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习近平:扩大内需是战略之举
清华金融评论· 2025-12-15 07:21
12月16日出版的第24期《求是》杂志将发表中共中央总书记、国家主席、中央军委主席习近平的重要文章《扩大内需是战略之举》。这是习 近平总书记2015年10月至2025年10月期间有关重要论述的节录。 文章指出,扩大内需既关系经济稳定,也关系经济安全,不是权宜之计,而是战略之举。实施扩大内需战略,是保持我国经济长期持续健康 发展的需要,也是满足人民日益增长的美好生活的需要。要加快补上内需特别是消费短板,使内需成为拉动经济增长的主动力和稳定锚。 文章强调,大国经济的优势就是内部可循环。要牢牢把握扩大内需这一战略基点,使生产、分配、流通、消费各环节更多依托国内市场实现 良性循环。扩大内需和扩大开放并不矛盾。国内循环越顺畅,越能形成对全球资源要素的引力场,越有利于构建以国内大循环为主体、国内 国际双循环相互促进的新发展格局,越有利于形成参与国际竞争和合作新优势。要把扩大内需战略同深化供给侧结构性改革有机结合起来, 供需两端同时发力、协调配合,形成需求牵引供给、供给创造需求的更高水平动态平衡。 文章指出,总需求不足是当前经济运行面临的突出矛盾。要坚决贯彻落实扩大内需战略规划纲要,尽快形成完整内需体系,着力扩大有收入 支 ...
习近平:扩大内需是战略之举
第一财经· 2025-12-15 07:18
12月16日出版的第24期《求是》杂志将发表中共中央总书记、国家主席、中央军委主席习近平的重要 文章《扩大内需是战略之举》。这是习近平总书记2015年10月至2025年10月期间有关重要论述的节 录。 文章指出,扩大内需既关系经济稳定,也关系经济安全,不是权宜之计,而是战略之举。实施扩大内需 战略,是保持我国经济长期持续健康发展的需要,也是满足人民日益增长的美好生活的需要。要加快补 上内需特别是消费短板,使内需成为拉动经济增长的主动力和稳定锚。 来源|央视新闻 文章强调,大国经济的优势就是内部可循环。要牢牢把握扩大内需这一战略基点,使生产、分配、流 通、消费各环节更多依托国内市场实现良性循环。扩大内需和扩大开放并不矛盾。国内循环越顺畅,越 能形成对全球资源要素的引力场,越有利于构建以国内大循环为主体、国内国际双循环相互促进的新发 展格局,越有利于形成参与国际竞争和合作新优势。要把扩大内需战略同深化供给侧结构性改革有机结 合起来,供需两端同时发力、协调配合,形成需求牵引供给、供给创造需求的更高水平动态平衡。 编辑 |心一 文章指出,总需求不足是当前经济运行面临的突出矛盾。要坚决贯彻落实扩大内需战略规划纲要,尽快 ...
习近平:扩大内需是战略之举
财联社· 2025-12-15 07:09
据 央视新闻, 12月16日出版的第24期《求是》杂志将发表中共中央总书记、国家主席、中央军委主席习近平的重要文章《扩大内需是战略之举》。 这是习近平总书记2015年10月至2025年10月期间有关重要论述的节录。 文章指出,扩大内需既关系经济稳定,也关系经济安全,不是权宜之计,而是战略之举。实施扩大内需战略,是保持我国经济长期持续健康发展的 需要,也是满足人民日益增长的美好生活的需要。要加快补上内需特别是消费短板,使内需成为拉动经济增长的主动力和稳定锚。 文章强调,大国经济的优势就是内部可循环。要牢牢把握扩大内需这一战略基点,使生产、分配、流通、消费各环节更多依托国内市场实现良性循 环。扩大内需和扩大开放并不矛盾。国内循环越顺畅,越能形成对全球资源要素的引力场,越有利于构建以国内大循环为主体、国内国际双循环相 互促进的新发展格局,越有利于形成参与国际竞争和合作新优势。要把扩大内需战略同深化供给侧结构性改革有机结合起来,供需两端同时发力、 协调配合,形成需求牵引供给、供给创造需求的更高水平动态平衡。 文章指出,总需求不足是当前经济运行面临的突出矛盾。要坚决贯彻落实扩大内需战略规划纲要,尽快形成完整内需体系,着 ...
四川这3个城市试点消费新业态新模式新场景
Si Chuan Ri Bao· 2025-12-15 00:21
●成都、绵阳、南充3个城市,将分别获得4亿元、3亿元、3亿元的中央财政资金扶持 南充是四川第二大人口大市,社会消费品零售总额连续18年居四川第三位,不仅市场潜力巨大,也 适宜大规模场景应用。同时,南充还具有一系列独特场景资源,比如以"寻春节之源,到阆中过年"顶流 IP为代表的春节文化,以朱德故里、张澜故居等景区为支撑的红色文化,以中国绸都、丝绸源点为品 牌,六合丝厂国家工业遗产为核心载体的丝绸文化,以陈寿、张飞等历史印迹为符号的三国文化等。 ●支持健全首发经济服务体系、支持创新多元化服务消费场景、支持优质消费资源与知名IP跨界联 名 近日,财政部、商务部确定全国50个城市为消费新业态新模式新场景试点城市。其中,四川省成都 市、绵阳市、南充市3市入选,入选数量居中西部省份第一位、全国前三位。这3个城市将共获中央财政 支持资金10亿元。 为什么是这3个城市?试点"三新"到底新在哪里?记者采访了相关部门。 入选重要因素:消费市场基础好、潜力大、创新特色突出 此次遴选50个人口基数大、带动作用强、发展潜力好的消费新业态新模式新场景试点城市,旨在通 过增加优质消费供给,创新和丰富多元化消费场景,推动新的消费业态不断涌现 ...
大庆石化:深化改革创新推进高质量发展
Zhong Guo Fa Zhan Wang· 2025-12-12 09:15
中国发展网讯 刘莉莉记者袁小峰报道 截至12月上旬,中国石油大庆石化今年新产品新材料累计产量已 突破10万吨,提前完成全年目标,同比增产3万多吨。这是这个公司系统性改革持续深化的成果之一。 "十四五"以来,大庆石化高质量完成国企改革三年行动,高标准推进改革深化提升行动,推动58项任 务、95项措施扎实落地,不仅全面完成总体任务,而且提前实现中国石油集团公司下达的进度目标,走 出了一条以改革主动赢得发展主动的实践路径。 思想破局 机制重塑 改革之难,不仅难在触及利益,更深层次在于触及思想。 "身子在新时代、思想在旧时代"的认知局限,"守摊跟跑"的路径依赖,"认亏任亏"的躺平心态,成为制 约企业高质量发展的无形壁垒。未上市业务更是因体制机制转换难、三项制度改革阻力大,与上市业务 经营业绩形成"冰火两重天",成为改革中"难啃的骨头"。 面对这些挑战,大庆石化清醒认识到思想破冰是行动突围的前提。公司党委强化"观念转变是一种能 力"的意识,广泛凝聚"不改革就落后、不突破就淘汰""企业不消灭亏损、亏损终将消灭企业"的共识, 带头开展调研座谈,疏导和消除各层级员工的思想顾虑。同时,系统化推动顶层设计,构建以"一图、 两册、 ...
穿越周期追寻长期主义,石化ETF(159731)配置价值凸显
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-12 07:03
石化ETF(159731)及其联接基金(017855/017856)紧密跟踪中证石化产业指数,从申万一级行业分 布来看,基础化工行业占比为60.39%,石油石化行业占比为32.71%,目前石化产业处于周期底部,随 着供给侧结构性改革,行业供需与盈利能力有望持续改善。 (文章来源:每日经济新闻) 截至12月12日14点整,石化ETF(159731)跌幅0.12%,持仓股涨跌互现,蓝晓科技、杭氧股份、凯赛 生物等涨幅居前;云天化、恒逸石化等跌幅靠前。 光大证券认为,化工行业自21年景气高点以来,近几年资本开支维持高增速,需求端复苏相对较弱,叠 加22年俄乌冲突爆发全球进入高油价时代,因此化工行业面临高成本弱供需的格局,行业步入周期下 行。然而在行业周期底部,化工行业仍有较多能够穿越周期的"长期主义"企业,这些企业往往在实现自 身增长的同时,也能够通过股价上涨或分红等方式带给投资者丰厚的回报,实现稳健增长和可持续发 展。 ...
解读中央经济会议精神
2025-12-12 02:19
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry and Company Overview - The conference call primarily discusses the macroeconomic policies and their implications for various sectors, particularly focusing on the real estate market, investment strategies, and monetary and fiscal policies in China. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **Macroeconomic Policy Shift**: The central economic work conference emphasizes a transition from extraordinary counter-cyclical adjustments to normalized management, focusing on cross-cycle adjustments, indicating a paradigm shift in policy [1][9]. 2. **Real Estate Market Measures**: Specific measures for the real estate market include controlling new supply, reducing inventory, and improving supply quality. The reform of the housing provident fund system is highlighted, aiming to stabilize the market [1][3][4]. 3. **Investment Focus**: The conference stresses the need to stabilize investment, particularly in infrastructure projects, urban renewal, and quality housing construction, to counteract the decline in investment growth [1][2][7]. 4. **Monetary Policy Outlook**: While the possibility of reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cuts and interest rate reductions is mentioned, the emphasis is on flexible and efficient application, suggesting limited room for significant cuts [1][6][10]. 5. **Fiscal Policy Projections**: Fiscal policy is expected to maintain necessary deficits, with a projected increase in fiscal spending of 6% to 7% in 2025, primarily to support infrastructure and consumption [1][2][5]. 6. **Future Demand Drivers**: Potential demand growth is anticipated in real estate, infrastructure, urban renewal, service industry openings, high-end service exports, manufacturing exports, and consumer spending [1][7]. 7. **Economic Work Background for 2026**: The economic work for 2026 is based on a long-term positive outlook, despite external challenges and domestic supply-demand conflicts, emphasizing the importance of tapping into economic potential [1][8]. 8. **Supply-Side Structural Reforms**: The focus on supply-side structural reforms is reiterated, aiming to optimize supply and activate existing resources, indicating a strategic shift from previous years [1][11]. 9. **Risk Prevention Measures**: Risk prevention priorities have shifted, with a reduced emphasis on risk management compared to previous years, reflecting a more optimistic view on internal and external risks [1][12]. 10. **A-Share Market Strategy**: The A-share market strategy is characterized by a moderate tone, with expectations of a spring market rally potentially starting in mid-December, focusing on domestic demand and technology sectors [1][18][19]. Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content 1. **Debt and Fiscal Discipline**: The conference highlights the importance of maintaining fiscal discipline, with local debt levels set at 4.9 trillion, ensuring effective use of funds [1][5][13]. 2. **Consumer Expectations**: There is a cautious approach towards consumer spending, with expectations for a more conservative outlook compared to previous plans [1][14]. 3. **Investment in People and Goods**: The integration of investments in goods and people is emphasized as crucial for addressing current economic conditions [1][8]. 4. **Market Environment Stability**: The conference aims to create a stable macroeconomic environment, which is deemed beneficial for stock selection and alpha opportunities [1][23]. 5. **Sector-Specific Recommendations**: Recommendations for growth sectors include aviation equipment, AI chains, and power equipment, while cyclical sectors like chemicals and energy metals are also highlighted [1][20][21]. This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call, providing insights into the macroeconomic landscape and sector-specific strategies moving forward.
专访丨于春海:为什么提出“投资于人”
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-10 10:57
Core Viewpoint - "Investment in people" is a crucial aspect of China's development strategy, emphasizing the allocation of resources towards education, healthcare, and social welfare to enhance human capital and drive high-quality economic growth [1][3][11]. Summary by Sections Investment in People vs. Investment in Material - "Investment in people" refers to directing more fiscal resources towards areas that enhance individual capabilities and welfare, contrasting with "investment in material," which focuses on physical assets and infrastructure [1][2]. - The return on "investment in material" has significantly decreased from 2008 to 2023, indicating a need for a shift towards human-centered investments [2][3]. Economic Growth and Domestic Demand - China's domestic consumption accounts for approximately 39% of GDP, while capital formation is around 41%, highlighting a need for improved interaction between consumption and investment [4][5]. - "Investment in people" aims to address the mismatch in domestic supply and demand, enhancing the quality of life and driving economic growth [5][6]. Areas of Focus for Investment in People - Key areas for "investment in people" include education, healthcare, cultural services, and environmental improvements, which are essential for enhancing overall human development [7][8]. - The shift towards "investment in people" also encompasses the need for a modern industrial system and technological self-reliance to support high-quality development [8][11]. Measuring Investment Effectiveness - Unlike "investment in material," which has clear metrics for evaluation, the effectiveness of "investment in people" requires a broader, more qualitative assessment that considers social and economic dimensions [9][10]. - A comprehensive evaluation framework is necessary to assess the long-term impacts of "investment in people" on societal development [10][12]. Unique Characteristics of China's Investment in People - China's approach to "investment in people" transcends mere welfare considerations, focusing on enhancing human capabilities and addressing systemic issues in various sectors [11][12]. - The emphasis on human-centered development reflects a commitment to improving both material and spiritual well-being, distinguishing China's strategy from other countries [12][13]. Long-term Considerations and Implementation - "Investment in people" should be integrated into the broader context of China's modernization efforts, addressing both immediate challenges and long-term goals [14][15]. - Effective implementation requires a balance between market forces and government intervention to foster a conducive environment for human development [16].
深化三医改革:破局民生痛点,赋能产业升级
Core Insights - 2025 is a pivotal year for China's pharmaceutical sector, marked by the implementation of policies aimed at enhancing service quality and accessibility, as well as the transition from the "14th Five-Year Plan" to the "15th Five-Year Plan" [1][2] Group 1: Healthcare System Improvements - Over 90% of township health centers and community health service centers have met basic service capability standards, with many reaching recommended standards [1] - The inclusion of the HPV vaccine in the national immunization program enhances public health protection [1][5] - The proportion of diagnoses from grassroots medical institutions has remained above 50% since the "14th Five-Year Plan" began, indicating a significant role in healthcare delivery [4] Group 2: Medical Insurance and Procurement Reforms - The 11th batch of national drug procurement included 55 drugs across various therapeutic areas, with a focus on maintaining clinical stability and quality [6][9] - The national medical insurance bureau is advancing direct settlements with pharmaceutical companies and optimizing procurement measures to ensure quality and supply [7][9] - The introduction of a commercial insurance directory for innovative drugs marks a significant step in expanding healthcare coverage [11][12] Group 3: Support for Pharmaceutical Innovation - The government has introduced measures to support the development of innovative drugs, including financial backing and streamlined approval processes [10][11] - Approximately 80% of innovative drugs are expected to be included in the medical insurance directory within two years of their market launch [11] - The launch of the drug price registration system aims to facilitate a global pricing strategy for pharmaceutical companies, enhancing their market competitiveness [12]
贝恩:中国消费生态权力大转移,三大平台O2O投入已超千亿元
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-12-09 10:02
随着我国消费市场的快速发展,如何更好地统筹供给侧结构性改革和扩大内需,通过高质量供给创造有 效需求,支持以多种方式和渠道扩大内需,正在成为我国经济工作的重要方面。 贝恩指出,即使未来这些补贴可能减少,但这些大型的平台已经控制了消费者与商家的行为,并取代传 统的分销商成为购物者的"守门人"。 贝恩公司近日发布的一篇题为《外卖大战与零售变革》的文章,"中国的外卖大战已经成为行业管理者 了解全球零售未来的窗口"。贝恩数据显示,美团、京东和阿里巴巴已在O2O领域投入超过1000亿元人 民币。贝恩指出,即使未来这些补贴可能减少,但这些大型的平台已经控制了消费者与商家的行为,并 取代传统的分销商成为购物者的"守门人"。 持续扩大内需正在成为我国经济发展的重要工作之一。针对中国消费市场的发展趋势,12月9日,全球 咨询公司贝恩公司与Worldpanel消费者指数联合发布的一份《2025年中国购物者报告》显示,中国快速 消费品市场在经历了2024年的平缓表现之后,于2025年显现企稳态势。报告指出,中国快消品市场正在 步入新一轮结构调整期,O2O闪送等平台成为主要增长动力来源。 中国快速消费品市场的渠道正在发生迅速变化。随着 ...