Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, along with four other departments, has issued the "Steel Industry Growth Stabilization Work Plan (2025-2026)", emphasizing the need for low-emission transformation and energy efficiency improvements in the steel sector [1] Group 1: Emission Reduction and Energy Efficiency - The plan aims to fully complete the ultra-low emission transformation targets by the end of 2025 [1] - Support will be provided for steel enterprises to implement energy efficiency enhancement modifications and promote the substitution of clean energy [1] - The industry will conduct research on collaborative pollution reduction and carbon reduction technology pathways [1] Group 2: Low-Carbon Technologies - The plan supports research and development of low-carbon common technologies such as hydrogen metallurgy [1] - It emphasizes accelerating the pilot verification and industrialization of integrated processes and equipment for green electricity, green hydrogen, and pure hydrogen metallurgy [1] Group 3: Digitalization and Carbon Management - The industry is encouraged to establish digital carbon management centers [1] - There will be a focus on developing a carbon footprint accounting standard system for steel products and enhancing carbon measurement management [1] - The plan aims to improve the quality of carbon accounting data and ensure proper quota trading and settlement after inclusion in the national carbon emission trading market [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [6] Core Views - The report highlights the revaluation of leading companies in the new energy sector, suggesting a balanced allocation across various sub-sectors of new energy [2][3] Summary by Sections 1. New Energy Vehicles and Lithium Battery Sector - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and seven other departments issued a "Work Plan for Stabilizing Growth in the Automotive Industry," targeting 15.5 million new energy vehicle sales by 2025, with a 20% year-on-year growth [11][12] - CATL signed a prepayment agreement with Fulin Precision to secure iron lithium capacity, reflecting strong demand and strategic partnerships in the lithium battery sector [12][13] 2. New Energy Power Generation Sector 2.1 Photovoltaic Sector - The Ministry of Finance allocated 46.183 billion yuan in renewable energy subsidies, supporting the valuation recovery of the green electricity sector, with solar power receiving 21.589 billion yuan [20][21] - The report emphasizes the advantages of solar installations and the potential for valuation recovery in both solar and wind sectors, recommending attention to leading companies with stable operations [20][21] 2.2 Wind Power Sector - Significant progress is being made on the 3GW offshore wind project in Qingdao and the 1GW project in Dandong, with the Netherlands reinstating offshore wind subsidies, which may reactivate previously stalled projects [36][38] 3. Energy Storage Sector - In August, domestic energy storage installations increased by 2.90GW/7.97GWh, marking a year-on-year growth of 30%/43%, with independent storage installations accounting for over half [46][47] - Major energy groups dominate new installations, with a notable shift towards long-duration storage technologies and non-lithium technology developments [48][49][52] 4. Power Equipment Sector - The construction of the Zangyue DC project has commenced, expected to be operational by 2029, which will significantly enhance power transmission capabilities [61] - The first industry standard for AIDC (Artificial Intelligence Data Center) has been pre-released, promoting standardized development in the sector [62] 5. Industrial Control and Robotics Sector - The PMI for manufacturing showed slight improvement, indicating a recovery in demand, with significant advancements in robotics showcased at the recent industrial expo [68][69] - The collaboration between Weiyi Intelligent Manufacturing and Jebot highlights the ongoing innovation in industrial robotics, aiming to enhance flexible production capabilities [69][70] 6. Hydrogen Energy Sector - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission announced ten hydrogen energy pilot projects, and Wuhan's Economic and Information Bureau released financial subsidy policies for the hydrogen industry [5]

Group 1 - The user-side energy storage project in Yangpu District, Shanghai, with a capacity of 3.8MW/7.068MWh, is the largest commercial energy storage station in the city center [1] - The project aims to establish a pathway for building energy storage stations in urban areas, emphasizing safety with multiple layers of protection and real-time monitoring systems [1] - The economic viability of the project is validated, with an annual electricity consumption of approximately 43 million kWh in the technology park, and the project achieving over 90% operational efficiency, generating energy savings of about 21 million yuan over its lifecycle [1] Group 2 - The energy storage station integrates with distributed photovoltaics, charging piles, microgrid controllers, and carbon management systems, enhancing green electricity usage and reducing carbon footprints [2] - The project meets ESG requirements and participates in electricity market trading, showcasing its green value [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that China has established the world's largest and fastest-growing renewable energy system, with renewable energy generation capacity increasing from 40% to approximately 60% [1] - The total electricity consumption in China now includes one-third green electricity, indicating a significant shift towards greener energy sources [1] - Distributed photovoltaic (PV) systems have emerged as a new force, with over 400 million kilowatts of new installations, including 160 million kilowatts from household PV systems, making over 7 million families "PV landlords" [1] Group 2 - China continues to prioritize large-scale renewable energy projects in regions with optimal conditions, such as Qinghai, Gansu, Shaanxi, and Ningxia, leading to the construction of major solar and wind power bases [1] - The "big base, big project" approach has resulted in significant investments and advancements in renewable energy technology, with China's renewable energy patents accounting for over 40% of the global total [1] - The average cost of electricity generated from wind and solar projects has decreased by 60% and 80%, respectively, over the past decade, showcasing China's contribution to global low-carbon transition [1] Group 3 - During the 14th Five-Year Plan, there has been a push to expand small-scale distributed wind and solar power markets, with over 7 million households adopting the "self-use and surplus electricity online" model [2] - The potential for small-scale distributed wind and solar power is significant, as these installations can be located near populated areas, leading to lower investment costs and improved land use [2] - Challenges remain in public awareness and willingness to utilize rooftops or barren land for solar installations, necessitating patience and targeted demonstrations in suitable communities [2] Group 4 - China has established a comprehensive wind and solar power technology system capable of producing a wide range of equipment and facilities [3] - To enhance product offerings, it is crucial to conduct thorough research to identify user needs and improve product design [3]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the electricity industry in China, focusing on the performance of various energy sectors in the first half of 2025, including thermal, hydro, nuclear, and renewable energy sources [1][2][3]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Electricity Generation Growth**: In the first half of 2025, industrial electricity generation increased by 0.8% year-on-year, reaching 4,500 billion kWh. Thermal and hydro power faced significant competitive pressure, while nuclear, photovoltaic, and wind energy saw double-digit growth, with photovoltaic energy growing by 20% [1][4]. - **Electricity Price Trends**: The overall electricity price is under pressure and declining, with significant regional differentiation. Northern regions experienced smaller declines, while southern provinces saw more substantial drops, with some months exceeding 15% [1][5]. - **Coal Prices Impact**: Coal prices continued to decline due to weak demand, with the spot price of 5,500 kcal coal dropping by 27.6% year-on-year to 621 RMB/ton by the end of June. High inventory levels are expected to keep costs low in the third quarter [1][6]. - **Public Utility Sector Performance**: The public utility index outperformed the CSI 300 index by 2.2 percentage points, with a 2.23% increase in the public utility index compared to a 0.03% increase in the CSI 300 index [1][7]. - **Fund Holdings**: Public fund holdings in the public utility sector showed signs of recovery, with a combined holding ratio of 2.16% by the end of the second quarter [1][8]. Performance by Sector - **Thermal Power**: The thermal power sector reported a revenue decline of 3.7% to 572.6 billion RMB but achieved a net profit increase of 6.3% to 44.1 billion RMB, benefiting from lower coal prices [1][10]. - **Hydropower**: Despite challenges from high base figures and lower water levels, hydropower companies managed to achieve a revenue increase of 4.7% to 87.9 billion RMB and a net profit increase of 10.7% to 26.2 billion RMB [1][11]. - **Nuclear and Renewable Energy**: The nuclear and renewable energy sectors faced challenges, with revenues declining by 2% to 153 billion RMB and net profits decreasing by 6.4% to 25.1 billion RMB [1][12]. Investment Recommendations - **Thermal Power**: Focus on companies in southern regions like Baoneng New Energy and Guangzhou Development, as well as high-dividend stocks like Guodian Power [1][13]. - **Renewable Energy**: Look for opportunities in companies like Xintian Green Energy and Longyuan Power, which are expected to benefit from market reforms and policy support [1][13]. - **Hydropower**: Consider relatively undervalued assets in the hydropower sector for investment [1][13]. - **Nuclear Power**: Despite short-term pressures, long-term growth in installed capacity and asset expansion makes companies like China General Nuclear Power a focus for investment [1][13]. Additional Important Insights - The overall electricity consumption growth is expected to recover in the second half of 2025, with an annual growth forecast of around 5% [2]. - The elasticity of electricity consumption has decreased significantly, indicating a shift in demand dynamics [2]. This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call, providing a comprehensive overview of the electricity industry's performance and outlook for 2025.

Summary of Longking Environmental Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Longking Environmental - **Industry**: Environmental Protection and Green Energy Key Points Industry and Market Dynamics - Longking Environmental benefits from the accelerated development of green electricity projects, with new projects and high electricity prices enhancing profitability, expected to be in a continuous release cycle for the next three years [2][3] - The traditional environmental protection business is stable, contributing approximately 900 million in profit annually, corresponding to over 10 billion in revenue [2][6] - The market demand for flue gas governance in the thermal power sector is growing, with a market size of 15-16 billion annually, driven by new installations and replacement needs [7][9] Core Business Segments - **Traditional Environmental Business**: Focused on air pollution control equipment delivery, waste incineration, and hazardous waste treatment, with a historical revenue exceeding 10 billion [6] - **Green Electricity Projects**: Includes self-generated green electricity projects related to Zijin Mining, with both existing and new projects accelerating investment [4][10] - **Equipment Manufacturing**: Involves the production of new energy mining equipment and energy storage solutions, with significant progress in domestic and international projects [4][16] Financial Performance and Projections - New signed orders for 2024 are projected at 10.1 billion, with a backlog of 18.7 billion, sufficient to support two years of revenue recognition [6] - The overall market size for the flue gas governance industry is estimated at 26-27 billion annually, with thermal power accounting for about 60% and non-thermal sectors about 40% [9] - The company’s green electricity business showed significant growth, with profits nearing 100 million in the first half of the year, contributing about 20% to total profits [10][11] Project Highlights - **Xizang Mami Cuo Photovoltaic Storage Diesel Generator Off-grid Project**: Total investment of 2.391 billion, with expected annual profits exceeding 200 million [12] - **Democratic Republic of the Congo 140 MW Hydropower Project**: Total investment of 399 million USD, with a competitive advantage due to low costs and high selling prices [13][14] Future Growth Opportunities - The company is actively pursuing projects in Tibet and overseas, with a projected renewable energy generation target of 30% by 2030 for Zijin Mining [15] - The company has a growth potential from 1 GW to 7 GW in green electricity capacity [15] Valuation and Market Position - Current valuation is approximately 15-16 times earnings, with expected net profit growth of about 30% year-on-year, reaching 1.4 to 1.5 billion next year [18] - The company benefits from supportive policies for direct consumption of green electricity, enhancing its investment appeal [18] Additional Insights - The company has made significant strides in the energy storage sector, achieving profitability in the first half of the year after previous losses [16] - Longking Environmental is expanding into the mining equipment sector, providing comprehensive solutions that include wind and solar energy applications [17]

Core Viewpoint - The recent notice from the National Development and Reform Commission and the Energy Administration aims to enhance the price mechanism to promote the nearby consumption of renewable energy, requiring that the annual self-consumption of renewable energy should account for no less than 60% of the total available generation capacity and 30% of total electricity consumption, with new projects starting from 2030 required to meet at least 35% [1] Investment Highlights - The notice recommends commercial rooftop photovoltaics and highlights the potential of companies like Ankerui. It emphasizes the need for projects to have metering conditions and for grid companies to install metering devices to accurately measure electricity data at various stages [1] - The bidding for large-scale energy storage in August exceeded expectations, with a recommendation for storage operators like Southern Grid Storage. The combination of AI and the finalized document No. 136 is expected to drive the economic viability of large-scale storage, with domestic demand exceeding expectations [1] - Southern Grid Storage is positioned to benefit significantly as a large-scale storage operator within the Southern Grid, with a projected cumulative installed capacity of 654,200 kW and 1,298,300 kWh by the first half of 2025, alongside 10.28 million kW of pumped storage capacity [1] Industry Core Data Tracking - Electricity prices saw a 2% year-on-year decrease and a 1.3% month-on-month increase in August 2025. The price of thermal coal was reported at 680 RMB/ton as of September 12, 2025, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 1 RMB/ton [2] - The water level at the Three Gorges Reservoir was recorded at 162.88 meters, with inflow and outflow rates showing significant year-on-year increases of 33.59% and 198.15%, respectively [2] - Total electricity consumption from January to July 2025 reached 5.86 trillion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 4.5%, with various sectors showing different growth rates [2] - Cumulative power generation for the same period was 5.47 trillion kWh, with a year-on-year increase of 1.3%, while installed capacity additions in the first half of 2025 showed significant growth in renewable sources like wind and solar [2] Investment Recommendations - Companies within the Southern Grid system, such as Southern Grid Energy, Southern Grid Storage, and Southern Grid Technology, are recommended for investment opportunities [3] - The green electricity sector is expected to see improvements in asset quality and growth potential, with specific companies highlighted for attention [3] - The value of photovoltaic assets and charging station assets is anticipated to be reassessed positively due to regulatory support and market dynamics [3] - Investment opportunities in thermal power, particularly in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, are also recommended [3] - The hydropower sector is expected to benefit from rising prices and low costs, with strong cash flow and dividend capabilities [3] - The nuclear power sector is projected to grow, with multiple approvals for new units expected to enhance profitability and dividends [3]

Summary of Longyuan Power Conference Call Company Overview - Longyuan Power is a wind power business integration platform under the State Energy Group and is the largest wind power operator globally as of mid-2025, with a controlling stake of 59% held by the State Energy Group [6][12] - The group has a total installed capacity of 355 GW, with 122 GW in green energy, of which Longyuan Power accounts for 46% in wind and 19% in solar [6][12] Industry Dynamics - The domestic wind and solar installation has reached a turning point, with significant policy support leading to a recovery in cash flow for companies like Longyuan Power [2][3] - The implementation of Document No. 136 and mandatory green energy consumption policies have driven the price-to-book ratio (P/B) recovery to 0.76, although it remains at historical lows [2][12] Financial Performance - Longyuan Power's long-term return on equity (ROE) has been stable at 8%-9%, with only two years (2013 and 2022) showing declines due to external factors [7][8] - The company’s electricity price from desulfurization has decreased from 0.5 yuan per kWh in 2017 to 0.19 yuan per kWh in mid-2025, reflecting market pressures [2][9] - The company’s P/B ratio has dropped from a peak of 2.34 in September 2021 to a low of 0.52 in February 2024, with a slight rebound to around 0.76 [4][5] Cash Flow and Valuation - Longyuan Power is expected to face a free cash flow deficit of 12.1 billion yuan in 2024, but with a slowdown in conventional project development and accelerated national subsidy repayments, free cash flow may turn positive in 2025 [4][17] - The company’s accounts receivable stood at 49.5 billion yuan, representing 56% of net assets, indicating a high dependency on subsidy recoveries [18] Future Growth and Asset Development - Future growth will be supported by the injection of approximately 4 GW of green energy units from the group, upgrades to older units, and over 5 GW of offshore wind power reserves [14][15] - The company aims to add 7.5 GW of new capacity in 2024 and 5 GW in 2025, focusing on high-quality resource areas [13][14] Market Conditions and Pricing - The market for green certificates has seen a significant decline in prices, but recent policy changes have led to a recovery, with trading volumes increasing substantially [19] - The competitive advantage of wind power over solar is highlighted by better alignment with load curves and higher market prices [15] Profit Forecast - Longyuan Power's projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 6.43 billion yuan, 7.22 billion yuan, and 7.93 billion yuan, respectively, indicating growth rates of 0.1%, 12%, and 10% [20] Conclusion - Longyuan Power is positioned to benefit from industry recovery and policy support, with a strong asset base and growth potential despite current market pressures and historical low valuations [2][20]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7] Core Views - The company announced the investment in the Ma Mi Cuo integrated energy station project and the Congo (Kinshasa) Kalan Geng hydropower station project, with expected operational contributions starting from Q2 2026 [2][4] - The Ma Mi Cuo project is projected to generate an annual net profit of 130 million yuan, while the Congo project is expected to yield 358 million yuan annually, indicating a strong growth potential for the company [2][4] - The green electricity logic of the company continues to be validated, and the long-term development outlook remains positive [2] Summary by Sections Project Announcements - On September 12, 2025, the company announced the investment in the Ma Mi Cuo energy station and the Congo hydropower station projects [4] - The Ma Mi Cuo project is expected to be operational by Q2 2026, with a projected electricity price of 0.7 yuan/KWh (including tax) and an estimated annual net profit of 130 million yuan [2][4] - The Congo project is anticipated to be operational by 2029, with a supply electricity price of approximately 0.16 USD/KWh (excluding tax) and an estimated annual net profit of 358 million yuan [2][4] Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 1.103 billion yuan in 2025, 1.402 billion yuan in 2026, and 1.701 billion yuan in 2027, representing year-on-year growth rates of 32.8%, 27.1%, and 21.4% respectively [2] - The projected PE ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 15.1x, 11.9x, and 9.8x respectively, indicating a favorable valuation outlook [2] Operational Insights - The company has successfully operated the first phase of the La Guo Cuo project at full capacity and has seen stable operations in various overseas projects [2] - The green electricity projects are expected to contribute significantly to the company's profits, with a projected profit elasticity of 59% compared to the company's 2024 net profit [2]

Core Insights - Jilin Province is focusing on renewable energy development, with installed capacity exceeding 30 million kilowatts, injecting new momentum into overall revitalization [1][2] - The province's renewable energy industry is leveraging its natural resources, particularly wind and solar power, to enhance energy stability and reduce carbon emissions [2][3] Renewable Energy Development - Jilin Province has seen an average annual growth rate of 29% in renewable energy external transmission over the past three years [2] - The "Jidian into Beijing" project, the province's first ultra-high voltage transmission line, is included in the national "14th Five-Year" power development plan as a reserve project [2] - The province has exceeded its target by adding over 12 million kilowatts of new energy capacity in the Jilin section of the Songliao New Energy Base during the first four years of the "14th Five-Year" plan [2] Green Chemical Products - Low-carbon transformation is accelerating, with green hydrogen, green ammonia, and green methanol becoming key alternative products in shipping and agriculture [3] - The Shanghai Electric wind power and biomass green methanol integration project in Jilin has begun production, with an expected annual output of 50,000 tons of green methanol, facilitating the consumption of approximately 220 million kilowatt-hours of green electricity [3] - Jilin Province has launched five major green energy chemical projects, focusing on the large-scale utilization of green electricity for high-value chemical products [3] Industry Cluster Development - Jilin Province's renewable energy industry chain is expanding across multiple segments, including raw material production, equipment manufacturing, and product application [4] - Jilin Chemical Fiber dominates the domestic wind power sector with a 95% market share in carbon fiber, experiencing a 29% year-on-year increase in sales revenue [4] - Numerous companies, such as SANY Wind Power and Fanrui Heavy Industry, are establishing a presence in the region, supporting a one-stop procurement model for wind power equipment [4] - The province is witnessing the emergence of hydrogen energy vehicles and high-speed hydrogen-powered trains, indicating a shift towards high-quality economic development driven by renewable energy [4]