Core Insights - The company, BaiRun Co., Ltd. (002568), held a mid-year performance briefing on September 19, 2025, focusing on its product innovation and market strategies [1] Group 1: Product Development - BaiRun Co. is continuously enhancing its "358" product matrix to stabilize category growth through multi-dimensional strategies [1] - The company has launched several new flavors and products, including Qingmei Longjing, Chun Jian White Peach, Sunshine Rose Grape, and Le Orange Oolong, which have been well-received by consumers [1] - The new jelly wine products sold out quickly in their first online release, indicating strong market demand [1] Group 2: Health and Innovation - BaiRun Co. is actively introducing various zero-sugar new products in its Strong and Refreshing series, promoting a lighter consumption experience with zero sugar and zero purine [1] - The company is committed to continuous development in flavor innovation, product innovation, and health-oriented offerings [1] Group 3: Business Overview - BaiRun Co.'s main business segments include the ready-to-drink cocktail business and the flavor and fragrance business [1] - The ready-to-drink cocktail segment primarily focuses on the research, production, and sales of the "RIO" brand cocktails [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and profit for the first half of 2025, attributed to intensified competition and proactive inventory reduction measures [1] Financial Performance - The company achieved a main revenue of 9.151 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 9.36% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1 billion yuan, down 46.66% year-on-year [1] - The gross profit margin was 61.58%, a decrease of 6.3 percentage points year-on-year [1] - The net profit margin was 10.93%, down 7.64 percentage points year-on-year [1] Revenue Breakdown - Revenue from ultra-high-end, high-end, ordinary, and adult milk powder was 6.19 billion, 1.69 billion, 330 million, and 290 million yuan respectively, with year-on-year changes of -13%, -14%, +3%, and -4% [1] - Online sales performed better than offline, with offline revenue at 6.58 billion yuan (down 15%) and online revenue at 2.57 billion yuan (up 10%) [1] Cost and Expenses - Selling expense ratio was 34.69%, a slight decrease of 0.33 percentage points year-on-year [1] - Management expense ratio increased to 8.46%, up 1.14 percentage points year-on-year due to reduced economies of scale and increased employee compensation [1] - Other income and gains decreased, primarily due to reduced government subsidies and interest income [1] Market Position and Strategy - The company faced significant operational pressure due to intensified market competition and slow approval of new ultra-high-end products [1] - The market share declined by over 1 percentage point to 18.2% in June 2025 [1] - The company is actively adjusting its operations, with inventory levels reaching healthy targets and plans to launch three customized products in the second half of the year [1] Future Outlook - The company aims to improve its operational performance through product launches and inventory adjustments, with expectations for revenue growth [1] - The target price for 2026 is set at 5.1 HKD, with a recommendation to monitor the performance of new products [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for China Feihe (06186.HK) with a target price of HKD 5.1 [1][4]. Core Views - The company reported a 9.36% year-on-year decline in revenue for H1 2025, totaling CNY 9.151 billion, and a 46.66% drop in net profit to CNY 1 billion. The interim dividend declared is HKD 0.1209 per share, amounting to CNY 1 billion [1][4]. - The company is facing significant operational pressure due to intensified competition and proactive inventory reduction, which has led to a decrease in market share [4]. - The gross margin for H1 2025 was 61.58%, down 6.3 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to changes in sales structure and losses from raw milk powder [4]. - The company is implementing various measures to adjust operations, including inventory management and the introduction of new customized products, aiming for a recovery in performance [4]. Financial Summary - **Revenue Forecasts**: - 2024A: CNY 20.749 billion - 2025E: CNY 18.792 billion - 2026E: CNY 19.835 billion - 2027E: CNY 20.469 billion - Year-on-year growth rates: 5.6%, -9.4%, 5.5%, 3.2% [1][10]. - **Net Profit Forecasts**: - 2024A: CNY 3.570 billion - 2025E: CNY 2.190 billion - 2026E: CNY 3.001 billion - 2027E: CNY 3.384 billion - Year-on-year growth rates: 5.3%, -38.7%, 37.1%, 12.8% [1][10]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: - 2024: CNY 0.39 - 2025: CNY 0.24 - 2026: CNY 0.33 - 2027: CNY 0.37 [1][10]. - **Valuation Ratios**: - Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratios for 2025E: 17 - Price-to-Book (P/B) ratios for 2025E: 1.4 [1][10]. Market Performance - The current share price is HKD 4.39, with a market capitalization of HKD 39.8 billion [2]. - The stock has experienced a 12-month high of HKD 6.80 and a low of HKD 3.34 [2]. Strategic Adjustments - The company is focusing on health-oriented strategies and actively promoting reforms to address operational challenges, including inventory adjustments and the launch of new products [4]. - The company aims to improve channel profitability and market presence through these strategic initiatives [4].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The main business of pre-mixed drinks continues to adjust, while there are expectations for whiskey to open up growth opportunities [7] - Short-term, the company is actively reducing inventory due to weak sales, maintaining a healthy inventory level for pre-mixed drinks [7] - The introduction of new whiskey products is expected to gradually contribute to revenue growth [7] Financial Forecasts - Total revenue is projected to be 3,276 million in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 7.46% [1] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted at 786.09 million in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9.31% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is estimated to be 0.75 in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 37.31 [1] Product Performance - In the first half of 2025, revenue from alcoholic beverages and food flavoring was 12.97 billion and 1.69 billion, respectively, showing declines of 9.35% and 3.91% year-on-year [7] - The new whiskey products "Bailide" and "Laizhou" are expected to enhance revenue contributions as they enter the distribution phase [7] Market Dynamics - Revenue from offline channels and digital retail channels in the first half of 2025 was 13.11 billion and 1.55 billion, respectively, with year-on-year changes of -9.63% and -0.57% [7] - The company is focusing on product innovation and marketing experience to improve the performance of its pre-mixed drinks segment [7]

Core Viewpoint - 361 Degrees (01361) has shown a positive market response with a 5% increase in stock price, reflecting strong retail growth projections for its main and children's clothing brands in 2025 [1] Financial Performance - The main brand's retail revenue for Q2 2025 is expected to grow by approximately 10% compared to the same period in 2024 [1] - The children's clothing brand is also projected to see a similar 10% growth in retail revenue for Q2 2025 compared to Q2 2024 [1] - The e-commerce platform is anticipated to achieve a 20% increase in overall sales for Q2 2025 compared to Q2 2024 [1] Market Outlook - Changjiang Securities indicates that the company is maintaining a steady growth trajectory, with a strong performance expected in the 2025 ordering session, leading to a high certainty of revenue growth for the year [1] - The company is expected to continue enhancing its product matrix and product strength, while optimizing its channel structure [1] - New business models, such as super stores, are anticipated to contribute to a second growth phase for the company [1] Investment Sentiment - Huaxin Securities supports the company's profitability driven by quality-price ratio and channel innovation, initiating coverage with a "Buy" rating [1]

Core Viewpoint - 361 Degrees (01361) shows a positive growth outlook for its main brand and children's clothing products, with expected retail revenue increases of approximately 10% year-on-year for Q2 2025, and a 20% increase for its e-commerce platform [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The main brand's retail revenue is projected to grow by about 10% in Q2 2025 compared to the same period in 2024 [1] - The children's clothing brand is also expected to see a similar 10% growth in retail revenue for Q2 2025 compared to Q2 2024 [1] - The overall revenue from the e-commerce platform is anticipated to increase by approximately 20% in Q2 2025 compared to Q2 2024 [1] Group 2: Market Analysis - Changjiang Securities highlights the company's steady revenue growth performance, indicating a strong certainty of revenue growth for the entire year [1] - The company is expected to perform well in the 2025 ordering session, contributing to its revenue growth [1] - Huaxin Securities notes that the company's quality-price ratio and channel innovation are dual drivers supporting profitability, initiating coverage with a "buy" rating [1] Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - The company continues to enhance its product matrix and product strength, with ongoing optimization of its channel structure [1] - The exploration of new business formats, such as super premium stores, is expected to contribute to a second growth driver for the company [1]

Core Viewpoint - 361 Degrees (01361) has shown a positive market response with a 5% increase in stock price, reflecting strong retail growth projections for its main brand and children's clothing lines in 2025 [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The main brand's retail sales are projected to grow approximately 10% in the second quarter of 2025 compared to the same period in 2024 [1] - The children's clothing brand is also expected to see a similar retail sales growth of around 10% in the same timeframe [1] - The e-commerce platform is anticipated to achieve a 20% increase in overall sales in the second quarter of 2025 compared to the second quarter of 2024 [1] Group 2: Market Outlook - Changjiang Securities indicates that the company is maintaining a steady growth trajectory, with a strong performance expected in the 2025 ordering season, leading to a high certainty of revenue growth for the year [1] - The company is enhancing its product matrix and improving product capabilities, while also optimizing its channel structure [1] - New business models, such as super premium stores, are expected to contribute to a second growth phase for the company [1] Group 3: Investment Ratings - Huaxin Securities supports the company's profitability through a combination of quality-price ratio and channel innovation, initiating coverage with a "Buy" rating [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for future performance [5][7]. Core Insights - The company experienced a significant decline in revenue and net profit in Q1 2025, with revenue down 47.28% year-on-year to 2.673 billion yuan and net profit down 26.12% to 252 million yuan [2]. - The overall gross margin improved by 10.64 percentage points in Q1 2025, reaching 26.21%, while the expense ratio increased by 4.94 percentage points to 10.63% [3]. - The company is optimizing its store network and enhancing its product matrix, with a total of 4,831 stores as of Q1 2025, including 4,435 franchise stores and 396 self-operated stores [4]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 13.891 billion yuan, a decrease of 14.73% year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.010 billion yuan, down 23.25% [2][6]. - The forecast for 2025 and 2026 net profit has been revised down by 9% to 1.044 billion yuan and 1.115 billion yuan, respectively, with a new estimate for 2027 at 1.173 billion yuan [5][6]. - The company’s revenue growth rate is projected to be 1.95% in 2025 and 6.34% in 2026, with a slight decline in net profit growth rate to 3.36% in 2025 [6][12]. Product and Market Strategy - The company has launched a new sub-brand "Zhuan Zhu Ge," focusing on cultural and creative jewelry products, enhancing its product offerings [4]. - The product matrix includes various themes such as national treasures, international art IPs, and cultural heritage, aimed at attracting diverse consumer preferences [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for future performance [5][7]. Core Insights - The company experienced a significant decline in revenue and net profit in Q1 2025, with revenue down 47.28% year-on-year to 2.673 billion yuan and net profit down 26.12% to 252 million yuan [2]. - The overall gross margin improved by 10.64 percentage points in Q1 2025, reaching 26.21%, while the expense ratio increased by 4.94 percentage points to 10.63% [3]. - The company is optimizing its store network and enhancing its product matrix, with a total of 4,831 stores as of Q1 2025, including 4,435 franchise stores and 396 self-operated stores [4]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 13.891 billion yuan, a decrease of 14.73% year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.010 billion yuan, down 23.25% [2][6]. - The forecast for 2025 and 2026 net profit has been revised down by 9% to 1.044 billion yuan and 1.115 billion yuan, respectively, with a new estimate for 2027 at 1.173 billion yuan [5][6]. - The company’s revenue growth rate is projected to be 1.95% in 2025 and 6.34% in 2026, with a slight decline in net profit growth rate expected [6][12]. Product and Market Strategy - The company has launched a new sub-brand "Zhuan Zhu Ge," focusing on cultural and creative jewelry products, enhancing its product offerings [4]. - The product matrix includes various themes such as national treasures, international art IPs, and cultural heritage, aimed at attracting diverse consumer preferences [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 528 million yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 33.94%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 46 million yuan, up 7.45% year-on-year. The growth in revenue is attributed to increased market expansion and stable growth in hard alloy and oil service products, along with the consolidation of revenue from newly acquired companies [2] - The gross margin slightly decreased to 32.02%, down 0.97 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to changes in revenue structure and increased depreciation from ongoing projects. The net profit margin was 10.66%, down 2.01 percentage points, mainly due to rising expense ratios [3] - The company is accelerating the enhancement of its product matrix and expanding its overseas channels. It has integrated Drillco, which adds a range of drilling tools to its portfolio, and is deepening its cutting tool product layout with the acquisition of another company. The company participated in 13 international exhibitions in 2024 to boost its global presence and established a subsidiary in Dubai to enhance its sales network in the Middle East and Africa [4] Financial Summary - The company forecasts total revenue of 2,456 million yuan for 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 31.94%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 225.22 million yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 24.61% [1][10] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to reach 1.24 yuan in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 16.94 based on the current price [1][10] - The company’s total assets are projected to grow to 4,858 million yuan by 2026, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 35.91% [10]