总量控制
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碳市场“游戏规则”巨变!官方宣布“十五五”迈向总量控制
Zhong Guo Neng Yuan Wang· 2025-11-06 01:56
Group 1: National Carbon Market Development - The national carbon market is transitioning from intensity control to total control during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, with a focus on total carbon emission control [2] - The inclusion of the steel, cement, and aluminum industries in the carbon trading market is expected to enhance their green and low-carbon transformation [2][3] - By 2027, priority will be given to implementing total quota control for industries with relatively stable carbon emissions [2] Group 2: Low-Carbon Investment and Technology Innovation - The carbon market has driven low-carbon investments and accelerated the innovation and promotion of green technologies [3] - The overall reduction cost in the power generation sector has decreased by approximately 35 billion yuan through carbon trading in the first two compliance cycles [3] - The expansion of the carbon market will encourage more enterprises to reduce carbon emissions through technological innovation and management efficiency improvements [3] Group 3: Voluntary Carbon Market Growth - The national voluntary greenhouse gas reduction trading market has entered a critical phase of rapid development, with 31 projects registered and a total transaction volume of 3.25 million tons of CCER [4][5] - The market has established a framework for management systems, technical methods, and infrastructure, enhancing the integrity and standardization of voluntary reduction projects [4] - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment is actively soliciting opinions on various voluntary reduction project methodologies to support diverse project development [4][5] Group 4: Carbon Footprint Management System - The average carbon footprint factor for electricity in 2024 is reported to be 0.5777 kg CO2 equivalent per kWh, a 6.9% decrease from 2023 [6][7] - The establishment of a product carbon footprint management system is a key focus for deepening ecological civilization reforms [6] - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment plans to continue enhancing the research and publication of carbon footprint factors for electricity and other key products [7]
双轨并行,中国碳市场十年演进:从试点到覆盖60%碳排放
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-21 01:38
Core Insights - The article discusses the development and significance of China's carbon market, which has become the largest in the world, covering over 60% of the country's carbon emissions [2][24] - It highlights the transition from pilot programs in select cities to a national market, emphasizing the importance of regulatory frameworks and technological integration [4][7][10] Summary by Sections Development of Carbon Market - China initiated its carbon market with pilot programs in 2011 in cities like Beijing and Shanghai, which later provided valuable insights for the national market [4][5] - The national carbon market officially launched on July 16, 2021, initially including 2,162 power generation companies, covering approximately 4.5 billion tons of carbon emissions [5][7] Market Expansion and Performance - By 2025, the market is expected to expand to include steel, cement, and aluminum industries, adding around 2.5 billion tons of emissions to its coverage [7] - As of August 2025, the carbon market has traded nearly 700 million tons of allowances, with a transaction value exceeding 47.4 billion [8][10] Pricing and Impact on Emissions - The average carbon price in 2024 has increased significantly compared to 2021, with reduced volatility indicating growing confidence in the market [10] - Companies within the carbon market have shown a notable reduction in emission intensity, with their carbon emissions per unit of GDP being lower than non-participating firms [10] Future Goals and Regulatory Framework - The central government has set clear targets for the carbon market, aiming for comprehensive coverage of major industrial sectors by 2027 and a mixed allocation system by 2030 [13][14] - The transition from intensity-based allocation to total emissions control is planned, with a gradual increase in auctioned allowances [16][17] Challenges and Areas for Improvement - Current issues include excessive administrative intervention in allowance distribution, lack of financial instruments like carbon futures, and inconsistent data standards across regions [21][22] - Effective regulation requires collaboration among various departments to ensure funds are directed towards green initiatives and to prevent market manipulation [22] Future Developments - Plans for introducing carbon futures and establishing market makers are in place, with potential for alignment with the EU carbon market [24] - The article emphasizes the importance of understanding and participating in the carbon market for all stakeholders, as it plays a crucial role in achieving carbon neutrality goals [25][27]
专访赖晓明:推进碳市场扩容 研究配额有偿分配|四中全会预热
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-10-14 15:50
Core Viewpoint - The national carbon market in China has become a crucial policy tool for addressing climate change and promoting green transformation, with significant growth in trading volume and market participation since its inception four years ago [1][2]. Market Development - The national carbon market has achieved a cumulative trading volume of 728 million tons and a total transaction value of 49.83 billion yuan as of September 30, 2025 [1]. - The trading volume has increased by 40% compared to the same period last year, indicating a rise in market activity and participant engagement [3]. - The number of trading accounts opened by newly included key emission units reached 1,277 by the end of August 2025, expanding the market's participant base [2]. Industry Inclusion and Impact - The carbon market has expanded to include four major industries: power generation, steel, aluminum smelting, and building materials, enhancing market diversity and trading opportunities [2][3]. - The structural changes in market participants have led to increased trading opportunities due to varying judgments on market transactions among different enterprises [2]. Local Market Role - Local carbon markets, such as Shanghai's, are expected to continue supporting local "dual carbon" goals and green development, even as they face challenges from the national market's expansion [6]. - Shanghai's carbon market has over 2,200 registered entities, including around 400 regulated enterprises and numerous investment and financial institutions, contributing to its trading volume and activity [5]. Future Directions - The carbon market is set to transition towards a model of "paid allocation + total control" during the 14th Five-Year Plan, with a focus on policy coordination and the establishment of a total control mechanism for carbon emissions [11]. - Shanghai plans to further diversify its market participants and explore innovative environmental rights, including water rights and pollution rights trading, to enhance market functionality [7][10].
上海环境能源交易所董事长赖晓明:将逐步探索碳配额有偿分配和总量控制
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-09-25 18:14
Core Viewpoint - The national carbon market in China is transitioning from an "initial phase" to a "comprehensive deepening phase," with over 3,000 key emission units covering approximately 8 billion tons of CO2 annually, marking it as the largest carbon market globally [2] Market Performance - The expansion of the national carbon market has significantly increased the scale and number of market participants, enhancing market development [2] - The trading volume in the national carbon market has reached 1.4 times that of the same period last year, indicating substantial growth [3] - Although trading remains concentrated, improvements have been noted, with a shorter off-peak trading season and a doubling of average daily trading volume compared to last year [3] Shanghai's Experience - Shanghai has optimized its quota allocation mechanism, shifting from historical methods to efficiency-based methods, with over 70% now based on efficiency [4] - The city has diversified its market participants, with over 2,200 entities involved, including around 400 regulated enterprises and numerous investment and financial institutions [4] - Shanghai is continuously innovating and enriching trading tools, which is crucial for enhancing market liquidity [4] Financing and Asset Management - The carbon assets in the national market exceed 8 billion tons, potentially valued at 400 to 500 billion yuan, which could provide new financing solutions for enterprises facing funding difficulties [5] Future Focus Areas - Key tasks for the national carbon market during the 14th Five-Year Plan include expanding industry participation, researching paid allocation mechanisms, and introducing institutional investors [6] - The exploration of "total control" over carbon quotas is critical, especially for industries with excess capacity, which may lead the way in achieving peak carbon emissions [6][7] Local Market Transformation - Local pilot markets need to adapt their roles as the national carbon market evolves, focusing on supporting local green and low-carbon development [7] - Shanghai is considering expanding its carbon market to include more industries and reduce participation barriers [7] Environmental Integration - Addressing environmental issues and externalities is essential for integrating them into overall economic and social development, which local pilot markets should explore [8] International Carbon Dialogue - China aims to enhance its carbon dialogue by strengthening standards and rules in the carbon market, promoting its experiences in low pollutant emissions, and striving to establish international standards [9]
用好“环境粮票”,碳市场才能更高效
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-12 09:25
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the transition of China's carbon market from intensity-based control to total volume control, emphasizing the importance of carbon emission quotas as a new form of currency for environmental accountability and economic incentives [2] Group 1: Transition to Total Volume Control - The carbon market will shift from "intensity control" to "total volume control" by 2030, allowing for more precise emission reductions [2] - This new approach ensures that each company's emissions are tracked and managed, moving away from the logic of "more emissions, more profits" [2] Group 2: Paid Quotas and Market Dynamics - The transition from free quotas to paid quotas is expected to incentivize companies to actively reduce emissions, similar to the EU's experience which generated €180 billion in revenue [2] - Increasing the proportion of paid quotas will create market pressure for companies, making carbon emissions a cost and carbon reduction a benefit [2] Group 3: Fair and Efficient Allocation - The allocation of quotas must be balanced; too lenient may lead to complacency, while too strict could harm businesses, highlighting the need for "moderate flexibility" [2] - Enhanced data accounting and traceability mechanisms will ensure transparency and fairness in quota usage [2] Group 4: Future Implications - The evolution of the carbon market is set to drive China's green and low-carbon transformation, opening new avenues for industrial upgrades [2] - The carbon market is positioned to become a new engine for green development in China [2]
特朗普30%关税威胁下欧盟为何暂缓反制?专家:一场“心知肚明”的较量|特朗普关税风云第二季
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-07-14 10:48
Core Points - The European Union (EU) has extended the suspension period for countermeasures against U.S. tariffs until early August in response to President Trump's threat of a 30% tariff on EU imports starting August 1 [1][4] - EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen emphasized the importance of negotiations, stating that if no agreement is reached, the EU will prepare countermeasures [3][5] - French President Emmanuel Macron expressed strong opposition to the U.S. tariffs and called for the EU to demonstrate its commitment to defending its interests [4][5] Trade Relations - The total trade in goods and services between the EU and the U.S. is projected to reach €1.7 trillion in 2024, averaging €46 billion daily [7] - In 2024, the EU is expected to export €531.6 billion worth of goods to the U.S. while importing €333.4 billion, resulting in a trade surplus of €198.2 billion [7] - The EU's exports to the U.S. have increased by 5.5% compared to 2023, while imports have decreased by 4.0% [7] Negotiation Dynamics - Trump's administration is focused on reducing the trade surplus the EU has with the U.S., which is seen as a key objective behind the tariff threats [7][10] - The EU is exploring various trade relationships and is seeking to diversify its trade partnerships beyond the U.S. [10] - Macron's statements reflect the voice of EU member states, emphasizing the need for a united front against U.S. trade policies [6][5]