赵先生的2025年则是典型的成功案例。凭借多年投资经验，他在本轮行情中始终维持较高仓位，并坚定 持有科技成长和有色金属等主线方向。 市场也给不少"追风者"上了一课。罗女士曾试图通过"广撒网"的方式捕捉投资机会，持仓一度超过20只 基金，涵盖了人工智能、创新药等热门赛道。这种"基金超市"模式在普涨行情下收益可观，而当行情轮 动加快时，却陷入了顾此失彼的窘境。 李先生的经历则更具代表性。面对2025年的上涨，他起初因恐高而犹豫，却在市场情绪持续高涨时，在 阶段性高点重仓买入，随后承受了回调损失。他坦言，自己陷入了"越涨越不敢买，越不敢买越涨"的纠 结，结果在高位匆忙入场。此后，李先生并未频繁操作，面对账户的一片绿色，仍坚持自己的节奏。他 那句"宁可不动，也不要乱动"，不仅是对2025年的反思，也是对市场复杂性的深刻领悟。 沉淀与蜕变：优化配置结构 2025年坚持定投宽基指数基金的小朱，决定在2026年适当"提速"。她明白自己获取超额收益的能力有 限，而出于对市场长期表现的信心，她计划在新一年加大定投力度，并尝试小幅配置主题型基金，在稳 健中寻求弹性。 ● 本报记者 郝健 刚刚过去的2025年对于每一位基金投资者而 ...

上周在"韭圈儿"公众号的推文中看到一个挺反常识的数据。 大的志向，然而就结果来看，要战胜"平庸"的难度并不低——即便已经选对了阶段性的投资方向（比如已 经将范围缩小到了美股的M7）。 当然，大部分人来到股票市场，都希望自己打 败市场；而倾向于高估自己 的水平，也是被心理学证明 的"人性使然"。现实与愿景并不能划等号，对于普通投资者而言，认识到打败市场的难度、继而将目标 从"战胜市场"调整为"不败"，也是市场高度分化情况下一类不错的选择。 指数增强类产品，就是实现投资中"不败"目标的一种载体。 这几年提到美股，很多人的第一反应是强势的七巨头（Magnificent 7，简称M7），它们被称为牛市引 擎。2025年的美股依然涨势不错，但就今年的情况看，七巨头中的一大半，并没有跑赢标普500指数！ 此处提及美股具体标的，仅作为案例展示，不代表投资建议 众所周知，指数是按照一定规则选出一篮子的股票组合。作为一个由涨跌层次不齐的个体所组成的整体， 指数、尤其是宽基指数，经常被认为是"平庸"的代表。在许多投资者眼中，追求"平庸"显然并不是什么宏 巴菲特曾多次在年报和股东大会上建议非专业投资者应该定投宽基指数基金。指数基金 ...

Market Overview - A-shares opened lower but rebounded, with over 3,500 stocks in the market showing gains. Key sectors that performed well included dairy, energy metals, and semiconductors, while pharmaceuticals, gaming, and banking sectors experienced adjustments [1] - As of the midday close, the CSI A500 index rose by 0.4%, the CSI 300 index increased by 0.2%, the ChiNext index gained 0.7%, and the STAR Market 50 index climbed by 1.1%. The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index fell by 0.2% [1] Index Performance - The CSI 300 index, which tracks 300 large and liquid stocks from the A-share market, had a rolling price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 13.9 times and a valuation percentile of 61.4% since its inception in 2005. It recorded a midday change of +0.2% [3] - The CSI A500 index, composed of 500 stocks with good liquidity across various industries, had a rolling P/E ratio of 16.4 times and a valuation percentile of 68.2% since its inception in 2004, with a midday change of +0.4% [3] - The ChiNext index, which includes 100 large and liquid stocks from the ChiNext board, had a rolling P/E ratio of 38.9 times and a valuation percentile of 29.8% since its inception in 2010, with a midday change of +0.7% [3] - The STAR Market 50 index, consisting of 50 large and liquid stocks from the STAR Market, had a rolling P/E ratio of 148.0 times and a valuation percentile of 94.8% since its inception in 2020, with a midday change of +1.1% [3] Hong Kong Market - The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, which tracks 50 large and actively traded Chinese companies listed in Hong Kong, had a rolling P/E ratio of 10.6 times and a valuation percentile of 64.4% since its inception in 2002, with a midday change of -0.2% [4]

Core Insights - The technology sector has been the most prominent market theme this year, with rapid rotations among sub-sectors like AI computing, semiconductors, and new energy, making it challenging for ordinary investors to navigate [1] - Broad-based index funds are emerging as a better solution for ordinary investors to participate in the technology wave, offering industry-balanced allocation that diversifies individual stock risks while capturing industry trend dividends [1] Group 1: Index Characteristics - The ChiNext 50 and Sci-Tech 100 indices are highlighted as the "twin stars" of technology investment, with distinct compositions and risk profiles that complement each other [1][4] - The ChiNext 50 index represents "mature technology anchors," featuring leading companies in new energy, communications, and electronics, which have established strong competitive advantages and exhibit stable earnings [4] - In contrast, the Sci-Tech 100 index focuses on "hard technology pioneers," concentrating on sectors like semiconductors, pharmaceuticals, and high-end manufacturing, characterized by higher growth potential and volatility [4][6] Group 2: Momentum Rotation Strategy - A momentum rotation strategy is proposed, leveraging the strong performance of the ChiNext 50 and Sci-Tech 100 indices, which exhibit a "stronger gets stronger" effect typical in the technology sector [7] - Entry signals for the strategy are defined as a cumulative increase of 8% or more over the past 20 trading days for either index, with a preference for the index showing stronger momentum [7] - The strategy includes ongoing monitoring of the holding index's momentum, with a switch to the stronger index if the other surpasses it by 3 percentage points [7][8] Group 3: Strategy Performance - Historical backtesting from November 14, 2020, to November 14, 2025, shows that the momentum rotation strategy achieved a total return of 96.36%, significantly outperforming the ChiNext 50's 31.84% and the Sci-Tech 100's -0.78% [10] - The strategy also demonstrated effective risk control, with a maximum drawdown of -25.46%, compared to -63.72% for the Sci-Tech 100 index, resulting in a Sharpe ratio of 0.59, well above the benchmark's 0.21 [10] - The strategy successfully kept pace with market trends during bullish phases and avoided significant losses during market downturns by maintaining cash positions when both indices fell below the entry threshold [10]

Core Insights - The technology sector has been the most prominent market theme this year, with rapid rotations among sub-sectors like AI computing, semiconductors, and renewable energy, making it challenging for ordinary investors to navigate [1] - Broad-based index funds are emerging as a better solution for ordinary investors to participate in the technology wave, offering industry-balanced allocation that diversifies individual stock risks while capturing industry trend benefits [1] Group 1: Index Characteristics - The ChiNext 50 and Sci-Tech 100 indices are highlighted as the "twin stars" of technology investment, with distinct component stock structures, industry focuses, and risk characteristics that complement each other [1][3] - The ChiNext 50 index represents "mature technology anchors," primarily consisting of leading companies in renewable energy, communications, and electronics, which have established strong competitive advantages and exhibit stable profitability [3] - In contrast, the Sci-Tech 100 index focuses on "hard technology pioneers," concentrating on sectors like semiconductors, pharmaceuticals, and high-end manufacturing, characterized by higher growth potential and greater volatility [3][4] Group 2: Momentum Rotation Strategy - A momentum rotation strategy is proposed to capitalize on technology investment opportunities, leveraging the inherent differences between the two indices [5] - Entry signals are defined as when either index achieves a cumulative gain of 8% over the past 20 trading days, with a preference for the index showing stronger momentum [7] - The strategy emphasizes disciplined and adaptive management, avoiding emotional trading and market noise, with clear rules for entry, holding, and exit [7] Group 3: Performance Metrics - Historical backtesting from November 14, 2020, to November 14, 2025, shows that the momentum rotation strategy achieved a total return of 96.36%, significantly outperforming the ChiNext 50's 31.84% and the Sci-Tech 100's -0.78% [10] - The strategy also demonstrated superior risk control, with a maximum drawdown of -25.46%, compared to the Sci-Tech 100's maximum drawdown of -63.72%, resulting in a Sharpe ratio of 0.59, well above the benchmark's 0.21 [10] - The strategy effectively tracks market trends during bullish phases and successfully avoids significant losses during market downturns by maintaining cash positions when necessary [10]

Core Insights - The China Securities A500 Index Fund has seen significant growth in its first year, with nearly 80 fund companies launching a total of 140 funds, achieving a scale close to 440 billion yuan, marking a nearly 50% increase from the initial issuance scale of around 300 billion yuan [1][4]. Fund Company Layout - The launch of the first batch of 10 China Securities A500 ETFs from various fund companies has led to a broader trend of more companies entering the market, expanding from traditional ETFs to enhanced strategy ETFs and other diversified products [2]. - By the end of 2024, a new wave of larger fund companies is expected to lead the issuance of China Securities A500 index funds, with a focus on differentiated product offerings [3]. Fund Performance - Among the 140 funds, only 25 have seen growth in scale post-launch, with 19 of these being ETFs, indicating that the overall growth is driven by a small number of successful products [4][5]. - Conversely, 85 funds have experienced a decline in scale, with some funds seeing significant drops, such as the E Fund China Securities A500 ETF Link Fund, which fell by 27.1 million yuan [6]. Market Potential and Challenges - The China Securities A500 index fund has become a significant component of equity investment, with potential for further growth in market capacity, although it still lags behind the CSI 300 index fund in terms of scale [7][8]. - Fund companies are exploring ways to overcome the "long not growing" challenge, emphasizing the need for continuous innovation in strategies and the involvement of large institutional investors to achieve substantial scale [8].

Core Insights - High-yield, low-drawdown broad-based index funds are favored by investors for their stability and consistent returns [6] Group 1: Index Fund Characteristics - The CSI 300 Index serves as a "barometer" for the A-share market, comprising 300 representative securities that reflect the overall trend of the market [1] - The CCTV Finance 50 Index is uniquely compiled to reflect the performance of well-governed, financially sound companies with growth potential and social responsibility, offering higher returns than the CSI 300 [2] - The Dividend Low Volatility Index focuses on high-dividend stocks from mature industries, providing stability and cash flow, although it has historically experienced significant drawdowns [3] - The Nasdaq 100 Index represents leading global tech companies, achieving a 110% return over five years and over 200% in seven years, but lacks industry diversification [4] - The S&P 500 Index includes 500 large U.S. companies, offering lower volatility and higher stability compared to the Nasdaq 100, with returns exceeding 90% over five years and 230% over ten years [5] Group 2: Investment Strategy - Investors are encouraged to select suitable funds based on their investment goals, risk tolerance, and time horizon, utilizing a mix of the highlighted index funds to create a tailored investment portfolio [6]

Core Viewpoint - The Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 ETF (上证50ETF) has shown significant growth in terms of scale and performance, despite a recent decline in major indices, indicating potential investment opportunities in the fund [3][4]. Performance Summary - As of May 15, 2025, the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 ETF's scale reached 169.44 billion yuan, marking a six-month high and ranking it 1st among comparable funds [3]. - The ETF experienced a substantial increase in shares, with a growth of 2.023 billion shares over the past month [3]. - The highest monthly return since inception was 33.30%, with a maximum consecutive monthly gain of 335.29% over 15 months [3]. - The ETF outperformed its benchmark with a one-year annualized return exceeding the benchmark by 3.26% [3]. Risk and Recovery Metrics - The maximum drawdown for the ETF this year was 8.41%, with a relative benchmark drawdown of only 0.07%, indicating lower risk compared to peers [3]. - The recovery period after drawdown was 37 days, the fastest among comparable funds [3]. Fee Structure - The management fee for the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 ETF is 0.15%, and the custody fee is 0.05%, both of which are the lowest in its category [4]. Tracking Accuracy - As of May 14, 2025, the ETF's tracking error over the past month was 0.015%, the highest tracking precision among comparable funds [5]. - The top ten weighted stocks in the index accounted for 49.87% of the total index weight, with notable companies including Kweichow Moutai and Ping An Insurance [5][7].

文 | 银行螺丝钉 （转载请注明出处） 金,有什么特点呢? (1) 以宽基指数基金为主 毕竟宽基指数基金规模最大。 例如A股规模最大的是沪深300指数相关的 基金,总规模在2024年首次超过1万亿。 其次是中证500等指数基金。 (2) 逆势投资,长期持有 螺丝钉指数组合也是沪深300、中证500等 指数基金为主。 国家队往往是在市场大跌的时候会买入比 较多。 例如中央汇金,买入最多的时间点,出现 在2024年2月初和9月中旬，两次5.9星的 阶段。 买入了数千亿的沪深300、中证500等指数 川一） | ノヘレール リ | ▼点击阅读原 文，免费学习大额家庭资产配置课程 ...