经济学奖启示:如何应对AI的“创造性破坏”
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-10-14 03:00
Core Insights - The Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences 2025 was awarded to Joel Mokyr, Philippe Aghion, and Peter Howitt for their groundbreaking contributions to understanding "innovation-driven economic growth" [1] Group 1: Understanding Economic Growth - The traditional neoclassical growth models view technological progress as an exogenous variable, failing to explain its intrinsic dynamics [2] - Mokyr's research emphasizes the importance of "knowledge accumulation" and "cultural environment" as key prerequisites for innovation [2] - Aghion and Howitt's "Schumpeterian Growth Model" mathematically incorporates the concept of "creative destruction," highlighting that new technologies and firms disrupt old market structures, driving continuous economic growth [3] Group 2: Policy Implications - The theories of these scholars provide analytical tools and policy insights for managing the structural unemployment caused by technological advancements, particularly in AI [4] - Strong antitrust policies are necessary to prevent tech giants from stifling innovation, requiring collaboration among government, market, and civil society [4] - Investment in education, social security, and an open culture is essential to support long-term innovation and higher quality economic development [4] Group 3: AI and Creative Destruction - AI technology is rapidly replacing traditional jobs, exemplifying "creative destruction" by increasing efficiency while posing risks of structural unemployment [6] - The concentration of AI research among a few tech giants raises concerns about monopolistic practices that could inhibit innovation across the ecosystem [7] - The sustainability of technological innovation relies on a supportive social environment, emphasizing the need for critical thinking, creativity, and interdisciplinary skills in the workforce [8]
刚获诺奖,他就放话:欧洲不能让中美赢了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-14 01:03
Core Insights - The Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences was awarded to Philippe Aghion, Joel Mokyr, and Peter Howitt for their contributions to understanding innovation-driven economic growth [1][3] - Aghion emphasized the need for Europe to avoid falling behind the US and China in technological innovation and to develop a supportive financial ecosystem for high-tech breakthroughs [3][4] - Mokyr criticized the Trump administration's research policies, labeling them as historically detrimental to the US's leadership in research and education [4][5] Group 1: European Economic Strategy - Aghion warned that Europe must not allow the US and China to dominate in technology, highlighting a significant widening of the wealth gap between the US and the Eurozone since the 1980s [3][4] - He pointed out that Europe has failed to achieve breakthrough innovations in high-tech fields, which has contributed to the growing economic disparity [3][4] - Aghion called for a change in Europe's approach to industrial policy, advocating for a balance between competition policy and industrial policy in sectors like defense, climate, AI, and biotechnology [4] Group 2: Critique of US Policies - Mokyr expressed strong disapproval of the Trump administration's policies, stating they could lead to a loss of the US's leading position in research and education [4][5] - He described the administration's attacks on higher education and research as a significant self-inflicted wound, driven by unrelated political factors [4][5] - Howitt echoed similar sentiments regarding the negative impact of trade policies on innovation and market scale [5][6]
2025诺贝尔经济学奖,解释了为什么要“反内卷”
吴晓波频道· 2025-10-14 00:30
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the transformative impact of generative AI across various sectors and highlights the concept of "creative destruction" as a driving force for innovation and economic growth, referencing the recent Nobel Prize in Economics awarded to three scholars for their contributions to this field [3][5]. Group 1: Nobel Prize Winners and Their Contributions - The Nobel Prize in Economics was awarded to Philippe Aghion, Peter Howitt, and Joel Mokyr, emphasizing the significance of "innovation-driven growth" [5]. - Aghion and Howitt developed a mathematical model of "creative destruction," transforming Joseph Schumpeter's philosophical ideas into practical insights for economic growth [12][13]. - Their model illustrates that economic growth results from a series of "micro-revolutions," where each innovation enhances productivity while simultaneously phasing out outdated technologies [16]. Group 2: Innovation Dynamics - Aghion and Howitt's research reconciles two prevailing views on innovation: Schumpeter's belief in market power as a driver of innovation and Kenneth Arrow's view that competition fosters innovation [14][15]. - They introduced the "inverted U-shaped curve" to explain the relationship between competition and innovation, suggesting that moderate competition fosters the best environment for innovation [18][23]. - The balance of fear and hope is identified as the core driver of innovation, where moderate competition creates a sense of urgency for existing firms while providing opportunities for challengers [24]. Group 3: Policy Implications - Aghion argues that government should create an environment conducive to growth rather than directly generating it, emphasizing the importance of maintaining competitive tension [25][28]. - The article suggests that antitrust policies should not aim to eliminate large companies but ensure they face competition, while subsidies should distribute innovation risks across society [28][31]. - The integration of industrial and competition policies is essential for fostering innovation, allowing for long-term R&D support alongside open market access [31].
成都通报小米SU7车祸:酒驾发生碰撞燃烧,驾驶员死亡;极星汽车关闭国内最后一家直营门店;Windows 10即将“停服”丨邦早报
创业邦· 2025-10-14 00:08
Group 1 - The 2025 Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences was awarded to three economists for their contributions to understanding innovation-driven economic growth [5] - The prize winners highlighted the importance of managing creative destruction to avoid stagnation in economic growth [5] Group 2 - Meituan has introduced a feature allowing delivery riders to block customers, currently being piloted in seven cities [9] - Polestar has closed its last direct sales store in China, shifting to an online sales model to adapt to changing consumer demands [9] - China's three major telecom operators have launched eSIM services, with significant user interest indicated by over 68,000 online reservations for China Unicom's eSIM service [10] Group 3 - The cancellation of the "Striving Day" by Manbang Group reflects a focus on employee needs while maintaining a commitment to competitive spirit [13] - The new brand "Wawa Xiaozhi" will gradually replace "Zong Shifu," focusing on AD calcium milk products [13] Group 4 - OpenAI and Broadcom announced a strategic partnership to deploy a 10GW custom AI accelerator, with deployment expected to begin in late 2026 [13] - Vanke's chairman Xin Jie has resigned, with Huang Liping elected as the new chairman [13] Group 5 - The registration of the "You Yo Fast Line" trademark by Hongsheng Group indicates a focus on dairy and beverage products [14] - Apple is expected to launch three new products featuring the M5 chip this week [14] Group 6 - DJI's significant price cuts have sparked consumer backlash, leading to the issuance of vouchers to affected customers [14] - Xibei clarified that its newly registered company does not signify a shift towards pre-prepared meals [16] Group 7 - Microsoft will stop providing security updates and technical support for Windows 10 starting October 14, increasing vulnerability for users [17] - Zotye Auto announced the cessation of asset disposal and debt restructuring for its subsidiary [19] Group 8 - The successful listing hearing of Seres Group on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange indicates ongoing interest in the electric vehicle sector [19] - Volant completed a multi-hundred million B round financing to support its aviation projects [19] Group 9 - NineSight completed a multi-million dollar financing round led by Ant Group, focusing on L4 autonomous driving technology [19] - Future Intelligence announced a significant A round financing to advance its AI hardware solutions [19] Group 10 - EHang launched its VT35 eVTOL aircraft with a starting price of no less than 6.5 million yuan in the Chinese market [20][21] - The new Lexus LS model will debut as a six-wheeled MPV at the Tokyo Motor Show [23] Group 11 - In September, the penetration rate of new energy vehicles among manufacturers reached 53.5%, with significant growth in domestic brands [25]