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先见石破茂后见特朗普!李在明赴美前先学日美“关税”咋谈的?
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-08-24 04:29
值得注意的是,李在明首次针对特定国家的外访首先选择日本,而非美国,打破了此前历任韩国总统首 访必须美国的先例。 对此,上海市朝鲜半岛研究会副会长、上海对外经贸大学朝鲜半岛研究中心主任詹德斌告诉第一财 经,"李在明此次先访日再访美,其实最终目的还是铺垫对美国的访问。" 向日方"取经" 李在明此行也是为了"取经",向日方了解如何与这届美国政府打交道。 时隔17年,日韩领导人再度发表联合新闻公报。 据韩国政府此前的吹风信息,韩国总统李在明于8月23日至24日先访日本,与日本首相石破茂会晤。随 后启程访问美国,与美国总统特朗普举行会谈。两次访问都属于工作性质。 8月23日,李在明抵达日本,这是他就任韩国总统以来的首次访日。当天傍晚,李在明在东京首相官邸 与石破茂举行会谈。这是两国领导人自今年6月加拿大七国集团(G7)峰会期间会晤以来的第二次面对 面会谈。24日,李在明结束访日行程,启程访美。 "实用主义"外交 23日,日韩双方领导人在东京会谈后发表联合新闻公报。这是日韩领导人时隔17年再次以联合文件的形 式公布会谈成果。 据新华社报道,两国首脑一致同意稳步推进双边关系:包括在安全领域加强战略沟通;推动双方在氢 能、人 ...
特朗普想制裁印度,莫迪却借机示好中国,制裁变“助攻”怎么回事?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-16 11:13
Group 1 - The core argument of the articles is that Trump's imposition of a 50% tariff on Indian goods, intended to pressure India into compliance regarding its oil purchases from Russia, has inadvertently pushed India closer to China, marking a significant shift in geopolitical dynamics [1][3][8] - The 50% tariff represents a doubling from the previous 25%, indicating a severe escalation in trade tensions between the US and India, which was originally aimed at coercing India into making concessions [3][4] - India's historical non-alignment and strategic interests have led it to resist US pressure, highlighting its resilience in the face of economic sanctions [4][10] Group 2 - The imposition of tariffs has prompted India to seek new partnerships to mitigate economic risks, leading to a renewed interest in improving relations with China [6][19] - The upcoming visit of Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi to India is significant as it marks the first visit by a Chinese foreign minister in over three years, indicating a potential thaw in relations [8][19] - The potential for increased trade between India and China is substantial, with past trade figures showing that even during tense relations, bilateral trade reached $87 billion, suggesting significant economic interdependence [17][19] Group 3 - The geopolitical landscape is evolving into a complex triangle involving the US, India, and China, with Pakistan also reacting to these shifts by enhancing its military capabilities [25][30] - The articles draw parallels between current events and historical instances where US policies aimed at isolating a nation inadvertently strengthened its ties with others, suggesting a recurring theme in international relations [26][30] - The concept of the "butterfly effect" in international relations is emphasized, illustrating how unilateral actions can lead to unexpected and far-reaching consequences [23][28]
美财长威胁100%关税后,印度企业被爆已停止购买俄油
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-03 06:18
Core Viewpoint - The U.S. Treasury Secretary has threatened China with a 100% tariff on Russian oil purchases, while India has preemptively halted its own purchases from Russia in response to geopolitical pressures [1][3][4]. Group 1: U.S. and China Relations - The U.S. Treasury Secretary's threat comes shortly after a temporary truce in U.S.-China trade relations, indicating a potential escalation in tensions [1]. - China appears unfazed by the threats, reflecting its strong geopolitical stance alongside Russia [3]. Group 2: India's Response - Indian state-owned oil companies have ceased new orders for Russian oil, marking a significant shift in the three-year energy partnership between India and Russia [3][6]. - The decision to halt purchases is influenced by the Indian government's guidance, aiming to avoid provoking the U.S. and incurring tariffs [3][6]. Group 3: Economic Implications - The cessation of oil purchases from Russia by India is expected to severely impact Russian oil exports, given that Indian companies control over 60% of the country's refining capacity [3][6]. - The attractiveness of Russian oil has diminished due to reduced discounts, leading to a decline in Indian companies' purchasing enthusiasm [6]. Group 4: Geopolitical Dynamics - India's decision reflects a pragmatic approach to foreign policy, balancing relationships with both Russia and the U.S. while ensuring energy security through diversified supply channels [6][7]. - The situation illustrates the complex interplay between international politics and energy trade, emphasizing that energy cooperation is driven by shifting interests rather than permanent alliances [7].
特朗普杀招立竿见影?李在明掏不出4000亿美元,立马反转对华态度
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-19 10:20
Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights the significant economic pressure the U.S. is placing on South Korea through tariffs and demands for investment, leading to a potential shift in South Korea's diplomatic and economic strategies [3][15][28] - Trump's recent announcement of a 50% import tariff on copper products adds to the existing tariffs on steel and aluminum, affecting the global industrial supply chain and particularly impacting South Korea's economy [7][8][9] - The U.S. demands that South Korea contribute $400 billion to revitalize American manufacturing, which is nearly 80% of South Korea's annual national budget, raising concerns about economic sovereignty [15][17][20] Group 2 - The imposition of tariffs has already led to a decline in South Korea's exports to the U.S. by over 15%, exacerbating the country's economic challenges [20] - In response to U.S. pressure, South Korea is seeking closer ties with China, as evidenced by the recent establishment of a new certificate approval center to facilitate trade between the two countries [22][24] - The new South Korean administration under Lee Jae-myung is showing a pragmatic shift in foreign policy, focusing on improving relations with China while still maintaining a stance on the U.S.-Korea-Japan alliance [24][26]
救经济救股市、促中韩关系回暖:李在明执政满月民调“好评”
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-07-03 14:13
Group 1: Political Landscape - President Lee Jae-myung's approval rating stands at 59.7% as of June 30, indicating a positive reception of his administration [1][4] - Lee Jae-myung has been actively working to stabilize South Korea after a tumultuous three years, focusing on economic recovery and addressing key issues such as U.S. tariffs and diplomatic relations with China [2][6] - The new government is prioritizing a balanced foreign policy, moving away from previous extremes, which could benefit South Korea's relations with China [7] Group 2: Economic Policies - Lee Jae-myung's administration is facing significant economic challenges, with the Bank of Korea projecting a GDP growth rate of only 2% for 2024, down from previous expectations [11] - A supplementary budget of 30.5 trillion KRW (approximately 1.611 billion RMB) has been proposed to stimulate the economy, focusing on consumer vouchers, investment, and support for vulnerable groups [12] - The government aims to invest heavily in advanced industries such as AI and semiconductors, as well as support for cultural industries, as part of its economic strategy [12][13] Group 3: Market Reactions - The South Korean stock market has seen significant gains, with the KOSPI index surpassing 3100 points for the first time in four years, attributed to the expansionary fiscal policies of the new administration [13] - Ongoing negotiations regarding U.S. tariffs present a challenge for the Lee administration, with uncertainty surrounding the outcomes and the need for more time to align interests [14]
李在明三战总统终登顶,他能否治愈韩国?
虎嗅APP· 2025-06-05 10:53
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent presidential election in South Korea, highlighting the election of Lee Jae-myung and his vision for the country, which includes economic recovery, constitutional reform, and balanced foreign diplomacy, particularly regarding relations with China and the United States [2][10][12]. Election Results - Lee Jae-myung won the presidential election with a vote share of 49.42%, receiving 17.2875 million votes, the highest in South Korean history, surpassing the previous record held by former President Yoon Suk-yeol [2][3]. - The election followed a period of political turmoil, including the impeachment of former President Yoon, leading to a significant public desire for healing and unity [3][6]. Economic Policies - Lee emphasized economic recovery during his campaign, proposing the establishment of an "Emergency Economic Response Task Force" to address domestic demand issues [7]. - His top campaign promise was to transform South Korea into a leading global economic power, with a focus on artificial intelligence (AI) and increasing private sector investment to 100 trillion won [7][8]. Constitutional Reform - Lee expressed a strong desire for constitutional reform, stating that failure to do so would lead to historical condemnation [8]. - This reflects a broader trend among presidential candidates who acknowledge the need for reform but often fail to act due to political divisions [8]. Foreign Relations - Lee's foreign policy approach is characterized by balanced diplomacy, aiming to repair and stabilize relations with China, which he views as a crucial trade partner [12][13]. - He intends to maintain a strong alliance with the United States while also addressing domestic economic interests, indicating a shift from the previous administration's more rigid stance [10][12]. Social Climate - The article notes a rising anti-China sentiment in South Korea, which has affected the Chinese community there, highlighting the complex social dynamics surrounding the election [11]. - Lee's pragmatic approach to China aims to normalize relations and enhance economic cooperation, countering the polarized views within South Korean politics [12].
中新人物|从“草根”到总统,李在明的“逆袭人生”
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-06-04 10:51
Core Points - Lee Jae-myung won the presidential election in South Korea, marking a significant comeback after a narrow defeat in the previous election [1] - His life story reflects a journey from poverty and hardship to political success, embodying the idea of a "dragon flying out of a stream" in Korean culture [1][2] Background - Lee Jae-myung was born in 1963 to a poor farming family in Andong, Gyeongsangbuk-do, and faced significant challenges from an early age, including a lack of formal education [2][4] - His father, who had a varied career, struggled with gambling and debt, leading to the family's financial decline [4] Early Life and Career - At the age of 14, Lee began working in a factory, where he suffered a serious injury that left him with a disability [5][6][7] - Despite these challenges, he developed a dream of obtaining a high school education and later pursued higher education, eventually attending Chungang University Law School on a full scholarship [11] Legal Career - After passing the rigorous bar exam, Lee became a prominent human rights lawyer, focusing on labor rights, which stemmed from his own experiences as a child laborer [13] Political Journey - Lee gained public recognition as the mayor of Seongnam, where he implemented various welfare policies and became known for his direct communication style [16][19] - He was elected as the governor of Gyeonggi Province in 2018 and continued to build his political profile [19] Presidential Election - In the 2022 presidential election, Lee narrowly lost but quickly rebounded by becoming a member of the National Assembly and later the leader of the Democratic Party [20] - His political style is characterized by a strong stance against established interests and a focus on practical diplomacy [21][26] Foreign Policy Approach - Lee emphasizes a pragmatic approach to foreign relations, advocating for balanced diplomacy between the U.S., China, and North Korea [23][25] - He has criticized the previous administration's foreign policy and aims to restore communication channels with North Korea [25]
无悬念!李在明当选韩国总统,专家:韩国内政外交将出现“大变化”
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-06-03 23:23
Group 1 - The election of Lee Jae-myung marks a significant shift in South Korea's domestic and foreign policies, moving away from the previous administration's extreme stance [2][5] - Lee Jae-myung's victory was characterized by a high voter turnout of 79.4%, the highest since 1997, indicating strong public engagement [4] - The new administration is expected to focus on stabilizing the economy and restoring normalcy in citizens' lives, while also seeking dialogue with North Korea [5][6] Group 2 - Lee Jae-myung's government is anticipated to implement substantial changes in both domestic and foreign policies, including accountability for previous government actions [5][6] - The administration will prioritize practical diplomacy, aiming to balance relations with major powers such as China, Japan, Russia, and the United States [6][7] - The new government faces immediate challenges, particularly in addressing the impact of U.S. tariffs on South Korean exports, which could see a decline of 4.9% if current policies persist [7][8][9]