1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Copper: Neutral [8] - Arbitrage: Suspended [8] - Option: short put @ 74,000 yuan/ton [8] 2. Core Viewpoint of the Report - After the interest - rate meeting and the delivery date, copper prices may decline slightly. Currently, downstream consumption is relatively poor, and there is significant wait - and - see sentiment in the industry chain. Therefore, it is advisable to adopt a wait - and - see approach for now [8] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market News and Important Data Futures Quotes - On December 10, 2025, the Shanghai copper main contract opened at 91,400 yuan/ton and closed at 91,850 yuan/ton, a 0.83% increase from the previous trading day's closing price. The night - session main contract opened at 92,250 yuan/ton and closed at 91,770 yuan/ton, a 0.09% decrease from the afternoon closing price [1] Spot Situation - According to SMM, the spot price range of SMM 1 electrolytic copper was a discount of 40 yuan/ton to a premium of 100 yuan/ton, with an average premium of 30 yuan/ton, a 65 - yuan/ton decrease from the previous day. The copper price ranged from 91,510 to 91,890 yuan/ton. Due to approaching the 2512 contract delivery, concentrated shipments by holders led to a rapid decline in spot premiums. It is expected that spot trading will continue to be under pressure, and premiums may remain slightly discounted [2] Important Information Summary Macro and Geopolitical Aspects - The Fed cut the federal funds rate target range by 25 basis points to 3.50% - 3.75%. It is the third rate cut this year. The Fed will start a monthly purchase program of about $40 billion in short - term Treasury bonds from December 12. Fed Chairman Powell said inflation is still high, but non - tariff - driven core inflation has improved significantly. President Trump criticized the Fed for the insufficient rate - cut amplitude [3] Mining End - On December 10, Aterian signed a binding joint - venture agreement with Lithosquare. They will launch an AI - driven exploration plan in 8 copper projects. Lithosquare will invest €1.4 million. If exploration is successful, it can increase its stake [4] Smelting and Import - As of December 8, the number of resource recycling enterprises using "reverse invoicing" reached 14,800, and the "reverse invoicing" amount this year is nearly 900 billion yuan. The resource recycling system in China is becoming more complete. From January to October 2025, the domestic recycling of scrapped cars increased by over 50% year - on - year, and the output of recycled resources from large - scale equipment was close to the 2024 annual output [5] Consumption - In November 2025, the domestic copper tube production was 138,300 tons, a 13.55% increase from October. The comprehensive capacity utilization rate was 59.69%, a 7.12% increase. The increase in production was due to more effective production days and market demand from e - commerce promotions and project deliveries [6][7] Inventory and Warehouse Receipts - LME warehouse receipts changed by 1,125 tons to 164,975 tons. SHFE warehouse receipts changed by - 600 tons to 28,931 tons. On December 10, the domestic electrolytic copper spot inventory was 160,300 tons, a change of 1,400 tons from the previous week [7] Copper Price and Basis Data | Project | 2025 - 12 - 11 | 2025 - 12 - 10 | 2025 - 12 - 04 | 2025 - 11 - 11 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Spot (premium/discount) - SMM: 1 copper | 30 | 95 | 140 | 55 | | Premium copper | 80 | 160 | 210 | 115 | | Flat - water copper | - 10 | 45 | 85 | 10 | | Wet - process copper | - 50 | - 15 | 0 | - 50 | | Yangshan premium | 48 | 46 | 48 | 43 | | LME (0 - 3) | 0 | 8 | 69 | - 18 | | Inventory - LME | 164,975 | 165,675 | 162,150 | 136,275 | | Inventory - SHFE | 88,905 | - | 97,930 | - | | Inventory - COMEX | 401,925 | 398,717 | 391,848 | 335,086 | | Warehouse receipt - SHFE warehouse receipt | 28,931 | 29,531 | 28,969 | 43,789 | | LME cancelled warehouse receipt ratio | 38.09% | 38.39% | 3.89% | 8.60% | | CU2603 - CU2512 (continuous three - near - term) | 130 | - | 190 | 80 | | CU2602 - CU2512 (main - near - term) | 70 | - | 80 | 60 | | CU2602/AL2602 | 4.19 | 4.18 | 4.07 | 3.98 | | Arbitrage - CU2602/ZN2602 | 3.98 | 3.95 | 3.92 | 3.81 | | Import profit | - 946 | - 1078 | - 1433 | - 585 | | Shanghai - London ratio (main contract) | 7.94 | 7.96 | 7.98 | 8.04 | [26][27][28][29]

热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 2025-12-10，沪铜主力合约开于 91400元/吨，收于 91850元/吨，较前一交易日收盘0.83%，昨日夜盘沪 铜主力合约开于 92250元/吨，收于91770 元/吨，较昨日午后收盘下跌0.09%。 现货情况： 据 SMM 讯，昨SMM 1#电解铜现货报价区间为贴水40元/吨至升水100元/吨，均价升水30元/吨，较前日 跌65元/吨。铜价运行于91510-91890元/吨。早盘沪铜主力由91200元/吨上行至91700元/吨上方，跨月价 差为C80-C40元/吨，当月进口亏损缩窄至约1000元/吨。因临近2512合约交割（年内最后合约），贸易 长单结束且企业面临年度结算，持货商集中出货，带动现货升水快速下行，日内成交多为贴水报价，但 低价货源有限，贴水收窄至40元/吨左右。预计今日现货交易继续承压，升水或维持小幅贴水状态。 重要资讯汇总： 宏观与地缘方面，美联储货币政策委员会FOMC会后公布，降息25个基点，将联邦基金利率目标区间下 调至3.50%–3.75%。这是美联储继9月17日、10月29日降息后年内的第三次降息，幅度均为2 ...

新能源及有色金属日报 | 2025-12-10 铜价高企暂时抑制下游需求 市场要闻与重要数据 期货行情： 2025-12-09，沪铜主力合约开于 92820元/吨，收于 91090元/吨，较前一交易日收盘-2.02%，昨日夜盘沪铜主力合 约开于 91630元/吨，收于 91070 元/吨，较昨日午后收盘下跌1.13%。 现货情况： 据 SMM 讯，昨日SMM电解铜现货报价升水10-180元/吨，均价升水95元/吨，较昨日下跌35元。1#电解铜价格区 间为91780-92650元/吨。早盘沪铜主力合约短暂触及92660元后回落，上午低位探至91770元。市场出货意愿增强， 部分持货商主动下调报价，成交价格随之走低。下游因高价抑制采购需求，整体交投清淡。早盘中条山、铁峰等 平水铜报价约升水50元/吨，成交困难，随后普遍在升水20-30元/吨达成交易。JCC、鲁方等品牌货源跌至升水60-80 元/吨，湿法及非注册货源价格亦同步下行。跨月价差维持Contango结构，当月进口亏损约1200元/吨。在当前高铜 价环境下，下游消费持续受限，预计今日现货升水可能进一步承压走弱。 重要资讯汇总： 宏观与地缘方面，国内方面，5 ...

投资咨询业务资格 沪证监许可[2015]84 号 周二国际贵金属期货普遍收涨，国际银价大幅上涨突破 60 美元的整数关口，COMEX 白银期货打涨 4.72%报 61.16 美元/盎司，受银价飙升带动，国际金价和铂、钯价格均上涨。 白银在供应受限的情况下飙升突破创纪录的 60 美元的里程碑。世界白银协会在一份研究报 告中表示，包括太阳能、电动汽车及其基础设施、数据中心和人工智能在内的行业将推动工 业需求在 2030 年之前持续增长。白银价格也受到持续低供应、全球库存下降、美联储降息 预期以及最近被列入美国关键矿产清单的支撑。与此同时，美联储为期两天的会议将于周三 商品日报 20251210 联系人 李婷、黄蕾 电子邮箱 jytzzx@jyqh.com.cn 主要品种观点 宏观：国际银价站上 60 美元，国内债市止跌 海外方面，12 月 FOMC 前夕，就业数据呈现结构性分化：一方面，"小非农"ADP 边 际回暖，11 月截至 22 日的四周内，私营部门周均新增就业达 4,750 人，结束此前连续四周 的净流失，释放出短期企稳信号；另一方面，10 月 JOLTS 则指向整体劳动力市场继续降温。 职位空缺意外回升 ...

为支持大规模设备更新和消费品以旧换新，近年来国家税务总局出台了资源回收企业向出售报废产品的 自然人"反向开票"措施。国家税务总局货物和劳务税司司长谢文介绍，通过实施"反向开票"，既拓展资 源回收企业获取发票的途径，又拓宽对报废产品出售者合规管理的范围，有效压缩不开票交易空间，有 力推动销废、收废、利废各环节规范运行，积极助力再生资源回收利用行业全产业链健康发展。 国家税务总局：今年以来"反向开票"金额近9000亿元 中新网北京12月8日电 (记者 赵建华)国家税务总局8日公布的数据显示，目前，"反向开票"的资源回收 企业达到1.48万户，今年以来"反向开票"金额近9000亿元。我国资源回收体系日益健全，废物回收、拆 解、再利用产业链循环更加畅通。 当天在北京举行的新闻发布会上，谢文表示，为落实好这项政策，税务部门认真落实自然人通过"反向 开票"销售报废产品可享受小规模纳税人月销售额10万元以下免征增值税、3%征收率减按1%计算缴纳 增值税、按照销售额0.5%预缴经营所得个人所得税等政策，同时由资源回收企业为其代办增值税及附 加税费、经营所得个人所得税的申报事项，有效减轻办税负担。 有关部门数据显示，2025年 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) Liuzhou Branch has successfully implemented a reverse invoicing "Recycling Cloud" business for metal recycling, addressing compliance issues in the waste material recovery industry and significantly enhancing operational efficiency [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Development - The resource recycling industry is rapidly developing, with companies facing tax compliance challenges when purchasing waste materials from individuals who cannot provide VAT invoices [1]. - The State Administration of Taxation has announced a policy allowing resource recovery enterprises to issue reverse invoices, alleviating the tax burden caused by the inability to obtain initial invoices [1]. Group 2: Business Process Improvement - The reverse invoicing model requires recovery enterprises to pay for goods upfront, upload invoices to the tax system, and manually issue VAT invoices, resulting in a cumbersome process [1]. - ICBC has integrated the entire reverse invoicing process into the "Recycling Cloud" app, providing features such as invoice issuance, tax prepayment, and tax collection, creating a streamlined operation [2]. Group 3: Operational Efficiency - The new system allows enterprises to complete the entire financial process online with a single operation, significantly improving operational efficiency and reducing costs [2]. - Since its launch in September, ICBC has successfully implemented three "Recycling Cloud" projects and issued approximately 12,000 yuan in special invoices [2]. Group 4: Future Plans - ICBC Liuzhou Branch plans to deepen scenario exploration and extend digital financial services to enhance service quality and contribute to the high-quality development of the green circular economy in Liuzhou [2].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is the announcement of the social insurance payment base for 2025 in Shanxi Province, which sets the personal payment base limits at 6,997 yuan per month, with a lower limit of 4,198 yuan and an upper limit of 20,991 yuan [2][3] - From January 1, 2025, individual business owners without employees and flexible employment personnel can choose their payment base for basic pension insurance between 60% and 300% of the provincial social insurance base, allowing for a monthly payment base range from 4,198 yuan to 20,991 yuan [2][3]

Group 1 - The implementation of "reverse invoicing" for resource recovery enterprises aims to enhance the convenience of obtaining invoices when purchasing scrapped products from individuals [3] - "Scrapped products" are defined as products that have lost all or part of their original utility value due to social production and consumption [3] - "Sellers" refer to individuals selling their used scrapped products or those purchased for resale, with cumulative sales not exceeding 5 million yuan (excluding VAT) within a continuous period of 12 months [3] Group 2 - Resource recovery enterprises must meet specific conditions, such as obtaining the hazardous waste operation license for hazardous waste collection [3] - For scrapped vehicle recovery, enterprises must comply with national regulations and obtain the qualification certificate for scrapped vehicle recovery and dismantling [3] - Other resource recovery enterprises must register as business entities and complete the filing with the Ministry of Commerce according to national regulations [3] Group 3 - Resource recovery enterprises can be either units or individual businesses when implementing "reverse invoicing" [3] - When resource recovery enterprises issue "reverse invoices" to sellers, they are also required to handle VAT and additional tax fees on behalf of the sellers [3]

Group 1 - The "reverse invoicing" policy is implemented to facilitate resource recovery enterprises in issuing invoices to individuals when purchasing scrapped products, effectively addressing the long-standing issue of "missing source invoices" in the industry [1][2] - As of June 2023, 13,300 resource recovery enterprises have issued invoices amounting to 515.2 billion yuan, with 5.11 million invoices issued to 1.67 million individuals [1] - The policy is expected to significantly increase the volume of scrapped vehicle dismantling, with one company anticipating a 100% increase in dismantled vehicles to 20,000 units this year [1][3] Group 2 - The promotion of the "reverse invoicing" policy enhances compliance awareness among individuals and enterprises in the resource recovery sector, encouraging more participation in waste recycling [2] - The policy has reduced intermediate costs and information barriers, leading to more efficient cooperation along the industry chain [2] - The implementation of the policy has resulted in a 40% increase in the volume of waste materials sold by individual recyclers [3] Group 3 - The "reverse invoicing" policy supports the resource utilization and harmless treatment of waste materials, with one company issuing invoices totaling over 56 million yuan since the policy's implementation [3] - The recovery system in China is becoming increasingly robust, with significant growth in the recycling of scrapped vehicles and electronic products, including a 65% year-on-year increase in scrapped vehicle recovery [3]

Group 1 - The "reverse invoicing" policy has been implemented to facilitate the issuance of invoices for resource recovery companies when purchasing scrapped products from individuals, addressing the long-standing issue of missing source invoices in the industry [1][2] - As of June 2023, 13,300 resource recovery companies have issued reverse invoices amounting to 515.2 billion yuan, with 5.11 million invoices issued to 1.67 million individuals [1] - The policy is expected to significantly increase the volume of scrapped vehicles processed, with one company anticipating a more than 100% increase in dismantled vehicles this year [1][3] Group 2 - The promotion of the "reverse invoicing" policy has effectively resolved the lack of the "first invoice" for resource recovery companies, enabling them to deduct VAT input tax and obtain corporate income tax deduction certificates [2] - The policy has enhanced compliance awareness among individuals and enterprises in the resource recovery sector, leading to more efficient cooperation along the supply chain [2] - The implementation of the policy has resulted in a 40% increase in the volume of waste materials sold by individual recyclers [3] Group 3 - The "reverse invoicing" policy has supported the resource utilization and harmless treatment of waste materials, with one company issuing invoices totaling over 56 million yuan since the policy's implementation [3] - The recovery system in China is becoming increasingly robust, with significant growth in the recycling of scrapped vehicles and electronic waste in the first four months of the year, including a 65% year-on-year increase in scrapped vehicle recovery [3]