Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is witnessing a strong interest in high-dividend assets, particularly represented by the Dividend ETF (510880) and the Low Volatility Dividend ETF (512890), which have seen significant capital inflows recently [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Dividend ETF (510880) and the Low Volatility Dividend ETF (512890) have attracted net inflows of 719 million yuan and 294 million yuan respectively from September 18 to September 22, ranking them among the top in the market for dividend-themed ETFs [1]. - The Dividend ETF (510880) achieved a single-day trading volume and net inflow that reached new highs since April 7, with a total of 741 million yuan in inflows over the week [1]. Group 2: Fund Size and Investor Sentiment - As of September 22, the Dividend ETF (510880) reached a total size of 19.476 billion yuan, marking a three-month high and making it one of the few dividend-themed ETFs exceeding 10 billion yuan [2]. - The Low Volatility Dividend ETF (512890) also reached a size of 20.227 billion yuan, indicating strong investor interest in these funds amid a low-interest-rate environment [2]. Group 3: Investor Base and Historical Performance - The Dividend ETF (510880) has 421,800 unique holders, making it the only dividend-themed ETF with over 400,000 holders in the market [3]. - The fund has distributed dividends totaling 4.298 billion yuan over its 18-year history, with 18 distributions to date, showcasing its long-term performance and appeal [3]. Group 4: Management Expertise - Huatai-PineBridge Fund, a pioneer in ETF management, has over 18 years of experience in managing dividend-themed index investments, including the Dividend ETF (510880) and the Low Volatility Dividend ETF (512890) [3]. - The total management scale of Huatai-PineBridge's dividend-themed ETFs reached 42.29 billion yuan as of September 22 [3].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recovery of risk appetite in the market and its implications for high-dividend assets, suggesting a focus on cyclical and potential dividend stocks in the near future [5]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The market's risk appetite recovery is a short-term constraint on the relative returns of high-dividend assets [5]. - The third batch of national subsidies is being distributed, but some regions still face challenges in accessing these funds, indicating a gradual release of liquidity in the subsidy system [4]. Group 2: Investment Opportunities - It is recommended to focus on cyclical dividend stocks related to "anti-involution" such as chemicals and steel, as well as potential dividend stocks in sectors like railways, highways, liquor, and food processing [5]. - The scarcity of national subsidy resources may lead brands to shift from broad coverage to targeted investments, particularly in mid-to-high-end products, which could enhance overall brand pricing and profitability [4]. Group 3: Dividend Yield Rankings - The top five sectors by dividend yield over the past 12 months include: - White goods: 4.98% - Coal mining: 5.19% - Joint-stock banks II: 5.02% - Refining and trading: 4.63% - Rural commercial banks II: 4.66% [6]. Group 4: Performance of Dividend Indices - The performance of various dividend indices from September 11 to September 24, 2025, shows fluctuations, with the overall trend indicating a mixed response in the market [6][8]. - The article provides a detailed overview of the performance of different dividend indices, highlighting the importance of dividend stability and cash flow in investment strategies [10][11].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Gree Electric Appliances with a target price of 54.10 CNY [5][7]. Core Insights - The expected dividend yield for 2025 exceeds 7%, indicating strong value characteristics. The current expected dividend yield is 7.7% based on a profit forecast of 33 billion CNY and a 52% cash dividend rate [2][5]. - Historical data shows that the company has had a dividend yield above 7% for approximately 31% of the time from 2013 to 2024, typically corresponding to valuation bottoms [2]. - The company has seen a resilient online retail growth, with a 21% year-on-year increase in August, compared to a 2% growth in the industry [3]. - Gree Electric is accelerating its expansion in Southeast Asia, with a significant increase in its market share from 30% to 80% in the region [4]. Summary by Sections Dividend and Profitability - The projected dividend per share for 2025 is 2.86 CNY, with a cash dividend rate of 7.2% [15]. - The company’s net profit for 2025 is estimated at 33 billion CNY, with a growth rate of 2.63% [6]. Revenue and Growth - The expected revenue for 2025 is 194.89 billion CNY, with a growth rate of 2.55% [6]. - The company’s online retail price has increased, benefiting from a reduction in the proportion of low-priced air conditioning sales [3]. Market Position and Strategy - Gree Electric has shifted its operational model in Thailand to a localized subsidiary approach, enhancing market responsiveness [4]. - The company has successfully positioned itself against Japanese brands in Indonesia, indicating strong competitive capabilities [4]. Financial Metrics - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 5.90 CNY, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 7 [6][15]. - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to be 22.88% in 2025, reflecting strong profitability [14].

Group 1 - The A-share market is experiencing increased volatility, particularly within the technology growth sector, leading to a rise in defensive demand as trading sentiment declines ahead of the upcoming holiday [1] - Since mid-August, high-dividend assets have gained attractiveness, with the Dividend ETF (510880) becoming a key focus for capital allocation [1] - The Dividend ETF (510880) has seen significant trading volume, with an average daily trading volume of 930 million yuan from September 18 to 19, doubling compared to the average daily trading volume since the beginning of the year [1] Group 2 - The Dividend ETF (510880) has reached a new high in fund size of 19.468 billion yuan, making it one of the few dividend-themed ETFs exceeding 10 billion yuan [2] - The low-volatility dividend ETF (512890) has also achieved a fund size of 20.348 billion yuan as of September 19 [2] - The anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve are expected to benefit both A-shares and Hong Kong stocks, potentially leading to a structural market rally [2] Group 3 - The Dividend ETF (510880) has a holder count of 421,800, making it the only dividend-themed ETF with over 400,000 holders in the market [3] - The low-volatility dividend ETF (512890) and its linked funds have a combined holder count of 1.1631 million, also making it a significant player in the market [3] Group 4 - The Dividend ETF (510880) has distributed over 4 billion yuan in dividends since its inception, with a total of 42.98 billion yuan in cumulative dividends [4] - The fund has been operational for 18 years and has distributed dividends 18 times [4] Group 5 - Huatai-PB Fund, a pioneer in ETF management, has over 18 years of experience in dividend-themed index investments, managing a total of 42.444 billion yuan across its dividend-themed ETFs [5] - The "Dividend Family" includes multiple ETFs, such as the Dividend ETF (510880) and the low-volatility dividend ETF (512890) [5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the construction industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Viewpoints - The construction industry is experiencing revenue and profit pressure, but recovery momentum is gradually accumulating under supportive policies [4][8] - In the first half of 2025, the construction sector achieved revenue of 3.97 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6.02%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 91.5 billion yuan, down 6.60% year-on-year [4][8] - Despite the overall decline, the gap between revenue and net profit growth rates has narrowed significantly compared to the first half of 2024, indicating a temporary easing of profit pressure [4][8] - The issuance of 4.4 trillion yuan in special bonds and ongoing investment stabilization policies are expected to gradually open up profit recovery space for the sector [4][8] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The construction sector's revenue growth is slowing, with profits under pressure. In the first half of 2025, the sector's revenue decreased by 6.02% year-on-year, while net profit fell by 6.60% [8] - The revenue growth rate has declined by 3.04 percentage points compared to the first half of 2024, but the net profit growth rate has improved by 2.77 percentage points [8] - The overall gross margin for the construction sector in the first half of 2025 was 10.02%, down 0.16 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 2.87%, down 0.04 percentage points [13] Subsector Performance - The performance of subsectors is mixed, with the steel structure sector showing revenue growth of 2.02%, driven by overseas industrial building orders [4][32] - The landscaping sector and chemical engineering saw significant profit growth, with net profits increasing by 70.48% and 19.81% respectively [4][32] - The gross margin improvements are concentrated in landscaping, chemical engineering, and international engineering, while the net margin for steel structures and central enterprises has declined [34] Central Enterprises and Orders - In the first half of 2025, the nine major central construction enterprises signed new orders totaling 7.79 trillion yuan, a slight increase of 0.17% year-on-year, despite an overall industry decline [4][56] - The central enterprises' new orders in overseas markets grew by 16.35% year-on-year, becoming a significant support for order structure optimization [56] - The valuation of central enterprises remains low, with expected PE ratios around 5 times and PB ratios below 0.5 times, indicating strong shareholder returns [59]

Market Overview - On September 19, the A-share market experienced a volatile adjustment, with all three major indices declining. Over 3,400 stocks fell while more than 1,900 stocks rose, indicating a prominent structural market trend with significant rotation [1][2] - The market's trading volume was 2.35 trillion yuan, marking the 28th consecutive trading day with volumes exceeding 2 trillion yuan, reflecting active trading [2] Index Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.30% this week, while the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext indices rose by 1.14% and 2.34%, respectively. The coal, electric equipment, and electronics sectors led the gains [1][3] - On September 19, the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component, ChiNext Index, and other indices showed slight declines, with the Shanghai 50 Index down by 0.11% and the CSI 300 Index up by 0.08% [1][2] Sector Performance - The coal sector saw significant gains, with Huayang Co. rising over 7%, and other companies like Lu'an Environmental Energy and Jinkong Coal also increasing by over 5% [3] - In the non-ferrous metals sector, Ganfeng Lithium hit the daily limit, with its Hong Kong stock rising over 9%. The company is actively developing solid-state batteries for electric vehicles and drones [3] - The AI computing and robotics sectors, which previously led the market, experienced a pullback, indicating a normal rotation of profit-taking [3][6] Fund Flow Analysis - On September 19, the net outflow of main funds from the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 685.51 billion yuan, with 1,700 stocks experiencing net inflows and 3,448 stocks seeing net outflows [4][5] - The cautious sentiment among main funds continued, with net outflows recorded for five consecutive trading days, totaling over 3.8 billion yuan on September 15-18 [5] Investment Strategy - Analysts suggest that the A-share market is likely to continue its upward trend, although short-term volatility should be monitored. The changing market volume is a crucial observation signal [6] - Investment recommendations include focusing on technology sectors (AI, semiconductors) for aggressive strategies, while defensive strategies should consider pharmaceuticals and new consumption sectors [6]

Core Insights - The Federal Reserve's recent interest rate cut of 25 basis points to a range of 4% to 4.25% is expected to lead to short-term volatility in various asset classes, as they seek new pricing drivers post-cut, with fundamentals gaining importance in asset pricing [2][8] - Domestic economic indicators, including fiscal revenue and youth unemployment rates, have shown a decline, prompting an increase in policy expectations for the fourth quarter [1][2] - There has been a notable increase in insider selling, with executives reducing their holdings significantly, which may impact investor confidence and market momentum [1][4][6] Economic Indicators - The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut aligns with expectations, with projections indicating a further reduction to a median of 3.6% by year-end, totaling a potential 75 basis points cut for the year [2][8] - Recent data shows a decline in national public budget revenue growth to 0.3% year-on-year, with August's growth rate at 2%, down from 2.6% in July [8] - The unemployment rate for urban youth aged 16-24 has risen to 18.9%, the highest since December 2023, indicating a concerning trend in the labor market [8] Market Behavior - The stock market has experienced significant insider selling, with executives selling a total of 10.87 billion yuan in the first 13 trading days of September, marking a historical high since new regulations were implemented [2][4] - The overall market sentiment has been affected by high valuations in certain sectors, leading to increased caution among investors regarding overvalued stocks [6] - The equity market saw a decline, with major indices such as the Shanghai Composite Index dropping by 1.15% [7] Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to exercise caution and consider sectors with high dividends and low valuations, which typically offer more stable cash flows and defensive characteristics [6][1] - The focus on high-dividend ETFs is suggested as a potential strategy for investors seeking stability amidst market fluctuations [6]

Core Viewpoint - China Ping An is actively increasing its holdings in both insurance and banking stocks, indicating a strategic investment approach in the current low-interest-rate environment [1][7]. Group 1: Investment in Insurance Stocks - On September 11, China Ping An purchased 77.8092 million shares of China Pacific Insurance (H shares), raising its stake to 11.28% from 8.47% [2][3]. - The total investment in China Pacific Insurance since August has exceeded 5 billion HKD, with a significant increase in holdings over the month [4][6]. - China Ping An's strategy includes a series of incremental purchases, starting from an initial stake of 5.04% on August 8, which has now grown substantially [3][4]. Group 2: Investment in Banking Stocks - China Ping An has also been active in acquiring banking stocks, including 40.213 million shares of Agricultural Bank of China (H shares), increasing its stake to 18.07% [2][7]. - The company has invested over 100 billion HKD in banking stocks this year, reflecting a strong commitment to this sector [7]. - The investment strategy appears to be a "bulk buying" approach, focusing on stable and high-dividend yielding assets [7][8]. Group 3: Market Context and Strategy - The low-interest-rate environment and the implementation of new accounting standards have increased the demand for insurance companies to enhance investment returns through equity investments [7][8]. - Analysts suggest that the investment in insurance stocks by insurance funds is a continuation of a strategy to allocate more to high-dividend stocks under current market conditions [8][10]. - The overall trend shows a significant increase in equity investments by insurance companies, with a reported 25% growth in stock and fund investments year-on-year [10][11].

Market Overview - The market showed a slight recovery with the three major indices closing up, and a total trading volume of 2.3 trillion yuan, slightly higher than the previous trading day [1] - Over 3,600 stocks rose, with notable gains in the robotics industry chain, driven by government support for AI integration in toys [1] - The brokerage sector saw significant movement, with leading stocks like Chuangxin Securities nearing a limit-up [1][2] Sector Performance - The computer equipment, general equipment, and internet e-commerce sectors attracted significant capital inflow, with stocks like Huasheng Tiancai and Zhongke Shuguang leading the net inflow [3] - The logistics and unified market concepts led the gains, with multiple stocks hitting the limit-up [1] - The real estate, consumer electronics, and various financial sectors also showed positive performance [1] Notable Events - The successful launch of a satellite internet technology test satellite marks a significant achievement in China's space endeavors [4] - Policies to promote the construction of a "15-minute convenient living circle" in cities are set to be introduced, focusing on enhancing community services [5] - A framework cooperation agreement was signed between Yushutech and State Grid Hangzhou Power Supply, aiming to deepen collaboration in AI applications within the power sector [6] Future Outlook - Guojin Securities suggests that A-shares are approaching a third round of revaluation, recommending investors to focus on high-dividend assets, technology sectors, and unique structural opportunities in China's transformation [7][8] - Galaxy Securities highlights the ongoing advancement of AI applications, particularly in the gaming industry, which is expected to maintain high prosperity [9] - CITIC Securities anticipates rapid growth in the domestic energy storage sector, driven by new pricing mechanisms and the potential for enhanced profitability [10]

与此同时，根据招商基金数据，截至9月12日，中证红利全收益指数相对万得全A指数40日收益差 为-12.25%，处于年内低位水平。招商基金表示，中证红利当前跑输Wind全A比较多，或可更多关注阶 段性布局机会。 对于当下高股息配置价值，长江证券最新分析表示，近三年保险公司持有股票与基金的规模占比在 12%~13%区间波动，这一数值仍有较大上升空间，此政策下保险或将每年至少为A股新增几千亿的长期 资金。波动率较低且分红较高的红利资产或迎来更多的增量资金流入。同时，随着近期市场降准降息预 期逐渐增强，无风险利率或持续下行，进一步加持了红利资产的投资价值。 （本文机构观点来自持牌证券机构，不构成任何投资建议，亦不代表平台观点，请投资人独立判断和决 策。） 9月16日，招商基金旗下中证红利ETF（515080）将迎来三季度分红权益登记。根据此前分红公告，本 季度该ETF每十份分红0.15元，分红比例0.95%。据了解，目前中证红利ETF采取季度评估分红的分红节 奏。 根据公告，这是中证红利ETF上市以来第14次分红，每十份累计分红金额3.65元。据招商基金，过去五 年（2020年-2024年），中证红利ETF年度分红比 ...