产业转型升级
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2024—2025年度受尊敬企业评选
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-10-21 16:49
Core Insights - The Chinese digital industry achieved a business revenue growth of 9.3% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, highlighting the acceleration of the digital economy and the transition of the Chinese economy towards new quality [1][2] Group 1: Economic Transition - The theme for the 2024-2025 respected enterprises is "Intelligent Creation for the Future, Moving Towards New Directions," emphasizing the importance of innovation in driving economic transformation [2] - Companies are encouraged to leverage new technologies such as large models, industrial internet, and intelligent connected equipment to reduce costs and increase efficiency [2] Group 2: Future Industry Layout - The concept of "Moving Towards New Directions" calls for proactive planning in future industries, utilizing new products, scenarios, and models to create a "second growth curve" [2] - There is a recognition of the contributions of enterprises that are actively promoting the transformation and upgrading of the Chinese economy [2]
热点思考 |“四中”前瞻:新“五年”的新期待(申万宏观·赵伟团队)
赵伟宏观探索· 2025-10-21 16:03
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the signals and implications from the recent Central Political Bureau meeting regarding the upcoming "15th Five-Year Plan," emphasizing themes such as fairness, localized development, high-level openness, and the integration of effective markets with proactive government roles [3][10]. Group 1: Signals from the September Central Political Bureau Meeting - The meeting highlighted the importance of "people" and "fairness," as well as the need for localized development and high-level openness [3][10]. - It emphasized the combination of effective markets and proactive government roles, indicating a shift in how these elements will be addressed in the "15th Five-Year Plan" [11]. - The meeting also reinforced the concept of "bottom-line thinking," stressing the importance of security in economic and social development [11][12]. Group 2: Main Lines of the "15th Five-Year Plan" - The "15th Five-Year Plan" is expected to focus on high-quality development, institutional reform, and industrial upgrading as its three main lines [5][18]. - It serves as a critical phase in the continuous process towards achieving the 2035 modernization goals, acting as both a deepening of the "14th Five-Year Plan" and a mid-term evaluation of the 2035 objectives [5][18]. - To meet the 2035 goals, the economy may need to maintain an average growth rate of around 4.4% during the "15th" and "16th" phases [21][26]. Group 3: Key Reform Tasks and Directions - The 20th Central Committee's third plenary session outlined over 300 reform tasks to be completed by 2029, indicating that the next five years will be crucial for comprehensive reforms [29]. - Key reform areas include market-oriented reforms, the cultivation of new productive forces, green low-carbon transitions, and improvements in social welfare systems [29][30]. - The focus on industrial transformation and upgrading is seen as a key means to achieve the core objectives of the five-year plan [31]. Group 4: Potential Industry Focus Areas - The "15th Five-Year Plan" is likely to prioritize the cultivation of "new productive forces," continuing the framework established in the "14th Five-Year Plan" [7][33]. - Emerging pillar industries such as artificial intelligence, marine economy, and low-altitude economy are expected to be highlighted in the plan [8][38]. - The plan may also address the integration of the digital economy with the real economy, emphasizing the need for a robust industrial structure [35][38].
经济观察丨中国经济稳定增长护航民生基本盘
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-10-21 01:39
Economic Growth and Employment - China's GDP grew by 5.2% year-on-year in the first three quarters, accelerating by 0.2 and 0.4 percentage points compared to the previous year and the same period last year respectively, providing a solid foundation for employment and income stability [1] - The average urban unemployment rate from January to September was 5.2%, with quarterly averages of 5.3%, 5.0%, and 5.2%, showing overall stability in the employment situation [1] - Economic growth serves as a "ballast" and "stabilizer" for the job market, encouraging businesses to invest and expand, thus creating more job opportunities [1] Policy Support and Employment Measures - China has implemented targeted support measures for key employment groups, including special subsidies and expanded employment channels, aiming to deliver policy benefits to those in need [2] - The country is actively guiding and supporting the development of industries related to new productive forces, such as high-tech manufacturing, digital economy, and green industries, to create new employment opportunities [2] Resident Income and Consumption - The per capita disposable income of residents reached 32,509 yuan, a nominal increase of 5.1% year-on-year, with a real growth of 5.2% after adjusting for price factors, aligning with economic growth [3] - The ratio of urban to rural residents' disposable income decreased from 2.46 to 2.43, indicating a slight improvement in income distribution [3] - The increase in wage income, net operating income, and net transfer income are the main factors supporting the growth of residents' income [3] Price Trends and Market Signals - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) slightly decreased by 0.1% year-on-year in the first three quarters, while the core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 0.6%, indicating the effectiveness of policies aimed at expanding domestic demand and promoting consumption [4] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) fell by 2.8% year-on-year, with a narrower decline of 2.9% in the third quarter compared to the second quarter, reflecting an improvement in domestic market competition and price recovery in certain industries [4]
前三季度增长5.2%,政策需持续加力提效
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-10-20 22:45
国家统计局新闻发言人表示,三季度GDP增速回落是多种因素共同作用的结果。尽管经济增速有所回 落,但经济稳中有进发展态势没有变。实现全年预期目标(5%左右)有基础有支撑,但也需要付出艰 苦努力。 二是生产继续强于需求。9月工业增加值同比增长6.5%,与9月中国出口增速8.3%相呼应,其中高技术 制造业同比增长10.3%。9月服务业生产指数同比增长5.6%,其中信息传输、软件和信息技术服务业同 比增长12.8%,体现出产业转型升级对经济的支撑力度。 供需分化的"温差"也在价格中有所体现。三季度GDP平减指数为-1.1%,相比二季度的-1.3%略有收窄, 还需要通过改革发力、政策给力来着力缩小"温差"。尽管四季度受高基数影响,经济增速或许会面临一 定挑战,但通过政策发力,相信全年能够顺利实现5%的增长目标。 一方面,消费和出口的韧性仍强。四季度社零增速或在高基数等因素的影响下,有所放缓。但值得关注 的是,目前政策正在加大对服务消费的支持力度,且服务消费的韧性更强,预计最终消费对GDP的支撑 或有望维持一定韧性。今年9月,商务部等9部门印发《关于扩大服务消费的若干政策措施》,提出培育 服务消费促进平台、丰富高品质服务 ...
上市民企并购“量额齐升 结构优化”
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-20 22:29
南开大学金融学教授田利辉对《证券日报》记者表示,中小市值民营企业决策链条精简、市场响应机制 灵活,对政策导向与行业机遇的捕捉能力尤为突出。"并购六条"等支持政策的落地实施,助力相关企业 通过并购重组补齐技术储备不足、资源渠道狭窄等发展短板。 从并购逻辑来看,两大主线愈发清晰:一是企业通过纵向整合上下游优质资源,实现补链强链延链,强 化核心业务优势。数据显示,上述87起民营企业并购重组案例中,27起为产业链整合。二是民营资本主 动向高新技术赛道延伸,布局新质生产力相关领域,以并购赋能技术突破与业务转型升级。数据显示, 上述87起民营企业的并购重组案例中,交易标的广泛覆盖电子元件、半导体、航空航天、人工智能、新 能源等新兴领域,彰显了民营企业主动拥抱技术变革、布局高质量发展的战略眼光。 本报记者 田 鹏 10月20日,深圳市亿道信息股份有限公司(以下简称"亿道信息")正式披露发行股份及支付现金购买资 产并募集配套资金暨关联交易预案。据悉,亿道信息作为一家民营智能电子产品及方案提供商,拟通过 收购广州朗国电子科技股份有限公司和深圳市成为信息技术有限公司,全面提升企业综合竞争力与可持 续发展能力。 这一并购动作,为年 ...
上市民企并购“量额齐升 结构优化”年内参与并购的A股民营公司数量和拟交易金额同比分别增长93.33%和74.63%
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-10-20 16:41
10月20日,深圳市亿道信息股份有限公司(以下简称"亿道信息")正式披露发行股份及支付现金购买资 产并募集配套资金暨关联交易预案。据悉,亿道信息作为一家民营智能电子产品及方案提供商,拟通过 收购广州朗国电子科技股份有限公司和深圳市成为信息技术有限公司,全面提升企业综合竞争力与可持 续发展能力。 这一并购动作,为年内A股市场民营上市公司的并购热潮再添典型样本。据Wind数据统计(全文数据来 源),今年以来,A股市场首次披露的138起并购重组案例中,超六成有民营上市公司参与。 接受《证券日报》记者采访的专家表示,在"并购六条"等相关政策支持下,并购重组已成为民营企业高 质量发展的重要手段。未来建议进一步优化审批流程、创新融资工具。 两大主线引领 川财证券研究所所长陈雳在接受《证券日报》记者采访时表示,产业转型升级是我国经济发展的大趋 势,上市公司通过并购重组实现技术突破与转型升级,一方面有利于企业更好地实现向新模式、新业态 转型,另一方面也有利于企业加速布局新兴领域。 双重逻辑驱动 民营上市公司并购重组的持续升温,是政策红利与企业发展需求"双向奔赴"的结果。 一方面,多维度红利的精准释放为并购重组扫清障碍、注入动 ...
热点思考 |“四中”前瞻:新“五年”的新期待(申万宏观·赵伟团队)
申万宏源宏观· 2025-10-20 16:07
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the signals and implications from the recent Central Political Bureau meeting regarding the upcoming 15th Five-Year Plan, emphasizing themes such as fairness, localized development, high-level openness, and the combination of effective markets and proactive government roles [3][10]. Group 1: Signals from the September Central Political Bureau Meeting - The meeting highlighted the importance of "people" and "fairness," as well as the need for localized development and high-level openness [3][11]. - It emphasized the necessity of combining effective markets with proactive government intervention, indicating a shift in how market-government relations will be addressed in the 15th Five-Year Plan [11][12]. - The meeting also reinforced the concept of "bottom-line thinking," stressing the importance of security in economic and social development [11][12]. Group 2: Main Lines of the 15th Five-Year Plan - The 15th Five-Year Plan is expected to focus on high-quality development, institutional reform, and industrial upgrading, serving as a critical phase in achieving the 2035 modernization goals [5][18]. - The plan aims to maintain an average economic growth rate of around 4.4% during the 15th and 16th Five-Year periods to meet the long-term goal of doubling GDP per capita by 2035 [21][26]. - The emphasis on "people-centered" development and safety guarantees indicates that social welfare and security will remain key components of the 15th Five-Year Plan [26][29]. Group 3: Key Industry Directions in the 15th Five-Year Plan - The plan is likely to continue supporting emerging pillar industries, with a focus on cultivating new productive forces and enhancing the integration of the real economy with the digital economy [7][33]. - Key sectors mentioned include marine economy, artificial intelligence, low-altitude economy, and other future industries, as outlined in various government reports and meetings [8][38]. - The plan will also prioritize the development of strategic emerging industries, such as information technology, aerospace, and renewable energy, to drive economic transformation [8][38].
(经济观察)中国经济稳定增长护航民生基本盘
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-10-20 13:31
Economic Growth and Employment - China's GDP grew by 5.2% year-on-year in the first three quarters, accelerating by 0.2 and 0.4 percentage points compared to the previous year and the same period last year respectively, providing a solid foundation for employment and income stability [1] - The average urban survey unemployment rate from January to September was 5.2%, with quarterly averages of 5.3%, 5.0%, and 5.2%, showing overall stability in the employment situation [1] - Economic growth serves as a "ballast" and "stabilizer" for the job market, boosting corporate confidence in investment and expansion, thereby creating more job opportunities [1] Policy Support and Employment Measures - China has implemented targeted support measures for key employment groups, including special subsidies, expanded employment channels, and enhanced employment services [2] - The country is actively guiding and supporting the development of industries related to new productive forces, such as high-tech manufacturing, digital economy, and green industries, to create new employment opportunities [2] Resident Income and Consumption - The per capita disposable income of residents reached 32,509 yuan, a nominal increase of 5.1% year-on-year, with a real growth of 5.2% after adjusting for price factors, aligning with economic growth [3] - The income ratio between urban and rural residents decreased from 2.46 to 2.43, indicating a slight improvement in income distribution [3] - The increase in wage income, net operating income, and net transfer income were the main factors supporting the growth in resident income [3] Price Trends and Market Signals - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) slightly decreased by 0.1% year-on-year in the first three quarters, while the core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 0.6%, indicating the effectiveness of policies aimed at expanding domestic demand and promoting consumption [4] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) fell by 2.8% year-on-year, with a narrower decline of 2.9% in the third quarter compared to the second quarter, reflecting an improvement in domestic market competition and a recovery in prices for certain industries [4]
\四中\前瞻:新\五年\的新期待:\十五五\规划研究系列之四
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-10-20 12:57
Group 1: Key Signals from the September Politburo Meeting - The September Politburo meeting emphasized "people" and "fairness," indicating a focus on equitable development and high-level openness[1] - The meeting highlighted the importance of "effective markets and proactive government," suggesting a balanced approach to economic governance[1] - "Bottom-line thinking" was reinforced, indicating a commitment to risk prevention and safety in economic development[1] Group 2: Main Lines of the 15th Five-Year Plan - The 15th Five-Year Plan will focus on high-quality development, institutional reform, and industrial upgrading as its three main lines[3] - The plan serves as a critical midpoint for assessing progress towards the 2035 modernization goals, requiring an average annual economic growth rate of approximately 4.4%[3][21] - The plan aims for the national economy and per capita GDP to double compared to 2020 levels by 2035[21] Group 3: Reform Tasks and Economic Goals - Over 300 reform tasks were outlined to be completed by 2029, covering key areas such as economic systems, technology, and social welfare[4][28] - The plan includes a target for non-fossil energy consumption to reach around 25% by 2030 and a 65% reduction in carbon emissions per unit of GDP compared to 2005 levels[19][28] - The focus on "new quality productivity" and emerging pillar industries will continue from the 14th Five-Year Plan, with an emphasis on international competitiveness[32]
工信部要求骨干企业严格落实水泥产能置换等政策
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-10-20 11:58
工信部要求骨干企业严格落实水泥产能置换等政策 中新社北京10月20日电 (记者 刘育英)中国工业和信息化部官网20日发布的信息显示,工信部原材料工 业司近日组织召开水泥行业稳增长工作座谈会,强调骨干企业要严格落实水泥产能置换、规范水泥产能 等政策。 中国工业和信息化部、自然资源部等六部门此前印发《建材行业稳增长工作方案(2025—2026年)》,其 中提出严禁新增水泥熟料产能。 会议指出,要加快落实《建材行业稳增长工作方案(2025—2026年)》。要深刻认识水泥行业产能供需矛 盾突出的问题,以促进产需动态平衡、产业转型升级为目标,严禁新增产能、规范现有产能、淘汰落后 产能。 会议强调,骨干企业要发挥引领带动作用,严格落实水泥产能置换、规范水泥产能等政策,在2025年底 前对超出项目备案的产能制定产能置换方案,促进实际产能与备案产能统一。行业协会要加强行业自 律,开展区域市场供需平衡研究,组织水泥行业错峰生产,做好各地区平均成本调研,为经营者合理定 价提供参考,防范低于成本价倾销等不正当竞争行为。 中国建筑材料联合会、中国水泥协会、中国建材集团有限公司、安徽海螺集团有限责任公司、金隅冀东 水泥集团股份有限公司 ...