Ray Dalio’s observations on Anglo decline seem overstated, perhaps bc he speaks from within that perspective. He is obviously right about the UK, but to even discuss the UK and US in one breath is archaic. In Beijing itself, the currently fashionable theory appears to be the G7 -> G2 power architecture transition, which is to say that two complementary superpowers decide everything.After this period of posturing ends, the relationship likely settles back to core cooperation on shared interests. Tariffs func ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses China's rise to a position of equal negotiation status with the United States, moving from rejecting the "G2" concept to becoming a key player in global governance and trade dynamics [1][3][4]. Group 1: Historical Context - In 2009, China rejected the "G2" proposal from the Obama administration, recognizing it as an attempt by the U.S. to dominate the international system [1]. - Over the past sixteen years, the global landscape has shifted, with the Trump administration initiating a global tariff war, yet China has managed to respond effectively and assertively [3]. Group 2: China's Economic and Technological Strength - China now contributes 30% to global economic growth in 2024, establishing itself as an indispensable engine of the world economy [3]. - The country has transitioned from being a "follower" to a "co-runner" in technology, leading in areas such as 5G, artificial intelligence, and quantum computing [3]. Group 3: China's Vision for Global Order - China's rise is not aimed at replacing U.S. leadership but rather at promoting a fairer and more inclusive international order [4]. - The country advocates for a multipolar world where decisions are made collectively rather than dominated by a few nations [4]. Group 4: Current U.S.-China Relations - The current state of U.S.-China relations is characterized as "not too good, but not too bad," indicating a complex interdependence [4]. - China has demonstrated its capability to handle challenges posed by tariffs and technology restrictions, asserting that it will not accept unequal treatment [4][5]. Group 5: Future Implications - The world will witness China actively participating in and even leading the formulation of global rules, reflecting its hard-earned respect and dignity [5]. - The journey from rejecting "G2" to achieving true equality in negotiations signifies China's commitment to its development path and its contribution to global governance reform [5].