港股IPO冷热博弈：6天6家申请上市，"明星"药企缘何临门停步？ 11月的港股生物医药板块，一边是扎堆冲刺上市的热闹场景，一边是临门停步的意外状况。 从11月6日到11日，短短6天里，安序源科技、英矽智能、迈瑞医疗、真实生物、海纳医药和科兴制药先 后向港交所递交上市申请，密集程度创下年内新高，尽显药企赴港融资的迫切。 然而热潮未退，11月12日，已通过港交所聆讯、原定于11月17日挂牌的百利天恒(2615.HK)突然公告延 迟全球发售，宣布不按原招股章程推进上市，国际包销协议暂不订立，所有投资者的申请款项将在11月 17日前全额退还。 "从长期来看，港股作为人民币国际化及中概股回归的重要平台，其战略定位与估值优势吸引资本对其 价值重估。"融智投资基金经理包金刚此前向21世纪经济报道记者表示。 药企扎堆递表港股 6家递表的药企中，既有迈瑞医疗这样市值近2700亿元、手握近170亿元货币资金的医疗器械龙头，也有 英矽智能、安序源科技这类靠研发驱动的创新企业。 而港交所对生物医药行业的制度支持，是吸引企业的关键。 2018年推出的18A章上市规则，允许未盈利的生物科技公司上市融资，这为英矽智能、安序源科技这类 企业 ...

星展发布研报称，认为在美上市的中概股可能回归香港挂牌，进一步扩大港股市场规模并维持强劲交易 势头;重申香港交易所(00388)"买入"评级，目标价维持540港元。 该行称，港股强劲势头将持续，并将港交所2025及26年的日均成交额预测上调至2,580亿及2,750亿元。 利好因素包括流动性及投资气氛改善，香港科技股的估值较其他市场具吸引力，以及政府的支持政策和 刺激措施。受惠于科技股上升及IPO市场活跃，今年7至10月期间，南下资金占总成交额的比例升至 25%。香港年初至今已有逾80只新股上市，当中包括A股企业及知名的科技和消费股，从结构上优化市 场结构。 ...

Core Viewpoint - DBS believes that Chinese companies listed in the U.S. may return to Hong Kong for listing, which would further expand the Hong Kong stock market and maintain strong trading momentum [1] Group 1: Market Outlook - The strong momentum in the Hong Kong stock market is expected to continue, with DBS raising the average daily trading volume forecast for the Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) to HKD 258 billion and HKD 275 billion for 2025 and 2026 respectively [1] - Positive factors contributing to this outlook include improved liquidity and investment sentiment, attractive valuations of Hong Kong tech stocks compared to other markets, and supportive government policies and stimulus measures [1] Group 2: Market Activity - From July to October this year, the proportion of southbound funds in total trading volume increased to 25%, benefiting from the rise in tech stocks and an active IPO market [1] - Over 80 new stocks have been listed in Hong Kong year-to-date, including A-share companies and well-known tech and consumer stocks, which has optimized the market structure [1]

香港IPO总金额再破2000亿港元大关。 2025年以来，香港IPO市场持续高歌猛进，而在近期港股IPO规模已达到2164.74亿港元。这是自2021年的高峰后，时隔4年 香港IPO再次突破2000亿港元。同时，2025年后续2个月仍有大量公司等待上市，香港IPO正不断逼近2019年至2021年间所 创下的3000亿港元巅峰。 本轮香港IPO热潮超出了绝大多数业内人士的预期。多位接受证券时报记者采访的人士认为，香港IPO的热潮在未来仍将 持续。 多项IPO数据创纪录 Wind数据显示，从最近10年香港IPO数据来看，2019年至2021年的3年是香港IPO的巅峰时期，这3年的年度IPO规模均突 破3000亿港元，随后在2022至2024年这3年间陷入低谷，其中2023年的IPO规模甚至不到500亿港元，2024年稍有恢复，但 也仅有879亿港元。 2025年以来的港股IPO市场一扫颓势，不仅IPO总额重登全球榜首，且热闹非凡：宁德时代、恒瑞医药等大型IPO一个接一 个，小而美的科技类、生物类IPO接连不断，蜜雪集团、沪上阿姨等新消费公司批量上市。 在大型IPO方面，加上11月5日在港上市的赛力斯，今年以来港股 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong IPO market has been thriving since 2025, with expectations to maintain its leading position in the global new stock financing market due to attractive listing systems, broad industry coverage, and ample liquidity [1][7]. Summary by Sections IPO Market Performance - In the first ten months of this year, the total IPO fundraising in Hong Kong reached HKD 215.46 billion (approximately USD 27.72 billion), significantly exceeding the initial annual fundraising expectation of USD 17-20 billion [2]. - The improvement in liquidity and the rapid decline in Hong Kong dollar interest rates have lowered borrowing costs, enhancing investor enthusiasm for new listings [2]. Characteristics of the Current IPO Wave - A+H listing model has become mainstream, with over 50% of new companies having overseas operations, accounting for 80% of the fundraising amount [3]. - The "technology + consumption" dual-drive model is evident, with the consumer sector dominating IPOs, particularly in emerging consumption and service-oriented segments [3]. - New IPOs have shown significantly better performance compared to the average of the past five years, with an average return of approximately 38% on the first trading day and 60% after three months [3]. Investor Sentiment and Market Dynamics - The new stock breaking rate has dropped to a new low, with many newly listed companies experiencing minimal price discounts, which may encourage more companies to consider listing [4]. - Investors are increasingly focusing on future growth potential and cornerstone shareholder ratios rather than just company size when considering new listings [4]. Foreign Investment Trends - Global investors have actively participated in the Hong Kong IPO market, with cornerstone investments and institutional placements seeing significant involvement from international institutions [6]. - Passive foreign capital has maintained a net inflow trend, while active foreign capital is expected to increase due to the attractive performance of new stocks [6]. Regulatory and Market Environment - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange has implemented several reforms since 2018 to optimize the listing process, significantly improving listing efficiency [7]. - The number of companies preparing for IPOs has increased to nearly 300, surpassing the previous peak of about 200 in August 2021, indicating a robust pipeline for future listings [7]. Return of Chinese Companies - The return of Chinese companies listed in the U.S. to Hong Kong is anticipated to provide new growth in the IPO market, driven by ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions [8][9].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights a significant improvement in ADT-related businesses, indicating potential for valuation uplift. The company's revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025 reached HKD 218.5 billion and HKD 134.2 billion, respectively, representing year-on-year increases of 37% and 45% [5][6] - The report anticipates continued high growth in the company's fundamentals, driven by a recovery in IPO activities and sustained inflows of southbound capital, with a forecasted increase in ADT for 2025-2027 [5][6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q1-Q3 2025, trading, settlement, listing, custody, data, and other investment income grew by 57%, 66%, 16%, 25%, 8%, 10%, and 4% year-on-year, respectively. The core driver of revenue growth is the significant increase in trading and settlement fees directly linked to ADT [5][6] - The company has revised its ADT assumptions for 2025-2027 to HKD 2,580 billion, HKD 2,620 billion, and HKD 2,700 billion, reflecting year-on-year growth of 96%, 2%, and 3% [5][6] Market Outlook - The primary market for Hong Kong stocks is experiencing high demand, with 69 new listings in Q1-Q3 2025, a 53% increase year-on-year, and total fundraising amounting to HKD 1,883 billion, more than three times that of the same period in 2024 [7] - The report notes that the trading volume is expected to remain active due to the influx of quality assets from Chinese concept stocks returning to Hong Kong and the wave of A-share listings in Hong Kong [7] Valuation and Dividend - The expected dividend yield for 2025 is 3.0%, assuming a constant payout ratio of 90%. The report suggests that a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve could drive foreign capital back into the Hong Kong market, benefiting the exchange [8] - The current PE ratio is 31.2, which is at the 22nd percentile of the past ten years, indicating room for valuation improvement [8]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Kaiyuan Securities indicates that the Hong Kong stock market is experiencing long-term asset expansion driven by the AtoH wave and the return of Chinese concept stocks, alongside sustained net inflows from southbound capital, leading to increased trading volume and high growth in related revenues for Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (HKEX) [1] Group 1: Revenue and Trading Volume Growth - The active spot ADT has driven significant increases in trading and settlement revenues, with trading fees and system usage fees reaching HKD 7.8 billion, a year-on-year increase of 57%, including spot/derivatives/commodity revenues of HKD 4.7 billion/HKD 2.0 billion/HKD 1.1 billion, reflecting increases of 116%/15%/6% respectively [2] - The trading volume for Hong Kong stocks reached new highs, with southbound ADT at HKD 1,259 billion, a year-on-year increase of 229%, and northbound ADT at RMB 2,060 billion, a year-on-year increase of 67% [2] - The primary market for Hong Kong stocks remains robust, with 69 new listings in the first three quarters of 2025, a 53% increase year-on-year, and total fundraising amounting to HKD 1,883 billion, more than three times that of the same period in 2024 [2] Group 2: Investment Returns and Dividend Expectations - The investment return rate for HKEX has decreased, with net investment income of HKD 3.89 billion in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 4%, and project investment/margin investment returns at 4.7%/2.0%, down from 5.7%/2.2% in the first half of 2025 [3] - The expected dividend yield for 2025 is 3.0%, assuming a constant payout ratio of 90%, with the current U.S. Treasury yield at 4.10% [3] - The current PE-TTM is 31.2 times, positioned at the 22nd percentile over the past decade, with a dynamic PE of 30.2 times, indicating potential for valuation improvement [3]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Open Source Securities indicates that the combination of the AtoH wave and the return of Chinese concept stocks is driving long-term asset expansion in the Hong Kong stock market, leading to sustained net inflows of southbound funds and active trading volumes in the market. The Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) is expected to benefit from the anticipated foreign capital inflow due to potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, maintaining a high level of business performance and a "buy" rating for the stock [1]. Group 1 - The active spot ADT is driving significant increases in trading and settlement revenues, with trading fees and system usage fees reaching HKD 7.8 billion, a year-on-year increase of 57%, including spot/derivatives/commodity revenues of HKD 4.7 billion/HKD 2.0 billion/HKD 1.1 billion, which are year-on-year increases of 116%/15%/6% [2]. - The Hong Kong stock market is experiencing a high level of activity, with 69 new listings in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 53%, and total fundraising amounting to HKD 188.3 billion, more than three times that of the same period in 2024 [2]. - The report highlights that the trading volume increase indirectly boosts custodial, trustee, and agent service fees, as well as market data fees, which have seen year-on-year increases of 25% and 8%, respectively [2]. Group 2 - The investment yield of HKEX has decreased, with a projected dividend yield of 3.0% for 2025, indicating potential for valuation improvement. The net investment income for the first three quarters of 2025 is HKD 3.89 billion, a year-on-year increase of 4% [3]. - The expected dividend yield for 2025, assuming a constant payout ratio of 90%, is 3.0%, while the current yield on U.S. Treasury bonds is 4.10%. The anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve are expected to drive foreign capital back into the Hong Kong stock market [3]. - The current price-to-earnings ratio (PE-TTM) for the company is 31.2 times, which is at the 22nd percentile of the past ten years, with a dynamic PE of 30.2 times, indicating potential for valuation enhancement [3].

Core Insights - The Hong Kong IPO market has surpassed 200 billion HKD, reaching 2164.74 billion HKD, marking a significant recovery since 2021 [1][3] - The ongoing IPO boom is expected to continue, with many companies waiting to go public in the coming months [1][3] IPO Market Performance - The peak years for Hong Kong IPOs were from 2019 to 2021, with annual IPO volumes exceeding 300 billion HKD. In contrast, the market faced a downturn from 2022 to 2024, with 2023 seeing IPO volumes below 50 billion HKD [3] - Since 2025, the IPO market has rebounded, with major listings such as CATL raising 41 billion HKD, the largest IPO globally this year [3][4] Investor Sentiment and Market Dynamics - The average return for newly listed companies in the first trading day is approximately 38%, with a one-month return of 36% and a three-month return of 60%, significantly higher than the average returns of the past five years [4] - The IPO market has seen record-breaking subscription amounts, with Mxue Group's subscription reaching 1.77 trillion HKD, surpassing previous records [3] External Investment Trends - There is a notable influx of foreign capital into the Hong Kong market, driven by the demand for diversified investments and the recent easing of interest rates by the Federal Reserve [7] - The return of Chinese concept stocks is anticipated to contribute to the IPO volume, as these companies seek to list in Hong Kong due to regulatory advantages and investor familiarity [10] Regulatory Environment and Future Outlook - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange has implemented reforms to streamline the IPO process, reducing approval times and enhancing the attractiveness of the market for new listings [9] - With nearly 300 companies preparing for IPOs, the market is expected to maintain its momentum, supported by a favorable regulatory environment and strong demand from both local and foreign investors [9][10]

香港IPO总金额再破2000亿港元大关。 2025年以来，香港IPO市场持续高歌猛进，而在近期港股IPO规模已达到2164.74亿港元。这是自2021年的高峰后，时隔4年香港 IPO再次突破2000亿港元。同时，2025年后续2个月仍有大量公司等待上市，香港IPO正不断逼近2019年至2021年间所创下的3000 亿港元巅峰。 本轮香港IPO热潮超出了绝大多数业内人士的预期。多位接受证券时报记者采访的人士认为，香港IPO的热潮在未来仍将持续。 多项IPO数据创纪录 Wind数据显示，从最近10年香港IPO数据来看，2019年至2021年的3年是香港IPO的巅峰时期，这3年的年度IPO规模均突破3000亿 港元，随后在2022至2024年这3年间陷入低谷，其中2023年的IPO规模甚至不到500亿港元，2024年稍有恢复，但也仅有879亿港 元。 与之对应的是，外资正纷至沓来。在赖烨烨看来，今年以来被动型外资维持净流入港股的趋势不变，但主动型外资尚未形成趋势 性回流。在全球市场波动成为常态的背景下，资金对于分散配置的需求上升，且美联储已重启降息周期，随着新股的赚钱效应凸 显，有望吸引更多的主动型外资投资者参与新 ...