全额退税行业范围缩减，超1亿元退税比例减半。 中国在十多年探索增值税留抵退税的道路上，作出了一次重大政策调整，整体上对退税更加谨慎。 8月22日，财政部、税务总局发布《关于完善增值税期末留抵退税政策的公告》（下称《公告》），决 定自今年9月增值税纳税申报期起，对相关行业采取新的增值税留抵退税政策。税务总局同日出台《公 告》配套文件明确具体征管事项。 上海财经大学公共政策与治理研究院副院长田志伟告诉第一财经，此次《公告》对现行增值税留抵退税 制度调整力度大，目的是提高政策导向性与精准性，降低征纳成本，提高征管效率。 增值税是中国第一大税种，收入规模一年超6万亿元。目前增值税实行链条抵扣机制，以纳税人当期销 项税额抵扣进项税额后的余额为应纳税额。其中当进项税额大于销项税额时，未抵扣完的进项税额会形 成留抵税额。而留抵退税就是把增值税期末未抵扣完的税额退还给纳税人。 此前中国对于留抵税额并没有采取退还处理方式，而是让企业将这一留抵税额结转下期继续抵扣，此举 增加了企业资金压力。为了缓解企业资金压力，支持企业研发创新，中国自2011年开始对集成电路等特 定行业试点留抵退税，2019年迈出一大步，即开始试行增值税增量期 ...

Core Insights - Deep Grain Holdings reported a mixed performance in its 2025 interim results, with a slight decline in revenue but a significant increase in net profit [1] Financial Performance - The company achieved operating revenue of 2.384 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.33%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders reached 176 million yuan, marking a 36.44% increase [1] - The net profit margin improved from 5.39% in the first half of 2024 to 7.38% in 2025, and the gross profit margin increased from 17.84% to 18.54% [3] - Return on equity (ROE) stood at 3.51%, up by 0.87 percentage points year-on-year [3] Operational Efficiency - The inventory turnover days increased to 349.58 days, a rise of 24.2% compared to the first half of 2024, indicating a need for better inventory management [6] - The net cash flow from operating activities improved to 737 million yuan, a turnaround from a negative 159 million yuan in the same period last year, reflecting a significant enhancement in cash flow [6] - The debt-to-asset ratio was 30.24%, down by 5.37 percentage points year-on-year, suggesting a more robust financial structure and reduced debt pressure [6] Institutional Holdings - As of the first half of 2025, the number of institutional investors holding Deep Grain Holdings' stock decreased to 3, down from 54 in the same period of 2024, indicating a cautious outlook from institutional investors [8] - The company's market capitalization peaked at 13.519 billion yuan on April 24, 2020, and currently stands at 7.964 billion yuan, requiring a 69.75% increase in stock price to reach its historical high [8] - Despite the decline in institutional interest, improvements in profitability and financial structure provide a foundation for future growth [8]

Core Insights - The China SME Development Index for July remains stable at 89.0, indicating a steady performance amidst external uncertainties and slow domestic demand growth [1] - The index shows a positive trend in various sectors, with six industries experiencing growth while two saw slight declines [1] Industry Performance - The construction, transportation, real estate, social services, information transmission software, and accommodation and catering sectors all reported significant increases in their indices, rising by 0.6, 0.4, 0.3, 0.3, 0.3, and 0.3 points respectively [1] - The industrial and wholesale retail sectors experienced minor declines of 0.2 and 0.1 points respectively [1] Financial Conditions - The financial situation for SMEs has improved, with the funding index rising by 0.2 points in July [1] - There is an increase in working capital and a faster turnover of accounts receivable, with six out of eight surveyed industries reporting growth in working capital and quicker collection of receivables [1] Investment Sentiment - Investment willingness among SMEs has shown signs of recovery, with the investment index increasing by 0.1 points in July [1] - Six out of the eight surveyed industries reported an increase in their investment indices [1] Future Outlook - The China SME Association emphasizes the need for comprehensive economic reforms to stimulate domestic demand, foster new growth points in service consumption, and enhance private and SME investment vitality [2] - The focus will be on stabilizing employment, businesses, markets, and expectations to support the innovative development and quality improvement of private and small enterprises [2]

Group 1 - The China SME Development Index for July is 89.0, remaining stable compared to the previous month, indicating a steady but pressured performance of SMEs amid external uncertainties and slow domestic demand growth [1] - In July, the industry index showed 6 sectors rising and 2 declining, with notable increases in construction, transportation, real estate, social services, information transmission software, and accommodation and catering sectors, rising by 0.6, 0.4, 0.3, 0.3, 0.3, and 0.3 points respectively [1] - The funding situation for SMEs improved in July, with the funding index rising by 0.2 points, indicating better liquidity and faster accounts receivable turnover across 6 out of 8 surveyed industries [1] Group 2 - The investment willingness of SMEs showed signs of recovery, with the investment index increasing by 0.1 points in July, as 6 out of 8 surveyed industries reported an increase in investment [1] - The China SME Association emphasizes the need for comprehensive economic reforms to effectively release domestic demand potential, stimulate private investment, and support the innovation and quality improvement of SMEs [2]

Group 1 - The China SME Development Index for July is 89.0, remaining stable compared to the previous month, indicating that SMEs are facing significant external uncertainties and slow domestic demand growth [1] - In July, the index for six industries increased, while two industries saw a decline, suggesting an overall positive trend in industry operations [1] - The construction, transportation, real estate, social services, information transmission software, and accommodation and catering industries showed notable increases in their indices, rising by 0.6, 0.4, 0.3, 0.3, 0.3, and 0.3 points respectively [1] Group 2 - The funding situation for SMEs improved in July, with the funding index rising by 0.2 points, indicating better liquidity and faster accounts receivable turnover [1] - Investment willingness among SMEs has also increased, with the investment index rising by 0.1 points in July, reflecting a positive outlook in six out of eight surveyed industries [1] - The China SME Association emphasizes the need for comprehensive economic reforms to stimulate domestic demand, support private and small enterprises, and achieve the goals set for the 14th Five-Year Plan [2]

Group 1 - The Small and Medium Enterprises Development Index (SMEDI) in China remained stable at 89.0 in July, unchanged from June [1] - In July, the funding index and input index increased by 0.2 points and 0.1 points respectively compared to June, while the comprehensive operation index and efficiency index remained flat [1] - The construction, transportation, real estate, social services, information transmission software, and accommodation and catering industries showed significant increases in their development indices, rising by 0.6, 0.4, 0.3, 0.3, 0.3, and 0.3 points respectively [1] Group 2 - The development environment for small and medium enterprises in China is stabilizing, with improved funding conditions and reduced operational cost pressures [2] - There is an increasing willingness for investment among enterprises, supported by effective macroeconomic policies [2] - Future efforts will focus on deepening economic reforms, stimulating domestic demand, and supporting innovation and efficiency improvements in private and small enterprises [2]

Core Viewpoint - The China Small and Medium Enterprises Development Index (SMEDI) for July remains stable at 89.0, unchanged from the previous month [1] Industry Summary - The index shows a positive trend in various sectors, with 6 industries experiencing growth and 2 industries seeing a decline [1] - Notable increases were observed in the construction, transportation, real estate, social services, information transmission software, and accommodation and catering industries, with respective increases of 0.6, 0.4, 0.3, 0.3, 0.3, and 0.3 points [1] - The industrial and wholesale retail sectors experienced slight declines of 0.2 and 0.1 points, respectively [1] - Overall, the operational status of the industries is improving [1]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The GDP growth in Q2 2025 met market expectations, but the fixed - asset investment, social consumption, and real estate sectors faced challenges. The export and industrial added - value in June exceeded expectations. The domestic real estate market continued to decline, and the Chinese economy may face challenges in maintaining rapid growth in the second half of the year, requiring continuous efforts to expand domestic demand. The "anti - involution" policies may have a more moderate and long - term impact. Policy decisions may be made based on economic changes, and new policies may be introduced at the end of the third quarter or the beginning of the fourth quarter [84]. Summary by Related Content GDP and Industry Contribution - In Q2 2025, China's GDP grew 5.2% year - on - year, meeting market expectations. The GDP grew 5.3% year - on - year in the first half of the year. The primary, secondary, and tertiary industries grew 3.8%, 4.8%, and 5.7% year - on - year respectively in Q2. The contributions of the three industries to GDP in Q2 were 4.6%, 34.2%, and 61.2% respectively [4][6]. GDP Growth Contribution Factors - In Q2 2025, the contributions of final consumption expenditure, capital formation, and net exports of goods and services to GDP growth were 52.3%, 24.7%, and 23.0% respectively [9]. GDP Deflator - The GDP deflator in Q2 2025 decreased 1.20% year - on - year, showing a negative growth for nine consecutive quarters since Q2 2023 [12]. Fixed - Asset Investment - In the first half of 2025, the national fixed - asset investment grew 2.8% year - on - year, lower than the market expectation of 3.7%. General infrastructure investment (including power) grew 8.9% year - on - year, while narrow infrastructure investment (excluding power) grew 4.6% year - on - year. Manufacturing investment grew 7.5% year - on - year, and real estate development investment decreased 11.2% year - on - year [15]. Real Estate Market - In the first half of 2025, the sales area of new commercial housing decreased 3.5% year - on - year, and the sales volume decreased 5.5% year - on - year. In June, the second - hand housing prices in first - tier cities decreased 0.7% month - on - month, and those in second - and third - tier cities decreased 0.6% month - on - month. In July, the decline rate of national new housing sales area accelerated [18][21][23]. Social Consumption - In June 2025, the total retail sales of consumer goods grew 4.8% year - on - year, lower than the market expectation of 5.6%. The growth rates of most categories of consumer goods in units above the designated size decreased compared with May [26][28]. Service Industry - In June 2025, the service industry production index grew 6.0% year - on - year. The growth rates of information transmission, software and information technology services, leasing and business services, and wholesale and retail industries were relatively high [30]. Foreign Trade - In June 2025, China's exports in US dollars grew 5.8% year - on - year, and imports grew 1.1% year - on - year. Exports to ASEAN and the EU increased, while exports to the US decreased. In July, the China Containerized Freight Index (CCFI) declined slightly, and the decline of the US - West route was faster [33][36][38]. Industrial Sector - In June 2025, the added - value of industrial enterprises above the designated size grew 6.8% year - on - year, exceeding the market expectation. The product sales rate was 94.3%, and the industrial capacity utilization rate in Q2 was 74.0% [41][43][45]. Employment and Prices - In June 2025, the national urban surveyed unemployment rate was 5.0%. The CPI increased 0.1% year - on - year, and the PPI decreased 3.6% year - on - year. In July, agricultural product prices hovered at a low level, and the average domestic gasoline price was higher than that in June [47][49][57]. Manufacturing and Non - Manufacturing PMI - In July 2025, the official manufacturing PMI was 49.3%, remaining below the boom - bust line for four consecutive months. The non - manufacturing business activity index was 50.1%. The manufacturing production continued to expand, while the demand re - entered the contraction range. The service industry activity expectation index increased slightly [68][71][81].

Core Viewpoint - The economic performance of 31 provinces in China for the first half of the year shows significant competition, particularly between Hubei and Henan, with Hubei rapidly closing the economic gap [1][2]. Economic Performance - Henan's GDP reached 31,683.80 billion yuan, growing by 5.7%, while Hubei's GDP was 29,642.61 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 6.2%, indicating Hubei's faster growth compared to Henan [1][2]. - The economic gap between Hubei and Henan has significantly narrowed over the past two years, from 5,066.78 billion yuan in 2023 to 2,041.19 billion yuan in 2024 [1]. Investment and Consumption - Hubei's fixed asset investment grew by 6.5%, surpassing the national average of 3.7%, with manufacturing investment increasing by 12.5% [4]. - Hubei's retail sales reached 13,073.93 billion yuan, growing by 6.9%, which is higher than the national average [4]. Trade Performance - Hubei's total import and export volume exceeded 400 billion yuan for the first time, reaching 402.31 billion yuan, with exports growing by 38.5% [5]. - The export of mechanical and electrical products increased by 26.8%, accounting for 50.7% of total exports [5]. Henan's Economic Characteristics - Henan's economy showed "three fasts and two stability" in the first half of the year, with industrial output, fixed asset investment, and retail sales all experiencing significant growth [6][7]. - The industrial production in Henan grew by 8.4%, with nearly 80% of industries maintaining growth [6].

Economic Overview - Shanghai's GDP reached 2.62 trillion yuan in the first half of the year, with a year-on-year growth of 5.1% [1] - The city's industrial added value increased by 5.1% year-on-year, while the tertiary industry's added value grew by 5.4%, accounting for 79.1% of GDP [1] Investment and Consumption - Total fixed asset investment in Shanghai grew by 6.2% year-on-year, with major projects completing 50.9% of their annual plans [2] - Social retail sales increased by 1.7% year-on-year, with consumption subsidies driving over 54 billion yuan in social consumption [2] - International tourism saw 4.25 million inbound visitors, a 38.5% increase year-on-year [2] Trade Performance - Shanghai's total import and export volume reached 2.15 trillion yuan, growing by 2.4% year-on-year, with exports increasing by 11.1% [2] - Exports to non-U.S. markets rose by 16.1%, and trade with Belt and Road countries, ASEAN, and BRICS members grew by 11.8%, 10.9%, and 16.5% respectively [2] - Private enterprises' imports and exports increased by 23.6%, accounting for 38.1% of the city's total [2] Foreign Investment - Actual foreign investment in Shanghai decreased by 16.4% year-on-year, although manufacturing and business services saw increases of 48.7% and 47.7% respectively [2] - The city added 30 new regional headquarters for multinational companies and 19 foreign R&D centers, totaling 1,046 and 610 respectively [2] Strategic Focus for Future Development - Shanghai's economic development will focus on five key areas: national strategy, industrial upgrading, demand support, innovation-driven growth, and livelihood security [3] - The city plans to enhance its "five centers" construction and implement a new round of pilot programs for service industry expansion [3][4] - Emphasis will be placed on investment in key industries and regions, supporting industrial growth, and promoting high-quality development in technology and service sectors [4][5] Innovation and Technology - Shanghai aims to strengthen its international technology innovation center and focus on cutting-edge and disruptive technologies [5] - Plans include enhancing incubator functions and establishing high-quality concept verification platforms to support the growth of leading technology enterprises [5]