稳定币第一股 Circle 涨近 34% ，创 6 月 5 日美国 IPO 以来最大单日涨幅。 WTI 收于每桶 75 美元上方，创下 1 月以来的最高收盘价。 美联储维持利率不变 【导读】美联储维持利率不变，稳定币第一股 Circle 涨近 34%， WTI 原油创 1 月以来最高 收盘价 美东时间 6 月 18 日周三，美国三大股指涨跌不一，美联储维持利率不变。投资者担忧美国 可能更直接军事介入以色列与伊朗的交火。伊朗最高领袖表示，美国军事干预将招致无法挽 回的后果。 截至收盘，道指跌 0.1% ，报 42171.66 点；标普 500 指数跌 0.03% ，报 5980.87 点； 纳指涨 0.13% ，报 19546.27 点。 美联储公布 6 月利率决议，将基准利率维持在 4.25% ～ 4.50% 不变，连续第四次会议按兵 不动，符合市场预期。 美联储表示，前景的不确定性已减弱，但仍然处于较高水平。美联储将 2025 年 GDP 预估 下调至 1.4% ，将通胀预期上调至 3% 。 根据美联储的点阵图预测， 2025 年预计实施两次降息，共 50 个基点 ，这与三月份的预期 相符。然而， 2026 ...

提醒：美联储6月利率决议声明已经发布将近五个小时，美国总统特朗普仍然没有在自家社交媒体平台 评论鲍威尔连续四次按兵不动的做法。 ...

美联储利率决议即将来袭，行情蠢蠢欲动！黄金波动继续缩窄，方向如何选择？立即观看超V推荐官 Jason的分析，马上进入直播间>>> 相关链接 ...

沪铜小幅飘红，美联储利率决议悬而未决，多空博弈下未来价格将如何运行？ 相关链接 期货热点追踪 ...

Core Viewpoint - The gold market is currently in a state of indecision, with prices fluctuating around $3380-$3390, and the upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate decision is expected to significantly influence future price movements [1][2]. Group 1: Market Analysis - Recent gold price movements have shown limited volatility, with a slight downward shift in the structural focus, indicating a tendency for technical corrections rather than sensitivity to geopolitical risks [2]. - The market is currently cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, with expectations that rates will remain unchanged in the 4.25%-4.50% range, but investors are more focused on forward guidance and signals from Fed Chair Powell's press conference [1][4]. Group 2: Trading Strategy - The suggested trading strategy involves shorting gold at the $3410-$3405 range, with a stop loss at $3420 and a target of $3375-$3365, holding positions if the price breaks below these levels [3]. - The focus for the day includes monitoring the $3400 resistance level and the $3365 support level, with an emphasis on adjusting positions based on developments in the geopolitical situation and the Federal Reserve's decisions [2][4].

Market Focus - The Federal Reserve is set to announce its June interest rate decision, with the "dot plot" reflecting officials' expectations for rate changes being a key focus for market participants [1] - The ongoing geopolitical tensions, particularly the Russia-Ukraine situation and the Israel-Iran dynamics, are influencing market volatility [2] Gold Market Analysis - Gold has experienced significant fluctuations, with a daily high of 3403 and a low of 3366, indicating a volatile trading environment [2] - The resistance level for gold has shifted from the 3403-3405 range to 3396, with further upward movement expected to face resistance at 3417-3420 and 3430-3433 [4] - Key support levels for gold are identified at 3383, 3375-3373, and 3360, with a potential downward move towards 3340 and 3320 if these levels are breached [4] Silver Market Analysis - Silver continues to rise, breaking through the 37 level, with attention on resistance at 37.5 and 38.2 for potential short positions [5] - Support levels for silver are noted at 35.5 and 34.6, indicating areas for potential long positions [5] Crude Oil Market Analysis - Crude oil is experiencing significant volatility, with recent fluctuations comparable to the past two months, driven by geopolitical factors [6] - Following a substantial drop of over 7 dollars, crude oil has shown signs of recovery, with a focus on resistance levels for potential short positions and support levels at 73.0, 69, and 71 [8]

黄金趋势讲解中 黄金上行受阻何时能创新高？横盘震荡后平台关键位何时能破？美联储利率决议前市场是否有转机？ TTPS交易学长正在直播，立即观看！ 相关链接 ...

部分策略师质疑，美联储或正重蹈去年9月政策滞后的覆辙——当时紧急降息50个基点招致广泛批评。 美联储主席鲍威尔还面临政治压力，特朗普上周再度批评其拒绝降息是"愚蠢行为"。 "基于失业率走势，他们本应为2026年规划更多降息空间，"杜塔周一在研讨会上强调。他补充道，房价 下跌削弱家庭净资产，储蓄率上升将抑制消费，客观上反而有助于缓解通胀压力。 北京时间周四凌晨，美联储将公布最新利率决议。当前市场普遍预期维持利率不变的概率超过99%，但 多位专家警告，美联储可能正在错失最佳行动时机。 近月通胀数据虽呈现温和态势，但尚未达到启动降息的门槛。美联储官员强调，仍需等待更多关键数据 以确认价格趋势。与此同时，关税政策的不确定性尚未消散，而伊朗与以色列冲突推高原油成本的担 忧，又为通胀前景增添了新的变数。 当前市场定价反映2025年降息1-2次、2026年再降2次。然而，专家对此预期发出警示。文艺复兴宏观研 究经济主管杜塔指出，尽管不预期通胀反弹，但劳动力市场出现疲软迹象更令人忧心：失业救济申请持 续增加、招聘速度放缓、薪资增长停滞。3月美联储预测2026年底失业率为4.3%，当前市场预期已上调 至4.6%。 道富环球顾问 ...

Core Viewpoint - The geopolitical situation has eased, maintaining interest rate expectations, while gold prices show potential for bullish adjustments despite recent declines [1][3][5] Group 1: Gold Price Movements - On June 16, international gold opened high but faced resistance, closing lower at $3,385.05 per ounce, down $48.69 or 1.42% from the previous close of $3,433.74 [1][3] - The price fluctuated between $3,410 and $3,420 during the European session, and dropped to a low of $3,382.71 during the US session, indicating a bearish trend [1][3] - The market is expected to experience a rebound after testing support levels, with key resistance at $3,500 and potential targets of $3,545 and $3,700 if broken [1][3][12] Group 2: Market Influences - The easing geopolitical tensions and profit-taking by traders after reaching an 8-week high contributed to the decline in gold prices [3][5] - The US dollar index showed weakness, which initially supported gold prices, but the market's focus shifted to the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions [3][5] - Upcoming economic data releases, such as US retail sales and import price index, are anticipated to favor gold prices, although there is a risk of a pullback [5][6] Group 3: Technical Analysis - Monthly charts indicate that gold prices remain above key support levels, suggesting potential for continued bullish trends despite recent volatility [10][12] - Weekly charts show that while gold faced resistance, the 5-10 week moving averages provide bullish support, indicating opportunities for re-entry into long positions [12][14] - Daily charts reflect a bearish reversal pattern, but numerous support levels suggest potential for rebounds, with specific price levels to watch for trading decisions [14]

2025/6/5 10:01 【国富期货早间看点】路透预计⻢棕5 7.74% 201 Anec 6 1255 20250605 【国富期货早间看点】路透预计马棕5月库存增7.74%至201万吨 Anec预计巴西大豆6月出口1255万吨 20250605 2025年06月05日 07:46 上海 01 隔夜行情 | | 收盘价 | 上日 流跌幅(%) | 隔夜流跌幅(%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 马棕油08(BMD) | 3925.00 | 0. 41 | -0. 63 | | 布伦特08(ICE) | 64. 91 | -1. 07 | -0. 60 | | 美原油07(NYMEX) | 62.74 | -0.95 | -0. 84 | | 美豆07 (CBOT) | 1044. 75 | 0. 36 | -0. 45 | | 美豆箱07(CBOT) | 296. 90 | 0. 88 | -0. 17 | | 美豆油07(CBOT) | 46. 72 | -0. 19 | -0. 79 | | | 最新价 | 流跌幅(%) 十日漆跌幅 | | --- | --- | -- ...