Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the non-bank financial sector [7]. Core Insights - The non-bank sector has shown strong performance this week, with notable developments in the brokerage sector, including the merger plans of China International Capital Corporation (CICC) with Dongxing and Xinda, indicating a further acceleration of supply-side reforms in the industry. The insurance sector is also seeing regulatory advancements with the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission (CBIRC) seeking public opinion on the draft asset-liability management guidelines for insurance companies. The report suggests that the long-term outlook is positive, with improved return on equity (ROE) and valuation recovery expected, making the sector increasingly attractive for investment [2][4]. - The report recommends focusing on companies with stable profit growth and dividend rates, such as Jiangsu Jinzu, China Ping An, and China Pacific Insurance, which have strong market positions and business models. Additionally, it highlights companies like New China Life, China Life, Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing, CITIC Securities, Dongfang Caifu, Tonghuashun, and Jiufang Zhitu Holdings based on their earnings elasticity and valuation levels [4]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The non-bank financial index increased by 2.9% this week, outperforming the CSI 300 by 3.2%. Year-to-date, the non-bank financial index is up 9.8%, but underperformed the CSI 300 by 6.3% [5]. - The average daily trading volume in the market decreased to 17,604.84 billion yuan, down 9.86% week-on-week, with a daily turnover rate of 1.83%, down 19.91 basis points [5]. Industry News and Company Announcements - Key announcements include the merger plans of CICC with Dongxing and Xinda, and the CBIRC's public consultation on insurance asset-liability management guidelines. The report also notes the upcoming dividend announcements from Huaxi Securities, CICC, and Shenwan Hongyuan [6][19]. Insurance Sector Insights - In October 2025, the cumulative insurance premium income reached 548.33 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.99%. Life insurance premiums grew by 9.56%, while property insurance premiums increased by 4.02% [23][24]. - The total assets of insurance companies reached 40.59 trillion yuan, with life insurance companies holding 35.68 trillion yuan, reflecting a 0.68% increase [27][28]. Brokerage Sector Insights - The report highlights a decline in the overall equity market, with the CSI 300 index down 0.28% and the ChiNext index down 2.26%. The brokerage sector's investment assets are primarily in bonds, with equity investments comprising about 10%-30% [40][46]. - Margin trading balances decreased to 2.50 trillion yuan, down 0.34% week-on-week, indicating a cautious approach to stock pledge business due to previous credit risks [49]. Financing and Asset Management - In November 2025, equity financing reached 50.65 billion yuan, while bond financing totaled 706 billion yuan, indicating a recovery in financing activities [53]. - The report notes a rebound in the issuance of collective asset management products, with 4.387 billion units issued in November, up 4.1% from the previous month [55].

12月18日，A股市场走势分化，券商板块承压，证券ETF龙头（560090）开盘震荡回调，截至9:40，放量跌近1%。 证券ETF龙头（560090）标的指数成分股多数回调，受并购重组消息利好，东兴证券涨停，中金公司涨停价开盘，目前仍然涨超6%，信达证券涨超6%，天 风证券、国盛证券等微涨，东方财富、中信证券等系数回调。 【证券ETF龙头（560090）标的指数前十大成分股】 | 序号 | 代码 | 名称 | 申万一级行业 | 涨跌幅 | 估算权重 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 601198 | 东兴证券 | 非银金融 | 9.98% | 1.01% | | 2 | 601995 | 中金公司 | 非银会融 | 6.76% | 1.61% | | 3 | 601059 | 信达证券 | 非银金融 | 6.69% | 0.82% | | 4 | 601162 | 天风证券 | 非银金融 | 0.24% | 1.41% | | 5 | 002670 | 国盛证券 | 非银金融 | 0.24% | 0.51% | | 6 | 601099 | 太平洋 | ...

新华财经北京12月17日电（记者刘玉龙）中金公司与东兴证券、信达证券于17日晚间同步披露重大资产 重组预案，中金公司换股吸收合并两家公司迎来重大进展，并拟于12月18日复牌。 根据交易预案，本次交易定价以各方董事会决议公告日前20个交易日均价作为基准价格，吸收合并方中 金公司作为存续主体，换股价格为36.91元／股，被吸收合并方东兴证券换股价格为16.14元／股，信达 证券换股价格为19.15元／股。该交易方案充分体现了两家公司资产价值，并有利于平衡各方股东利 益。 根据上述价格，东兴证券、信达证券与中金公司A股的换股比例分别为1:0.4373与1:0.5188。东兴证券与 信达证券全部A股参与换股，以此计算，中金公司预计将新发行A股约30.96亿股。 凭借各方资源的有机结合，合并后公司的财务结构韧性有望增强，通过加强零售业务及资本金业务，使 自身具备更强的抗周期能力，提升经营业绩的稳健性。同时，伴随资本运用效率的提升，资本配置也从 传统的自营和融资类业务进一步拓展，从而优化整体盈利模式，实现更有竞争力的资本收益水平。 锚定政策导向，践行金融强国使命 自2023年中央金融工作会议明确提出"加快建设金融强国"的 ...

智通财经APP获悉，2025年12月17日晚间，中金公司（601995.SH、03908）与东兴证券 （601198.SH）、信达证券（601059.SH）同步披露重大资产重组预案，中金公司换股吸收合并两家公 司迎来重大进展，并拟于12月18日复牌。 本次交易后，中金公司将实现跨越式发展，预计总资产规模超万亿元，营业收入跻身行业前列，资本实 力显著增强，综合竞争力与服务实体经济能力得以切实提升，在建设金融强国的国家战略指引下，加快 实现打造"具有国际竞争力的一流投资银行"的战略目标。 根据交易预案，本次交易定价以各方董事会决议公告日前20个交易日均价作为基准价格，吸收合并方中 金公司作为存续主体，换股价格为36.91元/股，被吸收合并方东兴证券换股价格为16.14元/股，信达证 券换股价格为19.15元/股。该交易方案充分体现了两家公司资产价值，并有利于平衡各方股东利益。 根据上述价格，东兴证券、信达证券与中金公司A股的换股比例分别为1:0.4373与1:0.5188。东兴证券与 信达证券全部A股参与换股，以此计算，中金公司预计将新发行A股约30.96亿股。 为保护中小投资者权益，中金公司A股及H股异议股东可 ...

另外，经过几年降费让利和高基数压力消化，手续费收入增速有望企稳回升。虽然小微企业和零售客户 相关敞口仍是不良生成主要来源，但公司业务敞口保持稳定，净不良生成率趋势甚至有所改善。该行亦 预计行业供给侧改革加速，银行牌照数量快速减少，行业竞争和经营格局改善。 中金发布研报称，继续看好内银股的绝对收益与相对收益表现，预期其覆盖的上市银行，2026及27年营 业收入将同比升2.5%及3.6%，归母净利润同比升1.9%及2.6%，因净息差压力进一步收窄，信贷投放减 量提质，主要源自信贷需求较弱以及风险补偿不足，投放的区域、行业特征更加明显。 ...

格隆汇12月16日｜中金公司发表研究报告指，继续看好内银股的绝对收益与相对收益表现，预期其覆盖 的上市银行，2026及27年营业收入将按年升2.5%及3.6%，归母净利润按年升1.9%及2.6%，因净息差压 力进一步收窄，信贷投放减量提质，主要源自信贷需求较弱以及风险补偿不足，投放的区域、行业特征 更加明显。另外，经过几年降费让利和高基数压力消化，手续费收入增速有望企稳回升。虽然小微企业 和零售客户相关敞口仍是不良生成主要来源，但公司业务敞口保持稳定，净不良生成率趋势甚至有所改 善。该行亦预计行业供给侧改革加速，银行牌照数量快速减少，行业竞争和经营格局改善。 ...

Group 1: Fund Performance and Trends - The report analyzes the evolution and current status of performance benchmarks for public funds in China and the US, highlighting the divergence in performance of active equity funds from their benchmarks and potential causes [1][7][10] - It notes that the number of active equity funds in both markets is primarily based on broad indices, with a trend towards diversification observed in the last two years. Approximately 7.24% (239 funds) of China's active equity funds have benchmarks not included in the benchmark library, which may face adjustment pressures [10][11] - The report concludes that the deviation of active equity funds in China is significantly higher than in the US, attributing this to differences in fund sales models and the diversity of ETF products [10][11] Group 2: Securities Industry Insights - The report discusses the merger of CICC with Dongxing Securities and Xinda Securities, indicating a continuation of supply-side reforms in the securities industry. This merger is expected to optimize the industry structure and enhance CICC's competitive position [12][13] - Following the merger, CICC's total asset scale is projected to reach 1 trillion yuan, elevating its ranking among listed securities firms. The merger is anticipated to improve CICC's brokerage and asset management capabilities significantly [14] - The report highlights a mismatch between the profitability and valuation of the securities sector, suggesting substantial room for valuation recovery, with recommendations for investing in large, undervalued securities firms [15] Group 3: Pharmaceutical Sector Analysis - The report tracks the performance of Pizhou Pharmaceutical, noting a revenue decline of 11.93% year-on-year for the first three quarters of 2025, with a significant drop in net profit. However, it anticipates a potential improvement in gross margin due to falling raw material prices [17][18] - Pizhou's product strategy focuses on core products while expanding into cosmetics, with notable sales growth in its flagship beauty product. The company is also advancing its R&D pipeline with new drug developments [18][19] - The investment recommendation suggests an EPS forecast of 4.04, 4.40, and 4.82 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, maintaining a "buy" rating due to the unique attributes of its core products [18][19] Group 4: Express Delivery Sector Overview - The report reviews Shentong Express's operational data for October 2025, indicating a year-on-year revenue increase of 11.84% and a positive growth trend in express delivery volume [20][21] - The average service price per delivery has risen, contributing to the overall revenue growth, with expectations for continued strong performance in 2025 [20][21] - The forecast for Shentong's EPS for 2025-2027 is set at 0.89, 1.22, and 1.48 yuan, respectively, with a "buy" rating based on the anticipated growth trajectory [21]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the securities industry, expecting the industry index to outperform the benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 3-6 months [3][23]. Core Insights - The securities industry has experienced a significant recovery, with a 62% year-on-year increase in net profit attributable to shareholders for the first nine months of 2025, driven by a market beta recovery and strong performance in proprietary trading and traditional brokerage businesses [2][6]. - The current price-to-book (PB) ratio for the brokerage sector is 1.55x, which is at the 42.3% percentile over the past 10 years, indicating a certain degree of valuation divergence from performance [2][10]. - Future growth opportunities in the sector will depend on the continuation of market activity and the ability of firms to generate sustainable alpha in proprietary trading and derivatives [2][8]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - In the first nine months of 2025, total revenue for 42 listed brokerages reached CNY 419.56 billion, a 17% increase year-on-year, with net profit attributable to shareholders at CNY 169.05 billion, up 62% year-on-year [6]. - The average daily trading volume for A-shares was CNY 1.6496 trillion, reflecting a 107% year-on-year increase [6]. Business Segments 1. **Brokerage**: - Net income from commissions and fees reached CNY 111.78 billion in 9M25, a 75% increase year-on-year, with Q3 showing a 142% increase year-on-year [6]. 2. **Investment Banking**: - Revenue from investment banking fees was CNY 25.15 billion in 9M25, a 23% increase year-on-year, with IPOs showing a 61.5% increase year-on-year [6]. 3. **Asset Management**: - Net income from asset management fees was CNY 33.25 billion in 9M25, a 2% increase year-on-year [6]. 4. **Credit**: - Net interest income from credit activities was CNY 33.91 billion in 9M25, a 55% increase year-on-year [6]. 5. **Proprietary Trading**: - Revenue from proprietary trading reached CNY 186.86 billion in 9M25, a 44% increase year-on-year [6]. Market Trends - The report highlights a significant increase in margin trading balances, which reached CNY 24.99 trillion as of October 30, 2025, indicating a recovery in market sentiment [6][9]. - The report also notes that the brokerage sector outperformed the broader market, with a 0.09 percentage point advantage over the benchmark index during the week ending October 30, 2025 [6]. Company Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on supply-side reforms and industry consolidation within the brokerage sector, with specific stock recommendations including Guangfa Securities, CITIC Securities, Huatai Securities, and others [8].

点评： 总体而言，前三季度公司ROE 提升明显，杠杆倍数、ROA 及净利润率均有提升。前三季度市场利率维 持低位震荡，公司整体负债成本率亦下降明显，明显提升了公司净利润率。公司报告期内ROE 为 5.7%，同比+3.1pct，杜邦拆分来看： 1）公司报告期末财务杠杆倍数（总资产剔除客户资金）为：5.08 倍，同比+0.39倍，环比+0.5 倍。 2）公司报告期内资产周转率（总资产剔除客户资金，总营收剔除其他业务收入后）为3.5%，同比 +0.9pct。 机构：华创证券 研究员：徐康/刘潇伟 事项： 中金公司发布2025 年三季报。剔除其他业务收入后营业总收入：207 亿元，同比+54.5%。 归母净利润：65.7 亿元，同比+129.8%。 3）公司报告期内净利润率为31.7%，同比+10.4pct。 自营权益类证券及其衍生品/净资本为46.5%，较上期+7.5pct（预警线为80%）。 自营非权益类证券及其衍生品/净资本为344%，较上期-11.2pct（预警线为400%）。 2）信用业务：公司利息收入为61.9 亿元。两融业务规模为622 亿元，环比+168.8亿元。两融市占率为 2.6%，同比+0.22 ...

Core Viewpoint - Huachuang Securities believes that China International Capital Corporation (CICC) has high leverage and excellent business capabilities, viewing the company's development opportunities positively under industry supply-side reforms [1] Financial Performance - CICC's total revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 20.7 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 54.5%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 6.57 billion RMB, up 129.8% year-on-year [2] - The company's return on equity (ROE) improved significantly, with a reported ROE of 5.7%, an increase of 3.1 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The financial leverage ratio at the end of the reporting period was 5.08 times, an increase of 0.39 times year-on-year and 0.5 times quarter-on-quarter [3] Profitability Metrics - CICC's net profit margin for the reporting period was 31.7%, an increase of 10.4 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The company's total assets, excluding client funds, amounted to 587.3 billion RMB, an increase of 76.43 billion RMB year-on-year, with net assets of 115.5 billion RMB, up 6.69 billion RMB year-on-year [3] Business Segments - The company's self-operated business income totaled 10.97 billion RMB, with a quarterly self-operated yield of 1.2%, a decrease of 0.1 percentage points quarter-on-quarter but an increase of 0.1 percentage points year-on-year [3] - Interest income from credit business was 6.19 billion RMB, with a margin financing business scale of 62.2 billion RMB, an increase of 168.8 billion RMB quarter-on-quarter [4] - Brokerage business revenue was 4.52 billion RMB, with a quarterly revenue of 1.86 billion RMB, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter increase of 37.6% and a year-on-year increase of 135.5% [4] Market Position and Valuation - CICC's target price is set at 26.15 HKD, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 10.6 for 2025, 10.1 for 2026, and 9.3 for 2027, based on expected earnings per share (EPS) of 1.87, 1.97, and 2.13 RMB respectively [1] - The company is given a 1.1 times price-to-book (PB) valuation expectation for 2026, reflecting the current high market sentiment and overall business conditions [1]