央行副行长陆磊在2025年国际金融领袖投资峰会上表示，今年以来，支持各类境外机构投资者在内地开 展债券回购，在香港推出以债券通债券为抵押品的离岸债券回购业务，推动债券通债券在香港市场成为 广泛接受的合格担保品。同时，优化互换通，扩充报价商队伍，提高交易净限额，由每日200亿元提升 到每日450亿元，便利境外投资者管理利率风险。 ...

Core Insights - The Bond Connect reported a total northbound trading volume of 581 billion RMB in September 2025, with an average daily trading volume of 25.3 billion RMB [1] - Government bonds and policy financial bonds were the most actively traded, accounting for 49% and 33% of the monthly trading volume, respectively [1] - The Swap Connect facilitated 861 transactions totaling 431.8 billion RMB, with 83 foreign institutions participating [1] - The ePrime bond issuance system supported 14 offshore bond issuances in September, amounting to an equivalent of 18.324 billion RMB, including a successful issuance of 5 billion RMB in offshore RMB local government bonds by Hainan Province [1] - A total of 72 bond issuance information and results were published by the "New Bond Information Platform" in September [1]

Core Insights - The "Swap Connect" mechanism is being optimized to enhance the interconnectivity of the interest rate swap market between mainland China and Hong Kong, which is a significant step in China's financial market opening [1][2]. Group 1: Mechanism Optimization - The daily net limit for interest rate swaps will be increased from 20 billion to 45 billion yuan starting October 13, 2025, allowing greater participation from foreign investors and improving the attractiveness of RMB assets [1]. - A dynamic assessment mechanism for daily net limits will be implemented to adjust quota allocations based on market supply and demand, preventing trading interruptions due to insufficient quotas [1][3]. - The introduction of a dynamic adjustment mechanism for market makers will enhance pricing efficiency and reduce the market influence of any single institution, leading to fairer and more transparent pricing [3]. Group 2: Market Participation and Growth - Since its launch on May 15, 2023, "Swap Connect" has seen a steady increase in transaction volume and the number of participating investors, with 82 foreign investors from 15 countries and regions engaging in over 15,000 RMB interest rate swap transactions totaling a nominal principal of 8.15 trillion yuan by August 2025 [2]. - The increase in the daily net limit to 45 billion yuan is expected to meet the growing demand from foreign investors for RMB interest rate risk hedging, thereby enhancing market liquidity [1][2]. Group 3: Future Directions - Future optimization directions for the "Swap Connect" mechanism include expanding the variety of products offered, improving cross-border collaboration efficiency, and refining the evaluation standards for market makers [3][4].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the increasing popularity of dim sum bonds among Chinese internet giants like Tencent, Baidu, and Alibaba, driven by cost advantages and policy support, as they seek to expand their financing options in the offshore RMB market [1][3]. Group 1: Market Trends - The issuance of dim sum bonds has transitioned from rapid expansion to a phase of stable growth, with a cumulative issuance of 771.4 billion RMB as of September 18 this year [1][4]. - The market is experiencing structural changes, with a diversification of issuers and an increase in the types of investment institutions involved, enhancing market depth and breadth [1][4]. Group 2: Major Issuers - Tencent issued three RMB bonds totaling 9 billion RMB on September 23, marking its first foray into the dim sum bond market [2]. - Baidu successfully issued 4.4 billion RMB in dim sum bonds on September 15, representing its second issuance this year [2]. - Alibaba previously issued 17 billion RMB in dim sum bonds in November last year and announced a 3.2 billion USD zero-coupon convertible bond issuance in September, with 80% of the funds allocated for cloud infrastructure and technology upgrades [2]. Group 3: Reasons for Preference - The primary reasons for the preference for dim sum bonds among internet companies include lower financing costs and supportive policies, as these companies enter a peak capital expenditure phase [3][5]. - The People's Bank of China and the Hong Kong Monetary Authority have announced measures to expand the "Bond Connect" program, enhancing the attractiveness of offshore RMB bonds for companies with significant overseas financing needs [3][7]. Group 4: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The supply of dim sum bonds is becoming more diversified, with significant contributions from various industries, while the existing stock remains concentrated in the banking and local government financing sectors [4][5]. - The demand for dim sum bonds is supported by low domestic interest rates and expanded cross-border investment channels, leading to increased interest from domestic institutions [6][8]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The dim sum bond market is expected to continue evolving, with potential for increased issuance from a wider range of issuers and improved structural diversity [7]. - The expansion of QDII quotas and the enhancement of the "Southbound Bond Connect" program are anticipated to boost demand for dim sum bonds, improving market liquidity [7][8].

Core Insights - The Bond Connect Company reported that in August, the northbound trading volume reached 750.1 billion RMB, with an average daily trading volume of 35.7 billion RMB [1] - Government bonds and policy financial bonds were the most actively traded, accounting for 38% and 41% of the monthly trading volume, respectively [1] - The ePrime platform supported 20 offshore bond issuances in August, totaling 25.153 billion RMB, with underwriters including Agricultural Bank of China International, Bank of China, CITIC International, and Galaxy International [1] - In the northbound swap market, 793 transactions were completed in August, totaling 419.681 billion RMB; by the end of August, 82 foreign institutions had entered the market [1]

Group 1 - The offshore RMB bond repurchase business optimization officially launched on August 25, with over 60 transactions from at least 25 financial institutions, involving amounts exceeding 3 billion RMB equivalent [1] - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) announced the optimization measures to support collateral bond reuse and foreign currency settlement, receiving positive market feedback [1] - Bank of China Hong Kong reported multiple repurchase transactions under the new optimization arrangements, enhancing multi-currency financing efficiency for offshore investors [1] Group 2 - Standard Chartered highlighted an increase in client inquiries, believing the new measures will enhance the attractiveness of RMB bonds and solidify Hong Kong's status as an international financial center [2] - HSBC noted the growing participation of international investors in the offshore RMB bond repurchase business, facilitating the transition of the bond market towards international standards [2]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report The regulatory authorities plan to optimize the Bond "Southbound Connect" mechanism and expand the investor access scope, providing institutional guarantees for domestic funds to allocate offshore bonds. The report systematically analyzes the development background, operation mechanism, and investment opportunities under the expansion of the Bond "Southbound Connect" to clarify the infrastructure for cross - border bond allocation for investors [1][8]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Bond "Southbound Connect" Launch Background and Regulatory Policy Development Process - The Bond "Southbound Connect" aims to build an efficient offshore bond allocation channel for domestic institutional investors by deepening the cooperation between the bond market infrastructure institutions of the two regions. Before its launch, domestic institutions' participation in the overseas bond market was restricted by complex approval processes, limited investment quotas, and high transaction costs [2][9]. - The policy history can be divided into three phases: 2017 - 2020 was the policy foundation period with the priority launch of the Bond "Northbound Connect"; in 2021, the "Southbound Connect" mechanism was officially implemented; since October 2024, it has entered the expansion and deepening period, with plans to expand the investor scope to non - bank institutions such as securities firms, funds, insurance companies, and wealth management institutions, and optimize multi - currency settlement and repurchase mechanisms [2][10]. 3.2 Bond "Southbound Connect" Operation Mechanism 3.2.1 "Southbound Connect" Business Operation and Regulatory Mechanism - There are two custody modes for domestic investors: the multi - level direct connection custody mode relying on domestic bond registration and settlement institutions, and the global custody mode relying on domestic custody and clearing banks (also known as the "dual - custody" mode of domestic and overseas custodian banks). The global custody mode has a wider trading scope and more flexible currency support [17][19]. - The clearing mechanism varies according to the transaction currency. For RMB and Hong Kong dollar settlements, Delivery versus Payment (DVP) settlement is adopted, while for US dollar and euro settlements, Free of Payment (FOP) settlement is used. The settlement confirmation and processing have specific time requirements [20]. - The cross - border capital flow under the "Southbound Connect" is strictly regulated. The People's Bank of China is responsible for overall supervision, and the China Foreign Exchange Trade System (CFETS) monitors the transaction quota in real - time. Domestic investors can exchange RMB for foreign currencies through the inter - bank foreign exchange market and hedge exchange rate risks, and the funds are earmarked for bond investment [21][22]. - The "Southbound Connect" adopts a cross - border capital net outflow quota management mechanism, with an annual net outflow quota of 50 billion yuan equivalent and a daily quota of 20 billion yuan equivalent for all participating institutions. The actual investment scope needs to consider multiple factors [3][23]. 3.2.2 "Southbound Connect" Market Makers and Domestic Investor Scope - The current trading counterparties of the "Southbound Connect" are 22 market makers designated by the Hong Kong Monetary Authority, which provide liquidity support and trading services for the market [27]. - The current domestic investors mainly include two types: 41 bank institutions among the primary dealers of open - market operations, and institutional investors with Qualified Domestic Institutional Investor (QDII) and Renminbi Qualified Domestic Institutional Investor (RQDII) qualifications. In the future, the investor scope is expected to expand to non - bank institutions, which may change the investment preference in the overseas bond market [28]. 3.2.3 "Southbound Connect" Transaction Process - The participation in "Southbound Connect" transactions involves qualification approval, account opening, and transaction execution. The main trading mode is the Request for Quote (RFQ) mode, which is completed through the CFETS system and overseas platforms [32]. - For qualification approval and account opening, eligible domestic investment institutions need to submit application materials to the National Inter - bank Funding Center and complete the account configuration process. For transactions, investors send quote requests, market makers provide feedback, and the transaction is confirmed to be concluded [33][35]. 3.3 Investment Opportunities under the Expansion of the Bond "Southbound Connect" 3.3.1 Overall Situation of the Hong Kong Bond Market - The investable bond scope of the Bond "Southbound Connect" includes all bonds issued overseas and traded in the Hong Kong bond market, including offshore RMB bonds (dim - sum bonds), Hong Kong dollar bonds, and G3 currency (US dollar, euro, yen) bonds. In practice, offshore RMB bonds and Chinese - funded US dollar bonds are the main investment targets [4][22]. - As of the end of 2024, the outstanding balances of Hong Kong offshore RMB bonds, Hong Kong dollar bonds, and G3 currency bonds were 173.2 billion US dollars, 195.5 billion US dollars, and 565.6 billion US dollars respectively. The composition of each currency bond is different: Hong Kong dollar debt instruments include sovereign and corporate bonds; offshore RMB debt instruments are all dim - sum bonds; most of the G3 currency bonds issued in Hong Kong are Chinese - funded US dollar bonds [40][42]. 3.3.2 Key Sector of the "Southbound Connect": Dim - sum Bonds - As of August 3, 2025, there were 3,970 outstanding dim - sum bonds with a total scale of 277.252 billion US dollars. After excluding certificates of deposit, there were 2,936 outstanding bonds with a scale of 215 billion US dollars. The dim - sum bond market has shown a significant expansion trend since 2023, and the low - cost capital environment in the Hong Kong market is conducive to its issuance [43]. - Most of the remaining maturities of outstanding dim - sum bonds are less than 3 years, accounting for 73% of the total scale. In terms of industrial distribution, financial and government bonds have a large stock scale. Energy and industrial sectors have relatively high coupon rates [43][46]. - In the secondary market, the excess spread space of offshore RMB sovereign bonds is currently insufficient, while 1 - 3 - year financial dim - sum bonds, industrial dim - sum bonds within 3 years, and urban investment dim - sum bonds within 5 years have relatively high yields [49]. 3.3.3 Key Sector of the "Southbound Connect": Chinese - funded US dollar Bonds - As of August 1, 2025, there were 2,148 outstanding Chinese - funded US dollar bonds with a total scale of 647.6 billion US dollars. The issuance pace slowed down in 2023 but showed a recovery trend in 2024. From January to July 2025, the total issuance scale was 75.2 billion US dollars, a year - on - year increase of 22.5 billion US dollars [55]. - Most of the remaining maturities of outstanding Chinese - funded US dollar bonds are less than 3 years, accounting for 65% of the total scale. In terms of credit quality, investment - grade and high - yield bonds account for 31% and 1% respectively, and the rest are unrated bonds [58]. - In terms of industrial distribution, the financial, real estate, and communication sectors have a large stock scale. The industrial and urban investment sectors have relatively high coupon rates. The secondary market yields of Chinese - funded US dollar bonds are significantly higher than those of domestic bonds, and among investment - grade Chinese - funded US dollar bonds, the yields of urban investment US dollar bonds within 3 years are slightly higher than those of industrial and financial bonds [60][63].

Primary Market - A total of 49 offshore bonds were issued in the past two weeks (from June 30 to July 11, 2025), including 8 offshore RMB bonds, 25 USD bonds, 6 HKD bonds, and 10 EUR bonds, with issuance scales of 6.687 billion RMB, 3.5652 billion USD, 3.25 billion HKD, and 2.124 billion EUR respectively [1] - The largest single issuance in the offshore RMB bond market was 3.5 billion RMB by Xiamen Xiangyu Group Co., Ltd. The highest coupon rate for RMB bonds was 7.5%, issued by Yichuan Caiyuan Industrial Investment Co., Ltd. [1] - In the USD bond market, the largest single issuance was 600 million USD by CITIC Securities International Co., Ltd., with the highest coupon rate of 6.9% issued by Tai'an High-tech Construction Group Co., Ltd. [1] Secondary Market Overview - The yield on most Chinese USD bonds increased this week, with the Markit iBoxx Chinese USD Bond Composite Index rising by 0.12% to 244.3 [2] - The investment-grade USD bond index increased by 0.14% to 236.96, while the high-yield USD bond index decreased by 0.03% to 239.29 [2] - The real estate USD bond index fell by 0.1% to 180.51, while the city investment USD bond index rose by 0.12% to 149.75, and the financial USD bond index increased by 0.07% to 284.41 [2] Benchmark Spread - As of July 11, 2025, the spread between the 10-year benchmark government bonds of China and the US widened to 268.43 basis points, an increase of 8.32 basis points compared to the previous two weeks [3] Rating Changes - On July 10, the credit rating of Guangdong Shenshan Investment Holding Group Co., Ltd. was downgraded to AA+ by China Chengxin International Credit Rating Co., Ltd. [5] - On July 11, the rating of Zhengzhou Coal Industry (Group) Co., Ltd. was downgraded to BB by Dagong Global Credit Rating Co., Ltd. [5] Market News - The first batch of 10 Sci-Tech Innovation Bond ETFs raised a total of 29.988 billion RMB in just one day [6][7] - The "Southbound Bond Connect" pilot program will be expanded to include non-bank institutions, allowing more domestic investors to invest in the offshore bond market [8] - The Ministry of Finance will issue 6 billion RMB in government bonds in Macau on July 16, 2025, marking the fourth consecutive year of such issuances [9] Offshore Bond Alerts - Chow Tai Fook Enterprises announced plans to issue 850 million HKD in 2.8% convertible bonds while repurchasing 780 million HKD in 4.0% convertible bonds due in 2025 [11] - Sunac China plans to issue 754 million shares to raise funds for repaying approximately 5.6 billion RMB in domestic bonds [12] - Longfor Group's restructuring plan for 21 domestic bonds has been approved by bondholders [13] - Vanke applied for a loan of up to 6.249 billion RMB from Shenzhen Metro Group to repay bond principal and interest [14]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - On July 8, the liquidity remained loose; affected by the stock-bond seesaw effect, the bond market oscillated weakly; the main indices of the convertible bond market rose collectively, and most convertible bond issues increased; the yields of U.S. Treasuries across various maturities generally increased, and the yields of 10-year government bonds in major European economies generally increased [1] Summary by Directory 1. Bond Market News (1) Domestic News - The National Development and Reform Commission and other three departments will support eligible zero-carbon park projects through local government special bond funds, etc., and encourage policy banks to provide medium - and long - term credit support [3] - The National Development and Reform Commission newly allocated 10 billion yuan in central budgetary investment for the work - relief program, supporting 1,975 projects in 26 provinces (autonomous regions, municipalities) and the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps, expected to pay 4.59 billion yuan in labor remuneration and help 310,000 key groups stabilize employment and increase income [3] - On July 8, the central bank and the Hong Kong Monetary Authority announced three opening - up optimization measures for Bond Connect, including improving the south - bound mechanism, optimizing the offshore repo business mechanism, and optimizing the Swap Connect operation mechanism [4] - The central bank is actively researching other measures to promote the opening - up of the bond market, such as deepening the connectivity between domestic and foreign financial markets, improving cross - border investment and financing facilitation, and enriching the offshore RMB financial product system [6] (2) International News - Trump said that equal - tariff measures would be implemented starting August 1, 2025, and warned that the EU would receive a tariff letter, with potential tariff rates of 60% - 70% and a 10% tariff increase on India [7] (3) Commodities - On July 8, WTI August crude oil futures rose 0.59% to $68.33 per barrel, Brent September crude oil futures rose 0.82% to $70.15 per barrel, COMEX gold futures fell 0.96% to $3,310.80 per ounce, and NYMEX natural gas prices fell 1.88% to $3.349 per ounce [8] 2. Liquidity (1) Open Market Operations - On July 8, the central bank conducted 69 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations at a fixed interest rate, with an operating rate of 1.40%. With 131 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing on the same day, the net withdrawal of funds was 62 billion yuan [10] (2) Funding Rates - On July 8, the liquidity remained loose. DR001 rose 0.01bp to 1.315%, and DR007 fell 0.25bp to 1.464%. Other funding rates also showed corresponding changes [11][12] 3. Bond Market Dynamics (1) Interest - rate Bonds - **Spot Bond Yield Trends**: On July 8, affected by the stock - bond seesaw effect, the bond market oscillated weakly. The yields of 10 - year Treasury bond active issue 250011 and 10 - year China Development Bank bond active issue 250210 rose 0.30bp and 0.55bp respectively [14][15] - **Bond Tendering Situation**: The tendering information of several bonds such as 25Guokai02 (Zeng4), 25Guokai08 (Zeng6) was provided, including maturity, issuance scale, winning yield, etc. [16] (2) Credit Bonds - **Secondary Market Transaction Anomalies**: On July 8, 7 urban investment bonds had transaction price deviations of over 10%, with some falling and some rising [17] - **Credit Bond Events**: Events such as overdue debts of Shimao Construction, overseas debt restructuring of Times China Holdings were reported [19] (3) Convertible Bonds - **Equity and Convertible Bond Indices**: On July 8, the three major A - share indices rose collectively, and the main indices of the convertible bond market also rose. The convertible bond market turnover was 76.882 billion yuan [19][20] - **Convertible Bond Tracking**: On July 9, Guanghe Convertible Bond started online subscription. On July 8, Lanfan Convertible Bond announced a downward revision of the conversion price, and several convertible bonds announced early redemption or were about to meet early redemption conditions [26] (4) Overseas Bond Markets - **U.S. Bond Market**: On July 8, the yield of 2 - year U.S. Treasuries remained unchanged at 3.90%, while the yields of other maturities generally increased. The 2/10 - year U.S. Treasury yield spread widened by 2bp, and the 5/30 - year spread narrowed by 1bp [23][25] - **European Bond Market**: On July 8, the yields of 10 - year government bonds in major European economies generally increased, with Germany, France, Italy, Spain, and the UK seeing corresponding increases [28] - **Daily Price Changes of Chinese - issued Dollar Bonds**: The daily price changes of Chinese - issued dollar bonds as of the close on July 8 were provided, including information on credit entities, bond codes, and price changes [30]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the interest rates for business loans have dropped below 3%, leading to sustained pressure on banks' net interest margins and profitability [1] - Major banks like China Construction Bank and China Merchants Bank have introduced business loan products with minimum annual interest rates as low as 3%, and some products are even in the "2" range when combined with interest rate coupons [1] - The banking industry is facing challenges in credit issuance, and experts suggest that banks should seek breakthroughs through refined management, structural optimization, and comprehensive services [1] Group 2 - The momentum for companies listing in Hong Kong remains strong, with around 200 IPO applications currently in queue [2] - The Hong Kong stock market has shown good performance in the first half of the year, although major stock indices have recently experienced a slowdown in growth [2] - Analysts believe that ongoing regulatory reforms in Hong Kong will enhance market competitiveness and liquidity, leading to continued strong momentum in the new stock market [2] Group 3 - The brokerage sector is expected to maintain high growth in mid-year earnings, driven by a significant increase in new account openings and favorable market conditions in both bond and stock markets [3] - Analysts recommend focusing on mid-year earnings forecasts and themes like stablecoins as potential catalysts for investment in the brokerage sector [3] Group 4 - Insurance capital is expected to increase its allocation to equity assets in the second half of the year, focusing on low-valuation, high-dividend stocks and high-growth sectors like new productivity and new consumption [4] - The low-interest-rate environment has led to a consensus among insurance capital to enhance equity asset allocation as long-term bond yields struggle to meet liability costs [4] Group 5 - As of June 30, northbound funds held a total market value of 2.29 trillion yuan, an increase of approximately 508.85 billion yuan from the previous quarter [5] - The top sectors for northbound fund holdings include power equipment, banking, electronics, food and beverage, and biomedicine [5] Group 6 - The gold market has experienced significant price fluctuations, with prices rising over 30% in the first half of the year, outperforming most asset classes [6] - Factors such as U.S. tariff policies, geopolitical risks, and central bank purchases in emerging markets have supported gold prices [6] - Experts predict that while the long-term upward trend for gold remains intact, short-term price movements may be influenced by U.S. macroeconomic data [6] Group 7 - Northbound funds have increased their holdings in popular sectors, reflecting a strategic shift in investment focus [7] - The overall increase in northbound fund holdings indicates a positive outlook on the recovery of the Chinese economy and trends in consumption and industrial upgrades [8] Group 8 - The Bond Connect program has significantly enhanced the international influence and attractiveness of China's bond market over the past eight years [9] - More than 80 of the world's top 100 asset management firms have entered the Chinese bond market, indicating active participation from foreign investors [9] Group 9 - The lithium battery industry is shifting from a focus on capacity expansion to value optimization, with a consensus emerging around avoiding price wars [10] - Industry experts emphasize the need for both market regulation and technological innovation to address challenges such as idle capacity and declining profits [10] Group 10 - The People's Bank of China has initiated a 500 billion yuan re-loan program to support service consumption and the elderly care industry, encouraging financial institutions to increase support in key areas [11] - The program aims to stimulate financial backing for sectors like accommodation, dining, entertainment, and education [11] Group 11 - The People's Bank of China and the Hong Kong Monetary Authority have announced three measures to optimize cross-border investment mechanisms, enhancing the operational framework of Bond Connect [12] - These measures aim to facilitate more domestic investors in accessing offshore bond markets and improve liquidity management for foreign investors [12] Group 12 - The number of A-share companies intending to acquire IPO candidates has significantly increased, with 27 companies disclosing acquisition plans this year compared to 6 last year [13] - This surge is attributed to policy incentives, increased demand for mergers and acquisitions, and the valuation advantages of IPO candidates [13]