Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Outperform the Market (maintained rating) [7] Core Insights - The semiconductor industry is experiencing opportunities driven by the ongoing US-China technology competition and signs of recovery in Q1, with expectations for growth momentum in Q2 [14][15] - The wafer foundry sector is seeing high capacity utilization rates, with leading domestic companies like Huahong Semiconductor exceeding 100% utilization in some plants, and SMIC operating at 85%-95% [15][19] - In the packaging and testing segment, leading firms are expanding advanced packaging capabilities, with capacity utilization rates for major domestic players increasing by 5%-10% year-on-year [15][20] - The memory sector anticipates a significant increase in contract prices for DRAM/NAND in Q2 2025, with expected month-on-month growth of 3-8% [16][23] - The System on Chip (SoC) market is seeing strong performance from leading companies, with notable revenue growth driven by increased demand for AI applications and automotive electronics [17][39] - The equipment and materials sector is benefiting from mergers and acquisitions, enhancing global competitiveness, with leading firms like Northern Huachuang reporting a 37.9% year-on-year revenue increase [18][40] Summary by Sections Wafer Foundry - High capacity utilization rates are observed, with Huahong Semiconductor exceeding 100% and SMIC at 85%-95% [15][19] - Price increases are expected as leading foundries reach full capacity [15] Packaging and Testing - Major domestic players are expanding advanced packaging capabilities, with capacity utilization rates increasing by 5%-10% year-on-year [15][20] - Optimistic outlook for Q2 orders and performance trends [15] Memory - Anticipated increase in contract prices for DRAM/NAND in Q2 2025, with month-on-month growth expected at 3-8% [16][23] - AI server demand is driving HBM requirements, with significant growth in DRAM capacity [16][25] System on Chip (SoC) - Strong Q1 performance from leading firms, with revenue growth driven by AI demand and automotive electronics [17][39] - Expectations for continued growth in Q2 and beyond, particularly in AI-related applications [17][40] Equipment and Materials - Leading firms are experiencing significant revenue growth, with Northern Huachuang reporting a 37.9% increase [18][40] - The sector is undergoing consolidation, enhancing competitiveness and resource optimization [18][40]

Core Insights - The report highlights that the inbound economy may boost China's GDP by approximately 0.2 percentage points in 2025, driven by policy changes aimed at optimizing the outbound tax refund system and increasing inbound consumption [5][6][7] - The report provides a detailed analysis of various industries and companies, indicating a mixed performance across sectors, with some companies showing strong growth while others face challenges [3][4] Industry Overview - **Chemical Industry**: Huafeng Chemical (002064.SZ) reported Q1 performance exceeding expectations, with revenue of 6.314 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.15%, and a net profit of 504 million yuan, down 26.21% year-on-year, but a significant increase of 145.60% quarter-on-quarter [28][29] - **Coal Mining**: Lu'an Environmental Energy (601699.SH) faced a decline in both volume and price, leading to a projected annual revenue of 35.85 billion yuan, down 16.9% year-on-year, and a net profit of 2.45 billion yuan, down 69.1% year-on-year [32][33] - **Textiles and Apparel**: Mousse Co., Ltd. (001323.SZ) reported a Q1 revenue of 1.12 billion yuan, a decrease of 6.7% year-on-year, with expectations for recovery following government subsidies [54][55] - **Home Appliances**: Dechang Co., Ltd. (605555.SH) achieved a Q1 revenue of 1 billion yuan, up 21.33% year-on-year, with a focus on expanding production capacity in Southeast Asia [40][41] Company-Specific Insights - **Huafeng Chemical**: The company is consolidating its position in the polyurethane industry through vertical mergers and acquisitions, maintaining a "buy" rating with projected net profits of 2.474 billion, 3.110 billion, and 3.822 billion yuan for 2025-2027 [28][30] - **Lu'an Environmental Energy**: The company is expected to see a rebound in coal prices, with a focus on capacity growth and price elasticity, maintaining a "buy" rating despite recent performance challenges [32][34] - **Mousse Co., Ltd.**: The company is enhancing its multi-channel and multi-category market layout, with a projected net profit of 799 million, 872 million, and 956 million yuan for 2025-2027 [54][55] - **Dechang Co., Ltd.**: The company is expanding its overseas production capacity and expects significant growth in its automotive motor segment, maintaining a "buy" rating [40][41]

Report Industry Investment Rating The provided content does not mention the report industry investment rating. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The escalation of the tariff event has accelerated the process of self - controllability in key areas. China is using "independent innovation" to drive "import substitution" and upgrading the high - end manufacturing supply chain [2]. - The semiconductor, computer, AI, and military industries are expected to benefit from the trend of self - controllability. The semiconductor industry is in an upward cycle, the computer industry is gradually recovering, the AI industry has more development opportunities, and the military industry shows strong resilience [7]. - Some convertible bonds, such as Xingfa Convertible Bond, Weil Convertible Bond, Daotong Convertible Bond, and Kelan Convertible Bond, are worthy of key attention [9]. Summary According to the Directory 1. Breakthrough and Establishment: Accelerated Implementation of Self - Controllability in Key Areas 1.1 Tariff Event Review - In early April 2025, the Sino - US tariff event escalated. The US continuously increased tariffs on Chinese goods, and China took counter - measures. The event objectively accelerated the process of domestic substitution [15]. 1.2 Semiconductor Industry - The self - autonomy process of the Chinese semiconductor industry has accelerated. China is considering strengthening cooperation with other regions to diversify the supply chain, but the key lies in independent innovation. The "integrated circuit origin rule" promotes the transfer of the industrial chain to the domestic market [19][20]. - In terms of semiconductor materials, China is trying to break through the import dependence on key materials such as CMP polishing materials, high - end photoresists, and electronic special gases. Some domestic companies have achieved certain results [21]. - For semiconductor chips, the tariff event has a short - term impact on imports, but it also accelerates domestic substitution. In the long run, it promotes the construction of a "de - Americanized" supply chain [24][25]. 1.3 Information Technology Application Innovation (ITAI) - The tariff event has a short - term impact on the ITAI industry but catalyzes long - term domestic substitution. The ITAI industry is upgrading from "usable" to "good - to - use" [26]. - Huawei's HarmonyOS has achieved breakthroughs in technology and ecological construction. It faces challenges in application and developer ecosystems but has the potential to form a tripartite situation with Android and iOS [28][30]. - The tariff event accelerates the R & D and iteration of domestic industrial software, promoting its market penetration and competitiveness [32][35]. 1.4 Satellite Internet - The satellite Internet industry in China has transformed from policy - driven to technology and market - driven, with a complete industrial chain. It has achieved technological breakthroughs but also faces challenges such as security protection and standardization [36][39]. 1.5 Domestic Computing Power - The domestic computing power industry is in a critical turning point from following to leading in technology. It has achieved multi - dimensional breakthroughs in basic software and hardware, and the market is in a virtuous cycle of investment and application [42][43]. 1.6 National Defense and Military Industry - The national defense and military industry has a high degree of self - controllability in the supply chain, showing strong resilience in the tariff event. The military electronics and aerospace industries have achieved system - level development [45][46]. 2. The US Imposes Tariffs on China, and the Self - Controllable Sector May Become the Dominant Force 2.1 Semiconductor Industry - The global semiconductor industry is recovering, entering an upward cycle. AI development and automotive intelligence drive the industry. Some leading companies have achieved significant performance growth. Key convertible bonds to focus on are Weil Convertible Bond and Xingfa Convertible Bond [47]. 2.2 Military Industry - In 2024, the performance of military industry listed companies showed a more significant structural differentiation. Leading enterprises maintained growth, while small and medium - sized manufacturers faced challenges [50]. 2.3 Computer Industry - In 2024, the computer industry gradually recovered. Leading enterprises achieved performance growth through innovation and market expansion. Daotong Convertible Bond is worthy of attention [56]. 2.4 AI Industry - In 2024, the AI industry had more development opportunities. Leading enterprises achieved performance growth through innovation. The industry is expected to benefit from the expansion of application scenarios and policy support. Kelan Convertible Bond is worthy of attention [58]. 3. There Are Many Relevant Convertible Bonds, and Some Can Be Focused on 3.1 Xingfa Convertible Bond - Xingfa Group has transformed from a traditional chemical enterprise to a high - end chemical new material supplier. Its business is distributed at home and abroad, and its net profit has increased significantly [61]. 3.2 Weil Convertible Bond - Weil Semiconductor is a leading global semiconductor design enterprise. Its performance has grown significantly, and it is in a leading position in the industry [63][65]. 3.3 Daotong Convertible Bond - Daotong Technology is a leading global enterprise in automotive intelligent diagnosis. Its net profit has increased steadily, and its overseas business revenue accounts for a high proportion [67]. 3.4 Kelan Convertible Bond - Kelan Software is an important participant in the financial technology field. Its performance has grown steadily, and it continues to expand its business areas [70].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Sichuan Guanshang Technology Co., Ltd. has signed a significant contract worth 93.5 million yuan (including tax) with Client B, which is expected to contribute approximately 61.37% to the company's audited revenue for 2024, positively impacting its operating performance in 2025 and beyond [1] - The contract represents a continuation of previous orders, establishing a solid delivery foundation for upcoming large-scale orders, thereby enhancing the company's long-term stable development [1] - Guanshang Technology has established strong cooperative relationships with various military industrial groups and research institutes, which further solidifies its market position in the defense information technology sector [3] Group 2 - The company has made significant breakthroughs in transforming from a software enterprise to an integrated supplier of intelligent equipment, leveraging new generation information technologies such as IoT, big data, and digital twins [2] - In 2025, the company has achieved multiple new contracts, including a framework agreement for special equipment monitoring systems worth 151 million yuan, showcasing its growing market presence [2] - The company's strategic focus is on enhancing technology in the defense information sector, driven by innovation in business models and economic efficiency, while utilizing the power of capital markets for sustainable high-quality development [3]

三大指数走势较为低迷，上证指数收盘微跌 0.05%，报收于 3 2 8 6 . 6 5 点，全天波动范围 极为有限，在窄幅区间内震荡运行。从个股涨跌分布来看，市场呈现出涨多跌少的格局， 上涨个股数量超过3 7 0 0家。而跌停个股数量多达58家，反映出市场内部存在明显的两极 分化现象。这种分化表明，尽管整体市场看似平稳，但不同个股和板块之间的表现差异巨 大，结构性行情特征显著。 盘面上， PEEK材料概念股大涨，聚赛龙、新瀚新材、中欣氟材涨停。 美容护理板块午 后持续拉升，丸美生物涨停，芭薇股份、锦波生物、上海家化涨幅居前。其它个股方面， 步步高、茂业商业午后拉升涨停走出"地天板"。 电力板块今日回调，韶能股份、乐山电 力、西昌电力、广西能源等股跌停。白酒板块亦表现落后，迎驾贡酒盘中跌停，洋河股 份、古井贡酒、山西汾酒跌幅居前。 01降准时机已到？ 具体来看，一是财政政策方面， 会议强调"加快地方政府专项债券、超长期特别国债等发 行使用" ，财政政策仍然是用好用足政策工具，第二季度政府债券发行仍将保持较快节 奏。 二是货币政策方面，会议延续了适度宽松、保持流动性充裕等表述，预计支持性的货币政 策导向不变。 降 ...

Core Insights - The article highlights the breakthrough of Guangdong Cheny Information Technology Co., Ltd. (Cheny Technology) in developing the "Boliang Chinese Distributed Multi-Model Database," marking a significant leap in China's foundational software sector from "catching up" to "leading" [1] - The database addresses the global challenge of "data silos" by integrating chain, graph, and relational data structures, providing a comprehensive solution for data circulation [1][5] Technology and Innovation - Cheny Technology has developed a fully self-researched technology system, with all code written independently, ensuring complete control over the underlying architecture and core algorithms, thus eliminating reliance on foreign databases and mitigating "bottleneck" risks [1] - The company has pioneered a fully homomorphic encryption database, achieving an ideal data three-rights separation architecture, which ensures data is "usable but invisible," effectively preventing data leakage risks [3] - The introduction of the Boliang Chinese programming language lowers the digitalization threshold, allowing enterprises to manage data efficiently without needing specialized technical personnel [3][4] Industry Impact - The Boliang database serves as a "new highway" for data circulation, addressing issues of data fragmentation and standardization, thus providing a common technical foundation for the market-oriented allocation of data elements [5] - The integration of full homomorphic encryption and blockchain technology transforms data from a "resource" into an "asset," providing a secure basis for data rights confirmation, pricing, and trading innovations [6][20] Agricultural Sector Transformation - Cheny Technology's innovations are particularly impactful in the agricultural sector, where they have established a digital trade service platform for wild mushrooms, integrating various aspects of the supply chain to enhance efficiency and value [12][15] - The use of the Boliang database allows for the integration of fragmented agricultural data, enabling traceable industry mapping and optimizing decision-making for farmers, resulting in increased profitability [13][16] - The company is set to launch a cross-border traceability platform for agricultural products, enhancing the credibility of Chinese agricultural exports and aligning global agricultural digital standards with Chinese solutions [18] Economic and Strategic Significance - The advancements made by Cheny Technology not only enhance China's international bargaining power in agriculture but also contribute to the establishment of independent and controllable digital ecosystems, promoting sustainable development in the global data economy [20] - The company's practices illustrate that data elements are core carriers of new productive forces, emphasizing the importance of technological and institutional innovation in building a secure and efficient digital economy [20]

策略研究 | 证券研究报告 — 总量周报 2025 年 4 月 29 日 策略周报 AI 产业链有望重回主线 政治局会议延续基调，地产、消费政策进一步发力或仍需等待二季度经济数 据验证， "人工智能+"表述有所强化有机会重回主线。 中银国际证券股份有限公司 具备证券投资咨询业务资格 策略研究 证券分析师：王君 (8610)66229061 jun.wang@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300519060003 证券分析师：徐沛东 (8621)20328702 peidong.xu@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300518020001 证券分析师：郭晓希 (8610)66229019 xiaoxi.guo@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300521110001 证券分析师：徐亚 (8621)20328506 ya.xu@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300521070003 政策预期阶段性落地，短期震荡不改中期向好，科技产业具备长期趋 势。周五政治局会议召开，市场政策预期阶段性落地。总体来看，本次 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported its 2024 annual report and Q1 2025 results, meeting expectations with significant revenue and profit growth [1][2]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 29.84 billion, a year-on-year increase of 35.1% - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 5.62 billion, up 44.2% year-on-year - For Q1 2025, revenue was 8.21 billion, reflecting a 37.9% year-on-year growth - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.58 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 38.8% [1]. Profitability Improvement - The company's gross margin for 2024 was 42.9%, an increase of 1.8 percentage points year-on-year - The net profit margin was 19.08%, up 0.8 percentage points year-on-year - In Q1 2025, the gross margin was 43.0% and the net profit margin was 19.10%, showing further slight improvements - The increasing proportion of advanced process products is expected to raise the average product price and further enhance gross margins [1]. Product Revenue Breakdown - In 2024, the total revenue from integrated circuit equipment exceeded 21 billion, accounting for over 70% of total revenue - Revenue from etching equipment surpassed 8 billion, thin film deposition equipment exceeded 10 billion, thermal processing equipment exceeded 2 billion, and wet processing equipment exceeded 1 billion [1]. Strategic Moves - The company plans to control Chip Source Micro by acquiring shares, aiming to enhance product layout and achieve synergies - If the share acquisitions are completed, the company will hold 17.9% of Chip Source Micro, becoming the largest shareholder - The company aims to leverage this control to enhance collaboration in the fields of coating, developing, and high-temperature sulfuric acid cleaning equipment [2]. Industry Trends - The trend of domestic substitution in the semiconductor industry is strengthening, emphasizing the importance of supply chain security for domestic wafer fabs - The company is expected to benefit from the increasing domestic substitution rate, with new orders in the integrated circuit sector anticipated to grow rapidly in 2025, ensuring sustainable performance growth [2]. Earnings Forecast - The company maintains its earnings forecast, projecting revenues of 39.44 billion, 49.19 billion, and 58.62 billion for 2025 to 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 32.2%, 24.7%, and 19.2% respectively - The net profits for the same period are expected to be 7.71 billion, 10.13 billion, and 12.19 billion, with growth rates of 37.2%, 31.3%, and 20.3% respectively - Corresponding dynamic price-to-earnings ratios are projected to be 31, 24, and 20 times [3].

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 1.13 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 10.81%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 183 million yuan, up 13.64% year-on-year [1] - For Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 311 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.58%, with a net profit of approximately 55.11 million yuan, reflecting a modest growth of 0.91% [1] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company's professional instruments segment generated revenue of 91.53 million yuan, a significant increase of 72.94% year-on-year, driven by product launches in power and renewable energy applications [2] - The gross profit margin for the main products improved by 1.88 percentage points to 45.22% in 2024, benefiting from optimized sales structure [3] - The sales net profit margin for 2024 was 15.85%, an increase of 0.33 percentage points, while the gross profit margin was 45.16%, up 1.84 percentage points [3] Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on high-end, specialized, and international strategies, which have led to sustained growth in its product lines [2] - The company has increased its R&D and market development investments by 18.51% and 10.35% respectively in Q1 2025, indicating a commitment to innovation [4] - The establishment of an overseas production base in Vietnam aims to enhance international competitiveness and mitigate risks associated with global market fluctuations [4] Market Outlook - The company anticipates that equipment upgrades and the demand for self-controlled solutions will act as catalysts for growth in the instrumentation industry [5] - The projected net profit for 2025-2027 is estimated at 210 million yuan, 240 million yuan, and 290 million yuan, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 12.4%, 17.6%, and 17.9% [5]

Core Viewpoint - The company has signed significant contracts with client P, indicating strong demand and growth potential in the coming years, with an upward revision of profit expectations and target price [1][4]. Group 1: Contract and Revenue Growth - The company announced a sales contract with client P for gyroscope and accelerometer products totaling 164 million yuan, expected to be completed in 2025 [1]. - Combined with a previous contract of 270 million yuan signed on January 17, the total confirmed revenue contracts for 2025 amount to 434 million yuan, surpassing the entire revenue of 400 million yuan for 2024 [1]. - The company is expected to see accelerated order growth in 2025, with an increase in product variety and repeat purchases from major clients [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance in Q1 2025 - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 88 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 291.8% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 33.9% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 44 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2869.2% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 47.2% [2]. - The company achieved a gross margin of 83.9%, indicating stable order delivery quality and profitability [2]. Group 3: Future Outlook and Product Development - The impact of tariffs on the company is limited, as nearly 100% of revenue comes from domestic clients, with a supply chain primarily using non-U.S. suppliers [3]. - New product orders are expected to increase, with mass shipments of FM resonant accelerometers and pressure sensors since 2024, and the introduction of cost-effective six-axis IMU chips for the civilian market in 2025 [3]. - The company aims to expand its customer base in high-performance and high-reliability sectors, including commercial aerospace and autonomous driving [3]. Group 4: Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company has revised its revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 upwards by 10%, 10%, and 6% respectively, to 670 million, 940 million, and 1.26 billion yuan [4]. - The net profit forecasts for the same years have also been increased by 15%, 15%, and 14% to 360 million, 450 million, and 580 million yuan [4]. - The target price has been raised to 79.28 yuan, reflecting a premium over comparable company valuations due to expected profit growth [4].