有网友转发了一篇博客文章，里面明确提到，一家在白银期货市场重仓空头头寸的系统重要性银行，因为没能按时缴上追加保证金，在美国东部时间周日 凌晨，已经被强制平仓，还被正式接管了。 紧接着瑞银就赶紧出来紧急澄清，明确否认这件事，说爆仓的不是自己。 12月29号深夜，眼看就快到半夜12点，国际贵金属市场突然迎来大跳水，直接把一众做多的投资者给集体套牢，损失惨重。 伦敦现货黄金更是跌得离谱，一口气狂跌205美元，价格直接跌到4320美元上下，跌幅高达4.52%；白银跌得比黄金还狠，单日跌幅直接超10%，堪称闪 崩；不光这俩，铂金、钯金也没能扛住，盘中跌幅一度冲到15%左右，整个贵金属市场一片惨淡。 | CONTRACT THE 100 ST 100 W | | A the promote of the property of the | 11125 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 国际贵全展 | | | | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 温跌幅 | | 伦敦全现 | 4327.400 | -205.010 | -4.52% | | 伦敦银现 | 71.139 | -8.190 | =10 ...

价格在首次突破每盎司80美元大关后遭遇急剧回落，终结了近期近乎垂直的上涨行情。尽管市场经历了剧烈波动，但交易员难以找到引发此次暴跌的单一明 确催化剂，极端的市场情绪正面临修正。 周一隔夜市场，白银价格一度冲高至84美元上方，随后大幅跳水，早期涨幅几乎回吐殆尽，最终仅收涨0.51%。与此同时，贵金属板块集体承压，铂金和钯 金双双跌停，黄金亦下跌0.91%，四种主要贵金属合约的持仓量均出现下降。 此次行情逆转发生在中国投资需求激增的背景下。上海现货白银较伦敦价格的溢价一度超过8美元，创下历史新高。面对疯狂的市场情绪，中国唯一的纯白 银基金在多次发布风险提示无效后，不得不采取拒绝新客户的极端措施。 针对此次回调，高盛亚洲交易台指出，市场并无"确凿的做空理由"。分析人士普遍认为，假期期间流动性稀缺、交易所提高保证金要求以及技术指标显示的 极端的超买信号，共同促成了此次价格的剧烈修正。 缺乏明确的做空理由 尽管市场波动剧烈，但机构对于具体的下跌动因看法谨慎。 高盛亚洲交易台指出，虽然距离新年仅剩三天，中国大宗商品市场依然波动剧烈。白银在午盘休息前一度飙升9.25%，但随后在没有明显利空消息的情况下 转为避险模式，导致贵 ...

每经记者｜岳楚鹏 每经编辑｜许绍航 高涵 北京时间12月29日晚接近24点，国际贵金属全面下跌，多头遭集体"坑杀"。伦敦黄金现货大跌205美元，至4320美元附近，跌幅4.52%；白银跌幅更甚，超 过10%；铂金、钯金盘中更是暴跌15%左右。 | AND AND WATER 205 = 778 | BOMMER OF | The Real Property JIX III PALACE | ERRELL | CHE FILE | | CAST SECTION | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 国际贵全展 | | | | | 名称 | | 现价 | | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | | | 伦敦全现 | | 4327.400 | | -205.010 | -4.52% | | | 伦敦银现 | | 71.139 | | -8.190 | -10.32% | | | COMEX黄金 | | 4340.7 d | | -212.0 | -4.66% | | | COMEX自银 | | 70.915 d | | -6.281 | -8.14% | | ...

热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 来源：中国有色金属工业协会锡业分会 原标题：倡议书 近期，锡价在刚果（金）延长锡等金属手工矿6个月禁令和当地M23冲突持续，以及缅甸矿区复产缓慢 等多重因素作用下屡创新高。2025年12月以来，伦锡累计涨幅达到11.5%，沪锡涨幅超13%，短短半个 月时间每吨锡上涨超4万元！其中，伦敦金属交易所（LME）锡三月期货合约价格和上海期货交易所 （SHFE）沪锡主力合约持续强势上行，最高价格分别突破4.39万美元/吨和34.8万元/吨，双双创下阶段 性新高。 当前锡价的急速拉升，已完全背离产业基本面。从供应端看，近期刚果（金）、缅甸等主要生产国供应 逐渐好转并趋于稳定，其中佤邦锡矿月出口量稳步抬升至近千吨量级；国内锡冶炼企业产能释放充分， 1-11月精锡产量达18.9万吨，同比增长6.2%；LME锡库存和SHFE锡库存并未出现紧张信号，两市库存 总量稳定维持在万吨水平，总体看产业运行呈现平稳态势。需求方面，尽管今年光伏、汽车电子、AI 等新兴领域需求继续保持增长，但传统镀锡板、化工等领域需求表现平稳，预计2025年全球锡消费增速 近3%，低于产量增速 ...

Core Insights - The silver market in 2025 has experienced a "stair-step surge," transforming silver from an accessible investment to a scarce resource that requires purchasing "by the gram" [1] - From the beginning of the year to October 16, the cumulative increase in London spot silver prices has exceeded 84%, while COMEX silver futures have also risen by over 80% [1] - The shortage of kilogram silver bars in the Shenzhen Shui Bei market has led to a situation where small and medium-sized merchants must pay in full and queue for three days to place orders, indicating a nationwide "white storm" reshaping perceptions of precious metal investments [1] Price Dynamics - The price surge in silver is characterized by a "shrinkage of purchasing power crisis," where the average monthly salary in first-tier cities could buy approximately 1,428 grams of silver at the beginning of 2024, but only about 757 grams by October 2025, reflecting a nearly 50% reduction in purchasing power [3] - The cost of 100-gram silver bars has increased from around 700 yuan to over 1,300 yuan, marking an increase of over 85% [3][5] - The volatility in silver prices has led to a situation where the market experiences "one-day three prices," with significant fluctuations observed in a single day [17] Market Behavior - The "one silver hard to find" phenomenon in the Shui Bei market has spread from finished silver bars to upstream materials, with merchants needing to pay in advance and wait for delivery, leading to unprecedented tension in silver trading [9] - Speculative behavior has emerged, with some merchants hoarding silver bars to increase profits, raising inventory levels significantly beyond normal requirements [9][11] - Regulatory bodies have responded to market chaos by implementing measures to curb excessive speculation, including limiting the purchase of silver products to 5 kilograms per person per month [11] Supply Chain Impact - The sharp rise in silver prices has put immense pressure on the supply chain, with silver smelting plants operating 24/7 to meet demand, yet still facing raw material shortages [17][19] - The demand for alternative materials has surged, with orders for alloy materials increasing by 300%, as jewelry manufacturers seek to mitigate costs amid high silver prices [19] - However, consumer acceptance of non-pure silver jewelry remains low, with only about 20% willing to purchase alternatives, creating a dilemma for manufacturers [19] Conclusion - The 2025 silver boom presents both wealth opportunities and market challenges, highlighting the importance of rational decision-making and risk management in the face of high volatility [22]

Group 1 - The current market is experiencing heightened speculative behavior and rising leverage levels, leading to accumulated bubble risks [1][2][3] - Goldman Sachs indicates that speculative trading activity is at historical highs, only surpassed by the 2000 internet bubble and the 2021 retail trading frenzy [1][2] - Deutsche Bank warns that margin debt has exceeded $1 trillion for the first time, with an 18.5% increase in margin debt over two months, marking the fastest pace since late 1999 or mid-2007 [1][3] Group 2 - Bank of America highlights that loose monetary policy and relaxed financial regulations are contributing to increased bubble risks, with global policy rates expected to drop further [1][4] - The increase in speculative trading is reflected in the rising trading volumes of unprofitable stocks and those with high valuation multiples, particularly among major tech companies and firms involved in digital assets [2][3] - The potential for a widening of high-yield credit spreads by 80 to 120 basis points is anticipated due to the rapid growth of margin debt [3]

Group 1 - Shandong Molong's A-shares closed at 4.35 yuan with a strong limit-up, while H-shares saw a peak increase of 160% before closing at a 75.65% rise, with a trading volume of 7.468 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 672.8% [1] - The company's products, including oil casings, line pipes, and sucker rods, are primarily sold in major oil-producing regions such as Africa, South America, the Middle East, Central Asia, and Southeast Asia, covering over 50 countries and regions [1] - For 2024, Shandong Molong is projected to achieve an operating revenue of 1.356 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.95%, but is expected to incur a net loss of 44.64 million yuan, indicating weak profitability [1] Group 2 - Shandong Molong was previously classified as a ST stock and only had its risk warning lifted on May 6, leading to a surge in A-shares and a significant increase of 188.51% in H-shares [2] - The actual impact of the Israeli attack on Iran is estimated to have a limited effect on oil exports, with Iran's projected oil export volume for 2025 being around 1.7 to 1.8 million barrels per day, accounting for only about 4% of global oil exports [2] - Recent reports indicate that Iran's energy infrastructure remains intact, with oil facilities and fuel supply operating normally, which has tempered market speculation [2]

Core Viewpoint - In 2025, international gold prices experienced significant volatility, reaching a historical high of $3500 per ounce in April, followed by a rapid decline to $3160 per ounce in May, resulting in a drop of over 10% within a short period [1]. Economic Factors - Economic instability drives investors to buy gold as a safe haven, leading to price increases during poor economic data or stock market declines [3]. - Conversely, improved economic data or anticipated interest rate hikes can lead to a sell-off in gold, causing prices to drop [3]. - The relationship between the US dollar and gold prices is crucial; a stronger dollar makes gold more expensive for foreign investors, reducing demand and subsequently lowering prices [3]. Geopolitical Factors - Geopolitical events, such as regional conflicts and trade tensions, heighten market risk aversion, prompting increased gold purchases [5]. - Once geopolitical tensions ease, investors tend to sell gold, resulting in price declines [5]. - Speculative market behavior can exacerbate price volatility, with large buy or sell orders causing significant short-term price fluctuations [5]. Investor Outcomes - Certain investor groups profited during this gold price volatility, including long-term gold investors who bought and held, central banks that increased gold reserves, and financial institutions engaging in arbitrage [8]. - Conversely, inexperienced retail investors often suffered losses due to panic buying and selling, while those using high leverage faced amplified risks, potentially leading to total losses [10]. - Gold processing and retail companies also experienced negative impacts, as declining prices reduced consumer purchasing intent, affecting sales and profits [10]. Investment Perspective - For ordinary investors, gold investment presents both risks and opportunities; long-term economic instability and geopolitical conflicts may support gold prices [11]. - However, market conditions can change rapidly, making any predictions uncertain; investors are advised to approach gold investments rationally and avoid herd behavior [11]. - Continuous learning and risk management are essential for protecting assets amid market fluctuations [11].