北京时间8月6日，根据媒体的报道，OpenAI正在就员工股票二次出售事宜进行谈判，公司估值有望达到5000亿美元。一旦完成，OpenAI将继续刷新全球 估值最高的未上市公司的头衔。 目前，中国估值最高的未上市公司是字节跳动，最近有投资人愿意以3000亿美元的估值购买老股。（字节跳动的营收和利润规模是相当的大，增速那是相 当的高） 01 OpenAI高达5000亿美元这个估值有多夸张，可以对比一下美股上市公司的市值。 根据北京时间8月6日的收盘市值计算。美股市值超过5000亿美元的个股有英伟达、微软、苹果、谷歌-C（谷歌-A）、亚马逊、Meta、博通、台积电、伯 克希尔-B（伯克希尔-A）1万亿美元分界线、特斯拉、摩根大通、沃尔玛、礼来、甲骨文、Visa、万事达等16个个股，以及VOO、SPY、IVV、VTI等四个 ETF。 满打满算，也就是20个交易主体的市值是超过5000亿美元的，而OpenAI在一级市场的估值就即将达到了5000亿美元。 实际上，OpenAI在一级市场的估值上涨非常之快。 在2025年4月，OpenAI完成新一轮400亿美元融资，投后估值为3000亿美元。 除了OpenAI，美国大模型公司 ...

星展银行邓志坚：美股标普第二季预期盈利同比增长10%，低于一季度的平均13%。不过，增长预期最 多的依然是科技、通讯和医疗。但由于美国投资者过度押注特朗普会撤销部分关税，形成大量TACO交 易，市场博弈风险增加，随时有可能出现大量获利了结。所以市场对财报要求特别高，如果不是有明显 的长期增长预期，或者选择获利了结更为稳妥。 东北证券首席投资顾问郭峰：美股高估值阶段下，市场对盈利的要求更为严格；A股处于低估值区间， 对业绩的容忍度相对较高。 ① 美股财报季陷困局 业绩良好已不足以支撑股价 高估值成"紧箍咒" 美股财报季正如火如荼进行中，但市场走势显示，企业"表现良好"已不足以支撑股价。摩根大通和美国 银行等大型银行虽公布稳健业绩，但股价涨幅有限。奈飞虽营收和利润超预期并上调全年业绩指引，但 股价却下跌5%。分析师指出，当前市场估值高企，强劲业绩难以证明股价合理性。投资者对失误容忍 度极低，市场波动风险加剧。此外，特朗普关税政策的不确定性仍影响市场。尽管白宫曾软化立场，但 潜在风险未消。Siebert Financial首席投资官马克·马利克表示，关税敏感行业表现仍不确定，市场需警 惕未来风险。 ② 美国六大银行 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the rapid rise of AI startups, particularly focusing on Anysphere, which recently completed a $900 million financing round, achieving a valuation of $9 billion. This reflects the ongoing trend of young entrepreneurs, particularly those born in the 2000s, making significant strides in the AI industry [1][11]. Group 1: Company Overview - Anysphere, founded by four MIT graduates, has developed an AI programming tool called Cursor that simplifies coding by allowing users to generate code using simple everyday commands [3][4]. - The company achieved $100 million in annualized revenue within a year of launching Cursor, making it one of the fastest-growing startups in history [6]. - Cursor has gained popularity among major companies, including OpenAI and Shopify, and has undergone multiple updates and iterations to enhance its functionality [6][10]. Group 2: Investment and Growth - Anysphere's funding journey began with seed investments from OpenAI's startup fund and Neo, totaling approximately $800,000 [9]. - The company has attracted a prestigious group of investors, including a16z, Thrive Capital, and Google’s chief scientist, Jeff Dean, with its valuation increasing significantly over time [10][11]. - The latest financing round of $900 million was led by Thrive Capital, further solidifying Anysphere's position in the AI market [11]. Group 3: Industry Trends - The article notes a broader trend of young founders, particularly those born in the 2000s, emerging in the AI sector, with examples like the AI recruitment platform Mercor and the AI programming company Magic [14][15]. - The average age of founders in 2024 is reported to be the youngest in history, with a significant portion being from the 90s and 00s, indicating a shift towards younger entrepreneurs in the tech landscape [15][16]. - Investors are increasingly recognizing the potential of young innovators who possess technical skills and a fresh perspective on new technologies [16][17].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the challenges and dynamics of financing in the AI industry, highlighting the shift towards state-owned capital and the difficulties faced by startups in securing funding amidst a tightening investment environment [2][8][12]. Group 1: Financing Landscape - In the past year, the U.S. saw $80.8 billion in AI venture capital, significantly outpacing China's investment [2]. - The financing cycle for startups is shortening, while the time to complete a single round of financing is lengthening, leading to a "short and quick" financing approach [3]. - State-owned capital has become a prominent source of funding, with many startups now relying on government-backed investments [12][13]. Group 2: Challenges for Startups - AI entrepreneurs face increased scrutiny regarding profitability and commercial viability, with many questioning the long-term sustainability of projects [3][4]. - The density of talent and rising computational costs make it increasingly difficult for startups to thrive without continuous funding [5][6]. - The current investment climate is characterized by a cautious approach, where each financing round is seen as a critical choice [4][6]. Group 3: Role of State-Owned Capital - State-owned capital is viewed as a necessary partner for many AI companies, with significant investments from government-backed funds in major cities like Beijing, Shanghai, and Shenzhen [12][13]. - The Beijing AI Industry Investment Fund has invested in over 30 AI companies since its inception, with a total investment decision amounting to approximately 17 billion yuan [12]. - Companies that secure state funding often need to align their operations with local government policies and expectations [14]. Group 4: International Funding Strategies - Some startups are looking beyond domestic funding sources, with examples of companies successfully raising capital from international investors in regions like Singapore and Japan [16][17]. - The path to securing funding from Silicon Valley remains challenging, requiring specific conditions such as founder nationality and company structure [17][20]. - The trend of Chinese founders targeting global markets while leveraging lower operational costs in China is becoming more common [17]. Group 5: Corporate Venture Capital (CVC) and Mergers - Corporate venture capital from major tech firms is becoming a significant source of funding, although it comes with the risk of direct competition [25]. - Recent acquisitions in the AI sector indicate a trend where early investors exit while maintaining independent operations for the acquired companies [26]. - The potential for increased mergers and acquisitions in the AI space is growing, driven by the rapid entry of large tech firms into the market [27].