1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided 2. Core View of the Report - Affected by market sentiment, iron ore fluctuated at a high level this week. With the increase in production of domestic and imported iron ore, the port inventory decreased while the steel mill inventory increased due to pre - holiday restocking. The daily average hot metal output remained high, and although steel demand was weak, it had some resilience and was expected to maintain a certain profit under policy influence. The recommended operation strategy is to participate in the short - term long side [36]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Part 1: Trend Review - **1.1 Iron Ore Main Contract Trend**: Affected by market sentiment, iron ore fluctuated at a high level this week [7]. - **1.2 Iron Ore Spot Trend**: The prices of various iron ore powders such as PB powder, super special powder, etc. are presented, showing price changes [11]. 3.2 Part 2: Basis and Spread - **2.1 Iron Ore Futures - Spot Spread Trend**: The main basis is -8, 01 - 05 spread is 21.5, pb - super special spread is 77, and barite - pb spread is 9 [16]. - **2.2 Ratio of Rebar to Iron Ore**: The rebar - iron ore ratio continued to be weak [19]. 3.3 Part 3: Supply - Demand Analysis - **3.1 Iron Ore Supply**: The weekly shipment of mainstream mines was 2126.3 tons, and the domestic mine capacity utilization rate was 61.65%. The production of domestic and imported iron ore increased compared to the previous period [22]. - **3.2 International Shipping Freight**: The shipping price from Port Hedland to Qingdao is 10.86 US dollars per ton, and from Tubarao, Brazil to Qingdao (BCI - C3) is 24.45 US dollars per ton. The Baltic Dry Index is 2205 [25]. - **3.3 Iron Ore Inventory - Imported Ore Inventory**: Port inventory is 13801.08 tons, Australian ore inventory is 5775.57 tons, Brazilian ore inventory is 5266.52 tons, iron ore arrival volume is 2269.4 tons, and trade ore inventory is 8980.59 tons [28]. - **3.4 Iron Ore Inventory - Steel Mill Inventory**: The iron ore port inventory was 1380.08 tons, a decrease of 48.39 tons compared to the previous period. The steel mill's imported iron ore inventory was 9309.43 tons, an increase of 316.38 tons compared to the previous period. The available days of imported iron ore for steel mills was 22 days, an increase of 2 days compared to the previous period, due to pre - holiday restocking [29]. - **3.5 Iron Ore Demand**: The daily average hot metal output was 241.02 tons, an increase of 0.47 tons compared to the previous period. The daily average port clearance volume remained at a relatively high level, and the hot metal output maintained a high level with stronger resilience than expected [32]. 3.4 Part 4: Outlook - Affected by market sentiment, iron ore fluctuated at a high level this week. The production of domestic and imported iron ore increased, port inventory decreased, and steel mill inventory increased due to pre - holiday restocking. The daily average hot metal output remained high. Although steel demand was weak, it had some resilience and was expected to maintain a certain profit under policy influence. The recommended operation strategy is to participate in the short - term long side [36].

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned in the provided content Core Viewpoint of the Report - The demand expectation still provides support, and the iron ore price is expected to fluctuate at a high level in the short term due to the high - level maintenance of both supply and demand, and sufficient pricing of macro - level positive factors, along with seasonal demand support from steel mills [3][5] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Iron Ore Weekly Viewpoint - The supply side shows that Brazilian Vale's shipments have significantly declined due to port maintenance, and non - mainstream shipments are also weak; the demand side indicates that blast furnace operations have quickly recovered, and the raw material demand expectation remains strong; macro - level factors suggest that the market may have fully priced in the interest - rate cut expectation, and there is still some macro support for commodity valuations. Overall, the iron ore price may fluctuate at a high level in the short term [5] Iron Ore Contract Performance - The price of the main 01 contract fluctuated strongly, closing at 799.5 yuan/ton, with a position of 543,000 lots (an increase of 41,800 lots). The average daily trading volume was 345,000 lots, a week - on - week increase of 23,100 lots [7] Spot Price Performance - Spot prices were relatively strong, but the price increase of medium - grade PB powder was relatively narrow. For example, the price of Carajás fines increased from 900 to 920 yuan/ton, and the price of PB powder increased from 782 to 794 yuan/ton [11] Iron Ore Supply Side Mainstream Mines - Brazilian port maintenance led to a sharp drop in shipments, and mainstream shipments declined. For example, Brazil's weekly shipments decreased by 509.1 million tons compared to the previous week, and Australia's decreased by 320 million tons [4] Non - mainstream Mines - Non - mainstream shipments also had a phased decline [20] Domestic Mines - The operation in North China has recovered, and the overall capacity utilization rate of domestic mines has been revised upwards [26] Iron Ore Demand Side Downstream - Pig iron production has rapidly recovered, and the port's imported iron ore clearance volume may increase seasonally, with expectations of downstream restocking demand [29] Scrap Steel Substitution Effect - Scrap steel arrivals increased again on a week - on - week basis. The scrap - pig iron price difference stopped falling after reaching a recent low [30] Iron Ore Inventory - The port inventory level has been relatively stable recently [32][34] Downstream Profits - Downstream operations have quickly recovered, and profits are oscillating at a low level [37] Spot Category Price Difference - The price of medium - grade PB powder has been relatively weak. The high - medium grade price difference has continued to strengthen, and the medium - low grade price difference has continued to narrow [39][40] Futures Contract Month Spread - The 1 - 5 spread reached a phased high (24.5) and then declined [44] Basis Performance - Both futures and spot prices were strong, and the overall basis level has been relatively stable [48]

Group 1: Steel Industry Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core View - Steel prices rose again, with the spread between the 10 - 1 contract of rebar falling and that of hot - rolled coil strengthening. The spread between coil and rebar is expected to decline from its high. The overall apparent demand showed signs of bottoming out and rebounding last week but remained at an off - season level. Steel is expected to maintain a high - level oscillating pattern, and it is recommended to try long positions, with reference levels of 3140 yuan for hot - rolled coil and 3380 yuan for rebar [1] Summary by Directory - **Prices and Spreads**: Rebar and hot - rolled coil prices in different regions and contracts showed various changes. For example, the spot price of rebar in East China increased from 3280 yuan/ton to 3310 yuan/ton. The 10 - 1 spread of rebar decreased, while that of hot - rolled coil increased [1] - **Cost and Profit**: Costs and profits of different steel - making processes and regions changed. For instance, the profit of East China hot - rolled coil decreased from 117 to - 41 [1] - **Production**: The daily average pig iron output was 240.8 million tons, with a slight increase of 0.1 million tons (0.0%). The output of five major steel products was 878.1 million tons, an increase of 6.4 million tons (0.7%) [1] - **Inventory**: The inventory of five major steel products increased from 1416.0 million tons to 1441.0 million tons, a rise of 25.1 million tons (1.8%) [1] - **Transaction and Demand**: The building materials trading volume increased from 9.4 to 11.1, a rise of 1.7 (18.3%). The apparent demand of five major steel products increased from 831.0 million tons to 853.0 million tons, a rise of 22.0 million tons (2.6%) [1] Group 2: Iron Ore Industry Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core View - The 2601 contract of iron ore showed an oscillating upward trend. The global shipment volume of iron ore decreased, and the arrival volume at 45 ports declined, but the subsequent average arrival volume is expected to rebound. The short - term demand is bearish, but after the military parade, the resumption of steel mills' production will support raw materials. It is recommended to switch to long positions on dips and recommend the 1 - 5 positive spread arbitrage [3] Summary by Directory - **Prices and Spreads**: The warehouse receipt costs of various iron ore powders increased, and the basis of the 01 contract for different powders also changed significantly. For example, the basis of the 01 contract for PB powder increased from 23.9 to 40.1, a rise of 16.3 (68.3%) [3] - **Supply**: The weekly arrival volume at 45 ports was 2393.3 million tons, a decrease of 83.3 million tons (- 3.4%); the global weekly shipment volume was 3315.8 million tons, a decrease of 90.8 million tons (- 2.7%) [3] - **Demand**: The weekly average daily pig iron output of 247 steel mills was 240.8 million tons, with a slight increase of 0.1 million tons (0.0%); the weekly average daily port clearance volume at 45 ports was 325.7 million tons, a decrease of 8.9 million tons (- 2.7%) [3] - **Inventory**: The inventory at 45 ports decreased from 13856.40 million tons to 13845.20 million tons, a decrease of 11.2 million tons (- 0.1%); the imported ore inventory of 247 steel mills decreased from 9136.4 million tons to 9065.5 million tons, a decrease of 70.9 million tons (- 0.8%) [3] Group 3: Coke and Coking Coal Industry Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core View - The coke futures showed a strong rebound, and the coking coal futures also rebounded strongly. The seventh round of coke price increase was implemented. The supply and demand of coke are expected to be tight, and the downstream steel mills still have restocking needs. It is recommended to go long on the 2601 contract of coke on dips and recommend the arbitrage of going long on coking coal and short on coke. For coking coal, due to factors such as limited production expectations, it is recommended to go long on the 2601 contract of coking coal on dips and the same arbitrage strategy [5] Summary by Directory - **Prices and Spreads**: The prices of coke and coking coal contracts and their spreads changed. For example, the 01 contract of coke increased from 1679 yuan/ton to 1736 yuan/ton, a rise of 3.4%; the 09 - 01 spread of coke decreased from - 52 to - 84 [5] - **Supply**: The weekly output of coke and coking coal showed different trends. The daily average output of all - sample coking plants was 65.5 million tons, a slight increase of 0.1 million tons (0.1%); the weekly output of Fenwei sample coal mines was 860.4 million tons, an increase of 3.8 million tons (0.4%) [5] - **Demand**: The weekly pig iron output of 247 steel mills was 240.8 million tons, with a slight increase of 0.1 million tons (0.0%). The coking plants' demand for coking coal increased slightly [5] - **Inventory**: The inventory of coke and coking coal in different sectors changed. The total coke inventory increased from 887.4 million tons to 888.6 million tons, a rise of 1.2 million tons (0.1%); the coking coal inventory of all - sample coking plants decreased from 976.9 million tons to 966.4 million tons, a decrease of 10.5 million tons (- 1.1%) [5]

Core Viewpoint - The CFO of Rio Tinto expects strong support for iron ore prices around $90 per ton [1] Group 1 - The company anticipates that iron ore prices will stabilize due to various market factors [1]

Core Viewpoint - Iron ore prices have shown a short-term rebound while the long-term supply and demand remain relatively loose [1] Supply Summary - Global iron ore shipments totaled 29.87 million tons this period, a decrease of 80,000 tons week-on-week [1] - Australian and non-mainstream shipments decreased, while Brazilian shipments increased [1] - Iron ore arrivals at 45 ports reached 26.62 million tons, an increase of 1.78 million tons week-on-week [1] Demand Summary - A survey of 247 steel mills indicated a blast furnace operating rate of 83.46%, up 0.31% week-on-week and 0.83% year-on-year [1] - The capacity utilization rate for blast furnace ironmaking was 90.89%, an increase of 0.99% week-on-week and 1.27% year-on-year [1] - Steel mill profit margins were at 60.17%, up 0.43% week-on-week and 28.14% year-on-year [1] - Daily average pig iron production was 2.4244 million tons, an increase of 26,300 tons week-on-week and 2.79% year-on-year [1] Inventory Summary - Total iron ore inventory at 45 ports was 137.85 million tons, an increase of 193,200 tons week-on-week [1] - Daily average iron ore throughput at 45 ports was 3.2274 million tons, an increase of 32,300 tons week-on-week [1] Overall Market Outlook - The global shipment volume has slightly decreased while arrivals have increased; pig iron production is at a historical high, indicating resilient iron ore consumption [1] - Attention is needed on the intensity of steel consumption during the off-season [1] - The short-term price rebound is supported by macro sentiment and fundamentals, while the long-term outlook remains in a loose supply-demand balance [1]

Report Industry Investment Ratings No relevant content provided. Core Views Steel Industry - Current steel prices are affected by the rebound of coking coal. Steel mills are reducing production, hot-rolled coil inventory is increasing, and apparent demand is declining. Overall demand is expected to remain weak due to off - season demand and tariff - affected exports. Steel prices may fluctuate at low levels. It is recommended to look for opportunities to short on rebounds, with attention to short - selling opportunities around 3000 for the October contract of rebar and 3150 for the October contract of hot - rolled coil [1]. Iron Ore Industry - This week, global iron ore shipments increased significantly, demand remained relatively stable, and the inventory continued to decline but at a slower pace. In the future, terminal demand for finished products may weaken, but iron ore demand is expected to remain resilient. Iron ore supply pressure will increase. It is expected that iron ore prices will fluctuate in the range of 700 - 745 [3]. Coking Coal and Coke Industry - Coking coal futures showed a volatile and slightly stronger trend last week, with a divergence between futures and spot prices. The spot market of coking coal was weak, and the market was still in a state of oversupply. Coke futures also showed a volatile and slightly stronger trend, and the third round of price cuts for coke was implemented on June 6. The supply - demand pattern of coke was still loose in the short term. It is recommended to wait and see for the 2509 contracts of both coking coal and coke and short after the rebound [5]. Ferrosilicon and Ferromanganese Industry - For ferrosilicon, supply increased this week, mainly due to the resumption of production in Ningxia and Shaanxi. Demand remained relatively stable, and the supply - demand contradiction began to emerge as supply increased. For ferromanganese, supply increased slightly this week, and supply pressure reappeared under weak demand. It is recommended to wait and see for both, with attention to the price changes of coal [7]. Summary by Directory Steel Industry Steel Prices and Spreads - Rebar and hot - rolled coil prices in different regions and contracts all showed small increases. For example, the spot price of rebar in East China rose from 3100 to 3120 yuan/ton, and the 05 contract price of rebar rose from 2952 to 2975 yuan/ton [1]. Cost and Profit - Steel billet prices decreased by 20 yuan/ton to 2880 yuan/ton, while slab prices remained unchanged at 3730 yuan/ton. Profits of hot - rolled coil in different regions increased, and profits of rebar also showed different degrees of increase [1]. Production and Inventory - The daily average pig iron output decreased slightly by 0.1 to 241.8, a decrease of 0.0%. The output of five major steel products decreased by 0.5 to 880.4, a decrease of 0.1%. Rebar production decreased by 7.0 to 218.5, a decrease of 3.1%; hot - rolled coil production increased by 9.2 to 328.8, an increase of 2.9%. The inventory of five major steel products decreased slightly, rebar inventory decreased, and hot - rolled coil inventory increased [1]. Transaction and Demand - The building materials trading volume increased by 0.5 to 10.4, an increase of 4.9%. The apparent demand for five major steel products decreased by 31.6 to 882.2, a decrease of 3.5%. The apparent demand for rebar decreased by 19.7 to 229.0, a decrease of 7.9% [1]. Iron Ore Industry Price and Spread - The basis of different iron ore varieties for the 09 contract decreased significantly. For example, the basis of PB powder for the 09 contract decreased from 122.4 to 63.6, a decrease of 48.0%. The 5 - 9 spread decreased slightly, and the 1 - 5 spread increased slightly [3]. Supply and Demand - The weekly arrival volume at 45 ports increased by 385.2 to 2536.5, an increase of 17.9%. The monthly national import volume increased by 917.5 to 10313.8, an increase of 9.8%. The weekly average pig iron output of 247 steel mills decreased slightly by 0.1 to 241.8, a decrease of 0.0%. The monthly national pig iron output decreased by 271.1 to 7258.3, a decrease of 3.6% [3]. Inventory - The 45 - port inventory decreased by 39.9 to 13826.69, a decrease of 0.3%. The inventory of imported ore in 247 steel mills decreased by 64.1 to 8690.2, a decrease of 0.7% [3]. Coking Coal and Coke Industry Price and Spread - For coking coal, the price of the 09 contract rose by 22 to 779, an increase of 2.8%, and the price of the 01 contract rose by 20 to 793, an increase of 2.5%. For coke, the price of the 09 contract rose by 15 to 1357, an increase of 0.6%, and the price of the 01 contract rose by 10 to 1368, an increase of 0.7% [5]. Supply and Demand - The weekly output of coke decreased slightly, and the daily average output of all - sample coking plants decreased by 0.3 to 66.5, a decrease of 0.4%. The daily average pig iron output of 247 steel mills decreased slightly by 0.1 to 241.8, a decrease of 0.0% [5]. Inventory - The inventory of coke in all - sample coking plants increased by 15.6 to 127.0, an increase of 14.04%, and the inventory of coke in 247 steel mills decreased by 9.1 to 645.8, a decrease of 1.4% [5]. Ferrosilicon and Ferromanganese Industry Price and Spread - The closing price of the ferrosilicon main contract decreased by 92 to 5104, a decrease of 1.8%, and the closing price of the ferromanganese main contract increased by 56 to 5538, an increase of 1.0% [7]. Cost and Profit - The production cost of ferrosilicon in Inner Mongolia remained unchanged at 5631.0. The production profit of ferrosilicon in Inner Mongolia decreased by 50 to - 329.0, a decrease of 17.9% [7]. Supply and Demand - The weekly output of ferrosilicon increased by 1.2 to 9.7, an increase of 14.6%. The weekly output of ferromanganese increased slightly. The demand for ferrosilicon and ferromanganese remained relatively stable [7]. Inventory - The inventory of 60 sample ferrosilicon enterprises decreased by 0.7 to 68.7, a decrease of 9.8%, and the inventory of 63 sample ferromanganese enterprises increased slightly by 0.1 to 18.7, an increase of 0.34% [7].

Price Trends - Import iron ore prices have decreased compared to the previous week, with 62% grade iron ore priced at $98.95 per ton, down 2.13% from May 16 [1] - Domestic iron ore prices have shown a slight increase, with 66% grade iron concentrate priced at 933 yuan per ton, up 0.97% from May 16 [1] - The average price for 62% grade iron ore from May 19 to May 23 was $99.85 per ton [1] Supply and Demand - Iron ore arrivals at Chinese ports increased slightly, with a total of 23.44 million tons arriving from May 12 to May 18, up 637,000 tons week-on-week [3] - The total iron ore shipment globally was 33.48 million tons, an increase of 3.19 million tons week-on-week [3] - The average daily steel inventory in China decreased to 9.60 million tons, down 331,000 tons week-on-week [4] Inventory Levels - As of May 23, the total inventory of imported iron ore at 45 ports in China was 139.88 million tons, a decrease of 1.78 million tons [4] - The average daily throughput of iron ore was 3.27 million tons [4] - Australian iron ore inventory decreased to 59.93 million tons, down 974,000 tons [4] Shipping Costs - The shipping cost from Hedland, Australia to Qingdao, China was $8.53 per ton, an increase of $0.16 [4] - The shipping cost from Brazil to China was $18.93 per ton, up $0.12 [4] Production Data - In mid-May, key steel enterprises produced 21.99 million tons of steel, with an average daily production of 2.20 million tons, a decrease of 0.3% week-on-week [5] - The average daily production of pig iron was 2.39 million tons, down 0.4% week-on-week [5] - The average daily production of steel products increased by 1.0% week-on-week to 4.16 million tons [5]