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巴菲特的警告应验了?被炒上天的白银,一场被逼空的局!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-15 19:30
Core Viewpoint - Silver has emerged as a significant player in the global financial market in 2025, with its price skyrocketing from under $20 to nearly $120, achieving a 190% increase, far surpassing gold's 70% rise during the same period [1] Supply and Demand Dynamics - Approximately 70% to 80% of silver is a byproduct of mining for other metals like copper, lead, and zinc, limiting its supply response to price increases [3] - The demand for silver is being driven by the renewable energy revolution, particularly in photovoltaic solar panels, which consumed 35% of global industrial silver demand in 2025, nearly one-third of the year's mining output [3] - The silver market has experienced a supply deficit for five consecutive years, with a cumulative shortfall of about 820 million ounces, equivalent to nearly a full year of global mining output [4] Market Imbalances - The inventory of physical silver in major trading markets like London and New York is rapidly declining, with COMEX silver inventory dropping by 26% in just one week in January 2026 [4] - The "paper silver" market, including futures and ETFs, has created a situation where the amount of paper contracts far exceeds the available physical silver, with a ratio of over 8 to 1 in London [4][8] Market Reactions and Speculation - In 2025, industrial players began demanding immediate delivery of physical silver, leading to a panic in the futures market as short sellers struggled to fulfill contracts [5] - The rental rate for physical silver skyrocketed from nearly 0% to 39% in August 2025, indicating a severe shortage and driving up costs for those needing to borrow silver [5] - The futures market experienced a "death spiral," where short sellers were forced to buy silver at any cost to cover their positions, leading to a significant price surge [6] Institutional Involvement - Major market players, such as JPMorgan Chase, faced scrutiny amid rumors of significant losses from short positions, which contributed to market volatility [8] - As of December 2025, the COMEX silver futures open interest reached 1.124 billion ounces, while the deliverable silver inventory was less than 140 million ounces, exacerbating the supply crisis [8] Policy Impacts - U.S. policy considerations to classify silver as a restricted trade commodity intensified the urgency for silver stockpiling, further straining global supply [8] - China, a major supplier of refined silver, implemented strict export quotas, effectively limiting the free flow of silver in the market [8] Market Behavior and Historical Context - The surge in silver prices has led to unusual market behaviors, such as long queues for silver bars in Shenzhen, with reports of businesses unable to fulfill orders due to supply constraints [9] - Historical parallels are drawn to past silver market frenzies, highlighting the cyclical nature of silver price volatility driven by both speculative and industrial demand [10][11]
It is ‘REVENGE' of the value stocks, finance professor explains
Youtube· 2026-02-15 19:00
Economic Overview - Inflation has decreased to 2.4% in January, driven by lower gas and used vehicle prices [1] - Positive employment data was reported, alleviating concerns about the job market [2][3] Stock Market Insights - There is a noticeable rotation from big tech stocks to value stocks, which appears to be a genuine trend rather than a temporary shift [4][5] - Smaller value stocks are beginning to leverage AI to enhance productivity and profit margins [6] AI Impact - The rapid evolution of AI is causing significant market disruptions, affecting various sectors [7][8] - Concerns about cybersecurity are heightened due to the increasing reliance on AI, with potential risks to the financial system [8][9] Federal Reserve and Interest Rates - Predictions regarding interest rate cuts are uncertain, with the next Federal Reserve meeting not scheduled until June [10] - There is a belief that the Fed funds rate should be in the low 3% range, suggesting potential for two more cuts [11][12]
Wall Street Brunch: Walmart Weighs In As Q4 GDP Hits (undefined:WMT)
Seeking Alpha· 2026-02-15 18:12
Company Insights - Walmart is expected to report fiscal Q4 EPS of $0.73 on revenue of $188.54 billion, with same-store sales forecasted to rise about 4.2% [3] - Walmart has recently joined the $1 trillion market-cap club, indicating strong market performance [3] - Grassroots Trading rates Walmart as a Strong Sell, citing extreme valuation and limited margin of safety if multiples revert [4] Economic Indicators - Economists anticipate Q4 GDP growth to be around 2.8%, with Wells Fargo suggesting it could be closer to 1.6% when accounting for the impact of a government shutdown [5][6] - The core PCE price index, which is the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, is forecasted to increase to 3% year over year [7] Market Events - The Supreme Court is expected to rule on President Trump's tariffs soon, with prediction markets indicating a 27% chance of ruling in favor of the tariffs [8][9] - Nvidia's CEO will not attend the India AI Impact Summit due to unforeseen circumstances, but the company remains committed to the event [9][10] Dividend Information - Chevron, ConocoPhillips, Hasbro, and Microsoft are set to go ex-dividend this week, with payout dates in March [10][11] Research Developments - Goldman Sachs has launched a software pair-trade basket, going long on companies perceived as insulated from AI disruption and short on those seen as vulnerable [11][12][13]
特斯拉FSD转向订阅制,中国市场审批进展引关注
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-15 17:59
Group 1 - Tesla will stop selling the one-time purchase version of FSD (Full Self-Driving) starting February 15, 2026, transitioning to a subscription model priced at $99 per month, down from the previous one-time fee of $8,000 [1] - The subscription model aims to lower user experience barriers, enhance recurring revenue, and accelerate FSD algorithm iterations [1] - FSD has made progress in regulatory approval in China, with potential approval expected in February, and Tesla has established a local AI training center for FSD optimization [1] Group 2 - Tesla's Q4 2025 financial report shows total revenue of $94.827 billion, a 3% year-over-year decline, and net profit down 46% [2] - Global delivery volume reached 1.636 million units, an 8.6% year-over-year decrease, marking the first time Tesla has been surpassed by BYD [2] - The FSD subscription business is growing, with over 1.1 million active users as of December 2025, a 40% increase year-over-year [2] Group 3 - Tesla's stock price showed minor fluctuations, closing at $417.44 on February 13, 2026, a 1.54% increase from February 9, but down 7.18% year-to-date [3] - Trading volume was approximately $22.7 billion on February 9, with an overall decline in trading volume for the week [3] - The stock's resilience reflects market interest in Tesla's AI transformation amid a weak performance in the broader market, with the Nasdaq index down 2.10% over the same period [3]
大专市场调查与统计分析专业,怎么学习市场调研问卷的设计?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-15 16:08
问卷设计看似简单,却是决定市场调研成败的关键一步! 市场调查与统计分析专业的小伙伴们,一定深知问卷设计在整个调研流程中的核心地位。问卷设计不合理,数据收集再完整也是白搭,分析得再漂亮也是空 中楼阁。 那到底如何系统学习问卷设计,才能让自己在就业市场中脱颖而出? 今天为你最推荐的是CDA数据分析师,这个证书适应了未来数字化经济和AI发展趋势,难度不高,行业认可度高,对找工作非常有帮助。 为什么必须考CDA数据分析师? 不限专业:不限制专业,适合0基础学习转行来考 。 CDA数据分析师含金量如何? CDA数据分析师是数据领域认可度最高的证书,与CPA注会、CFA特许 金融师齐名。受到了人民日报、经济日报等权威媒体推荐。 CDA企业认可度如何? CDA企业认可度非常高,很多企业招聘时注明CDA数据分析师优先,对找工作非常有帮助。很多银行、金融机构的技术岗会要求必须是CDA数据分析师二 级以上的持证人。中国联通、央视广信、德勤、苏宁等企业,把CDA持证人列入优先考虑或者对员工的CDA考试给补贴。 就业方向 互联网大厂做数据分析师、金融银行技术岗、商业智能顾问、市场研究、产品、运营等。 就业薪资 想获取CDA考试资料, ...
Seedance 2.0赋能 春晚“端上”科技硬菜
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-15 15:55
Core Viewpoint - The 2026 Spring Festival Gala will feature a theme of "Galloping Steeds, Unstoppable Momentum," integrating traditional culture with cutting-edge technology to create an immersive cultural experience for global Chinese audiences [1]. Group 1: Technological Innovations - The gala will incorporate multiple "first-time" applications of advanced technologies, including AI, ultra-high-definition audiovisuals, and embodied intelligence, enhancing the overall production quality and audience experience [1][3]. - Seedance 2.0, a new multi-modal audio-video generation technology, will be utilized for the first time, significantly improving the efficiency and artistic expression of visual effects in the gala [1][3]. - The gala will feature the "CCTV Listening Media Model 2.0," which uses AI-generated imagery and hyper-realistic digital human technology to enhance visual presentation and production efficiency [3]. Group 2: Audience Experience - The gala will adopt 8K production using domestically produced equipment, and the latest NVI ultra-high-definition broadcasting technology will be applied for the first time, providing an immersive vertical screen viewing experience [3]. - A seamless viewing experience across multiple screens will be facilitated through the "Central Video Client," allowing audiences to switch between TV and mobile devices effortlessly [5]. - An accessible version of the gala will be broadcasted on CCTV Music Channel (CCTV-15) for the first time, featuring sign language performances and AI-generated subtitles to ensure inclusivity [3]. Group 3: Visual and Performance Enhancements - AIGC real-scene special effects technology will be innovatively applied for the first time, creating interactive spectacles during the performances [6]. - The stage design will feature a "Galloping Horse" setup with 14 groups of CNC flipping modules, combined with lighting effects to create a dynamic and visually stunning atmosphere [6].
微信推出新功能,拜年正好能用上!
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-15 15:55
别人拜年说祝福,你拜年直接上歌曲。 2月15日,据"微信派"公众号消息,微信推出过年新玩法。 春节期间,可以让 AI 帮你"发声"拜年了。点击「发现」-「听一听」-制作拜年歌,就能拥有属于你的 拜年歌曲。记得先更新至最新版本后才可用。 才艺表演不慌了。 五音不全不怕了。 老父亲也能重磅首发嘻哈单曲。 还等什么,今年让华仔歇会儿, 大家开唱吧。 微信红包封面,开挂! 除了可以唱歌拜年, 今年微信红包封面真开挂了, 可以添加"挂件"了。 今年春节期间, 在微信发表贴图内容, 记得试试新功能! 就可以制作"挂件红包封面"。 祝福语和图片, 想"挂"啥,你说了算。 开"挂"后,确实不一样: ▲ 红包封面也能成为个性合影的新载体 ▲ 领红包前,记得看备注 把红包封面晒到公众号,还能让更多人一起领取使用。 当然,红包封面都开挂了,公众号评论区也得跟上。 今日起至2月17日(大年初一),在给公众号内容留言时切换留言身份,你的昵称就会变成"金色",立 享"金色传说"的体验。 春节拜年 题图 | 视觉中国 编辑 | 杨家瑞 来源 | 广州日报 微信派 ▲ 红包大不大另说,这块金条你先拿着 ▲ 财神爷指到谁,谁就发财 ...
GE Vernova (GEV) is Still Buyable, Says Jim Cramer
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-15 15:12
Company Overview - GE Vernova Inc. (NYSE:GEV) is an industrial machinery manufacturer focused on the power generation industry [2] - The company's shares have increased by 118% over the past year and by 18% year-to-date [2] Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - Baird raised GE Vernova's share price target to $923 from $701 and upgraded the rating to Outperform from Neutral, citing optimism due to the energy infrastructure cycle [2] - Guggenheim upgraded GE Vernova's rating to Buy from Neutral and set a price target of $910, highlighting the firm's potential to exceed market expectations for cash generation and capital expansion [2] Market Sentiment and Commentary - Jim Cramer has been a strong advocate for GE Vernova, linking it to speculative nuclear plays and emphasizing its capability to deliver nuclear power plants on an aggressive timeline [2] - Cramer recently mentioned the positive impact of Vertiv's orders on GE Vernova, stating it remains a buyable stock [3]
Eaton (ETN) is Still Buyable, Says Jim Cramer
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-15 15:12
We recently published 13 Stocks Jim Cramer Talked About.  Eaton Corporation (NYSE:ETN) is one of the stocks that Jim Cramer talked about. Eaton Corporation (NYSE:ETN) is a power management products provider. The shares are up by 25.9% over the past year and by 18.9% year-to-date. RBC Capital commented on the firm in early February. It raised the share price target to $407 from $399 and kept an Outperform rating. The bank outlined that Eaton Corporation (NYSE:ETN) had posted strong fourth quarter earnings ...
SoundHound's Week in Review: Earnings Uncertainty & Valuation Questions
247Wallst· 2026-02-15 15:05
Core Viewpoint - SoundHound AI (SOUN) has experienced a significant decline in stock value, dropping 51% over the past year and 13% last week, raising concerns about its path to profitability ahead of its upcoming earnings report on February 26, 2026 [1]. Performance Summary - SoundHound's stock fell 12.85% this week, closing at $7.46, while the S&P 500 gained 11.81% over the same period [1]. - The company's year-to-date decline stands at 25.18%, contrasting with the S&P 500's flat performance [1]. - SoundHound has a market cap of $3.13 billion with trailing twelve-month revenue of $148.4 million, resulting in a price-to-sales ratio of 21x, indicating high growth expectations [1]. Storyline One: Earnings Uncertainty - The upcoming Q4 2025 earnings report is expected to show sales of $53.88 million, up from $42.05 million in the previous quarter, with an adjusted EPS forecast of -$0.10 [1]. - If the company meets or misses these expectations, further selling pressure may occur [1]. Storyline Two: Insider Selling - On December 22, 2025, six executives sold shares at $11.2769, including CEO Keyvan Mohajer, who sold 144,326 shares for approximately $1.6 million [1]. - There have been no open market buys recorded in the past three months, with 10 sales, indicating a cautious sentiment among insiders [1]. Storyline Three: Competitive Valuation - SoundHound competes with larger tech companies like Alphabet, which trades at 9.3x sales with a profit margin of 32.8%, while SoundHound's valuation assumes it can maintain its niche against competitors [1]. - Wall Street estimates a -$55 million EBITDA for 2026, necessitating significant margin improvements or scale to achieve profitability [1]. - Analysts have set an average price target of $16.31, suggesting over 100% upside potential if the company can execute effectively [1].