据环球时报12月19日报道称，当地时间12月17日晚，美国总统特朗普在黄金时段发表全国电视讲话，在 18分钟的时间里，他谈及移民、通货膨胀、减税、医疗保险等诸多话题。对于他在讲话中所表示 的，"我们即将迎来世界从未见过的经济繁荣景象。"美国《华尔街日报》则报道指出，特朗普的讲话旨 在纪念其重返白宫近一年，并缓解选民对物价上涨日益增强的担忧。美国的通胀率目前低于疫情期间的 高点，但许多生活必需品的价格持续上涨。同时，就业市场正显示出令人担忧的放缓迹象，白领及工人 对自己的前景感到焦虑。11月美国失业率升至4.6%，为4年多来的最高水平。 图1当地时间12月17日，美国总统特朗普发表全国电视讲话（视觉中国） 据美联社同日消息，特朗普的讲话具有"党派色彩"，出现在一个"关键时刻"—他正试图"重建"自己逐渐 下滑的支持率。报道援引据路透社与益普索集团17日公布的最新民调数据显示，美民众对现政府处理经 济问题方式的支持率创下新低，仅33%的美国成年人认可特朗普经济举措。据了解，特朗普讲话前，美 国参议院民主党领袖舒默在国会山一场新闻发布会上晒出一张美国"经济成绩单"，其显示的成绩 为"F"（不及格） 图2美国参议院民主 ...

盘和林表示，从两个角度，可以预测黄金价格： 封面新闻记者 易弋力 第一个角度是看通胀，黄金说到底就是个资产，当货币不再值钱，黄金自然而然就上涨了，不需要等到所谓乱世才有黄金牛市。而如果通胀不是健康的通 胀，而是滞胀，那么黄金就更好。道理很简单，大宗商品有两种，一种大宗商品是工业用得上的，比如铜，一种大宗商品是工业用不上的，比如黄金。如 果是滞胀，我们知道，通胀上升，经济不好，工厂开工少，此时，大家有钱也不敢炒铜期货，都会扎堆买黄金。这个时候金价自然而然就上来了。所以， 若你要预测金价，你必然需要判断未来是否通胀，且搞明白通胀是滞胀还是经济繁荣导致的结果。 国家外汇管理局12月7日发布数据显示，截至2025年11月末，我国外汇储备规模为33464亿美元，较10月末上升30亿美元，升幅为0.09% 黄金储备方面，11月末中国黄金储备为7412万盎司，环比增加3万盎司，为中国央行连续第13个月增持黄金。 世界黄金协会日前发表文章称，2025年黄金表现卓越，全年创下逾50次历史新高，累计涨幅超60%。展望2026年，若经济增长放缓且利率进一步下行，黄 金或将实现温和上涨；倘若全球风险攀升导致经济严重衰退，黄金则可能迎 ...

美国国家经济委员会主任哈塞特表示支持财政部长贝森特的呼吁，即在任命地区联储主席时应新增居住 地要求。 "我们之所以设立这些地区联储，是为了确保我们拥有一个联邦制体系，让有着不同担忧的不同地区都 能在决策桌上发声，"哈塞特周五表示。他是下一任美联储主席的热门人选。 贝森特周三表示，他将推动一项新规则，要求地区联储行长的候选人必须在该辖区居住至少三年，这是 全面重塑美联储的最新举措。特朗普政府一直指责美联储存在超出货币政策范畴的"任务偏离"。 地区联储主席的任期为五年，需由美联储理事会重新批准。当被问及居住地指导方针是否会"破坏"明年 2月份的批准程序时，哈塞特表示"这件事我还没和大家讨论过"。 "目前美联储设计的不幸之处在于，只有住在华盛顿和纽约的人才永远拥有利率投票权，"哈塞特说。他 表示自己和贝森特已经讨论过改变这一现状，同时补充道，"我认为这不需要去解雇任何现任人员。" 哈塞特重申了他的预期，即美联储决策者将在下周的会议上降低利率。"现在是美联储再次谨慎降息的 好时机，"他说。 哈塞特还表示，他预计2026年初经济增长将出现繁荣，因为国家将从近期联邦政府关门的冲击中反弹， 并看到新工厂投产的成果。他还预测 ...

Group 1 - The core message of Trump's speech was to highlight his economic policies, claiming significant achievements such as "deregulation" and "energy independence" [1][3] - Trump emphasized a recent trip to Asia, claiming it resulted in "transformative breakthroughs" and large investments from Japan, specifically mentioning a $10 billion investment, which was later disputed by Toyota [3][4] - Despite Trump's claims of controlling inflation and increasing employment, public sentiment reflected concerns over high prices and job availability, as indicated by a survey of over 17,000 voters [4][5] Group 2 - The October ADP employment data showed an increase of 42,000 jobs, which, while slightly better than expected, was significantly lower compared to earlier in the year when job growth was much higher [5][20] - The core Consumer Price Index (CPI) was reported at 3.2%, indicating inflation remains above the Federal Reserve's target of 2% [5][21] - Trump's claims of economic prosperity were contradicted by data showing a decline in manufacturing PMI and a lack of job growth in the goods-producing sector, with only 9,000 new jobs added in one month [20][21] Group 3 - The choice of Miami for the forum was strategic, as Florida is a key swing state in elections, and local political support was evident from Miami's mayor [10][12] - Trump's plans for the G20 summit to be held at his own golf club raised concerns about potential conflicts of interest, as it could serve to promote his family business [12][23] - The proposed location for Trump's presidential library in Miami is currently facing legal disputes, which could delay the project [15][23] Group 4 - The forum included the FIFA president to promote the upcoming 2026 World Cup, linking sports to economic growth and enhancing Miami's international profile [18][26] - Trump's rhetoric about economic achievements was seen as a blend of politics, business, and sports, aiming to create a favorable public image while facing criticism for lacking substantive results [26]

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve's Harker expresses uncertainty about whether the economy will experience a boom later this year [1] Group 1 - The Federal Reserve is currently assessing economic conditions and is cautious about future growth prospects [1] - Harker's comments reflect a broader concern within the Federal Reserve regarding the potential for economic fluctuations [1] - The statement indicates that the Federal Reserve is closely monitoring economic indicators to inform its policy decisions [1]

Core Viewpoint - The statement emphasizes the contrast between significant tax cuts leading to economic prosperity and substantial tax increases resulting in economic failure, urging Republican members to take action to avoid losing voter support [1] Group 1 - The mention of "the largest tax cuts in history" suggests a focus on fiscal policy that promotes economic growth [1] - The reference to "the largest tax increases in history" indicates a warning against policies that could hinder economic performance [1] - The call to action for Republican members highlights the political implications of economic policies on voter sentiment [1]

Core Viewpoint - The threat of protectionism poses risks to economic prosperity, as highlighted by European Central Bank Executive Board member Panetta [1] Economic Implications - Protectionism can weaken economic growth and stability, potentially leading to reduced investment and trade [1] - The current global economic environment is sensitive to protectionist measures, which could hinder recovery efforts [1]