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7月15日【港股Podcast】恆指、阿里、嗶哩嗶哩、網易、舜宇、阿里健康
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-16 02:54
Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) shows a significant rebound, with bullish investors expecting it to rise to 25,000, supported by a recovery price of 24,020 for overnight bull certificates [1] - Alibaba (09988.HK) has potential upward movement, with bullish investors targeting a price of 130 HKD, while the stock closed at 113.5 HKD, reflecting a 6.97% increase [3] - Bilibili-W (09626.HK) has broken through the upper Bollinger Band at 182 HKD, closing at 184.9 HKD, indicating a "buy" signal with resistance levels at 194.5 HKD and 200 HKD [6] Group 2 - NetEase-S (09999.HK) shows signs of a rebound, with a "buy" signal and resistance levels at 216 HKD and 224 HKD, suggesting that options with a strike price around 220 HKD may be more favorable [9] - Sunny Optical Technology (02382.HK) is experiencing upward momentum, closing near the upper Bollinger Band at 76.4 HKD, with a strong buy signal and resistance levels at 78.4 HKD and 82.3 HKD [12] - Alibaba Health (00241.HK) has risen for six consecutive days, with resistance levels at 4.8 HKD and 5.13 HKD, and options with a strike price of 4.51 HKD are considered reasonable [15]
廖市无双:分歧渐生,本轮上涨终点在哪里?
2025-07-07 00:51
Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The banking sector is currently experiencing strong performance, potentially in the mid-stage of a bull market, with most bank stocks rising over 30% since April 7, indicating strong sustainability and characteristics of a primary upward trend [1][11] - The brokerage sector is identified as a key factor in breaking the current market situation, with the China Securities Company Index around 800 points, theoretically having room to rise to 876 points [1][21] - Current market hotspots include home appliances, electricity, engineering testing, and coal, but these are not indicative of a primary upward trend, merely small breakthroughs [4][16] Core Insights and Arguments - The current market divergence reflects uncertainty among investors regarding market strength and the speed of sector rotation, with some believing in strong market momentum while others see a lack of clear leading sectors [3] - The bull market is expected to continue until mid-July, with the Shanghai Composite Index facing resistance around 3,509 to 3,550 points, suggesting caution against opening new positions [1][19] - The banking sector's price-to-book ratio is approximately 0.6 to 0.7, indicating long-term investment value despite a slower rise [11][27] - The brokerage sector's performance is crucial for the market's upward movement, requiring a weekly increase of over 15 points to establish a primary upward trend [10][23] Important but Overlooked Content - The steel and construction materials sectors are currently less attractive for investment, particularly due to the incomplete recovery of the real estate market [13] - The healthcare sector has shown signs of fatigue after a recent rebound, indicating a lack of strong momentum [14] - The current market environment favors sectors with high cost-performance ratios, including electronics, non-bank financials, military, banking, media, telecommunications, chemicals, computers, and non-ferrous metals [29] - In a bullish cycle, sectors such as military, computers, media, electronics, and telecommunications are expected to maintain upward trends in the near term [30] - The stable investment style may lose its appeal if macroeconomic conditions improve, as sectors like consumption, growth, and finance become more attractive [39]
人在自然状态有些固有的心理缺陷
猛兽派选股· 2025-07-02 08:53
Group 1 - The market sentiment is currently at a boiling point, indicating a potential for short-term pullbacks, but the mid-term structure remains strong [1] - The average stock price index is in a narrow consolidation range, suggesting a stable strong continuation pattern, with expectations for at least three trading sessions of this behavior [1] - The Shenzhen Composite Index and Shanghai Composite Index have broken through a two-trading session consolidation, currently confirming the validity of this breakout [1] Group 2 - Finding operationally strong stocks is challenging, as growth stocks have already been driven up, while traditional speculative trading is prevalent in weaker stocks [2] - The market is approaching a mid-point, with historical patterns suggesting a significant turning point may occur this month [2] - A strong low-buy strategy remains the most prudent approach until a clear main upward trend is established [2]
周末影响市场的重磅消息来了!高手看好三大主线,大盘回调是“牛回头”?
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-06-29 08:10
Group 1 - Investors are shifting their focus from high-dividend assets like banks and gold to sectors such as non-ferrous metals and technology, indicating a bullish sentiment in the market [1][3] - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq indices reached all-time highs, reflecting optimistic expectations for the market's future [1][3] - The U.S. Senate passed the "Big and Beautiful" tax and spending bill, which is projected to increase the federal debt by approximately $3.8 trillion over the next decade [4] Group 2 - The A-share market is currently experiencing a structural market, with participants in the "Digging Gold" competition receiving benefits such as free access to market analysis for a limited time [2][9] - Participants in the competition are optimistic about sectors like copper-clad laminates and high-temperature superconductors, driven by AI and data center demands [6] - The Shanghai Superconductor's IPO has been accepted, aiming to raise 1.2 billion yuan, and it is one of the few companies capable of mass-producing high-temperature superconducting materials [6] Group 3 - The adjustment of the price fluctuation limit for risk-warning stocks on the main board from 5% to 10% is expected to enhance liquidity and reduce speculation in the ST (special treatment) stocks [6] - The competition offers various cash rewards based on performance, with a focus on encouraging positive returns among participants [7][8]
上证指数,创年内新高!
第一财经· 2025-06-26 03:46
本文字数:1110,阅读时长大约2分钟 作者 | 第一财经 李隽 连续三天放量上涨之后,上证指数创出年内新高。 截至6月26日11:23, 上证指数报3460.62点,上涨0.13%;深成指报10420.91点,涨0.26%;创业 板指报2134.70点,涨0.30%。 2025.06. 26 慧研智投科技有限公司投资顾问李谦认为,A股市场延续强势上涨态势,本轮牛市行情可追溯至 2024年9月24日,尽管今年4月7日在中美贸易摩擦升级影响下出现阶段性调整,但当前指数已完全 收复失地并突破前高,确认进入主升浪阶段。市场已连续三个交易日呈现量价齐升态势,技术形态显 示主升行情确立,参考历史高点,本轮上行目标位可看至3674点附近,李谦建议关注医药、军工、 金融科技等板块。 在奶酪基金投资经理李铭洛看来,央行等六部门推动中长期资金入市的19项举措,直接提振大金融 板块,券商板块表现强劲,成为带动大盘上涨的重要力量;另一方面伊朗与以色列达成停火协议,缓 解全球避险情绪,叠加美联储降息预期升温,人民币资产吸引力增强,数据修复和政策落地带来的整 体趋势向好,下半年仍看好宽基指数再创新高。 深圳市德远投资有限公司基金经理伍 ...
理性看待行情发展
猛兽派选股· 2025-06-26 01:00
Group 1 - The current market is assumed to be breaking out of a consolidation phase, indicating the start of a major upward trend, with sentiment indicators returning from a low to a warmer zone [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index has already achieved a breakout and is in an attacking posture [1] - The Shenzhen Composite Index has also achieved a breakout and is in an attacking posture [2] Group 2 - The Sci-Tech Innovation Board Index has just reached the upper boundary of its consolidation structure, indicating an attacking posture [3] - However, a divergence in momentum has been observed on a 5-minute scale, suggesting that short-term gains may be limited [4] Group 3 - The overall market situation aligns with previous analyses, indicating that the pullback will not be too deep and that the market is at the end of the first phase of a bull market, which typically lasts 8 to 10 months [6] - It is noted that before entering a major upward phase, the sentiment indicators may drop into a cold zone but not necessarily to freezing levels, as seen in previous bull markets in 2014 and 2019 [6][7] Group 4 - A common characteristic before a major upward trend is a narrow, rhythmic, and self-disciplined fluctuation or consolidation structure, typically requiring at least three touches (3T) [8] - Currently, the market is only at 2T in its consolidation structure, suggesting a potential short-term pullback for confirmation before a breakout [8] Group 5 - There is caution against excessive excitement in the media regarding the market, as recent gains in brokerage stocks are limited to a few mid-cap firms, indicating a possible high-level distribution rather than a broad-based rally [8] - The real surge is observed in financial software stocks, driven by policy announcements, which typically attract speculative trading [8] - The proportion of stocks with gains exceeding 5% is not high, indicating a long-tail effect where only a small number of stocks are performing exceptionally well [8]
连续三天放量上涨,上证指数创年内新高|市场观察
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-06-25 10:14
接下来有望挑战3674点,2024年10月的高点。 连续三天放量上涨之后,上证指数创出年内新高。 慧研智投科技有限公司投资顾问李谦认为,A股市场延续强势上涨态势,本轮牛市行情可追溯至2024年 9月24日,尽管今年4月7日在中美贸易摩擦升级影响下出现阶段性调整,但当前指数已完全收复失地并 突破前高,确认进入主升浪阶段。市场已连续三个交易日呈现量价齐升态势,技术形态显示主升行情确 立,参考历史高点,本轮上行目标位可看至3674点附近,李谦建议关注医药、军工、金融科技等板块。 在奶酪基金投资经理李铭洛看来,央行等六部门推动中长期资金入市的19项举措,直接提振大金融板 块,券商板块表现强劲,成为带动大盘上涨的重要力量;另一方面伊朗与以色列达成停火协议,缓解全 球避险情绪,叠加美联储降息预期升温,人民币资产吸引力增强,数据修复和政策落地带来的整体趋势 向好,下半年仍看好宽基指数再创新高。 深圳市德远投资有限公司基金经理伍周判断,近期A股港股上涨的显而易见的催化剂是伊朗以色列局势 缓和,而接下来海外市场可能出现的利好,则是美联储可能在7月或9月会降息。 6月25日,三大股指集体上涨,上证指数报收3455.97点,上涨1 ...
A股:系好安全带!周二,新一轮的行情将正式开启了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-26 08:40
第一,不要卖筹码了 目前的行情,你可以选择做T,也可以选择持股不动。不要轻易卖飞筹码了,市场无论是大盘股还是小盘股都调整8个月了,如果错过年内最肥美的主升 浪,你的命运就是2024年的重演。 不需要知道具体哪天上涨,目前的市场跌幅空间有限,涨幅空间很有想象力,盘整了8个月时间后,很好奇市场想酝酿什么? 今日的A股行情很简单,三大指数没有多少回调,股票也是接近4000家上涨,大家的情绪却没有回暖。港股回调明显,一个很良性的洗盘过程。 大多数人因为亏损而不相信行情,最后又因为踏空而相信行情,直到追高接盘为止。在股市,一定要有熬过周期的能力,需要提升承受波动的能力,以及正 确面对风险的能力。 当下的行情,分享几个自己的观点,与大家讨论下。如果您刚好也同频,可以耐心看完…… 不出意外,行情很关键的位置了,核心是白酒、证券、地产的同振了,目前白酒依旧在回调,证券、地产随时有拉升的迹象了。 市场随时可以反弹,只需要自己乐观。不需要考虑那么多,股市有自己的节奏。当你不看好行情的时候,也许别人也不看好,都不看好的情况下,主力就可 以拉升。 近4000家股票上涨,说明市场没有多少问题,如果市场有风险的情况下,投机情绪不会回暖, ...