Group 1 - UBS's report addresses ten challenging questions from investors regarding global economic conditions and strategic outlook [1] - The report highlights that current tariffs impose an effective GDP tax of approximately 1.5% on U.S. importers, with global growth tracking at a mere 1.3% year-on-year, placing it in the 8th lowest historical percentile [1] - The report indicates that the recent dollar sell-off is not indicative of a long-term depreciation trend, as it lacks key elements seen in previous cycles, such as improved economic growth in other regions [2] Group 2 - The initial impact of tariffs on U.S. inflation data is expected to manifest in the July CPI report, with significant effects potentially delayed by one to two months [3] - There is a notable discrepancy between reported trade data and container shipping data, suggesting that foreign exporters are not significantly lowering prices to absorb tariff costs [4] - The U.S. budget deficit is primarily influenced by the 2017 tax cuts, with concerns about supply issues persisting, but historical demand fluctuations are expected to absorb any supply increases [5] Group 3 - Evidence suggests a reduction in foreign investors' exposure to U.S. assets, with April data indicating asset sell-offs, although the continuation of this trend remains uncertain [6] - The U.S. stock market typically outperforms during global GDP slowdowns, but the current slowdown is largely driven by the U.S. economy, with European markets showing unexpected resilience [7] - The "One Big Beautiful" Act is projected to provide a 45 basis point boost to economic growth by 2026, despite initially increasing the deficit [9] Group 4 - Central banks globally are adjusting their policies in response to tariff impacts, with expectations of 1-3 rate cuts, while the Fed faces a dilemma balancing inflation and employment concerns [10] - China has implemented fiscal stimulus measures equivalent to 1.5-2% of GDP, with further monetary easing anticipated, including a potential 20-30 basis point rate cut [11]

日本首相：对出台更多刺激措施持开放态度，但不会削减消费税 金十数据5月12日讯，日本首相石破茂周一表示，政府准备采取进一步措施，缓解美国提高关税对经济 造成的打击，但对削减消费税税率持谨慎态度。反对党和一些执政党议员呼吁政府降低消费税，以帮助 家庭应对不断上涨的生活成本。日本的消费税为10%，食品税率为8%。石破茂在国会发表讲话时说， 政府"将毫不犹豫地采取额外措施"，以缓解美国提高关税给经济带来的痛苦。但他表示，任何措施都必 须针对受冲击最严重的家庭，而不是覆盖广泛的家庭。 ...

泰国政府：计划在下半年推出经济刺激措施以支持增长。 ...

本文为IPO早知道原创 作者｜罗宾 微信公众号｜ipozaozhidao 更多中资企业赴美上市，募资额较2023年翻倍。 据IPO早知道消息，12月18日，德勤中国资本市场服务部发布了中国内地及香港新股市场2024年回 顾与2025年前景展望。 以新股融资总额计算，在为一家韩国汽车制造商上市成为今年全球第三大新股及为大量公司上市后， 印度国家证券交易所将崛起成为2024年全球最大的上市地。纳斯达克和纽交所分别取得第二和第三 位。前者为一家冷藏库存公司上市成为今年全球最大新股，后者有更多大型新股上市。中国内地家电 集团、饮料公司、综合物流服务公司和乘用车高级辅助驾驶和高阶自动驾驶解决方案提供商的上市项 目使香港交易所稳守第四位。因有一家地铁营运商上市，东京证券交易所跃升至第五位。上交所和深 交所则分别位居第六位和第八位。 来源：德勤 香港新股融资额大增 A股IPO保持质量为先 香港新股市场在2024年9月起开始回升。今年香港的极大规模新股数量、融资金额与主板新股总融 资额均明显较去年更加理想。截至2024年12月31日，预计香港将会录得69只新股融资大约876亿 港元。与2023年70只新股融资463亿港元比较 ...